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Alslman M, Helu A. Estimation of the stress-strength reliability for the inverse Weibull distribution under adaptive type-II progressive hybrid censoring. PLoS One 2022; 17:e0277514. [PMID: 36378634 PMCID: PMC9665393 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0277514] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/22/2022] [Accepted: 10/28/2022] [Indexed: 11/17/2022] Open
Abstract
In this article, we compare the maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) and the maximum product of spacing estimate (MPSE) of a stress-strength reliability model, θ = P(Y < X), under adaptive progressive type-II progressive hybrid censoring, when X and Y are independent random variables taken from the inverse Weibull distribution (IWD) with the same shape parameter and different scale parameters. The performance of both estimators is compared, through a comprehensive computer simulation based on two criteria, namely bias and mean squared error (MSE). To demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed methods, we used two examples of real-life data based on Breakdown Times of an Insulated Fluid by (Nelson, 2003) and Head and Neck Cancer Data by (Efron, 1988). It is concluded that the MPSE method outperformed the MLE method in terms of bias and MSE values.
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Affiliation(s)
- Majd Alslman
- Department of Mathematics, The University of Jordan, Amman, Jordan
- * E-mail:
| | - Amal Helu
- Department of Mathematics, The University of Jordan, Amman, Jordan
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Alshenawy R, Haj Ahmad H, Al-Alwan A. Progressive censoring schemes for marshall-olkin pareto distribution with applications: Estimation and prediction. PLoS One 2022; 17:e0270750. [PMID: 35895723 PMCID: PMC9328570 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0270750] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/04/2021] [Accepted: 06/17/2022] [Indexed: 11/22/2022] Open
Abstract
In this paper two prediction methods are used to predict the non-observed (censored) units under progressive Type-II censored samples. The lifetimes of the units follow Marshall-Olkin Pareto distribution. We observe the posterior predictive density of the non-observed units and construct predictive intervals as well. Furthermore, we provide inference on the unknown parameters of the Marshall-Olkin model, so we observe point and interval estimation by using maximum likelihood and Bayesian estimation methods. Bayes estimation methods are obtained under quadratic loss function. EM algorithm is used to obtain numerical values of the Maximum likelihood method and Gibbs and the Monte Carlo Markov chain techniques are utilized for Bayesian calculations. A simulation study is performed to evaluate the performance of the estimators with respect to the mean square errors and the biases. Finally, we find the best prediction method by implementing a real data example under progressive Type-II censoring schemes.
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Affiliation(s)
- R. Alshenawy
- Department of Mathematics and Statistics, College of Sciences, King Faisal University, Al-Ahsa, Saudi Arabia
- Faculty of Commerce, Department of Applied Statistics and Insurance, Mansoura University, Mansoura, Egypt
- * E-mail:
| | - Hanan Haj Ahmad
- Department of Basic Science, Preparatory Year Deanship, King Faisal University, Al-Ahsa, Saudi Arabia
| | - Ali Al-Alwan
- Department of Mathematics and Statistics, College of Sciences, King Faisal University, Al-Ahsa, Saudi Arabia
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Abstract
The coronavirus disease has influenced almost all of our everyday activities. Traveling and transportation have been influenced significantly and there is no doubt that air transportation has been restricted and therefore reduced considerably. It is predicted that the change back to pre-pandemic conditions will take several years, and so it is a reasonable assumption that disinfectants will be used more frequently for a long time. The presented article initially deals with the possible impacts of the pandemic on aircraft infrastructure—namely, on the influence of disinfectants on the rubber materials used, for example, in conveyor belts. The proposed methodology is based on the Weibull analysis for conveyor belt lifetime prediction regarding the impact of disinfectants. The Weibull distribution is a continuous probability distribution that can be applied as a theoretical model for statistical data processing. It was named after Weibull, who suggested shape, scale, and location parameters that made the distribution meaningful and useful. Currently, this distribution is applied in many areas, such as biology, economics, and hydrology. In engineering applications, it can be used for reliability and survival analysis. It is used mainly in cases where failure time is dependent on the operating hours, cycles, or age of the component. In the reliability area, it can be used, for example, to predict the lifetime or failure time of a component. To show the consequences of material changes due to the use of disinfectants, this article also presents a CAE (Computer Aided Engineering) analysis that was used for the evaluation of other hyperelastic material characteristics. This research is based on the results of experimental measurements, during which the influence of the types of disinfectant commonly used for the elimination of the coronavirus disease on airport conveyor belt rubber segments was tested. From the performed analysis, it was found that the influence of disinfectants on the material characteristics, including material hardness, elasticity, and static and dynamic loading, could be significant. Therefore, the probability of mechanical damage to the rubber part of the conveyor belt becomes higher, and time intervals for the maintenance or repair of airport conveyor belts should be considered.
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Applying Transformer Insulation Using Weibull Extended Distribution Based on Progressive Censoring Scheme. AXIOMS 2021. [DOI: 10.3390/axioms10020100] [Citation(s) in RCA: 19] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/17/2022]
Abstract
In this paper, the Weibull extension distribution parameters are estimated under a progressive type-II censoring scheme with random removal. The parameters of the model are estimated using the maximum likelihood method, maximum product spacing, and Bayesian estimation methods. In classical estimation (maximum likelihood method and maximum product spacing), we did use the Newton–Raphson algorithm. The Bayesian estimation is done using the Metropolis–Hastings algorithm based on the square error loss function. The proposed estimation methods are compared using Monte Carlo simulations under a progressive type-II censoring scheme. An empirical study using a real data set of transformer insulation and a simulation study is performed to validate the introduced methods of inference. Based on the result of our study, it can be concluded that the Bayesian method outperforms the maximum likelihood and maximum product-spacing methods for estimating the Weibull extension parameters under a progressive type-II censoring scheme in both simulation and empirical studies.
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Exact Likelihood Inference for a Competing Risks Model with Generalized Type II Progressive Hybrid Censored Exponential Data. Symmetry (Basel) 2021. [DOI: 10.3390/sym13050887] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/16/2022] Open
Abstract
In many situations of survival and reliability test, the withdrawal of units from the test is pre-planned in order to to free up testing facilities for other tests, or to save cost and time. It is known that several risk factors (RiFs) compete for the immediate failure cause of items. In this paper, we derive an inference for a competing risks model (CompRiM) with a generalized type II progressive hybrid censoring scheme (GeTy2PrHCS). We derive the conditional moment generating functions (CondMgfs), distributions and confidence interval (ConfI) of the scale parameters of exponential distribution (ExDist) under GeTy2PrHCS with CompRiM. A real data set is analysed to illustrate the validity of the method developed here. From the data, it can be seen that the conditional PDFs of MLEs is almost symmetrical.
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Almetwally EM. The Odd Weibull Inverse Topp-Leone Distribution with Applications to COVID-19 Data. ANNALS OF DATA SCIENCE 2021; 9:121-140. [PMID: 38624798 PMCID: PMC8041244 DOI: 10.1007/s40745-021-00329-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/21/2020] [Revised: 03/06/2021] [Accepted: 03/26/2021] [Indexed: 11/25/2022]
Abstract
This paper aims at defining an optimal statistical model for the COVID-19 distribution in the United Kingdom, and Canada. A combining the inverted Topp-Leone distribution and the odd Weibull family introduces a new lifetime distribution with a three-parameter to formulate the odd Weibull inverted Topp-Leone (OWITL) distribution. As a simple linear representation, hazard rate function, and moment function, this new distribution has several nice properties. To estimate the unknown parameters of OWITL distribution, maximum likelihood, least-square, weighted least-squares, maximum product spacing, Cramér-von Mises estimators, and Anderson-Darling estimation methods are used. To evaluate the use of estimation techniques, a numerical outcome of the Monte Carlo simulation is obtained.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ehab M. Almetwally
- Department of Statistics, Faculty of Business Administration, Delta University of Science and Technology, Belkas, Egypt
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Almongy HM, Almetwally EM, Aljohani HM, Alghamdi AS, Hafez EH. A new extended rayleigh distribution with applications of COVID-19 data. RESULTS IN PHYSICS 2021; 23:104012. [PMID: 33728260 PMCID: PMC7952137 DOI: 10.1016/j.rinp.2021.104012] [Citation(s) in RCA: 24] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/20/2021] [Revised: 02/16/2021] [Accepted: 02/22/2021] [Indexed: 05/19/2023]
Abstract
This paper aims to model the COVID-19 mortality rates in Italy, Mexico, and the Netherlands, by specifying an optimal statistical model to analyze the mortality rate of COVID-19. A new lifetime distribution with three-parameter is introduced by a combination of Rayleigh distribution and extended odd Weibull family to produce the extended odd Weibull Rayleigh (EOWR) distribution. This new distribution has many excellent properties as simple linear representation, hazard rate function, and moment generating function. Maximum likelihood, maximum product spacing and Bayesian estimation methods are applied to estimate the unknown parameters of EOWR distribution. MCMC method is used for the Bayesian estimation. A numerical result of the Monte Carlo simulation is obtained to assess the use of estimation methods. Also, data analysis for the real data of mortality rate is considered.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hisham M Almongy
- Department of Statistics, Faculty of Commerce, Mansoura University, Mansoura, Egypt
| | - Ehab M Almetwally
- Department of Statistics, Faculty of Business Administration, Delta University of Science and Technology, Egypt
| | - Hassan M Aljohani
- Department of Mathematics and Statistics, College of Science, Taif University, P.O. Box 11099, Taif 21944, Saudi Arabia
| | - Abdulaziz S Alghamdi
- Department of Mathematics, College of Science & Arts, King Abdulaziz University, P. O. Box 344, Rabigh 21911, Saudi Arabia
| | - E H Hafez
- Mathematics Department, Faculty of Science, Helwan University, Helwan, Egypt
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A New Inverted Topp-Leone Distribution: Applications to the COVID-19 Mortality Rate in Two Different Countries. AXIOMS 2021. [DOI: 10.3390/axioms10010025] [Citation(s) in RCA: 23] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
This paper aims to find a statistical model for the COVID-19 spread in the United Kingdom and Canada. We used an efficient and superior model for fitting the COVID 19 mortality rates in these countries by specifying an optimal statistical model. A new lifetime distribution with two-parameter is introduced by a combination of inverted Topp-Leone distribution and modified Kies family to produce the modified Kies inverted Topp-Leone (MKITL) distribution, which covers a lot of application that both the traditional inverted Topp-Leone and the modified Kies provide poor fitting for them. This new distribution has many valuable properties as simple linear representation, hazard rate function, and moment function. We made several methods of estimations as maximum likelihood estimation, least squares estimators, weighted least-squares estimators, maximum product spacing, Crame´r-von Mises estimators, and Anderson-Darling estimators methods are applied to estimate the unknown parameters of MKITL distribution. A numerical result of the Monte Carlo simulation is obtained to assess the use of estimation methods. also, we applied different data sets to the new distribution to assess its performance in modeling data.
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Abd El-Raheem AM, Almetwally EM, Mohamed MS, Hafez EH. Accelerated life tests for modified Kies exponential lifetime distribution: binomial removal, transformers turn insulation application and numerical results. AIMS MATHEMATICS 2021; 6:5222-5255. [DOI: 10.3934/math.2021310] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 09/02/2023]
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