Radiomics-Based Deep Learning Prediction of Overall Survival in Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer Using Contrast-Enhanced Computed Tomography

Magnetic Resonance Deep Learning Radiomic Model Based on Distinct Metastatic Vascular Patterns for Evaluating Recurrence-Free Survival in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The metastatic vascular patterns of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are mainly microvascular invasion (MVI) and vessels encapsulating tumor clusters (VETC). However, most existing VETC-related radiological studies still focus on the prediction of VETC status.

PURPOSE

This study aimed to build and compare VETC-MVI related models (clinical, radiomics, and deep learning) associated with recurrence-free survival of HCC patients.

STUDY TYPE

Retrospective.

POPULATION

398 HCC patients (349 male, 49 female; median age 51.7 years, and age range: 22-80 years) who underwent resection from five hospitals in China. The patients were randomly divided into training cohort (n = 358) and test cohort (n = 40).

FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE

3-T, pre-contrast T1-weighted imaging spoiled gradient recalled echo (T1WI SPGR), T2-weighted imaging fast spin echo (T2WI FSE), and contrast enhanced arterial phase (AP), delay phase (DP).

ASSESSMENT

Two radiologists performed the segmentation of HCC on T1WI, T2WI, AP, and DP images, from which radiomic features were extracted. The RFS related clinical characteristics (VETC, MVI, Barcelona stage, tumor maximum diameter, and alpha fetoprotein) and radiomic features were used to build the clinical model, clinical-radiomic (CR) nomogram, deep learning model. The follow-up process was done 1 month after resection, and every 3 months subsequently. The RFS was defined as the date of resection to the date of recurrence confirmed by radiology or the last follow-up. Patients were followed up until December 31, 2022.

STATISTICAL TESTS

Univariate COX regression, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO), Kaplan-Meier curves, log-rank test, C-index, and area under the curve (AUC). P < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

RESULTS

The C-index of deep learning model achieved 0.830 in test cohort compared with CR nomogram (0.731), radiomic signature (0.707), and clinical model (0.702). The average RFS of the overall patients was 26.77 months (range 1-80 months).

DATA CONCLUSION

MR deep learning model based on VETC and MVI provides a potential tool for survival assessment.

EVIDENCE LEVEL

3 TECHNICAL EFFICACY: Stage 3.

Preoperatively predicting survival outcome for clinical stage IA pure-solid non-small cell lung cancer by radiomics-based machine learning

OBJECTIVE

Clinical stage IA non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) showing a pure-solid appearance on computed tomography is associated with a worse prognosis. This study aimed to develop and validate machine-learning models using preoperative clinical and radiomic features to predict overall survival (OS) in clinical stage IA pure-solid NSCLC.

METHODS

Patients who underwent lung resection for NSCLC between January 2012 and December 2020 were reviewed. The radiomic features were extracted from the intratumoral and peritumoral regions on computed tomography. The machine-learning models were developed using random survival forest and eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) algorithms, whereas the Cox regression model was set as a benchmark. Model performance was assessed using the integrated time-dependent area under the curve (iAUC) and validated by 5-fold cross-validation.

RESULTS

In total, 642 patients with clinical stage IA pure-solid NSCLC were included. Among 3748 radiomic and 34 preoperative clinical features, 42 features were selected. Both machine-learning models outperformed the Cox regression model (iAUC, 0.753; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.629-0.829). The XGBoost model showed a better performance (iAUC, 0.832; 95% CI, 0.779-0.880) than the random survival forest model (iAUC, 0.795; 95% CI, 0.734-0.856). The XGBoost model showed an excellent survival stratification performance with a significant OS difference among the low-risk (5-year OS, 100.0%), moderate low-risk (5-year OS, 88.5%), moderate high-risk (5-year OS, 75.6%), and high-risk (5-year OS, 41.7%) groups (P < .0001).

CONCLUSIONS

A radiomics-based machine-learning model can preoperatively and accurately predict OS and improve survival stratification in clinical stage IA pure-solid NSCLC.

Application of radiomics in diagnosis and treatment of lung cancer

Radiomics has become a research field that involves the process of converting standard nursing images into quantitative image data, which can be combined with other data sources and subsequently analyzed using traditional biostatistics or artificial intelligence (Al) methods. Due to the capture of biological and pathophysiological information by radiomics features, these quantitative radiomics features have been proven to provide fast and accurate non-invasive biomarkers for lung cancer risk prediction, diagnosis, prognosis, treatment response monitoring, and tumor biology. In this review, radiomics has been emphasized and discussed in lung cancer research, including advantages, challenges, and drawbacks.

A deep learning algorithm with good prediction efficacy for cancer-specific survival in osteosarcoma: A retrospective study

OBJECTIVE

Successful prognosis is crucial for the management and treatment of osteosarcoma (OSC). This study aimed to predict the cancer-specific survival rate in patients with OSC using deep learning algorithms and classical Cox proportional hazard models to provide data to support individualized treatment of patients with OSC.

METHODS

Data on patients diagnosed with OSC from 2004 to 2017 were obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. The study sample was then divided randomly into a training cohort and a validation cohort in the proportion of 7:3. The DeepSurv algorithm and the Cox proportional hazard model were chosen to construct prognostic models for patients with OSC. The prediction efficacy of the model was estimated using the concordance index (C-index), the integrated Brier score (IBS), the root mean square error (RMSE), and the mean absolute error (SME).

RESULTS

A total of 3218 patients were randomized into training and validation groups (n = 2252 and 966, respectively). Both DeepSurv and Cox models had better efficacy in predicting cancer-specific survival (CSS) in OSC patients (C-index >0.74). In the validation of other metrics, DeepSurv did not have superiority over the Cox model in predicting survival in OSC patients.

CONCLUSIONS

After validation, our CSS prediction model for patients with OSC based on the DeepSurv algorithm demonstrated satisfactory prediction efficacy and provided a convenient webpage calculator.

Association between Contrast-Enhanced Computed Tomography Radiomic Features, Genomic Alterations and Prognosis in Advanced Lung Adenocarcinoma Patients

Non-invasive methods to assess mutational status, as well as novel prognostic biomarkers, are warranted to foster therapy personalization of patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). This study investigated the association of contrast-enhanced Computed Tomography (CT) radiomic features of lung adenocarcinoma lesions, alone or integrated with clinical parameters, with tumor mutational status (EGFR, KRAS, ALK alterations) and Overall Survival (OS). In total, 261 retrospective and 48 prospective patients were enrolled. A Radiomic Score (RS) was created with LASSO-Logistic regression models to predict mutational status. Radiomic, clinical and clinical-radiomic models were trained on retrospective data and tested (Area Under the Curve, AUC) on prospective data. OS prediction models were trained and tested on retrospective data with internal cross-validation (C-index). RS significantly predicted each alteration at training (radiomic and clinical-radiomic AUC 0.95-0.98); validation performance was good for EGFR (AUC 0.86), moderate for KRAS and ALK (AUC 0.61-0.65). RS was also associated with OS at univariate and multivariable analysis, in the latter with stage and type of treatment. The validation C-index was 0.63, 0.79, and 0.80 for clinical, radiomic, and clinical-radiomic models. The study supports the potential role of CT radiomics for non-invasive identification of gene alterations and prognosis prediction in patients with advanced lung adenocarcinoma, to be confirmed with independent studies.

Predicting overall survival in chordoma patients using machine learning models: a web-app application

OBJECTIVE

The goal of this study was to evaluate the efficacy of machine learning (ML) techniques in predicting survival for chordoma patients in comparison with the standard Cox proportional hazards (CoxPH) model.

METHODS

Using a Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database of consecutive newly diagnosed chordoma cases between January 2000 and December 2018, we created and validated three ML survival models as well as a traditional CoxPH model in this population-based cohort study. Randomly, the dataset was divided into training and validation datasets. Tuning hyperparameters on the training dataset involved a 1000-iteration random search with fivefold cross-validation. Concordance index (C-index), Brier score, and integrated Brier score were used to evaluate the performance of the model. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and area under the ROC curves (AUC) were used to assess the reliability of the models by predicting 5- and 10-year survival probabilities.

RESULTS

A total of 724 chordoma patients were divided into training (n = 508) and validation (n = 216) cohorts. Cox regression identified nine significant prognostic factors (p < 0.05). ML models showed superior performance over CoxPH model, with DeepSurv having the highest C-index (0.795) and the best discrimination for 5- and 10-year survival (AUC 0.84 and 0.88). Calibration curves revealed strong correlation between DeepSurv predictions and actual survival. Risk stratification by DeepSurv model effectively discriminated high- and low-risk groups (p < 0.01). The optimized DeepSurv model was implemented into a web application for clinical use that can be found at https://hust-chengp-ml-chordoma-app-19rjyr.streamlitapp.com/ .

CONCLUSION

ML algorithms based on time-to-event results are effective in chordoma prediction, with DeepSurv having the best discrimination performance and calibration.

Artificial Intelligence in Lung Cancer Screening: The Future Is Now

Lung cancer has one of the worst morbidity and fatality rates of any malignant tumour. Most lung cancers are discovered in the middle and late stages of the disease, when treatment choices are limited, and patients' survival rate is low. The aim of lung cancer screening is the identification of lung malignancies in the early stage of the disease, when more options for effective treatments are available, to improve the patients' outcomes. The desire to improve the efficacy and efficiency of clinical care continues to drive multiple innovations into practice for better patient management, and in this context, artificial intelligence (AI) plays a key role. AI may have a role in each process of the lung cancer screening workflow. First, in the acquisition of low-dose computed tomography for screening programs, AI-based reconstruction allows a further dose reduction, while still maintaining an optimal image quality. AI can help the personalization of screening programs through risk stratification based on the collection and analysis of a huge amount of imaging and clinical data. A computer-aided detection (CAD) system provides automatic detection of potential lung nodules with high sensitivity, working as a concurrent or second reader and reducing the time needed for image interpretation. Once a nodule has been detected, it should be characterized as benign or malignant. Two AI-based approaches are available to perform this task: the first one is represented by automatic segmentation with a consequent assessment of the lesion size, volume, and densitometric features; the second consists of segmentation first, followed by radiomic features extraction to characterize the whole abnormalities providing the so-called "virtual biopsy". This narrative review aims to provide an overview of all possible AI applications in lung cancer screening.

SwarmDeepSurv: swarm intelligence advances deep survival network for prognostic radiomics signatures in four solid cancers

Survival models exist to study relationships between biomarkers and treatment effects. Deep learning-powered survival models supersede the classical Cox proportional hazards (CoxPH) model, but substantial performance drops were observed on high-dimensional features because of irrelevant/redundant information. To fill this gap, we proposed SwarmDeepSurv by integrating swarm intelligence algorithms with the deep survival model. Furthermore, four objective functions were designed to optimize prognostic prediction while regularizing selected feature numbers. When testing on multicenter sets (n = 1,058) of four different cancer types, SwarmDeepSurv was less prone to overfitting and achieved optimal patient risk stratification compared with popular survival modeling algorithms. Strikingly, SwarmDeepSurv selected different features compared with classical feature selection algorithms, including the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO), with nearly no feature overlapping across these models. Taken together, SwarmDeepSurv offers an alternative approach to model relationships between radiomics features and survival endpoints, which can further extend to study other input data types including genomics.

Identification of Origin for Spinal Metastases from MR Images: Comparison Between Radiomics and Deep Learning Methods

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether spinal metastatic lesions originated from lung cancer or from other cancers based on spinal contrast-enhanced T1 (CET1) magnetic resonance (MR) images analyzed using radiomics (RAD) and deep learning (DL) methods.

METHODS

We recruited and retrospectively reviewed 173 patients diagnosed with spinal metastases at two different centers between July 2018 and June 2021. Of these, 68 involved lung cancer and 105 were other types of cancer. They were assigned to an internal cohort of 149 patients, randomly divided into a training set and a validation set, and to an external cohort of 24 patients. All patients underwent CET1-MR imaging before surgery or biopsy. We developed two predictive algorithms: a DL model and a RAD model. We compared performance between models, and against human radiological assessment, via accuracy (ACC) and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses. Furthermore, we analyzed the correlation between RAD and DL features.

RESULTS

The DL model outperformed RAD model across the board, with ACC/ area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) values of 0.93/0.94 (DL) versus 0.84/0.93 (RAD) when applied to the training set from the internal cohort, 0.74/0.76 versus 0.72/0.75 when applied to the validation set, and 0.72/0.76 versus 0.69/0.72 when applied to the external test cohort. For the validation set, it also outperformed expert radiological assessment (ACC: 0.65, AUC: 0.68). We only found weak correlations between DL and RAD features.

CONCLUSION

The DL algorithm successfully identified the origin of spinal metastases from pre-operative CET1-MR images, outperforming both RAD models and expert assessment by trained radiologists.

Integration of Radiomics and Tumor Biomarkers in Interpretable Machine Learning Models

Despite the unprecedented performance of deep neural networks (DNNs) in computer vision, their clinical application in the diagnosis and prognosis of cancer using medical imaging has been limited. One of the critical challenges for integrating diagnostic DNNs into radiological and oncological applications is their lack of interpretability, preventing clinicians from understanding the model predictions. Therefore, we studied and propose the integration of expert-derived radiomics and DNN-predicted biomarkers in interpretable classifiers, which we refer to as ConRad, for computerized tomography (CT) scans of lung cancer. Importantly, the tumor biomarkers can be predicted from a concept bottleneck model (CBM) such that once trained, our ConRad models do not require labor-intensive and time-consuming biomarkers. In our evaluation and practical application, the only input to ConRad is a segmented CT scan. The proposed model was compared to convolutional neural networks (CNNs) which act as a black box classifier. We further investigated and evaluated all combinations of radiomics, predicted biomarkers and CNN features in five different classifiers. We found the ConRad models using nonlinear SVM and the logistic regression with the Lasso outperformed the others in five-fold cross-validation, with the interpretability of ConRad being its primary advantage. The Lasso is used for feature selection, which substantially reduces the number of nonzero weights while increasing the accuracy. Overall, the proposed ConRad model combines CBM-derived biomarkers and radiomics features in an interpretable ML model which demonstrates excellent performance for lung nodule malignancy classification.

Artificial Intelligence in Oncology: A Topical Collection in 2022

Artificial intelligence (AI) is considered one of the core technologies of the Fourth Industrial Revolution that is currently taking place [...].

Artificial Neural Networks in Lung Cancer Research: A Narrative Review

BACKGROUND

Artificial neural networks are statistical methods that mimic complex neural connections, simulating the learning dynamics of the human brain. They play a fundamental role in clinical decision-making, although their success depends on good integration with clinical protocols. When applied to lung cancer research, artificial neural networks do not aim to be biologically realistic, but rather to provide efficient models for nonlinear regression or classification.

METHODS

We conducted a comprehensive search of EMBASE (via Ovid), MEDLINE (via PubMed), Cochrane CENTRAL, and Google Scholar from April 2018 to December 2022, using a combination of keywords and related terms for "artificial neural network", "lung cancer", "non-small cell lung cancer", "diagnosis", and "treatment".

RESULTS

Artificial neural networks have shown excellent aptitude in learning the relationships between the input/output mapping from a given dataset, without any prior information or assumptions about the statistical distribution of the data. They can simultaneously process numerous variables, managing complexity; hence, they have found broad application in tasks requiring attention.

CONCLUSIONS

Lung cancer is the most common and lethal form of tumor, with limited diagnostic and treatment methods. The advances in tailored medicine have led to the development of novel tools for diagnosis and treatment. Artificial neural networks can provide valuable support for both basic research and clinical decision-making. Therefore, tight cooperation among surgeons, oncologists, and biostatisticians appears mandatory.

Prediction of response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy in advanced gastric cancer: A radiomics nomogram analysis based on CT images and clinicopathological features

PURPOSE

To investigate the feasibility of predicting the early response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) in advanced gastric cancer (AGC) based on CT radiomics nomogram before treatment.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The clinicopathological data and pre-treatment portal venous phase CT images of 180 consecutive AGC patients who received 3 cycles of NAC are retrospectively analyzed. They are randomly divided into training set (n = 120) and validation set (n = 60) and are categorized into effective group (n = 83) and ineffective group (n = 97) according to RECIST 1.1. Clinicopathological features are compared between two groups using Chi-Squared test. CT radiomic features of region of interest (ROI) for gastric tumors are extracted, filtered and minimized to select optimal features and develop radiomics model to predict the response to NAC using Pyradiomics software. Furthermore, a nomogram model is constructed with the radiomic and clinicopathological features via logistic regression analysis. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis is used to evaluate model performance. Additionally, the calibration curve is used to test the agreement between prediction probability of the nomogram and actual clinical findings, and the decision curve analysis (DCA) is performed to assess the clinical usage of the nomogram model.

RESULTS

Four optimal radiomic features are selected to construct the radiomics model with the areas under ROC curve (AUC) of 0.754 and 0.743, sensitivity of 0.732 and 0.750, specificity of 0.729 and 0.708 in the training set and validation set, respectively. The nomogram model combining the radiomic feature with 2 clinicopathological features (Lauren type and clinical stage) results in AUCs of 0.841 and 0.838, sensitivity of 0.847 and 0.804, specificity of 0.771 and 0.794 in the training set and validation set, respectively. The calibration curve generates a concordance index of 0.912 indicating good agreement of the prediction results between the nomogram model and the actual clinical observation results. DCA shows that patients can receive higher net benefits within the threshold probability range from 0 to 1.0 in the nomogram model than in the radiomics model.

CONCLUSION

CT radiomics nomogram is a potential useful tool to assist predicting the early response to NAC for AGC patients before treatment.

A CT-based transfer learning approach to predict NSCLC recurrence: The added-value of peritumoral region

Non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) represents 85% of all new lung cancer diagnoses and presents a high recurrence rate after surgery. Thus, an accurate prediction of recurrence risk in NSCLC patients at diagnosis could be essential to designate risk patients to more aggressive medical treatments. In this manuscript, we apply a transfer learning approach to predict recurrence in NSCLC patients, exploiting only data acquired during its screening phase. Particularly, we used a public radiogenomic dataset of NSCLC patients having a primary tumor CT image and clinical information. Starting from the CT slice containing the tumor with maximum area, we considered three different dilatation sizes to identify three Regions of Interest (ROIs): CROP (without dilation), CROP 10 and CROP 20. Then, from each ROI, we extracted radiomic features by means of different pre-trained CNNs. The latter have been combined with clinical information; thus, we trained a Support Vector Machine classifier to predict the NSCLC recurrence. The classification performances of the devised models were finally evaluated on both the hold-out training and hold-out test sets, in which the original sample has been previously divided. The experimental results showed that the model obtained analyzing CROP 20 images, which are the ROIs containing more peritumoral area, achieved the best performances on both the hold-out training set, with an AUC of 0.73, an Accuracy of 0.61, a Sensitivity of 0.63, and a Specificity of 0.60, and on the hold-out test set, with an AUC value of 0.83, an Accuracy value of 0.79, a Sensitivity value of 0.80, and a Specificity value of 0.78. The proposed model represents a promising procedure for early predicting recurrence risk in NSCLC patients.