Mutational Asymmetries in the SARS-CoV-2 Genome May Lead to Increased Hydrophobicity of Virus Proteins

Phase transitions may explain why SARS-CoV-2 spreads so fast and why new variants are spreading faster

The novel coronavirus SARS CoV-2 responsible for the COVID-19 pandemic and SARS CoV-1 responsible for the SARS epidemic of 2002-2003 share an ancestor yet evolved to have much different transmissibility and global impact ¹. A previously developed thermodynamic model of protein conformations hypothesized that SARS CoV-2 is very close to a new thermodynamic critical point, which makes it highly infectious but also easily displaced by a spike-based vaccine because there is a tradeoff between transmissibility and robustness ². The model identified a small cluster of four key mutations of SARS CoV-2 that predicts much stronger viral attachment and viral spreading compared to SARS CoV-1. Here we apply the model to the SARS-CoV-2 variants Alpha (B.1.1.7), Beta (B.1.351), Gamma (P.1) and Delta (B.1.617.2)³ and predict, using no free parameters, how the new mutations will not diminish the effectiveness of current spike based vaccines and may even further enhance infectiousness by augmenting the binding ability of the virus.

Variation in synonymous nucleotide composition among genomes of sarbecoviruses and consequences for the origin of COVID-19

The subgenus Sarbecovirus includes two human viruses, SARS-CoV and SARS-CoV-2, respectively responsible for the SARS epidemic and COVID-19 pandemic, as well as many bat viruses and two pangolin viruses. Here, the synonymous nucleotide composition (SNC) of Sarbecovirus genomes was analysed by examining third codon-positions, dinucleotides, and degenerate codons. The results show evidence for the eight following groups: (i) SARS-CoV related coronaviruses (SCoVrC including many bat viruses from China), (ii) SARS-CoV-2 related coronaviruses (SCoV2rC; including five bat viruses from Cambodia, Thailand and Yunnan), (iii) pangolin sarbecoviruses, (iv) three bat sarbecoviruses showing evidence of recombination between SCoVrC and SCoV2rC genomes, (v) two highly divergent bat sarbecoviruses from Yunnan, (vi) the bat sarbecovirus from Japan, (vii) the bat sarbecovirus from Bulgaria, and (viii) the bat sarbecovirus from Kenya. All these groups can be diagnosed by specific nucleotide compositional features except the one concerned by recombination between SCoVrC and SCoV2rC. In particular, SCoV2rC genomes have less cytosines and more uracils at third codon-positions than other sarbecoviruses, whereas the genomes of pangolin sarbecoviruses show more adenines at third codon-positions. I suggest that taxonomic differences in the imbalanced nucleotide pools available in host cells during viral replication can explain the eight groups of SNC here detected among Sarbecovirus genomes. A related effect due to hibernating bats and their latitudinal distribution is also discussed. I conclude that the two independent host switches from Rhinolophus bats to pangolins resulted in convergent mutational constraints and that SARS-CoV-2 emerged directly from a horseshoe bat sarbecovirus.

Commentary on "Poor evidence for host-dependent regular RNA editing in the transcriptome of SARS-CoV-2"

Analysis of the SARS-CoV-2 transcriptome has revealed a background of low-frequency intra-host genetic changes with a strong bias towards transitions. A similar pattern is also observed when inter-host variability is considered. We and others have shown that the cellular RNA editing machinery based on ADAR and APOBEC host-deaminases could be involved in the onset of SARS-CoV-2 genetic variability. Our hypothesis is based both on similarities with other known forms of viral genome editing and on the excess of transition changes, which is difficult to explain with errors during viral replication. Zong et al. criticize our analysis on both conceptual and technical grounds. While ultimate proof of an involvement of host deaminases in viral RNA editing will depend on experimental validation, here, we address the criticism to suggest that viral RNA editing is the most reasonable explanation for the observed intra- and inter-host variability.

mRNA Vaccine: How to Meet the Challenge of SARS-CoV-2

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) with high infectivity, pathogenicity, and variability, is a global pandemic that severely affected public health and the world economy. The development of safe and effective vaccines is crucial to the prevention and control of an epidemic. As an emerging technology, mRNA vaccine is widely used for infectious disease prevention and control and has significant safety, efficacy, and high production. It has received support and funding from many pharmaceutical enterprises and becomes one of the main technologies for preventing COVID-19. This review introduces the current status of SARS-CoV-2 vaccines, specifically mRNA vaccines, focusing on the challenges of developing mRNA vaccines against SARS-CoV-2, and discusses the relevant strategies.

Underlying selection for the diversity of spike protein sequences of SARS-CoV-2

The global spread of SARS-CoV-2 is fast moving and has caused a worldwide public health crisis. In the present article, we analyzed spike protein sequences of SARS-CoV-2 genomes to assess the impact of mutational diversity. We observed from amino acid usage patterns that spike proteins are associated with a diversity of mutational changes and most important underlying cause of variation of amino acid usage is the changes in hydrophobicity of spike proteins. The changing patterns of hydrophobicity of spike proteins over time and its influence on the receptor binding affinity provides crucial information on the SARS-CoV-2 interaction with human receptor. Our results also show that spike proteins have evolved to prefer more hydrophobic residues over time. The present study provides a comprehensive analysis of molecular sequence data to consider that mutational variants might play a crucial role in modulating the virulence and spread of the virus and has immediate implications for therapeutic strategies.