Complex Data Imputation by Auto-Encoders and Convolutional Neural Networks—A Case Study on Genome Gap-Filling

A method for comparing multiple imputation techniques: A case study on the U.S. national COVID cohort collaborative

Healthcare datasets obtained from Electronic Health Records have proven to be extremely useful for assessing associations between patients' predictors and outcomes of interest. However, these datasets often suffer from missing values in a high proportion of cases, whose removal may introduce severe bias. Several multiple imputation algorithms have been proposed to attempt to recover the missing information under an assumed missingness mechanism. Each algorithm presents strengths and weaknesses, and there is currently no consensus on which multiple imputation algorithm works best in a given scenario. Furthermore, the selection of each algorithm's parameters and data-related modeling choices are also both crucial and challenging. In this paper we propose a novel framework to numerically evaluate strategies for handling missing data in the context of statistical analysis, with a particular focus on multiple imputation techniques. We demonstrate the feasibility of our approach on a large cohort of type-2 diabetes patients provided by the National COVID Cohort Collaborative (N3C) Enclave, where we explored the influence of various patient characteristics on outcomes related to COVID-19. Our analysis included classic multiple imputation techniques as well as simple complete-case Inverse Probability Weighted models. Extensive experiments show that our approach can effectively highlight the most promising and performant missing-data handling strategy for our case study. Moreover, our methodology allowed a better understanding of the behavior of the different models and of how it changed as we modified their parameters. Our method is general and can be applied to different research fields and on datasets containing heterogeneous types.

Boosting tissue-specific prediction of active cis-regulatory regions through deep learning and Bayesian optimization techniques

BACKGROUND

Cis-regulatory regions (CRRs) are non-coding regions of the DNA that fine control the spatio-temporal pattern of transcription; they are involved in a wide range of pivotal processes such as the development of specific cell-lines/tissues and the dynamic cell response to physiological stimuli. Recent studies showed that genetic variants occurring in CRRs are strongly correlated with pathogenicity or deleteriousness. Considering the central role of CRRs in the regulation of physiological and pathological conditions, the correct identification of CRRs and of their tissue-specific activity status through Machine Learning methods plays a major role in dissecting the impact of genetic variants on human diseases. Unfortunately, the problem is still open, though some promising results have been already reported by (deep) machine-learning based methods that predict active promoters and enhancers in specific tissues or cell lines by encoding epigenetic or spectral features directly extracted from DNA sequences.

RESULTS

We present the experiments we performed to compare two Deep Neural Networks, a Feed-Forward Neural Network model working on epigenomic features, and a Convolutional Neural Network model working only on genomic sequence, targeted to the identification of enhancer- and promoter-activity in specific cell lines. While performing experiments to understand how the experimental setup influences the prediction performance of the methods, we particularly focused on (1) automatic model selection performed by Bayesian optimization and (2) exploring different data rebalancing setups for reducing negative unbalancing effects.

CONCLUSIONS

Results show that (1) automatic model selection by Bayesian optimization improves the quality of the learner; (2) data rebalancing considerably impacts the prediction performance of the models; test set rebalancing may provide over-optimistic results, and should therefore be cautiously applied; (3) despite working on sequence data, convolutional models obtain performance close to those of feed forward models working on epigenomic information, which suggests that also sequence data carries informative content for CRR-activity prediction. We therefore suggest combining both models/data types in future works.

Explainable Machine Learning for Early Assessment of COVID-19 Risk Prediction in Emergency Departments

Between January and October of 2020, the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) virus has infected more than 34 million persons in a worldwide pandemic leading to over one million deaths worldwide (data from the Johns Hopkins University). Since the virus begun to spread, emergency departments were busy with COVID-19 patients for whom a quick decision regarding in- or outpatient care was required. The virus can cause characteristic abnormalities in chest radiographs (CXR), but, due to the low sensitivity of CXR, additional variables and criteria are needed to accurately predict risk. Here, we describe a computerized system primarily aimed at extracting the most relevant radiological, clinical, and laboratory variables for improving patient risk prediction, and secondarily at presenting an explainable machine learning system, which may provide simple decision criteria to be used by clinicians as a support for assessing patient risk. To achieve robust and reliable variable selection, Boruta and Random Forest (RF) are combined in a 10-fold cross-validation scheme to produce a variable importance estimate not biased by the presence of surrogates. The most important variables are then selected to train a RF classifier, whose rules may be extracted, simplified, and pruned to finally build an associative tree, particularly appealing for its simplicity. Results show that the radiological score automatically computed through a neural network is highly correlated with the score computed by radiologists, and that laboratory variables, together with the number of comorbidities, aid risk prediction. The prediction performance of our approach was compared to that that of generalized linear models and shown to be effective and robust. The proposed machine learning-based computational system can be easily deployed and used in emergency departments for rapid and accurate risk prediction in COVID-19 patients.