Waist Circumference Trajectories in Relation to Blood Pressure and the Risk of Hypertension in Chinese Adults

Adiposity trajectories and cardiovascular disease risk in women: a population-based cohort study with a focus on menopausal status

Objectives

A single measurement of adiposity indices could predict the incidence of cardiovascular disease (CVD); nonetheless their long-term pattern and its association with incident CVD are rarely studied. This study aimed to determine distinct trajectories of adiposity indices among participants of Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study (TLGS) and their association with incident CVD. Furthermore, this study aimed to investigate whether this association differed among individuals according to their menopausal status.

Method

A total of 6840 women participated in TLGS, aged 20 years and older were included in this study; they were followed for a median of 16 years. Body mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC), conicity index (CI) and body roundness index (BRI) were included in the analysis as adiposity indices. The cohort outcome panel of medical specialists identified the CVD outcomes. Trajectory analyses were used to identify homogeneous distinct clusters of adiposity indices trajectories. The association between the trajectory group membership and incident CVD were explored by Cox proportional hazard models, with unadjusted and adjusted model for baseline age, physical activity, smoking status, menopause and family history of CVD.

Results

Three BMI trajectory groups of low, medium, and high and two trajectories for WC, BRI and CI were identified. Adjusted cox proportional hazard models revealed significant associations between the hazard of CVD experience and the high trajectory group of the BMI (HR: 2.06, 95% CI: 1.38-3.07), WC (HR: 2.71, 95% CI: 1.98-3.70), CI (HR: 1.87, 95% CI: 1.26-2.77) and BRI (HR: 1.55-95% CI: 1.12-2.15), compared to the low trajectory group. Subgroup analysis based on the menopausal status of participants showed that the HR of CVD incidences for all of trajectories adiposity indices, except BMI, was statistically significant. Adjusted cox proportional hazard models, in those women not reached menopause during study, revealed that the HR (95% CI) of CVD incidences for high trajectory of BMI, WC, CI and BRI were 2.80 (1.86-7.05); 2.09 (1.40-6.16); 1.72 (1.42-5.61), and 3.09 (1.06-9.01), respectively. These values for those were menopause at the initiation of the study were 1.40 (1.11, 2.53); 1.65 (1.04-2.75); 1.69 (1.01-2.87), and 1.61 (0.98-2.65), respectively.

Conclusion

Our findings suggest that adiposity trajectories, particularly central adiposity index of CI, could precisely predict the CVD risk. Consequently, preventive strategies should be tailored accordingly.

Association between obesity and fracture risk in Chinese women above 50 years of age: a prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Fractures present serious health challenges for older adults, including premature mortality and reduced quality of life. Obesity has become significantly prevalent in China. However, the association between obesity and fractures remains unclear. This study aimed to assess the association between obesity and fractures among Chinese women above 50 years of age.

METHODS

A prospective cohort study was designed based on the China Health and Nutrition Survey, using data from 1997 to 2015. The average follow-up duration was seven years. Trained investigators measured body mass index (BMI) and waist circumference (WC) at baseline. Obesity was defined according to World Health Organization recommendations. Waist-to-height ratio (W-HtR) was calculated, with 0.5 as the cutoff value. Onset of fractures, self-reported by the participants during the follow-up period, was the primary outcome. Cox hazard regression models were used to assess the association between BMI, WC, W-HtR and subsequent risk of fracture. A sensitivity analysis was conducted by multiple imputation of missing data on the variables at baseline.

RESULTS

A total of 2,641 women aged ≥ 50 years were involved in the study. In all the models, no significant association existed between BMI and fracture risk. However, women with WC ≥ 88 cm had significantly higher risk of fracture than those with WC < 80 cm according to both the unadjusted (HR = 1.744, 95% CI: 1.173-2.591) and adjusted models (HR = 1.796, 95% CI: 1.196-2.695). In addition, W-HtR and fracture risk were positively associated according to both the unadjusted (HR = 1.798, 95% CI: 1.230-2.627) and adjusted models (HR = 1.772, 95% CI: 1.209-2.599). Results of the sensitivity analysis were consistent with those of the above analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

Abdominal obesity increased the risk of all-cause fractures in Chinese women ≥ 50 years old. Intervention strategies and measures to prevent or address abdominal obesity would be helpful to decrease the fracture incidence.