Procalcitonin Evaluation of Antibiotic Use in COVID-19 Hospitalised Patients (PEACH): Protocol for a Retrospective Observational Study

A retrospective propensity-score-matched cohort study of the impact of procalcitonin testing on antibiotic use in hospitalized patients during the first wave of COVID-19

BACKGROUND

Procalcitonin (PCT) is a blood marker used to help diagnose bacterial infections and guide antibiotic treatment. PCT testing was widely used/adopted during the COVID-19 pandemic in the UK.

OBJECTIVES

Primary: to measure the difference in length of early (during first 7 days) antibiotic prescribing between patients with COVID-19 who did/did not have baseline PCT testing during the first wave of the pandemic. Secondary: to measure differences in length of hospital/ICU stay, mortality, total days of antibiotic prescribing and resistant bacterial infections between these groups.

METHODS

Multi-centre, retrospective, observational, cohort study using patient-level clinical data from acute hospital Trusts/Health Boards in England/Wales. Inclusion: patients ≥16 years, admitted to participating Trusts/Health Boards and with a confirmed positive COVID-19 test between 1 February 2020 and 30 June 2020.

RESULTS

Data from 5960 patients were analysed: 1548 (26.0%) had a baseline PCT test and 4412 (74.0%) did not. Using propensity-score matching, baseline PCT testing was associated with an average reduction in early antibiotic prescribing of 0.43 days [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.22-0.64 days, P < 0.001) and of 0.72 days (95% CI: 0.06-1.38 days, P = 0.03] in total antibiotic prescribing. Baseline PCT testing was not associated with increased mortality or hospital/ICU length of stay or with the rate of antimicrobial-resistant secondary bacterial infections.

CONCLUSIONS

Baseline PCT testing appears to have been an effective antimicrobial stewardship tool early in the pandemic: it reduced antibiotic prescribing without evidence of harm. Our study highlights the need for embedded, rapid evaluations of infection diagnostics in the National Health Service so that even in challenging circumstances, introduction into clinical practice is supported by evidence for clinical utility.

STUDY REGISTRATION NUMBER

ISRCTN66682918.

Association of antibiotics with the outcomes in COVID-19 pneumonia patients with elevated PCT levels

OBJECTIVE

To assess antibiotics impact on outcomes in COVID-19 pneumonia patients with varying procalcitonin (PCT) levels.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included 3665 COVID-19 pneumonia patients hospitalized at five Mayo Clinic sites (March 2020 to June 2022). PCT levels were measured at admission. Patients' antibiotics use and outcomes were collected via the Society of Critical Care Medicine (SCCM) Viral Infection and Respiratory Illness Universal Study (VIRUS) registry. Patients were stratified into high and low PCT groups based on the first available PCT result. The distinction between high and low PCT was demarcated at both 0.25 ng/ml and 0.50 ng/ml.

RESULTS

Our cohort consisted of 3665 patients admitted with COVID-19 pneumonia. The population was predominantly male, Caucasian and non-Hispanic. With the PCT cut-off of 0.25 ng/ml, 2375 (64.8 %) patients had a PCT level <0.25 ng/mL, and 1290 (35.2 %) had PCT ≥0.25 ng/ml. While when the PCT cut off of 0.50 ng/ml was used we observed 2934 (80.05 %) patients with a PCT <0.50 ng/ml while 731(19.94 %) patients had a PCT ≥0.50 ng/ml. Patients with higher PCT levels exhibited significantly higher rates of bacterial infections (0.25 ng/ml cut-off: 4.2 % vs 7.9 %; 0.50 ng/ml cut-off: 4.6 % vs 9.2 %). Antibiotics were used in 66.0 % of the cohort. Regardless of the PCT cutoffs, the antibiotics group showed increased hospital length of stay (LOS), intensive care unit (ICU) admission rate, and mortality. However, early de-escalation (<24 h) of antibiotics correlated with reduced hospital LOS, ICU LOS, and mortality. These results were consistent even after adjusting for confounders.

CONCLUSION

Our study shows a substantial number of COVID-19 pneumonia patients received antibiotics despite a low incidence of bacterial infections. Therefore, antibiotics use in COVID pneumonia patients with PCT <0.5 in the absence of clinical evidence of bacterial infection has no beneficial effect.

The cost-effectiveness of procalcitonin for guiding antibiotic prescribing in individuals hospitalized with COVID-19: part of the PEACH study

BACKGROUND

Many hospitals introduced procalcitonin (PCT) testing to help diagnose bacterial coinfection in individuals with COVID-19, and guide antibiotic decision-making during the COVID-19 pandemic in the UK.

OBJECTIVES

Evaluating cost-effectiveness of using PCT to guide antibiotic decisions in individuals hospitalized with COVID-19, as part of a wider research programme.

METHODS

Retrospective individual-level data on patients hospitalized with COVID-19 were collected from 11 NHS acute hospital Trusts and Health Boards from England and Wales, which varied in their use of baseline PCT testing during the first COVID-19 pandemic wave. A matched analysis (part of a wider analysis reported elsewhere) created groups of patients whose PCT was/was not tested at baseline. A model was created with combined decision tree/Markov phases, parameterized with quality-of-life/unit cost estimates from the literature, and used to estimate costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs). Cost-effectiveness was judged at a £20 000/QALY threshold. Uncertainty was characterized using bootstrapping.

RESULTS

People who had baseline PCT testing had shorter general ward/ICU stays and spent less time on antibiotics, though with overlap between the groups' 95% CIs. Those with baseline PCT testing accrued more QALYs (8.76 versus 8.62) and lower costs (£9830 versus £10 700). The point estimate was baseline PCT testing being dominant over no baseline testing, though with uncertainty: the probability of cost-effectiveness was 0.579 with a 1 year horizon and 0.872 with a lifetime horizon.

CONCLUSIONS

Using PCT to guide antibiotic therapy in individuals hospitalized with COVID-19 is more likely to be cost-effective than not, albeit with uncertainty.

Developing a model for decision-making around antibiotic prescribing for patients with COVID-19 pneumonia in acute NHS hospitals during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic: qualitative results from the Procalcitonin Evaluation of Antibiotic use in COVID-19 Hospitalised patients (PEACH Study)

OBJECTIVE

To explore and model factors affecting antibiotic prescribing decision-making early in the pandemic.

DESIGN

Semistructured qualitative interview study.

SETTING

National Health Service (NHS) trusts/health boards in England and Wales.

PARTICIPANTS

Clinicians from NHS trusts/health boards in England and Wales.

METHOD

Individual semistructured interviews were conducted with clinicians in six NHS trusts/health boards in England and Wales as part of the Procalcitonin Evaluation of Antibiotic use in COVID-19 Hospitalised patients study, a wider study that included statistical analysis of procalcitonin (PCT) use in hospitals during the first wave of the pandemic. Thematic analysis was used to identify key factors influencing antibiotic prescribing decisions for patients with COVID-19 pneumonia during the first wave of the pandemic (March to May 2020), including how much influence PCT test results had on these decisions.

RESULTS

During the first wave of the pandemic, recommendations to prescribe antibiotics for patients with COVID-19 pneumonia were based on concerns about secondary bacterial infections. However, as clinicians gained more experience with COVID-19, they reported increasing confidence in their ability to distinguish between symptoms and signs caused by SARS-CoV-2 viral infection alone, and secondary bacterial infections. Antibiotic prescribing decisions were influenced by factors such as clinician experience, confidence, senior support, situational factors and organisational influences. A decision-making model was developed.

CONCLUSION

This study provides insight into the decision-making process around antibiotic prescribing for patients with COVID-19 pneumonia during the first wave of the pandemic. The importance of clinician experience and of senior review of decisions as factors in optimising antibiotic stewardship is highlighted. In addition, situational and organisational factors were identified that could be optimised. The model presented in the study can be used as a tool to aid understanding of the complexity of the decision-making process around antibiotic prescribing and planning antimicrobial stewardship support in the context of a pandemic.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

ISRCTN66682918.