The Preoperative Predictive Factors for Pathological T3a Upstaging of Clinical T1 Renal Cell Carcinoma

Construction of a Model for Predicting the Risk of pT3 Based on Perioperative Characteristics in cT1 Renal Cell Carcinoma: A Retrospective Study at a Single Institution

INTRODUCTION

This study explored the predictors of upstaging and multiple sites of extension, and constructed a predictive model based on perioperative characteristics to calculate the risk of upstaging of cT1 renal cell carcinoma to pT3.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed 1012 patients diagnosed with cT1 renal cell carcinoma who underwent surgical treatment at the Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University between June 2016 and August 2021. The continuous and categorical variables were analyzed using the Mann-Whitney U test and Chi-square test, respectively. After randomly dividing patients into a training set and an internal validation set with a ratio of 7:3, univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to explore the predictors of upstaging and multiple sites of extension. A nomogram model was established based on the predictors of upstaging and was validated.

RESULTS

Ninety-one cases (8.99%) of renal cell carcinoma were upstaged to pT3. In the training set, multivariate logistic regression identified the following predictors of upstaging: maximum tumor diameter, hilus involvement, tumor necrosis, tumor edge irregularity, symptoms, smoking, and platelet-lymphocyte ratio. A nomogram model was established based on the predictors. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.810 in the training set, and 0.804 in the validation set. A 10-fold internal cross-validation conducted 200 times showed that the mean area under the curve was 0.797. The calibration curve and decision curve analysis suggested that the nomogram had robust clinical predictive power. Analyses showed higher neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio and tumor necrosis were associated with multiple sites of extrarenal extension in patients with pT3a renal cell carcinoma.

CONCLUSIONS

We identified 7 predictors of upstaging to pT3 and 2 predictors of multiple sites of extension. A nomogram model was constructed with satisfactory accuracy for predicting upstaging to pT3.

Factors associated with pathological tumor stage and T3a upstage in clinical T1-2 renal cell carcinoma

INTRODUCTION

Considering the oncological outcomes, understanding the preoperative factors associated with and predicting advanced stage and T3a upstage will help in risk assessment and selection of the right treatment.

MATERIAL AND METHOD

Patients with postoperative pathology of Renal Cell Carcinoma (RCC) and stage T1-2 N0M0 were included in the study. Demographic and pathological characteristics of the patients, Neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and De Ritis- the ratio of aspartate aminotransferase (AST) and alanine aminotransferase (ALT) were recorded. Patients were classified according to T stage (T1-2 vs T3-4) and T3a upstage (T3a upstaged vs non-T3a upstaged).

RESULTS

A total of 289 patients participated in the study when inclusion and exclusion criteria were applied. No difference was found between the groups in terms of age, gender, body mass index, laterality, ABO blood group, Rh positivity and comorbidities. According to multivariate analysis, PLR, AST/ALT, Fuhrman grade, open radical nephrectomy (RN) and Clear Cell pathological subtype were found to be significant-independent factors in predicting advanced stage (T3-4) and T3a upstage (P<0.05).

CONCLUSION

It was found that higher PLR and AST/ALT ratios were associated with more advanced stage and postoperative T3a upstage in RCC patients. In addition, these patients more frequently had open RN and had higher Fuhrman grades, while the clear cell subtype was less common.

Added Value of Systemic Inflammation Markers in Predicting Clinical Stage T1 Renal Cell Carcinoma Pathologically Upstaged to T3a

Objectives

We aimed to determine preoperative risk factors associated with pathologic T3a (pT3a) upstaging of clinical T1 (cT1) renal cell carcinomas (RCCs) and develop a novel model capable of accurately identifying those patients at high risk of harboring occult pT3a characteristics.

Methods

A retrospective analysis of 1324 cT1 RCC patients who underwent partial nephrectomy (PN) or radical nephrectomy (RN) was performed. The study cohort was divided into training and testing datasets in a 70:30 ratio for further analysis. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed to identify predictors associated with cT1 to pT3a upstaging and subsequently, those significant risk factors were used to construct models. We used the area under the curve (AUC) to determine the model with the highest discrimination power. Decision curve analyses (DCAs) were applied to evaluate clinical net benefit associated with using the predictive models.

Results

The rates of upstaging were 6.1% (n = 81), 5.8% (n = 54) and 6.8% (n = 27) in the total population, training cohort and validation cohort, respectively. Tumor size, clinical T stage, R.E.N.A.L. (radius, exophytic/endophytic properties, nearness of tumor to collecting system or sinus, anterior/posterior) nephrometry score, lymphocyte to monocyte ratio (LMR), prognostic nutrition index (PNI) and albumin to globulin ratio (AGR) were significantly associated with pT3a upstaging. The model that consisted of R.E.N.A.L. score, LMR, AGR and PNI achieved the highest AUC of 0.70 in the validation cohort and yielded the highest net benefit. In the subpopulation with complete serum lipid profile, the inclusion of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) and Castelli risk index-I (CRI-I) significantly improved the discrimination of model (AUC = 0.86).

Conclusions

Our finding highlights the importance of systemic inflammation response markers and serum lipid parameters in predicting pT3a upstaging. Our model had relatively good discrimination in predicting occult pT3a disease among patients with cT1 renal lesions, and the use of the model may be greatly beneficial to urologists in risk stratification and management decisions.

Preoperative Assessment of Renal Sinus Invasion by Renal Cell Carcinoma according to Tumor Complexity and Imaging Features in Patients Undergoing Radical Nephrectomy

Objective

To identify the association between renal tumor complexity and pathologic renal sinus invasion (RSI) and evaluate the usefulness of computed tomography tumor features for predicting RSI in patients with renal cell carcinoma (RCC).

Materials and Methods

This retrospective study included 276 consecutive patients who underwent radical nephrectomy for RCC with a size of ≤ 7 cm between January 2014 and October 2017. Tumor complexity and anatomical renal sinus involvement were evaluated using two standardized scoring systems: the radius (R), exophytic or endophytic (E), nearness to collecting system or sinus (N), anterior or posterior (A), and location relative to polar lines (RENAL) nephrometry and preoperative aspects and dimensions used for anatomical classification (PADUA) system. CT-based tumor features, including shape, enhancement pattern, margin at the interface of the renal sinus (smooth vs. non-smooth), and finger-like projection of the mass, were also assessed by two independent radiologists. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed to identify significant predictors of RSI. The positive predictive value, negative predictive value (NPV), accuracy of anatomical renal sinus involvement, and tumor features were evaluated.

Results

Eighty-one of 276 patients (29.3%) demonstrated RSI. Among highly complex tumors (RENAL or PADUA score ≥ 10), the frequencies of RSI were 42.4% (39/92) and 38.0% (71/187) using RENAL and PADUA scores, respectively. Multivariable analysis showed that a non-smooth margin and the presence of a finger-like projection were significant predictors of RSI. Anatomical renal sinus involvement showed high NPVs (91.7% and 95.2%) but low accuracy (40.2% and 43.1%) for RSI, whereas the presence of a non-smooth margin or finger-like projection demonstrated comparably high NPVs (90.0% and 91.3% for both readers) and improved accuracy (67.0% and 73.9%, respectively).

Conclusion

A non-smooth margin or the presence of a finger-like projection can be used as a preoperative CT-based tumor feature for predicting RSI in patients with RCC.

Assessing the role of race in pathological upstaging of renal cell carcinoma: Results from the National Cancer Database

PURPOSE

Pathologic upstaging in renal cell carcinoma (RCC) is common and confers a significant risk of poor surgical and survival outcomes. Preoperative predictors of upstaging are of great clinical relevance but empirical evidence specific to racial minorities remains scarce.

METHODS

National Cancer Database (NCDB) analysis of T3a-specific upstaging among White, African-American, Hispanic and Asian Pacific Islander (API) patients with AJCC cT1N0M0 RCC who underwent partial or radical nephrectomy between 2010 and 2015. Independent preoperative predictors of tumour upstaging were identified using multivariate logistic regression analyses.

RESULTS

A total of 81 002 patients met the criteria for inclusion (5.6% T3a-specific upstaging). Increased age, increased Charlson-Deyo comorbidity index, clinical stages cT1b and unspecified cT1, and increased Fuhrman nuclear grade were identified as independent risk factors for upstaging. Independent protective factors for upstaging were younger age, female sex, African-American race and papillary, chromophobe, and unspecified RCC histologic subtypes. Significant risk factors and protective factors within individual racial subgroups were highly consistent with those observed in the overall study sample. All independent factors identified on race-specific subgroup analyses were significant in the same direction relative to the overall study sample. Variables found to be non-significant in the overall study sample remained non-significant across all racial subgroup analyses.

CONCLUSION

The present study of nationally representative data found no clinically significant differences in upstaging risk across individual racial subgroups relative to the overall study sample. Preoperative factors that can be used to predict pT3a-specific tumour upstaging in CT1N0M0 RCC likely persist across different racial groups.

Comparison of oncologic outcomes between partial nephrectomy and radical nephrectomy in patients who were upstaged from cT1 renal tumor to pT3a renal cell carcinoma: an updated systematic review and meta-analysis

Aim

Owing to the limited ability of current imaging modalities, several clinical T1 renal cell carcinomas (cT1 RCCa) can be pathologically upstaged to T3a (pT3a) after surgery. There have been some controversies regarding the oncological safety of partial nephrectomy (PNx) compared with radical nephrectomy (RNx) in these patients. We compared oncological outcomes of PNx and RNx in patients with upstaged pT3a RCCa.

Methods

A systematic review was performed following the PRISMA guideline. PubMed, MEDLINE, Embase were searched. Oncological outcomes [recurrence-free survival (RFS), overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS)] between PNx and RNx were compared. The GRADE approach was used to rate the certainty of evidence.

Results

A total of 7406 patients in 12 articles related to upstaged pT3a RCCa were included. In adjusted analysis, no difference was observed in RFS [hazard ratios (HR) 0.87; 95% confidence intervals (CI), 0.57-0.95; p = 0.88] and CSS (HR, 0.78; 95% CI, 0.59-1.04; p = 0.09) for PNx and RNx. Meanwhile, PNx was significantly associated with favorable OS compared with RNx (HR, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.57-0.95; p = 0.02).

Conclusions

Our meta-analysis shows that patients treated with PNx have better or at least similar oncological outcomes compared with RNx in patients with upstaged pT3a RCCa from cT1. In particular, patients who had undergone PNx show a significantly improved OS. If PNx is available, we recommend performing PNx for all cT1 RCCa, even in patients with upstaging potential. However, due to the low level of evidence, large-scale randomized trials are required.

Predicting the risk of pT3a stage in cT1 clear cell renal cell carcinoma

We hypothesized that pT3a stage at nephrectomy can be accurately predicted in cT1N0M0 clear cell-renal cell carcinoma (cc-RCC) patients. Of 236 patients, treated with either partial or radical nephrectomy (2005-2019), 25 (10.6%) harbored pT3a stage. Multivariable logistic regression models predicting pT3a were fitted using age, tumor size, tumor location and exophytic rate. The new model was 81% accurate. In calibration plots, minimal departures from ideal prediction were recorded. In decision curve analyses, a net-benefit throughout all threshold probabilities was recorded relative to the treat-all or treat-none strategies. Using a probability cut-off of 21% for presence of pT3a stage, 38 patients (16.1%) were identified, in whom pT3a rate was 36.8%. Conversely, in 198 patients (83.9%) below that cut-off, the rate of pT3a was 5.6%. Alternative user-defined cut-offs may be selected. The new model more accurately identifies a subgroup of cT1N0M0 cc-RCC patients with substantially higher risk of pT3a stage than average.

Upstaging to pT3a in Patients Undergoing Partial or Radical Nephrectomy for cT1 Renal Tumors: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis of Outcomes and Predictive Factors

CONTEXT

Predictors of upstaging from cT1 to pT3a renal masses are poorly inquired, and this remains an area of controversial findings.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate predictors and outcomes of upstaging from cT1 to pT3a in patients undergoing surgical removal of a renal tumor.

EVIDENCE ACQUISITION

A systematic literature search was performed to identify relevant articles using three electronic engines (PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science). Only studies looking at upstaging to pT3a in patients undergoing either partial nephrectomy (PN) or radical nephrectomy (RN) for cT1 renal tumor were included. Study selection was performed according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-analysis (PRISMA) statement.

EVIDENCE SYNTHESIS

Thirteen studies, including 21869 patients (cT1/pT3a: 1256 [5.7%]; cT1/pT1: 20613 [93.3%]), were identified. Patients in the upstaged group were older (weighted mean difference [WMD]: 3.89; p < 0.00001) and mostly male (odds ratio [OR]: 1.23; p = 0.04). Renal tumors were larger (WMD: 0.98; p < 0.00001), more complex (OR: 2.38; p < 0.0001), and with a higher rate of cT1b masses (OR: 3.36; p < 0.00001). The cT1/pT3a group had a higher rate of other renal cell carcinoma histological subtypes (OR: 1.59; p = 0.04), as well as higher odds of Fuhrman grade ≥3 (OR: 2.57; p < 0.00001) and positive surgical margins (OR: 1.85; p = 0.007). Five-year recurrence-free survival (RFS) was worse in the upstaged group (OR: 0.31; p = 0.02). Age (OR: 1.03; p < 0.00001), tumor size (OR: 1.51; p < 0.00001), and RENAL score (OR: 2.80; p = 0.0004) were predictors of upstaging. Upstaging was associated with overall survival (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.94; p = 0.05), cancer-specific survival (HR: 2.24; p = 0.007), and RFS (HR: 2.17; p < 0.00001).

CONCLUSIONS

Upstaging to pT3a in case of surgical removal of a cT1 renal tumor is an uncommon event, which however can translate into worse oncological outcomes. Both patient (older age) and tumor (larger size and higher complexity) characteristics are associated with a higher risk of upstaging. There is very limited evidence regarding whether RN would be better than PN in these cases. There remains an unmet need for tools to better characterize renal masses in the preoperative setting.

PATIENTS SUMMARY

About 6% of surgically treated localized renal tumors can be found to be locally advanced on final pathology after surgery. This "upstaging" can translate into worse oncological outcomes. There are patient and tumor characteristics that are associated with an increased the risk of upstaging.