A Combined Deep Learning and Ensemble Learning Methodology to Avoid Electricity Theft in Smart Grids

Hyperparameter Optimization with Genetic Algorithms and XGBoost: A Step Forward in Smart Grid Fraud Detection

This study provides a comprehensive analysis of the combination of Genetic Algorithms (GA) and XGBoost, a well-known machine-learning model. The primary emphasis lies in hyperparameter optimization for fraud detection in smart grid applications. The empirical findings demonstrate a noteworthy enhancement in the model's performance metrics following optimization, particularly emphasizing a substantial increase in accuracy from 0.82 to 0.978. The precision, recall, and AUROC metrics demonstrate a clear improvement, indicating the effectiveness of optimizing the XGBoost model for fraud detection. The findings from our study significantly contribute to the expanding field of smart grid fraud detection. These results emphasize the potential uses of advanced metaheuristic algorithms to optimize complex machine-learning models. This work showcases significant progress in enhancing the accuracy and efficiency of fraud detection systems in smart grids.

A novel data balancing approach and a deep fractal network with light gradient boosting approach for theft detection in smart grids

Electricity theft is the largest type of non-technical losses faced by power utilities around the globe. It not only raises revenue losses to the utilities but also leads to lethal fires and electric shocks at distribution side. In the past, field operation groups were sent by the utilities to conduct inspections of suspicions electric equipments stated by the public. Advanced metering infrastructure based recent development in the smart grids makes it easy to detect electricity thefts. However, the conventional supervised learning techniques have low theft detection performance mainly due to imbalance datasets available for training. Therefore, in this paper, we develop a novel theft detection model with twofold contribution. A unique hybrid sampling technique named as hybrid oversampling and undersampling using both classes (HOUBC) is proposed to balance the dataset. HOUBC first performs undersampling and then oversampling using both the majority (normal) and minority (theft) classes. A new deep learning method, fractal network is applied with light gradient boosting method to extract and learn important characteristics from electricity consumption profiles for identifying electricity thieves. The proposed model relies on smart meter's data for theft detection and hence, a rapid and widespread adaption of this model is feasible, which shows its main advantage. The performance of the model is evaluated with real-world smart meter's data, i.e., state grid corporation of China. Comprehensive simulation results describe the effectiveness of the proposed model against conventional schemes in terms of electricity theft detection.

Electricity Theft Detection in Smart Grids Using a Hybrid BiGRU-BiLSTM Model with Feature Engineering-Based Preprocessing

In this paper, a defused decision boundary which renders misclassification issues due to the presence of cross-pairs is investigated. Cross-pairs retain cumulative attributes of both classes and misguide the classifier due to the defused data samples' nature. To tackle the problem of the defused data, a Tomek Links technique targets the cross-pair majority class and is removed, which results in an affine-segregated decision boundary. In order to cope with a Theft Case scenario, theft data is ascertained and synthesized randomly by using six theft data variants. Theft data variants are benign class appertaining data samples which are modified and manipulated to synthesize malicious samples. Furthermore, a K-means minority oversampling technique is used to tackle the class imbalance issue. In addition, to enhance the detection of the classifier, abstract features are engineered using a stochastic feature engineering mechanism. Moreover, to carry out affine training of the model, balanced data are inputted in order to mitigate class imbalance issues. An integrated hybrid model consisting of Bi-Directional Gated Recurrent Units and Bi-Directional Long-Term Short-Term Memory classifies the consumers, efficiently. Afterwards, robustness performance of the model is verified using an attack vector which is subjected to intervene in the model's efficiency and integrity. However, the proposed model performs efficiently on such unseen attack vectors.

Synthetic Theft Attacks and Long Short Term Memory-Based Preprocessing for Electricity Theft Detection Using Gated Recurrent Unit

Electricity theft is one of the challenging problems in smart grids. The power utilities around the globe face huge economic loss due to ET. The traditional electricity theft detection (ETD) models confront several challenges, such as highly imbalance distribution of electricity consumption data, curse of dimensionality and inevitable effects of non-malicious factors. To cope with the aforementioned concerns, this paper presents a novel ETD strategy for smart grids based on theft attacks, long short-term memory (LSTM) and gated recurrent unit (GRU) called TLGRU. It includes three subunits: (1) synthetic theft attacks based data balancing, (2) LSTM based feature extraction, and (3) GRU based theft classification. GRU is used for drift identification. It stores and extracts the long-term dependency in the power consumption data. It is beneficial for drift identification. In this way, a minimum false positive rate (FPR) is obtained. Moreover, dropout regularization and Adam optimizer are added in GRU for tackling overfitting and trapping model in the local minima, respectively. The proposed TLGRU model uses the realistic EC profiles of the Chinese power utility state grid corporation of China for analysis and to solve the ETD problem. From the simulation results, it is exhibited that 1% FPR, 97.96% precision, 91.56% accuracy, and 91.68% area under curve for ETD are obtained by the proposed model. The proposed model outperforms the existing models in terms of ETD.

BiGRU-CNN Neural Network Applied to Electric Energy Theft Detection

This paper presents an assessment of the potential behind the BiGRU-CNN artificial neural network to be used as an electric power theft detection tool. The network is based on different architecture layers of the bidirectional gated recurrent unit and convolutional neural network. The use of such a tool with this classification model can help energy sector companies to make decisions regarding theft detection. The BiGRU-CNN artificial neural network singles out consumer units suspected of fraud for later manual inspections. The proposed artificial neural network was programmed in python, using the keras package. The best detection model was that of the BiGRU-CNN artificial neural network when compared to multilayer perceptron, recurrent neural network, gated recurrent unit, and long short-term memory networks. Several tests were carried out using data of an actual electricity supplier, showing the effectiveness of the proposed approach. The metric values assigned to their classifications were 0.929 for accuracy, 0.885 for precision, 0.801 for recall, 0.841 for F1-Score, and 0.966 for area under the receiver operating characteristic curve.

A Review of Deep Learning Techniques for Forecasting Energy Use in Buildings

Buildings account for a significant portion of our overall energy usage and associated greenhouse gas emissions. With the increasing concerns regarding climate change, there are growing needs for energy reduction and increasing our energy efficiency. Forecasting energy use plays a fundamental role in building energy planning, management and optimization. The most common approaches for building energy forecasting include physics and data-driven models. Among the data-driven models, deep learning techniques have begun to emerge in recent years due to their: improved abilities in handling large amounts of data, feature extraction characteristics, and improved abilities in modelling nonlinear phenomena. This paper provides an extensive review of deep learning-based techniques applied to forecasting the energy use in buildings to explore its effectiveness and application potential. First, we present a summary of published literature reviews followed by an overview of deep learning-based definitions and techniques. Next, we present a breakdown of current trends identified in published research along with a discussion of how deep learning-based models have been applied for feature extraction and forecasting. Finally, the review concludes with current challenges faced and some potential future research directions.