Survival Benefit of Resection Surgery for Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma with Liver Metastases: A Propensity Score-Matched SEER Database Analysis

EPI-X4, a CXCR4 antagonist inhibits tumor growth in pancreatic cancer and lymphoma models

Endogenous peptide inhibitor for CXCR4 (EPI-X4) is a CXCR4 antagonist with potential for cancer therapy. It is a processed fragment of serum albumin from the hemofiltrate of dialysis patients. This study reports the efficacy of fifteen EPI-X4 derivatives in pancreatic cancer and lymphoma models. In vitro, the peptides were investigated for antiproliferation (cytotoxicity) by MTT assay. The mRNA expression for CXCR4 and CXCL12 was determined by RT-PCR, chip array and RNA sequencing. Chip array analysis yielded 634 genes associated with CXCR4/CXCL12 signaling. About 21% of these genes correlated with metastasis in the context of cell motility, proliferation, and survival. Expression levels of these genes were altered in pancreatic cancer (36%), lymphoma models (53%) and in patients' data (58%). EPI-X4 derivatives failed to inhibit cell proliferation due to low expression of CXCR4 in vitro, but inhibited tumor growth in the bioassays with significant efficacy. In the pancreatic cancer model, EPI-X4a, f and k inhibited mean tumor growth by > 50% and even caused complete remissions. In the lymphoma model, EPI-X4b, n and p inhibited mean tumor growth by > 70% and caused stable disease. Given the non-toxic and non-immunogenic properties of EPI-X4, these findings underscore its status as a promising therapy of pancreatic cancer and lymphoma and warrant further studies. SIMPLE SUMMARY: This study examined the value of chemokine receptor CXCR4 as an antineoplastic target for the endogenous peptide inhibitor of CXCR4 (EPI-X4), a 12-meric peptide derived from serum albumin. EPI-X4 inhibits CXCR4 interaction with its natural ligand, CXCL12 (SDF1). Therefore, malignancies (including pancreatic cancer and lymphoma) that depend on the CXCR4/CXCL12 pathway for progression can be targeted with EPI-X4. Of 634 genes that were linked to the CXCR4/CXCL12 pathway, 21% were associated with metastasis. In cultured human Suit2-007 pancreatic cancer cells, CXCR4 showed low to undetectable expression, which was why EPI-X4 did not inhibit pancreatic cancer cell proliferation. These findings were different in vivo, where CXCR4 was highly expressed and EPI-X4 inhibited tumor growth in rodents harboring pancreatic cancer or lymphoma. In the pancreatic cancer model, EPI-X4 derivatives a, f and k caused complete remissions, while in lymphomas EPI-X4 derivatives b, n and p caused stable disease.

Multiple primary tumors in patients with surgically treated pancreatic cancer: a SEER population-based study

Background

With improving survival after pancreatic cancer (PC) resection, questions emerge concerning risk and patterns of metachronous tumors. We aimed to determine the incidence of multiple primary cancers among postoperative PC survivors.

Methods

Patients undergoing PC surgery from 1975 to 2020 were identified in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) registry. Standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) compared observed-to-expected cancers based on U.S. population rates. Cumulative incidence of secondary tumors was analyzed with Cox regression and cancer-specific survival with Kaplan-Meier curves.

Results

Of 6,100 resected PC patients, 267 (4.38%) developed multiple cancers over 6.2 years median follow-up period. Subsequent malignancies showed a rising cumulative incidence extending beyond 5 years. Lung cancer was the predominant second primary in both males (n=36, SIR 1.87) and females (n=32, SIR 2.17). Prostate (n=33) and breast (n=25) cancers were also common. Risk varied by latency period and gender.

Conclusions

Postoperative PC patients face a measurable risk for secondary cancers. Enhanced long-term surveillance has the potential to improve early detection and outcomes in this survivor population. Our data provides real-world evidence which could help inform surveillance guidelines in the future.

Stratified Prognostic Comparison Between Stage IIB-IVA Cervical Adenocarcinoma and Squamous Cell Carcinoma: A SEER Database-Based Study

Objective

In current most observational studies, the prognosis of cervical adenocarcinoma is worse than that of cervical squamous cell carcinoma. However, most of the current studies are holistic and lack more detailed staging and grouping analysis of the prognosis of the two types of cervical tumors.

Patients and Methods

Inclusion from the SEER database of stage IIB-IVA cervical squamous cell carcinoma and cervical adenocarcinoma patients who did not undergo surgery from 2000 to 2019, underwent radiotherapy/chemotherapy/radiotherapy and chemotherapy/no treatment, and then propensity score matching (PSM) was performed to eliminate confounding factors between cervical squamous cell carcinoma and cervical adenocarcinoma patients with the same stage and treatment method. After matching the original data and propensity score, logarithmic rank test and chi square test were used to evaluate the survival benefits of different stages and treatment methods for patients using Kaplan Meier curve. The prognosis of two types of cervical tumors under the same treatment method was compared, and factors that may cause poor prognosis were analyzed, excluding confounding factors.

Results

A total of 10,057 patients were included in this study, and survival analysis showed a significant correlation between the treatment method used and patient prognosis (P<0.05). However, for patients who received radiotherapy or no special treatment, OS and CSS were only related to tumor stage and not to tumor type. In patients undergoing radiotherapy and chemotherapy, the OS and CSS of stage IIIA and IVA patients are not related to tumor pathological characteristics, while the OS of stage IIB patients is not related to tumor properties after PSM.

Conclusion

In patients undergoing radiotherapy and chemotherapy, the OS and CSS of stage IIIA and IVA patients were not related to histological type, while the OS of stage IIB patients was not related to histological type after PSM.

Influence of cancer-directed surgery on the prognosis of liver metastases from gastric cancer

There are controversial about the application of cancer-directed surgery (CDS) in patients with liver metastases from gastric cancer, with improved responses to chemotherapy and targeted treatments, the role of CDS in metastatic gastric cancer to the liver needs to be revisited. This study aimed to evaluate the effect of CDS on patients with liver metastases from gastric cancer. Data for patients with liver metastases from gastric cancer were extracted from the population-based Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. A total of 958 individuals were enrolled, 285 in the CDS group and 673 in the non-cancer guided surgery (Non-CDS) group. Following propensity score matching (PSM) analysis at 1:1 in the two groups,285 were included in the survival analysis for each group. Kaplan-Meier values and Cox proportional risk models were used to estimate the effect of CDS on patients' prognoses. Compared with the Non-CDS group, the CDS group significantly prolonged the median overall survival from 4 months (95% confidence interval [CI] 3-5) to 11 months (95% CI 8-12), p value < 0.001. Overall survival (OS) at 1 year was higher in the CDS group than in the Non-CDS group, at 44% (95 CI 38-50) and 25% (95 CI 20-30), respectively. OS at 3 years was also higher in the CDS group than in the Non-CDS group, at 24% (95 CI 19-29) and 6% (95 CI 3-9), respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that Non-CDS (hazard ratio[HR] = 2.26, 95% CI 1.88-2.72, p value < 0.001) was an adverse independent prognostic factor for patients. This study concludes that CDS prolonged survival in patients with gastric cancer with liver metastases. Due to the lack of information on the quality of life, biomarkers, targeted therapies, and immunotherapy in the SEER database, the observed improved survival rates following CDS of hepatic metastasis from gastric cancer requires prospective studies that take these factors into account to properly address the survival advantages and impact on quality of life of such a method.

Survival Benefit from Cancer-Directed Surgery for Metastatic Head and Neck Cancer

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to gather evidence for the survival benefit of cancer-directed surgery (CDS) in metastatic head and neck cancer (M1 HNC) and identify which patients will benefit most from CDS.

METHODS

Patients with M1 HNC were identified within the SEER database. According to whether received CDS, patients were divided into the CDS and non-CDS groups. The bias between the two groups was minimized using Propensity Score Matching (PSM), and the prognostic role of CDS was investigated using Kaplan-Meier analysis, log-rank test, and Cox proportional hazard models. The primary endpoint was overall survival (OS), and the secondary endpoint was cancer-specific survival (CSS).

RESULTS

A total of 3215 patients with M1 HNC were extracted, including 566 patients who received CDS that were 1:1 propensity score-matched with patients who did not receive CDS. In the matched dataset, the median OS and CSS in CDS groups were significantly higher than in non-CDS groups (OS: 19.0 vs. 9.0 months, p < 0.001; CSS: 21.0 vs. 9.0 months, p < 0.001). Meanwhile, multivariable Cox regression analysis also revealed that CDS was a favorable prognostic factor for both OS and CSS. Furthermore, subgroups of patients with M1 HNC (younger age, being married, grade I-II, oropharynx site, earlier T/N stage, radiotherapy) were inclined to benefit from CDS, while those patients who received chemotherapy failed to benefit from CDS.

CONCLUSIONS

This study indicated that CDS was associated with improved survival in M1 HNC, especially for those subpopulations that benefit more from CDS treatment.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

3 Laryngoscope, 134:1288-1298, 2024.

Resection of rectal metastasis after previous radical surgery for pancreatic cancer: Case report and literature review

RATIONALE

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is the main type of pancreatic cancer with a poor prognosis. Rectal metastasis after radical resection of PDAC is comparatively rare, and the understanding of such cases is currently not unified. This study presents the entire process of diagnosis and treatment of a patient with PDAC metastasized to the rectal. We propose the viewpoint of exploring potential biomarkers or establishing effective predictive models to assist in the clinical decision-making of such cases.

PATIENT CONCERNS

We present the case of a 71-year-old man with slight abdominal distension and dull pain. He underwent surgical treatment for a malignant tumor of the pancreatic body, which was discovered through computed tomography and magnetic resonance imaging examinations. Nine months after the pancreatectomy, a rectal mass was identified by digital rectal examination and diagnosed as a malignant lesion through a puncture biopsy. After a multidisciplinary joint consultation, the patient underwent radical surgery. It was later confirmed as rectal adenocarcinoma based on postoperative pathological results.

DIAGNOSIS

The pathological result after pancreatic surgery was PDAC, which had invaded the peripheral nerves and abdominal arteries. A diagnosis of rectal metastasis was determined ultimately by combining with the medical history and immunohistochemical staining results.

INTERVENTIONS AND OUTCOMES

Treatment of the PDAC included laparoscopic resection of the body and tail of the pancreas combined with splenectomy, and postoperative systemic chemotherapy. In addition, treatment of the rectal metastasis included laparoscopic radical resection and postoperative systemic chemotherapy. The patient's current living condition was good.

LESSONS

As a rare metastatic site of PDAC, rectal metastasis should be avoided because of misdiagnosis and missed diagnosis. Surgical resection is still an effective treatment strategy for localized pancreatic tumors and isolated metastases. Furthermore, the mining of potential biomarkers or the establishment of predictive models for pancreatic cancer and its metastases may contribute to better clinical decision-making in the future.

Defining oligometastatic pancreatic cancer: a systematic review and critical synthesis of consensus

BACKGROUND

Small retrospective series suggest that local consolidative treatment (LCT) may improve survival in oligometastatic pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). However, no uniform definition of oligometastatic disease (OMD) in PDAC exists; this impedes meaningful conclusions.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A systematic literature search using PubMed, Web of Science, and Cochrane CENTRAL registries for studies and protocols reporting on definitions and/or LCT of OMD in PDAC was performed. The primary endpoint was the definition of OMD. Levels of agreement were categorized as consensus (≥75% agreement between studies), fair agreement (50%-74%), and absent/poor agreement (<50%).

RESULTS

After screening of 5374 abstracts, the full text of 218 studies was assessed, of which 76 were included in the qualitative synthesis. The majority of studies were retrospective (n = 66, 87%), two were prospective studies and eight were study protocols. Studies investigated mostly liver (n = 38, 51%) and lung metastases (n = 15, 20%). Across studies, less than one-half (n = 32, 42%) reported a definition of OMD, while 44 (58%) did not. Involvement was limited to a single organ (consensus). Additional criteria for defining OMD were the number of lesions (consensus), metastatic site (poor agreement), metastatic size (poor agreement), treatment possibilities (poor agreement), and biomarker response (poor agreement). Liver OMD could involve three or fewer lesions (consensus) and synchronous disease (fair agreement), while lung metastases could involve two or fewer lesions and metachronous disease (consensus). The large majority of studies were at a high risk of bias or did not include any control groups.

CONCLUSION

Definitions of OMD were not used or varied widely between studies hampering across-study comparability and highlighting an unmet need for a consensus. The present study is part of a multistep process that aims to develop an interdisciplinary consensus on OMD in pancreatic cancer.

Ultra-sensitive CTC-based liquid biopsy for pancreatic cancer enabled by large blood volume analysis

The limited sensitivity of circulating tumor cell (CTC) detection in pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PDAC) stems from their extremely low concentration in the whole circulating blood, necessitating enhanced detection methodologies. This study sought to amplify assay-sensitivity by employing diagnostic leukapheresis (DLA) to screen large blood volumes. Sixty patients were subjected to DLA, with a median processed blood volume of ~ 2.8 L and approximately 5% of the resulting DLA-product analyzed using CellSearch (CS). Notably, DLA significantly increased CS-CTC detection to 44% in M0-patients and 74% in M1-patients, yielding a 60-fold increase in CS-CTC enumeration. DLA also provided sufficient CS-CTCs for genomic profiling, thereby delivering additional genomic information compared to tissue biopsy samples. DLA CS-CTCs exhibited a pronounced negative prognostic impact on overall survival (OS), evidenced by a reduction in OS from 28.6 to 8.5 months (univariate: p = 0.002; multivariable: p = 0.043). Additionally, a marked enhancement in sensitivity was achieved (by around 3-4-times) compared to peripheral blood (PB) samples, with positive predictive values for OS being preserved at around 90%. Prognostic relevance of CS-CTCs in PDAC was further validated in PB-samples from 228 PDAC patients, consolidating the established association between CTC-presence and reduced OS (8.5 vs. 19.0 months, p < 0.001). In conclusion, DLA-derived CS-CTCs may serve as a viable tool for identifying high-risk PDAC-patients and aiding the optimization of multimodal treatment strategies. Moreover, DLA enables comprehensive diagnostic profiling by providing ample CTC material, reinforcing its utility as a reliable liquid-biopsy approach. This high-volume liquid-biopsy strategy presents a potential pathway for enhancing clinical management in this malignancy.

Survival benefit of local consolidative therapy for patients with single-organ metastatic pancreatic cancer: a propensity score-matched cross-sectional study based on 17 registries

Background

The continuous exploration of oligometastatic disease has led to the remarkable achievements of local consolidative therapy (LCT) and favorable outcomes for this disease. Thus, this study investigated the potential benefits of LCT in patients with single-organ metastatic pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC).

Methods

Patients with single-organ metastatic PDAC diagnosed between 2010 - 2019 were identified from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Propensity score matching (PSM) was performed to minimize selection bias. Factors affecting survival were assessed by Cox regression analysis and Kaplan-Meier estimates.

Results

A total of 12900 patients were identified from the database, including 635 patients who received chemotherapy combined with LCT with a 1:1 PSM with patients who received only chemotherapy. Patients with single-organ metastatic PDAC who received chemotherapy in combination with LCT demonstrated extended median overall survival (OS) by approximately 57%, more than those who underwent chemotherapy alone (11 vs. 7 months, p < 0.001). Furthermore, the multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that patients that received LCT, younger age (< 65 years), smaller tumor size (< 50 mm), and lung metastasis (reference: liver) were favorable prognostic factors for patients with single-organ metastatic PDAC.

Conclusion

The OS of patients with single-organ metastatic pancreatic cancer who received LCT may be prolonged compared to those who received only chemotherapy. Nevertheless, additional prospective randomized clinical trials are required to support these findings.

How to use the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) data: research design and methodology

In the United States (US), the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program is the only comprehensive source of population-based information that includes stage of cancer at the time of diagnosis and patient survival data. This program aims to provide a database about cancer incidence and survival for studies of surveillance and the development of analytical and methodological tools in the cancer field. Currently, the SEER program covers approximately half of the total cancer patients in the US. A growing number of clinical studies have applied the SEER database in various aspects. However, the intrinsic features of the SEER database, such as the huge data volume and complexity of data types, have hindered its application. In this review, we provided a systematic overview of the commonly used methodologies and study designs for retrospective epidemiological research in order to illustrate the application of the SEER database. Therefore, the goal of this review is to assist researchers in the selection of appropriate methods and study designs for enhancing the robustness and reliability of clinical studies by mining the SEER database.

Development of machine learning prognostic models for overall survival of prostate cancer patients with lymph node-positive

Prostate cancer (PCa) patients with lymph node involvement (LNI) constitute a single-risk group with varied prognoses. Existing studies on this group have focused solely on those who underwent prostatectomy (RP), using statistical models to predict prognosis. This study aimed to develop an easily accessible individual survival prediction tool based on multiple machine learning (ML) algorithms to predict survival probability for PCa patients with LNI. A total of 3280 PCa patients with LNI were identified from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, covering the years 2000-2019. The primary endpoint was overall survival (OS). Gradient Boosting Survival Analysis (GBSA), Random Survival Forest (RSF), and Extra Survival Trees (EST) were used to develop prognosis models, which were compared to Cox regression. Discrimination was evaluated using the time-dependent areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (time-dependent AUC) and the concordance index (c-index). Calibration was assessed using the time-dependent Brier score (time-dependent BS) and the integrated Brier score (IBS). Moreover, the beeswarm summary plot in SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) was used to display the contribution of variables to the results. The 3280 patients were randomly split into a training cohort (n = 2624) and a validation cohort (n = 656). Nine variables including age at diagnosis, race, marital status, clinical T stage, prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level at diagnosis, Gleason Score (GS), number of positive lymph nodes, radical prostatectomy (RP), and radiotherapy (RT) were used to develop models. The mean time-dependent AUC for GBSA, RSF, and EST was 0.782 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.779-0.783), 0.779 (95% CI 0.776-0.780), and 0.781 (95% CI 0.778-0.782), respectively, which were higher than the Cox regression model of 0.770 (95% CI 0.769-0.773). Additionally, all models demonstrated almost similar calibration, with low IBS. A web-based prediction tool was developed using the best-performing GBSA, which is accessible at https://pengzihexjtu-pca-n1.streamlit.app/ . ML algorithms showed better performance compared with Cox regression and we developed a web-based tool, which may help to guide patient treatment and follow-up.

Currently Debated Topics on Surgical Treatment of Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma: A Narrative Review on Surgical Treatment of Borderline Resectable, Locally Advanced, and Synchronous or Metachronous Oligometastatic Tumor

BACKGROUND

Previously considered inoperable patients (borderline resectable, locally advanced, synchronous oligometastatic or metachronous pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PDAC)) are starting to become resectable thanks to advances in chemo/radiotherapy and the reduction in operative mortality.

METHODS

This narrative review presents a chosen literature selection, giving a picture of the current state of treatment of these patients.

RESULTS

Neoadjuvant therapy (NAT) is generally recognized as the treatment of choice before surgery. However, despite the increased efficacy, the best pathological response is still limited to 10.9-27.9% of patients. There are still limited data on the selection of possible NAT responders and how to diagnose non-responders early. Multidetector computed tomography has high sensitivity and low specificity in evaluating resectability after NAT, limiting the resection rate of resectable patients. Ca 19-9 and Positron emission tomography are giving promising results. The prediction of early recurrence after a radical resection of synchronous or metachronous metastatic PDAC, thus identifying patients with poor prognosis and saving them from a resection of little benefit, is still ongoing, although some promising data are available.

CONCLUSION

In conclusion, high-level evidence demonstrating the benefit of the surgical treatment of such patients is still lacking and should not be performed outside of high-volume centers with interdisciplinary teams of surgeons and oncologists.

Natural History of Stage IV Pancreatic Cancer. Identifying Survival Benchmarks for Curative-intent Resection in Patients With Synchronous Liver-only Metastases

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate long-term oncologic outcomes of patients with stage IV pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma and to identify survival benchmarks for comparison when considering resection in these patients.

BACKGROUND

Highly selected cohorts of patients with liver-oligometastatic pancreas cancer have reported prolonged survival after resection. The long-term impact of surgery in this setting remains undefined because of a lack of appropriate control groups.

METHODS

We identified patients with clinical stage IV pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma with synchronous liver metastases within our cancer registry. We estimated overall survival (OS) among various patient subgroups using the Kaplan-Meier method. To mitigate immortal time bias, we analyzed long-term outcomes of patients who survived beyond 12 months (landmark time) from diagnosis.

RESULTS

We identified 241 patients. Median OS was 7 months (95% CI, 5-9), both overall and for patients with liver-only metastasis (n=144). Ninety patients (38% of liver only; 40% of whole cohort) survived at least 12 months; those who received chemotherapy in this subgroup had a median OS of 26 months (95% CI, 17-39). Of these patients, those with resectable or borderline resectable primary tumors and resectable liver-only metastasis (n=9, 4%) had a median OS of 39 months (95% CI, 13-NR).

CONCLUSIONS

The 4% of our cohort that were potentially eligible for surgery experienced a prolonged survival compared with all-comers with stage IV disease. Oncologic outcomes of patients undergoing resection of metastatic pancreas cancer should be assessed in the context of the expected survival of patients potentially eligible for surgery and not relative to all patients with stage IV disease.

The role of local treatment including pancreatectomy for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma patients with isolated synchronous liver metastasis: Propensity score-matched analyses

BACKGROUND

In an era of more effective chemotherapy for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), the paradigm of local treatment is changing. However, the efficacy of local treatment in patients with isolated liver metastasis remains unclear. Therefore, we aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of pancreatectomy ± local treatment for metastasis (cytoreductive surgery) in PDAC patients with isolated synchronous liver metastasis.

METHODS

In total, 239 patients with isolated liver metastasis were extracted from Seoul National University Hospital (SNUH). For comparison, another 12 637 patients were extracted from the National Cancer Database (NCDB). Propensity score matching was performed to minimize confounding in both cohorts. Survival analyses stratified by the treatment delivered were performed using Kaplan-Meier estimates and log-rank tests.

RESULTS

In the SNUH cohort, the median (interquartile range) survival was 20.5 (13.0-42.0) months for patients who underwent cytoreductive surgery plus chemotherapy versus 12.0 (10.0-18.0) months for those who received chemotherapy alone (P < .001). With the NCDB cohort, the median (interquartile range) survival was 15.6 (8.9-31.2) months for patients who underwent cytoreductive surgery plus chemotherapy versus 7.4 (3.4-13.2) months for those who received chemotherapy alone (P < .001).

CONCLUSION

Patients with isolated synchronous liver metastasis should be considered for cytoreductive surgery in addition to effective chemotherapy.

Factors predicting recurrence after left‑sided pancreatectomy for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

Recurrence after resection is the main factor for poor survival. The relationship between clinicopathological factors and recurrence after curative distal pancreatectomy for PDAC has rarely been reported separately.

METHODS

Patients with PDAC after left‑sided pancreatectomy between May 2015 and August 2021 were retrospectively identified.

RESULTS

One hundred forty-one patients were included. Recurrence was observed in 97 patients (68.8%), while 44 (31.2%) patients had no recurrence. The median RFS was 8.8 months. The median OS was 24.9 months. Local recurrence was the predominant first detected recurrence site (n = 36, 37.1%), closely followed by liver recurrence (n = 35, 36.1%). Multiple recurrences occurred in 16 (16.5%) patients, peritoneal recurrence in 6 (6.2%) patients, and lung recurrence in 4 (4.1%) patients. High CA19-9 value after surgery, poor differentiation grade, and positive lymph nodes were found to be independently associated with recurrence. The patients receiving adjuvant chemotherapy had a decreased likelihood of recurrence. In the high CA19-9 value cohort, the median PFS and OS of the patients with or without chemotherapy were 8.0 VS. 5.7 months and 15.6 VS. 13.8 months, respectively. In the normal CA19-9 value cohort, there was no significant difference in PFS with or without chemotherapy (11.7 VS. 10.0 months, P = 0.147). However, OS was significantly longer in the patients with chemotherapy (26.4 VS. 13.8 months, P = 0.019).

CONCLUSIONS

Tumor biologic characteristics, such as T stage, tumor differentiation and positive lymph nodes, affecting CA19-9 value after surgery are associated with patterns and timing of recurrence. Adjuvant chemotherapy significantly reduced recurrence and improved survival. Chemotherapy is strongly recommended in patients with high CA199 after surgery.

Systemic Chemotherapy With or Without Hepatic Arterial Infusion Chemotherapy for Liver Metastases From Pancreatic Cancer: A Propensity Score Matching Analysis

BACKGROUND

The significance of systemic chemotherapy (SCT) combined with hepatic arterial infusion (HAI) chemotherapy in the treatment of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma with liver metastases (PACLM) remains unclear. Based on previous studies, this single-center propensity score matching (PSM) study aimed to explore the efficacy of SCT with or without HAI for PACLM.

PATIENT AND METHODS

The PSM method was used to screen 661 cases of PACLM who received SCT at Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute and Hospital from 2001 to 2020. According to the 1:6 ratio with PSM, 385 patients were divided into the SCT+HAI group (n = 55) and the SCT group (n = 330). After a median follow-up of 49 (range 7-153) months, overall survival (OS) and survival-related prognostic factors were analyzed.

RESULTS

The main baseline characteristics of the SCT+HAI group and the SCT alone group were matched appropriately (P > .05). After PSM, the median OS for patients in the 2 groups was 10.6 and 7.6 months, respectively (P = .02). Multivariate analysis revealed that peritoneal metastases (P = .03), CA199 ≥ 500U/mL (P = .03), and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) ≥ 250U/L (P = .03) were prognostic factors of poor survival, modern SCT plus HAI (P = .04) was a protective factor.

CONCLUSION

Our findings indicated that adequate cycles of SCT+HAI result in better survival than SCT alone in patients with PACLM. Patients with peritoneal metastases, markedly elevated CA19-9 and LDH have a poorer prognosis. The conclusion has yet to be validated in randomized controlled clinical trials.

A population-based study of synchronous distant metastases and prognosis in patients with PDAC at initial diagnosis

Objective

Cancer of the pancreas is a life-threatening condition and has a high distant metastasis (DM) rate of over 50% at diagnosis. Therefore, this study aimed to determine whether patterns of distant metastases correlated with prognosis in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) with metastatic spread, and build a novel nomogram capable of predicting the 6, 12, 18-month survival rate with high accuracy.

Methods

We analyzed data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database for cases of PDAC with DM. Kaplan-Meier analysis, log-rank tests and Cox-regression proportional hazards model were used to assess the impact of site and number of DM on the cancer-specific survival (CSS) and over survival (OS). A total of 2709 patients with DM were randomly assigned to the training group and validation group in a 7:3 ratio. A nomogram was constructed by the dependent risk factors which were determined by multivariate Cox-regression analysis. An assessment of the discrimination and ability of the prediction model was made by measuring AUC, C-index, calibration curve and decision curve analysis (DCA). In addition, we collected 98 patients with distant metastases at the time of initial diagnosis from Ningbo University Affiliated LiHuili Hospital to verify the efficacy of the prediction model.

Results

There was a highest incidence of liver metastases from pancreatic cancer (2387,74.36%), followed by lung (625,19.47%), bone (190,5.92%), and brain (8,0.25%). The prognosis of liver metastases differed from that of lung metastases, and the presence of multiple organ metastases was associated with poorer prognosis. According to univariate and multivariate Cox-regression analyses, seven factors (i.e., diagnosis age, tumor location, grade of tumor differentiation, T-stage, receipt of surgery, receipt of chemotherapy status, presence of multiple organ metastases) were included in our nomogram model. In internal and external validation, the ROC curves, C-index, calibration curves and DCA were calculated, which confirmed that this nomogram can precisely predict prognosis of PDAC with DM.

Conclusion

Metastatic PDAC patients with liver metastases tended to have a worse prognosis than those with lung metastases. The number of DM had significant effect on the overall survival rate of metastatic PDAC. This study had a high prediction accuracy, which was helpful clinicians to analyze the prognosis of PDAC with DM and implement individualized diagnosis and treatment.

Risk factors, prognostic predictors, and nomograms for pancreatic cancer patients with initially diagnosed synchronous liver metastasis

BACKGROUND

Liver metastasis (LM) remains a major cause of cancer-related death in patients with pancreatic cancer (PC) and is associated with a poor prognosis. Therefore, identifying the risk and prognostic factors in PC patients with LM (PCLM) is essential as it may aid in providing timely medical interventions to improve the prognosis of these patients. However, there are limited data on risk and prognostic factors in PCLM patients.

AIM

To investigate the risk and prognostic factors of PCLM and develop corresponding diagnostic and prognostic nomograms.

METHODS

Patients with primary PC diagnosed between 2010 and 2015 were reviewed from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and Results Database. Risk factors were identified using multivariate logistic regression analysis to develop the diagnostic mode. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator Cox regression model was used to determine the prognostic factors needed to develop the prognostic model. The performance of the two nomogram models was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration plots, decision curve analysis (DCA), and risk subgroup classification. The Kaplan-Meier method with a log-rank test was used for survival analysis.

RESULTS

We enrolled 33459 patients with PC in this study. Of them, 11458 (34.2%) patients had LM at initial diagnosis. Age at diagnosis, primary site, lymph node metastasis, pathological type, tumor size, and pathological grade were identified as independent risk factors for LM in patients with PC. Age > 70 years, adenocarcinoma, poor or anaplastic differentiation, lung metastases, no surgery, and no chemotherapy were the independently associated risk factors for poor prognosis in patients with PCLM. The C- index of diagnostic and prognostic nomograms were 0.731 and 0.753, respectively. The two nomograms could accurately predict the occurrence and prognosis of patients with PCLM based on the observed analysis results of ROC curves, calibration plots, and DCA curves. The prognostic nomogram could stratify patients into prognostic groups and perform well in internal validation.

CONCLUSION

Our study identified the risk and prognostic factors in patients with PCLM and developed corresponding diagnostic and prognostic nomograms to help clinicians in subsequent clinical evaluation and intervention. External validation is required to confirm these results.

Prognostic Factors After Pancreatectomy for Pancreatic Cancer Initially Metastatic to the Liver

Background

Resection of initially oligometastatic pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) following response to first-line chemotherapy is controversial. We herein updated a previous case series to investigate the oncologic outcomes and preoperative factors that could drive the decision-making process.

Methods

This retrospective analysis was limited to patients with liver-only synchronous metastases who experienced complete regression of the metastatic component and underwent pancreatectomy between October 2008 and July 2020 at two high-volume institutions. Clinical-pathologic variables were captured, and inflammation-based prognostic scores were calculated. Recurrence and survival analyses were performed using standard statistical methods.

Results

Overall, 52 patients were included. FOLFIRINOX was the most employed chemotherapy regimen (63.5%). Post-treatment tumor size, serum carbohydrate antigen (CA) 19-9 and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) were significantly decreased relative to baseline evaluation. The median time from diagnosis to pancreatectomy was 10.2 months, while the median time from chemotherapy completion to pancreatectomy was 2 months. Major postoperative complications occurred in 26.9% of patients, while postoperative mortality was nil. The median disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) from pancreatectomy were 16.5 and 23.0 months, respectively, and the median OS from diagnosis was 37.2 months. At multivariable analysis, vascular resection, operative time, prognostic nutrition index (PNI) and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) were associated with OS. Operative time, platelet × neutrophil/lymphocyte count (SII), and PNI were associated with DFS.

Conclusions

We confirm promising outcomes of selected patients who underwent pancreatectomy following downstaging of liver metastases. The absence of vascular involvement of the primary tumor, good nutritional status, and low inflammatory index scores could be useful to select candidates for resection.

[Surgical treatment of pancreatic cancer-What is new?]

The incidence of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma is continuously increasing and will become the second leading cause of cancer-related death in Europe and the USA by 2030. With a 5-year overall survival rate of less than 10% the prognosis remains poor. So far surgical tumor resection remains the only curative treatment option, which is now partially supported by multimodal neoadjuvant and adjuvant therapy concepts. Due to the aggressive tumor biology patients with advanced pancreatic cancer in particular can profit from these multimodal therapy concepts. Additionally, in recent years surgical treatment was optimized, the criteria for tumor resectablity were defined and minimally invasive surgery was widely introduced. This review article summarizes the newest developments and the new German S3 guidelines concerning surgery of pancreatic cancer.