Preoperative Serum Calcitonin and Its Correlation with Extent of Lymph Node Metastasis in Medullary Thyroid Carcinoma

Management of medullary thyroid cancer based on variation of carcinoembryonic antigen and calcitonin

Carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and calcitonin (Ctn) are pivotal biomarkers in the diagnosis and management of medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC). However, their diagnostic reliability in perioperative period remains a topic of ongoing debate. This review synthesizes researches on perioperative fluctuations in CEA and Ctn levels, and evaluates the impact of their different combinations on MTC diagnosis, treatment decisions, and prognosis. Our findings highlight it is crucial to understand and interpret the various combinations of CEA and Ctn fluctuations within a clinical context. Furthermore, to reduce diagnostic errors and improve patient outcomes, we recommend follow-up diagnostic and treatment protocols designed to address the potential pitfalls associated with the use of these biomarkers.

The Value of Pretherapeutic Basal Calcitonin Cut-Offs for the Therapeutic Strategy and Prediction of Long-Term Outcome of Patients with Medullary Thyroid Cancer-A 30-Year Single-Center Experience

BACKGROUND

The clinical relevance of clearly defined pretherapeutic basal calcitonin (bCt) cut-offs for predicting lymph node metastases (LNMs) and long-term outcomes (LOs) has so far not been tested in a large cohort of patients with medullary thyroid cancer included in a Ct screening program during the initial diagnostic workup of thyroid nodules.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Female (f) patients with a bCt level of ≤23 pg/mL and male (m) patients with a level of ≤43 pg/mL were assigned to Group 1 (minimal oncologic risk), patients with a bCt between 24 and 84 pg/mL (f) and 44-99 pg/mL (m) to Group 2 (low oncologic risk), and those with a bCt of ≥85 pg/mL (f) and ≥100 pg/mL (m) to Group 3 (high oncologic risk). All patients underwent surgery applying a uniform surgical protocol. The median follow-up was 100 months.

RESULTS

The study included 306 patients. In 3/115 (2.6%) patients in Group 1 and in 3/50 (6.0%) in Group 2, LNM in the central but not lateral neck and no distant metastases (DMet) were documented. In both groups, the biochemical long-term cure rate was 95.7% and the disease-specific-survival (DSS) rate was 100% at 10, 15 and 20 years. Lateral LNM and DMet were diagnosed only in Group 3. The bCt levels of N0 and N1 patients showed broadly overlapping ranges, thus impeding the differentiation between those patients through bCt. Both the cure rate and DSS were significantly worse in Group 3. The overall biochemical long-term cure rate was 78.2%.

CONCLUSIONS

Within a Ct screening program, grouping patients upon pretherapeutic bCt provides a simple risk classification system for indicating surgery, predicting LN involvement, and LOs.

Pre-Operative Calcitonin and CEA Values May Predict the Extent of Metastases to the Lateral Neck Lymph Nodes in Patients with Medullary Thyroid Cancer

Background: In medullary thyroid cancer (MTC), lymph node metastases are often present at diagnosis and the extent of surgery is usually based upon pre-operative calcitonin and CEA levels as well as ultrasound findings. The aim of this study was to evaluate the role of pre-operative calcitonin and CEA levels as predictive markers of the burden of lymph node metastases at diagnosis. Methods: we conducted a retrospective study analyzing 87 MTC patients. Results: The median levels of calcitonin and CEA were 88.4 pg/mL and 7.0 ng/mL, respectively, in patients with no lymph nodes metastases; 108.0 pg/mL and 9.6 ng/mL, respectively, in patients with metastases to 1-5 lymph nodes; 520.5 pg/mL and 43.2 ng/mL, respectively, in patients with metastases to >5 lymph nodes. There were no significant differences in pre-operative calcitonin and CEA values between N0 and N1a patients, whereas they were significantly higher in N1b patients. Pre-operative cut-off levels distinguishing N0/N1a from N1b patients were 90 pg/mL for calcitonin (sensitivity 100%, specificity 59.3%, AUC = 0.82) and 17 ng/mL for CEA (sensitivity 100%, specificity 75%, AUC = 0.89). Conclusions: in patients with MTC, pre-operative serum calcitonin and CEA levels may drive the decision-making process to better define the extent of surgery.

A practical nomogram for preoperatively predicting lateral cervical lymph node metastasis in medullary thyroid carcinoma: a dual-center retrospective study

Purpose

Lateral lymph node metastasis (LLNM) is very common in medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC), but there is still controversy about how to manage cervical lateral lymph nodes, especially for clinically negative MTC. The aim of this study is to develop and validate a nomogram for predicting LLNM risk in MTC.

Materials and methods

A total of 234 patients from two hospitals were retrospectively enrolled in this study and divided into LLNM positive group and LLNM negative group based on the pathology. The correlation between LLNM and preoperative clinical and ultrasound variables were evaluated by univariable and multivariable logistic regression analysis. A nomogram was generated to predict the risk of the LLNM of MTC patients, validated by external dataset, and evaluated in terms of discrimination, calibration, and clinical usefulness.

Results

The training, internal, and external validation datasets included 152, 51, and 31 MTC patients, respectively. According to the multivariable logistic regression analysis, gender (male), relationship to thyroid capsule and serum calcitonin were independently associated with LLNM in the training dataset. The predictive nomogram model developed with the aforementioned variables showed favorable performance in estimating risk of LLNM, with the area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.826 in the training dataset, 0.816 in the internal validation dataset, and 0.846 in the external validation dataset.

Conclusion

We developed and validated a model named MTC nomogram, utilizing available preoperative variables to predict the probability of LLNM in patients with MTC. This nomogram will be of great value for guiding the clinical diagnosis and treatment process of MTC patients.

Serum Biochemical Markers for Medullary Thyroid Carcinoma: An Update

Introduction

Medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC), a rare malignancy, requires early diagnosis for optimal patient outcomes. An important aspect of MTC diagnosis is the assessment of serum biomarkers. This review aimed to evaluate the use of serum biomarkers in the diagnosis, prognosis, and follow-up of MTC.

Methods

A thorough search of PubMed covering 1975 to 2022 was conducted to identify English-language articles on MTC serum biomarkers.

Results

The review revealed that calcitonin (Ctn) and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) remain the most important serum biomarkers for MTC diagnosis and management. Despite limited studies on procalcitonin (PCT), its stability and ability to exclude interference from inflammation make it a valuable potential marker of MTC. Although the positive rate of serum CA19-9 levels in MTC patients was not high, it can be used as an indicator of poor prognosis in advanced MTC. Other serum markers, including chromogranin A, gastrin-releasing peptide precursor, and neurospecific enolase, did not show any unique value in MTC diagnosis and management.

Conclusion

Taken together, this review emphasized the importance of serum biomarkers, particularly Ctn and CEA, in the diagnosis and management of MTC. PCT shows promise as a valuable potential marker, whereas CA19-9 can be used as a prognostic indicator of advanced MTC. Further research is needed to validate the significance of these serum biomarkers in MTC and determine the effects of confounding factors on their levels. Clinicians should consider using these markers in MTC diagnosis, prognosis, and follow-up, particularly for patients with advanced disease.

An old friend, a new insight: Calcitonin measurement in serum and aspiration needle washout fluids significantly increases the early and accurate detection of medullary thyroid cancer

BACKGROUND

The sensitivity of cytological (CY) evaluation after fine-needle aspiration (FNA) for detecting medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC) is a subject of controversy. The routine use of serum calcitonin (CT) in patients with thyroid nodules is not universally adopted. The authors conducted CT screening of FNA washout fluid (FNA-CT) to address the diagnostic challenges. The objective was to assess the contributions of serum CT, FNA cytology (FNA-CY), and FNA-CT to the diagnosis.

METHODS

Between February 2019 and June 2022 (group 1), the authors prospectively screened the CT of patients with thyroid nodules. Both FNA-CY and FNA-CT were performed for patients with persistently elevated CT values. The sensitivity of FNA-CY, serum CT, and FNA-CT for accurate diagnosis was evaluated. Additionally, the authors retrospectively examined data from patients with thyroid nodules before CT screening (2008-2019) (group 2). They compared the characteristics of MTC patients in groups 1 and 2.

RESULTS

MTC was identified in 30 patients (0.25%) in group 1 and 19 (0.07%) in group 2. A FNA-CT cutoff value of 4085.5 pg/mL detected MTC with a sensitivity of 96.8%, and a serum CT cutoff value of 28.3 pg/mL detected MTC with a sensitivity of 86.7%. In contrast, FNA-CY detected MTC with a sensitivity of 42.4%. In group 1, 18 patients (60%) with MTC were diagnosed with microcarcinoma, whereas only two patients (10.5%) in group 2 had microcarcinoma.

CONCLUSIONS

This study detected MTC earlier by routinely measuring serum CT in all patients with nodular thyroid disease and performing FNA-CT in those with elevated values. FNA-CT and serum CT sensitivities were significantly higher than those of FNA-CY. This study revealed different FNA-CT cutoff values compared to other studies, emphasizing the need for determining clinic-specific cutoff values.

Risk factors for cervical lymph node metastasis in the central or lateral cervical region in medullary thyroid carcinoma: a systematic review and meta-analysis

PURPOSE

Compared with other types of thyroid carcinoma, patients with medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC) are more likely to develop cervical lymph node metastasis. This study was conducted to clarify the risk factors for cervical lymph node metastasis (central lymph node metastasis or lateral cervical lymph node metastasis) in MTC by meta-analysis, and to provide evidence-based basis for the treatment and prognosis of MTC.

METHODS

The literatures related to cervical lymph node metastasis in medullary thyroid carcinoma were searched in PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, Cochrane, CNKI and Wanfang databases, and statistical analysis was performed using Revman 5.3 and Stata 14.0 software.

RESULTS

A total of 28 papers were included in this paper, and meta-analysis showed that the occurrence of central lymph node metastasis (CLNM) in MTC patients was significantly associated with tumor size (OR = 3.07, 95%CI: 2.04-4.63, P < 0.00001), multifocality (OR = 0.29, 95%CI: 0.19-0.44, P < 0.00001), bilaterality (OR = 3.75, 95% CI: 1.95-7.14, P < 0.0001), capsular invasion (OR = 9.88, 95% CI: 5.93-16.45, P < 0.00001) and extrathyroidal extension (OR = 5.48, 95% CI: 2.61-11.51, P < 0.00001). While the occurrence of lateral cervical lymph node metastasis (LLNM) in MTC patients was strongly correlated with gender (OR = 2.97, 95%CI: 2.46-3.58, P < 0.00001), tumor size (OR = 3.88, 95%CI: 1.90-7.92, P = 0.0002 < 0.05), multifocality (OR = 0.43, 95%CI: 0.35-0.51, P < 0.00001), bilaterality (OR = 2.93, 95% CI: 1.72-4.98, P < 0.0001), capsular invasion (OR = 8.44, 95% CI: 6.11-11.64, P < 0.00001), extrathyroidal extension (OR = 7.04, 95% CI: 5.54-8.94, P < 0.00001), margin of the tumor (OR = 4.47, 95% CI: 2.37-8.44, P < 0.00001), shape of the tumor (OR = 6.81, 95% CI: 3.64-12.73, P < 0.00001), preoperative calcitonin level (SMD = 1.39, 95% CI: 0.98-1.80, P < 0.00001), preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen level (SMD = 0.97, 95% CI: 0.74-1.20, P < 0.00001) and CLNM (OR = 19.70, 95% CI: 14.16-27.43, P < 0.00001).

CONCLUSION

Tumor size, multifocality, bilaterality, capsular invasion and extrathyroidal extension are the main risk factors for developing CLNM in MTC patients; And risk factors for developing LLNM in MTC patients include: gender, tumor size, multifocality, bilaterality, capsular invasion, extrathyroidal extension, margin of the tumor, shape of the tumor, preoperative calcitonin level, preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen level and central lymph node metastasis. These risk factors can guide the individualized treatment plan and improve the prognosis of MTC patients.

A Proposed Modified Staging System for Medullary Thyroid Cancer: A SEER Analysis With Multicenter Validation

BACKGROUND

The 8th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system for medullary thyroid cancer (MTC) was implemented in 2018. However, its ability to predict prognosis remains controversial.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patient data were obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database and multicenter datasets. Overall survival was the primary end-point of the present study. The concordance index (C-index) was used to assess the efficacy of various models to predict prognostic outcomes.

RESULTS

A total of 1450 MTC patients were selected from the SEER databases and 349 in the multicenter dataset. According to the AJCC staging system, there were no significant survival differences between T4a and T4b categories (P = .299). The T4 category was thus redefined as T4a' category (≤3.5 cm) and T4b' category (>3.5 cm) based on the tumor size, which was more powerful for distinguishing the prognosis (P = .003). Further analysis showed that the T category was significantly associated with both lymph node (LN) location and count (P < .001). Therefore, the N category was modified by combining the LN location and count. Finally, the above-mentioned novel T and N categories were adopted to modify the 8th AJCC classification using the recursive partitioning analysis principle, and the modified staging system outperformed the current edition (C-index, 0.811 vs. 0.792).

CONCLUSIONS

The 8th AJCC staging system was improved based on the intrinsic relationship among the T category, LN location, and LN count, which would have a positive impact on the clinical decision-making process and appropriate surveillance.

Medullary Thyroid Carcinoma: A Single Institute Experience

Medullary thyroid carcinoma is a rare tumour that is anatomically located in the thyroid gland but is functionally a neuroendocrine tumour. It is usually a disease of older age group but manifests in a young patient in familial form. It is derived from parafollicular c cells and has a predilection for lymph node metastasis. It is associated with slow growth in thyroid gland with early nodal metastasis. Serum calcitonin is useful as a preoperative marker of disease burden and prognosis. In the preoperative period serum levels of calcitonin can guide regarding the need for compartment wise lymph node dissection and the possibility of distant metastasis. It is used as a tool of surveillance in the postoperative period. The levels of serum CEA and calcitonin and their doubling time is a useful guide in the detection of early recurrence or distant metastasis. Imaging modality useful for diagnosis is USG in a majority of patients. Thus, the initial diagnosis and preoperative assessment of medullary thyroid carcinoma is similar to other forms of thyroid cancer but further management of disease differs significantly form other forms of differentiated thyroid carcinoma or even anaplastic carcinoma. Prognosis however differs according to age, gender, presence or absence of lymph node metastasis at presentation, metastatic disease at presentation and levels of biochemical markers.

Preoperative identification of low-risk medullary thyroid carcinoma: potential application to reduce total thyroidectomy

Current guidelines recommend total thyroidectomy with central lymph node dissection (CND) for patients with medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC). This study aimed to identify low-risk MTC patients who may be candidates for lobectomy. We retrospectively reviewed MTC patients who underwent primary surgery at a tertiary referral center from 1998 to 2019. Eighty-five MTC patients were enrolled, excluding patients with primary tumor size > 2.0 cm. Among them, one (1.2%) patient had bilateral tumors. During a median follow-up of 84 months, 12 of the 85 patients experienced structural recurrence. 13 patients had occult lymph node metastasis, and structural recurrence occurred in 2 patients. Factors that significantly affected disease-free survival were clinical N stage (cN0 vs. cN1, log-rank P < 0.001), pathological N stage (pN0 vs. pN1, P < 0.001), and preoperative calcitonin levels (≤ 250 vs. > 250 pg/mL, P = 0.017). After categorizing patients into four groups, patients with preoperative calcitonin levels > 250 pg/mL and cN1 or pN1 had a significantly worse prognosis. Patients with a primary tumor size of 2 cm or less, cN0, and preoperative calcitonin of 250 pg/mL or less can be classified as low-risk MTC patients. We used preoperative clinical information to identify low-risk MTC patients. Lobectomy with prophylactic CND may be a potential therapeutic approach.

[Value of Baseline Calcitonin for Differential Diagnosis of Medullary Thyroid Cancer]

Objective

To analyze the efficacy of using baseline calcitonin (bCtn) for auxiliary diagnosis of medullary thyroid cancer (MTC) in the hypercalcitoninemic population with thyroid nodules and to explore the relationship between preoperative levels of bCtn and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and MTC staging.

Methods

The clinical, pathological, imaging, and lab test data of 58 MTC patients and 84 non-MTC patients were retrospectively reviewed in the study. The patients were hospitalized at West China Hosptal, Sichuan University between 2011 and 2020. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were constructed to calculate the MTC diagnostic efficacy of bCtn and CEA. The differences in the preoperative bCtn and CEA levels of MTC patients with different primary tumor sites and regional lymph node involvement were compared.

Results

The bCtn cutoff values were 31.54 pg/mL for men and 22.60 pg/mL for women for diagnosing MTC in the hypercalcitoninemic population with thyroid nodules. There were statistical differences in preoperative bCtn levels ( H=16.166, P=0.001) and in preoperative CEA levels ( H=9.447, P=0.024) in MTC patients of different T stages. There were statistical differences in preoperative bCtn levels ( H=7.919, P=0.019) and in preoperative CEA levels ( H=7.934, P=0.019) in MTC patients of different N stages.

Conclusion

The best bCtn cutoff values for the diagnosis of MTC in the hypercalcitoninemic population with thyroid nodules and are 31.54 pg/mL for men and 22.60 pg/mL for women.

Establishment and validation of a nomogram model for predicting distant metastasis in medullary thyroid carcinoma: An analysis of the SEER database based on the AJCC 8th TNM staging system

OBJECTIVE

Medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC) patients with distant metastases frequently present a relatively poor survival prognosis. Our main purpose was developing a nomogram model to predict distant metastases in MTC patients.

METHODS

This was a retrospective study based on the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Data of 807 MTC patients diagnosed from 2004 to 2015 who undergone total thyroidectomy and neck lymph nodes dissection was included in our study. Independent risk factors were screened by univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis successively, which were used to develop a nomogram model predicting for distant metastasis risk. Further, the log-rank test was used to compare the differences of Kaplan-Meier curves of cancer-specific survival (CSS) in different M stage and each independent risk factor groups.

RESULTS

Four clinical parameters including age > 55 years, higher T stage (T3/T4), higher N stage (N1b) and lymph node ratio (LNR) > 0.4 were significant for distant metastases at the time of diagnosis in MTC patients, and were selected to develop a nomogram model. This model had satisfied discrimination with the AUC and C-index of 0.894, and C-index was confirmed to be 0.878 through bootstrapping validation. A decision curve analysis (DCA) was subsequently made to evaluate the feasibility of this nomogram for predicting distant metastasis. In addition, CSS differed by different M stage, T stage, N stage, age and LNR groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Age, T stage, N stage and LNR were extracted to develop a nomogram model for predicting the risk of distant metastases in MTC patients. The model is of great significance for clinicians to timely identify patients with high risk of distant metastases and make further clinical decisions.

Tumor Grade Predicts for Calcitonin Doubling Times and Disease-Specific Outcomes After Resection of Medullary Thyroid Carcinoma

Background: Tumor grade is a new validated prognostic factor for medullary thyroid cancer (MTC). Calcitonin doubling time can predict MTC recurrence. We aimed to describe the association of tumor grade with calcitonin doubling and its effect on disease-specific outcomes times after resection. Methods: A retrospective analysis of MTC patients who underwent resection at a single tertiary-care cancer center between 1986 and 2017 were evaluated. Tumors were designated as high-grade MTC if two head and neck pathologists identified mitotic index ≥5 per 2 mm2, tumor necrosis, or a Ki67 proliferative index ≥5% within the tumor. Calcitonin doubling time was calculated using a validated calculator with at least three consecutive levels. Using Cox proportional hazards models, outcomes evaluated included locoregional relapse-free survival (LRFS), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), and overall survival (OS). Results: Among 117 patients, 95 were low grade and 22 high grade. Median follow-up was 70.2 months. High-grade patients demonstrated significantly faster calcitonin doubling times when compared with low-grade patients (8.51 ± 3.22 months vs. 38.42 ± 11.19 months; p < 0.001). In addition, most high-grade patients (66.7%) had calcitonin doubling times less than 1 year compared with fewer low-grade patients (1.0%; p < 0.001). High- and low-grade patients were further stratified by those who had calcitonin doubling times less than or greater than 2 years-a previously validated prognostic cutoff point. For patients with calcitonin doubling times less than 2 years, 70% were high grade, while 30% were low grade (p < 0.001). On multivariate analysis comparing grade and calcitonin doubling times, high-grade patients had significantly worse LRFS (hazards ratio [HR] 4.77 [confidence interval; CI 1.19-8.81]), DMFS (HR 7.25 [CI 2.36-22.28]), and OS (HR 6.04 [CI 1.85-19.72]; p < 0.05 for all), while calcitonin doubling times less than 2 years had worse DMFS (HR 7.22 [CI 1.05-49.75]). High-grade patients with calcitonin doubling times less than 2 years had associated worse LRFS and OS (both p < 0.05) compared with low-grade patients. Conclusions: The majority of high-grade MTC patients have calcitonin doubling times less than 2years. Close monitoring should be advocated for patients assessed to have high-grade tumors as they are at risk for poor disease-specific outcomes and structural recurrence.

Management of lymph nodes in medullary thyroid carcinoma: A review

Introduction

Medullary Thyroid Carcinoma (MTC) as a neuroendocrine tumor that arises from the parafollicular C-cells and shows a potentially aggressive behavior with early lymph node metastasis. MTC cells do not absorb radioactive iodine and are not sensitive to Thyroid Stimulating Hormone (TSH) suppression, and therefore surgery is the most effective option for curative therapy.

Results

Medical imaging and biomarkers (calcitonin & CEA) assessment are necessary to determine the appropriate approach to lymph nodes surgery in MTC. Prophylactic central, lateral or contralateral neck dissections are recommended based on calcitonin level and volume of tumor. In general, guidelines are in agreement with prophylactic central dissection in most cases. Central and lateral dissections are recommended in all guidelines and review articles if lymphadenopathy is confirmed in preoperative examinations. Because lymph node dissection in most cases of locally advanced or metastatic MTC has no prognostic effect, dissection is done with palliative goal with maximum attention to maintaining function in these cases. In patients with an incomplete lymph node dissection, decision for reoperation can be based on calcitonin levels and the number of metastatic lymph nodes removed in previous surgery. Symptoms as well as speed of disease progression are also important in adopting the type of surgery. Consensus is in favor of reoperation in patients with recurrent regional MTC without distant metastasis.

Conclusion

Thyroidectomy is mandatory in patients with MTC but the type and extension of lymph node dissection are depending on the calcitonin level and tumor burden.

•

Surgery is the most effective treatment option for MTC.

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Prophylactic central, lateral or contralateral neck dissections are recommended based on calcitonin level.

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Therapeutic central and lateral dissection is recommended if lymphadenopathy is confirmed.

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In locally advanced or metastatic MTC dissection is done with maximum attention to maintaining function.

Calcitonin: current concepts and differential diagnosis

Calcitonin (CT) is most effectively produced by the parafollicular cells of the thyroid gland. It acts through the calcitonin receptor (CTR), a seven-transmembrane class II G-protein-coupled receptor linked to multiple signal transduction pathways with its main secretagogues being calcium and gastrin. It is clinically used mostly in the diagnosis and follow-up of medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC). Hypercalcitoninemia can be attributed to primary (e.g. CT-secreting tumor) or secondary (e.g. due to hypercalcemia) overproduction, underexcretion (e.g. renal insufficiency), drug reaction (e.g. β-blockers), or false-positive results. In clinical practice, elevated basal calcitonin (bCT) is indicative, but not pathognomonic, of MTC. Current literature leans toward an age as well as gender-specific cutoff approach. bCT >100 pg/ml has up to 100% positive prognostic value (PPV) for MTC, whereas bCT between 8 and 100 pg/ml for adult males and 6 and 80 pg/ml for adult females should be possibly further investigated with stimulation calcitonin (sCT) tests. Calcium is showing similar efficacy with pentagastrin (Pg) sCT; however, the real value of these provocative tests has been disputed given the availability of new, highly sensitive CT immunoassays. Anyhow, evidence concludes that sCT <2 times bCT may not be suggestive of MTC, in which case, thyroid in addition to whole body workup based on clinical evaluation is further warranted. Moreover, measurement of basal and stimulated procalcitonin has been proposed as an emerging concept in this clinical scenario. Measuring bCT levels in patients with thyroid nodules as a screening tool for MTC remains another controversial topic. It has been well established, though, that bCT levels raise the sensitivity of FNAB (Fine Needle Aspiration Biopsy) and correlate with disease progression both pre- and postoperatively in this situation. There have been numerous reports about extrathyroidal neoplasms that express CT. Pancreatic, laryngeal, and lung neuroendocrine neoplasms (NENs) are most frequently associated with hypercalcitoninemia, but CT production has also been described in various other neoplasms such as duodenal, esophageal, cutaneous, and paranasal NENs as well as prostate, colon, breast, and lung non-NENs. This review outlines the current biosynthetic and physiology concepts about CT and presents up-to-date information regarding the differential diagnosis of its elevation in various clinical situations.

A nomogram to predict lateral lymph node metastases in lateral neck in patients with medullary thyroid cancer

BACKGROUND

Medullary thyroid cancer (MTC) can only be cured by surgery, but the management of lateral lymph nodes is controversial, especially for patients with cN0+cN1a. To address this challenge, we developed a multivariate logistic regression model to predict lateral lymph node metastases (LNM).

METHODS

We retrospectively collected clinical data from 124 consecutive MTC patients who underwent initial surgery at our institution. The data of 82 patients (from 2010 to 2018) and 42 patients (from January 2019 to November 2019) were used as the training set for building the model and as the test set for validating the model, respectively.

RESULTS

In the training group, the multivariate analyses indicated that male and MTC patients with higher preoperative basal calcitonin levels were more likely to have lateral LNM (P = 0.007 and 0.005, respectively). Multifocal lesions and suspected lateral LNM in preoperative ultrasound (US) were independent risk factors (P = 0.032 and 0.002, respectively). The identified risk factors were incorporated into a multivariate logistic regression model to generate the nomogram, which showed good discrimination (C-index = 0.963, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.9286-0.9972). Our model was validated with an excellent result in the test set and even superior to the training set (C-index = 0.964, 95% CI: 0.9121-1.000).

CONCLUSION

Higher preoperative basal calcitonin level, male sex, multifocal lesions, and lateral lymph node involvement suspicion on US are risk factors for lateral LNM. Our model and nomogram will objectively and accurately predict lateral LNM in patients with MTC.

Risk factors for lateral cervical lymph node metastasis in medullary thyroid carcinoma

: To investigate risk factors of lateral cervical lymph node metastasis (LLNM) in patients with medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC). : Published studies regarding clinicopathological factors of LLNM in MTC were searched in PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, Cochrane library, Wanfang date and CNKI. Statistical analysis was performed using Stata 14.0 software. The mean and standard deviation from the sample size, range, median, and interquartile range was estimated. Odds ratio () or standard mean difference () with 95% confidence interval () of related factors were analyzed by fixed/random-effects models. Egger's test and Begg's test were applied to assess the publication bias of the literature. This study was registered with PROSPERO (CRD42021254955). : Fifteen studies involving 1424 patients were included in the analysis, among whom 543 cases had LLNM (38.13%). Meta-analysis revealed that an increased risk of LLNM was associated with male gender (1.64, 95%: 1.29-2.09, 4.06, 0.01), tumor diameter≥1cm (5.09, 95%: 2.43-10.67, 4.31, 0.01), multifocality (2.55, 95%: 1.79-3.61, 5.22, 0.01), capsule invasion (7.80, 95%: 4.84-12.55, 8.46, 0.01), extracapsular extension (9.46, : 5.66-15.81, 8.58, 0.01), cervical central lymph node metastasis (23.58, : 9.44-58.87, 6.77, 0.01), elevated preoperative calcitonin (1.17,95%: 0.67-1.67, 4.56, 0.01), spiculated margin on ultrasonography (4.32, 95%: 2.43-7.68, 4.99, 0.01), irregular shape on ultrasonography (6.81, : 3.64-12.73, 6.01, 0.01); while age ≥ 45 years (=1.22, 95%: 0.65-2.29, 0.62, >0.05), elevated preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (0.95, : -0.48-2.38, 1.30, >0.05) and calcification on ultrasonography (1.28, 95%: 0.75-2.18, 0.92, >0.05) were not associated with LLNM. : Male gender, tumor diameter≥multifocality, capsule invasion, extracapsular extension, central lymph node metastasis, elevated preoperative calcitonin, spiculated margin and irregular shape on ultrasonography are risk factors for LLNM in MTC, when these clinical and ultrasonic features are present, lateral neck lymph node dissection is recommended.

Prognostic Value of Preoperative Serum Calcitonin Levels for Predicting the Recurrence of Medullary Thyroid Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Serum calcitonin level is a useful biomarker for predicting primary tumor size, the extent of lymph node, and distant metastasis in patients with medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC). However, the association between preoperative serum calcitonin levels and long-term oncologic outcomes has not yet been established. The aims of this study were to determine the preoperative serum calcitonin cut-off value for predicting disease recurrence and to evaluate its prognostic value.

METHODS

Patients with MTC (n = 169) who were treated at a tertiary referral hospital in Korea between 1995 and 2019 were enrolled. To determine the preoperative serum calcitonin cut-off value for predicting structural recurrence, the maximum of the standardized log-rank statistics of all possible cut-off values was used. Multivariable Cox regression analysis was used to determine prognostic factors for disease-free survival.

RESULTS

The overall disease-free survival rate was 75.7%. The preoperative serum calcitonin cut-off value that predicted structural recurrence was 309 pg/mL. Preoperative serum calcitonin levels of > 309 pg/mL were the strongest independent predictor of disease recurrence (hazard ratio (HR) 5.33, 95% confidence interval (85% CI) 1.67-16.96; P = 0.005). Lateral lymph node metastasis (HR 3.70, 95% CI 1.61-8.51; P = 0.002) and positive resection margins (HR 3.57, 95% CI 1.44-8.88; P = 0.006) were also significant predictors of disease recurrence.

CONCLUSIONS

The preoperative serum calcitonin cut-off value is useful in clinical practice. It is also the best predictive factor for disease-free survival. Preoperative serum calcitonin levels may help determine the optimal postoperative follow-up strategy for patients with MTC.