1
|
Zhao T, Mao J, Gupta P, Zhang H, Wang J. Observational Constraints on the Aerosol Optical Depth-Surface PM 2.5 Relationship during Alaskan Wildfire Seasons. ACS ES&T AIR 2024; 1:1164-1176. [PMID: 39295742 PMCID: PMC11407303 DOI: 10.1021/acsestair.4c00120] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/04/2024] [Revised: 07/22/2024] [Accepted: 07/24/2024] [Indexed: 09/21/2024]
Abstract
Wildfire is one of the main sources of PM2.5 (particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter < 2.5 μm) in the Alaskan summer. The complexity in wildfire smokes, as well as limited coverage of ground measurements, poses a big challenge to estimate surface PM2.5 during wildfire season in Alaska. Here we aim at proposing a quick and direct method to estimate surface PM2.5 over Alaska, especially in places exposed to strong wildfire events with limited measurements. We compare the AOD-surface PM2.5 conversion factor (η = PM2.5/AOD; AOD, aerosol optical depth) from the chemical transport model GEOS-Chem (ηGC) and from observations (ηobs). We show that ηGC is biased high compared to ηobs under smoky conditions, largely because GEOS-Chem assigns the majority of AOD (67%) within the planetary boundary layer (PBL) when AOD > 1, inconsistent with satellite retrievals from CALIOP. The overestimation in ηGC can be to some extent improved by increasing the injection height of wildfire emissions. We constructed a piecewise function for ηobs across different AOD ranges based on VIIRS-SNPP AOD and PurpleAir surface PM2.5 measurements over Alaska in the 2019 summer and then applied it on VIIRS AOD to derive daily surface PM2.5 over continental Alaska in the 2021 and 2022 summers. The derived satellite PM2.5 shows a good agreement with corrected PurpleAir PM2.5 in Alaska during the 2021 and 2022 summers, suggesting that aerosol vertical distribution likely represents the largest uncertainty in converting AOD to surface PM2.5 concentrations. This piecewise function, η'obs, shows the capability of providing an observation-based, quick and direct estimation of daily surface PM2.5 over the whole of Alaska during wildfires, without running a 3-D model in real time.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Tianlang Zhao
- Geophysical Institute and Department of Chemistry and Biochemistry, University of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, Alaska 99775, United States
| | - Jingqiu Mao
- Geophysical Institute and Department of Chemistry and Biochemistry, University of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, Alaska 99775, United States
| | - Pawan Gupta
- Goddard Space Flight Center, NASA, Greenbelt, Maryland 20771, United States
| | - Huanxin Zhang
- Department of Chemical and Biochemical Engineering, Iowa Technology Institute, Center for Global and Regional Environmental Research, The University of Iowa, Iowa City, Iowa 52242, United States
| | - Jun Wang
- Department of Chemical and Biochemical Engineering, Iowa Technology Institute, Center for Global and Regional Environmental Research, The University of Iowa, Iowa City, Iowa 52242, United States
| |
Collapse
|
2
|
Chen ZY, Turrubiates RFM, Petetin H, Lacima A, Pérez García-Pando C, Ballester J. Estimation of pan-European, daily total, fine-mode and coarse-mode Aerosol Optical Depth at 0.1° resolution to facilitate air quality assessments. THE SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 2024; 918:170593. [PMID: 38307268 DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.170593] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/16/2023] [Revised: 01/12/2024] [Accepted: 01/29/2024] [Indexed: 02/04/2024]
Abstract
Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) data derived from satellites is crucial for estimating spatially-resolved PM concentrations, but existing AOD data over land remain affected by several limitations (e.g., data gaps, coarser resolution, higher uncertainty or lack of size fraction data), which weakens the AOD-PM relationship. We developed a 0.1° resolution daily AOD data set over Europe over the period 2003-2020, based on two-stage Quantile Machine Learning (QML) frameworks. Our approach first fills gaps in satellite AOD data and then constructs three components' models to obtain reliable full-coverage AOD along with Fine-mode AOD (fAOD) and Coarse-mode AOD (cAOD). These models are based on AERONET (AErosol RObotic NETwork) observations, Gap-filled satellite AOD, climate and atmospheric composition reanalyses. Our QML AOD products exhibit better quality with an out-of-sample R2 equal to 0.68 for AOD, 0.66 for fAOD and 0.65 for cAOD, which is 23-92 %, 11-13 % and 115-132 % higher than the corresponding satellite or reanalysis products, respectively. Over 91.6 %, 81.6 %, and 88.9 % of QML AOD, fAOD and cAOD predictions fall within ±20 % Expected Error (EE) envelopes, respectively. Previous studies reported that a weak satellite AOD-PM correlation across Europe (Pearson correlation coefficient (PCC) around 0.1). Our QML products exhibit higher correlations with ground-level PMs, particularly when broadly matched by size: AOD with PM10, fAOD with PM2.5, cAOD with PM coarse (R = 0.41, 0.45 and 0.26, respectively). Different AOD fractions more effectively distinct PM size fractions, than total AOD. Our QML aerosol dataset and models pioneer full-coverage, daily high-resolution monitoring of fine-mode and coarse-mode aerosols, effectively addressing existing AOD challenges for further PMs exposures' estimations. This dataset opens avenues for more in-depth exploration of the impacts of aerosols on human health, climate, visibility, and biogeochemical processes, offering valuable insights for air quality management and environmental health risk assessment.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Zhao-Yue Chen
- ISGLOBAL, Barcelona, Spain; Universitat Pompeu Fabra (UPF), Barcelona, Spain.
| | | | | | | | - Carlos Pérez García-Pando
- Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Barcelona, Spain; ICREA, Catalan Institution for Research and Advanced Studies, Barcelona, Spain
| | | |
Collapse
|
3
|
Singh R, Singh V, Gautam AS, Gautam S, Sharma M, Soni PS, Singh K, Gautam A. Temporal and Spatial Variations of Satellite-Based Aerosol Optical Depths, Angstrom Exponent, Single Scattering Albedo, and Ultraviolet-Aerosol Index over Five Polluted and Less-Polluted Cities of Northern India: Impact of Urbanization and Climate Change. AEROSOL SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING 2023; 7:131-149. [PMCID: PMC9648442 DOI: 10.1007/s41810-022-00168-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/27/2022] [Revised: 10/25/2022] [Accepted: 10/31/2022] [Indexed: 05/31/2023]
Abstract
It is widely acknowledged that factors such as population growth, urbanization's quick speed, economic growth, and industrialization all have a role in the atmosphere's rising aerosol concentration. In the current work, we assessed and discussed the findings of a thorough analysis of the temporal and spatial variations of satellite-based aerosol optical parameters such as Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD), Angstrom Exponent (AE), Single Scattering Albedo (SSA), and Ultraviolet-Aerosol Index (UV-AI), and their concentration have been investigated in this study over five polluted and less-polluted cities of northern India during the last decade 2011–2020. The temporal variation of aerosol optical parameters for AOD ranging from 0.2 to 1.8 with decadal mean 0.86 ± 0.36 for Patna region shows high value with a decadal increasing trend over the study area due to rise in aerosols combustion of fossil fuels, huge vehicles traffic, and biomass over the past ten years. The temporal variation of AE ranging from 0.3 to 1.8 with decadal mean 1.72 ± 0.11 for Agra region shows high value as compared to other study areas, which indicates a comparatively higher level of fine-mode aerosols at Agra. The temporal variation of SSA ranging from 0.8 to 0.9 with decadal mean 0.92 ± 0.02 for SSA shows no discernible decadal pattern at any of the locations. The temporal variation of UV-AI ranging from -1.01 to 2.36 with decadal mean 0.59 ± 0.06 for UV-AI demonstrates a rising tendency, with a noticeable rise in Ludhiana, which suggests relative dominance of absorbing dust aerosols over Ludhiana. Further, to understand the impact of emerging activities, analyses were done in seasonality. For this aerosol climatology was derived for different seasons, i.e., Winter, Pre-Monsoon, Monsoon, and Post-Monsoon. High aerosol was observed in Winter for the study areas Patna, Delhi, and Agra which indicated the particles major dominance of burning aerosol from biomass; and the worst in Monsoon and Post-Monsoon for the Tehri Garhwal and Ludhiana study areas which indicated most of the aerosol concentration is removed by rainfall. After that, we analyzed the correlation among all the parameters to better understand the temporal and spatial distribution characteristics of aerosols over the selected region. The value of r for AOD (550 nm) for regions 2 and 1(0.80) shows a strong positive correlation and moderately positive for the regions 3 and 1 (0.64), mostly as a result of mineral dust carried from arid western regions. The value of r for AE (412/470 nm) for region 3 and (0.40) shows a moderately positive correlation, which is the resultant of the dominance of fine-mode aerosol and negative for the regions 5 and 1 (− 0.06). The value of r for SSA (500 nm) for regions 2 and 1 (0.63) shows a moderately positive correlation, which explains the rise in big aerosol particles, which scatters sun energy more efficiently, and the value of r for UV-AI for regions 1 and 2 shows a strong positive correlation (0.77) and moderately positive for the regions 3 and 1 (0.46) which indicates the absorbing aerosols present over the study region.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Rolly Singh
- Department of Physics Agra College, Dr Bhimrao Ambedkar University, Agra, Agra, 282004 Uttar Pradesh India
| | - Vikram Singh
- Department of Physics Agra College, Dr Bhimrao Ambedkar University, Agra, Agra, 282004 Uttar Pradesh India
| | - Alok Sagar Gautam
- Department of Physics, Hemvati Nandan Bahuguna Garhwal University (A Central University), Srinagar, Garhwal, India
| | - Sneha Gautam
- Department of Civil Engineering, Karunya Institute of Technology and Sciences, Coimbatore, 641117 India
| | - Manish Sharma
- School of Science and Engineering, Himgiri Zee University, Dehra Dun, Uttarakhand India
| | - Pushpendra Singh Soni
- Department of Physics Agra College, Dr Bhimrao Ambedkar University, Agra, Agra, 282004 Uttar Pradesh India
| | - Karan Singh
- Department of Physics, Hemvati Nandan Bahuguna Garhwal University (A Central University), Srinagar, Garhwal, India
| | - Alka Gautam
- Department of Physics Agra College, Dr Bhimrao Ambedkar University, Agra, Agra, 282004 Uttar Pradesh India
| |
Collapse
|
4
|
Variation and Driving Factor of Aerosol Optical Depth over the South China Sea from 1980 to 2020. ATMOSPHERE 2022. [DOI: 10.3390/atmos13030372] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/23/2023]
Abstract
Spatial and temporal variation of aerosol optical depth (AOD) and optical depth of different aerosol types derived from the second Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications (MERRA-2) over the South China Sea (SCS) between 1980 and 2020 were studied. AOD distribution showed different characteristics throughout the entire SCS. Sulfate Aerosol Optical Depth (SO4AOD) and Sea Salt Aerosol Optical Depth (SSAOD) mainly contributed to the spatial and temporal variation of AOD over the SCS. A significant increasing trend followed by a decreasing trend of AOD could be observed in the north of the SCS from 1980 to 2020. Mean MERRA-2 AOD between 1980 and 2020 showed that AOD was high in the north and low in the south and that AOD gradually decreased from north to south over the SCS. AOD after 2000 was obviously higher than that of the 1980s and 1990s. Higher AOD appeared in the spring and winter, and low AOD appeared in the summer. The spatial distribution of scattering aerosol optical depth (SAOD) was similar to AOD distribution over the SCS. SO4AOD and SSAOD were obviously higher than black carbon aerosol optical depth (BCAOD), organic carbon aerosol optical depth (OCAOD), and dust aerosol optical depth (DUAOD) over the SCS. SO4AOD accounted for over 50% of total AOD (TAOD) over the north of the SCS, while BCAOD and DUAOD accounted for less than 10% of TAOD over the entire SCS. An obvious annual mean TAOD increase between 1980 and 2007 could be observed over the northern part of the SCS (NSCS), while a TAOD decrease happened from 2008 to 2020 in this region. The correlation coefficient between TAOD and SO4AOD over NSCS from 1980 to 2020 was about 0.93, indicating SO4AOD was the driving factor of TAOD variation in this area. Different AOD variation trends over the different areas of the SCS could be observed during the two periods including 1980–2007 and 2008–2020. AOD increase appeared over most of the SCS during the period from 1980 to 2007, while AOD decrease could be observed over most of the SCS from 2008 to 2020.
Collapse
|
5
|
Assessment of aerosol burden over Ghana. SCIENTIFIC AFRICAN 2021. [DOI: 10.1016/j.sciaf.2021.e00971] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/22/2022] Open
|
6
|
Khatri P, Hayasaka T, Holben B, Tripathi SN, Misra P, Patra PK, Hayashida S, Dumka UC. Aerosol Loading and Radiation Budget Perturbations in Densely Populated and Highly Polluted Indo-Gangetic Plain by COVID-19: Influences on Cloud Properties and Air Temperature. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS 2021; 48:e2021GL093796. [PMID: 34924636 PMCID: PMC8667642 DOI: 10.1029/2021gl093796] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/09/2021] [Revised: 08/18/2021] [Accepted: 10/02/2021] [Indexed: 06/14/2023]
Abstract
Aerosols emitted in densely populated and industrialized Indo-Gangetic Plain, one of the most polluted regions in the world, modulate regional climate, monsoon, and Himalayan glacier retreat. Thus, this region is important for understanding aerosol perturbations and their resulting impacts on atmospheric changes during COVID-19 lockdown period, a natural experimental condition created by the pandemic. By analyzing 5 years (2016-2020) data of aerosols and performing a radiative transfer calculation, we found that columnar and near-surface aerosol loadings decreased, leading to reductions in radiative cooling at the surface and top of the atmosphere and atmospheric warming during lockdown period. Further, satellite data analyses showed increases in cloud optical thickness and cloud-particle effective radius and decrease in lower tropospheric air temperature during lockdown period. These results indicate critical influences of COVID-19 lockdown on regional climate and water cycle over Indo-Gangetic Plain, emphasizing need for further studies from modeling perspectives.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- P. Khatri
- Graduate School of ScienceCenter for Atmospheric and Oceanic StudiesTohoku UniversitySendaiJapan
- Research Institute for Humanity and NatureKyotoJapan
| | - T. Hayasaka
- Graduate School of ScienceCenter for Atmospheric and Oceanic StudiesTohoku UniversitySendaiJapan
| | - B. Holben
- National Aeronautics and Space AdministrationGoddard Space Flight CenterGreenbeltMDUSA
| | - S. N. Tripathi
- Department of Civil EngineeringIndian Institute of Technology KanpurKanpurIndia
| | - P. Misra
- Research Institute for Humanity and NatureKyotoJapan
| | - P. K. Patra
- Graduate School of ScienceCenter for Atmospheric and Oceanic StudiesTohoku UniversitySendaiJapan
- Research Institute for Humanity and NatureKyotoJapan
- Research Institute for Global ChangeJAMSTECYokohamaJapan
| | - S. Hayashida
- Research Institute for Humanity and NatureKyotoJapan
| | - U. C. Dumka
- Aryabhatta Research Institute of Observational Sciences (ARIES)NainitalIndia
| |
Collapse
|
7
|
Comparison of Aerosol Optical Depth from MODIS Product Collection 6.1 and AERONET in the Western United States. REMOTE SENSING 2021. [DOI: 10.3390/rs13122316] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
Recent observations reveal that dust storms are increasing in the western USA, posing imminent risks to public health, safety, and the economy. Much of the observational evidence has been obtained from ground-based platforms and the visual interpretation of satellite imagery from limited regions. Comprehensive satellite-based observations of long-term aerosol records are still lacking. In an effort to develop such a satellite aerosol dataset, we compared and evaluated the Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) from Deep Blue (DB) and Dark Target (DT) product collection 6.1 with the Aerosol Robotic Network (AERONET) program in the western USA. We examined the seasonal and monthly average number of Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) Aqua DB AOD retrievals per 0.1∘×0.1∘ from January 2003 to December 2017 across the region’s different topographic, climatic, and land cover conditions. The number of retrievals in the southwest United States was on average greater than 37 days per 90 days for all seasons except summer. Springtime saw the highest number of AOD retrievals across the southwest, consistent with the peak season for synoptic-scale dust events. The majority of Arizona, New Mexico, and western Texas showed the lowest number of retrievals during the monsoon season. The majority of collocating domains of AOD from the Aqua sensor showed a better correlation with AERONET AOD than AOD from Terra, and the correlation coefficients exhibited large regional variability across the study area. The correlation coefficient between the couplings Aqua DB AOD-AERONET AOD and Terra DB AOD-AERONET AOD ranges from 0.1 to 0.94 and 0.001 to 0.94, respectively. In the majority of the sites that exhibited less than a 0.6 correlation coefficient and few matched data points at the nearest single pixel, the correlations gradually improved when the spatial domain increased to a 50 km × 50 km box averaging domain. In general, the majority of the stations revealed significant correlation between MODIS and AERONET AOD at all spatiotemporal aggregating domains, although MODIS generally overestimated AOD compared to AERONET. However, the correlation coefficient in the southwest United States was the lowest and in stations from a higher latitude was the highest. The difference in the brightness of the land surface and the latitudinal differences in the aerosol inputs from the forest fires and solar zenith angles are some of the factors that manifested the latitudinal correlation differences.
Collapse
|
8
|
Sathe Y, Gupta P, Bawase M, Lamsal L, Patadia F, Thipse S. Surface and satellite observations of air pollution in India during COVID-19 lockdown: Implication to air quality. SUSTAINABLE CITIES AND SOCIETY 2021; 66:102688. [PMID: 33391979 PMCID: PMC7771315 DOI: 10.1016/j.scs.2020.102688] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/26/2020] [Revised: 12/22/2020] [Accepted: 12/24/2020] [Indexed: 05/18/2023]
Abstract
The strict nationwide lockdown imposed in India starting from 25th March 2020 to prevent the spread of COVID-19 disease reduced the mobility and interrupted several important anthropogenic emission sources thereby creating a temporary air quality improvement. This study conducts a multi-scale (national-regional-city), multi-species, and multi-platform analysis of air pollutants and meteorological data by synergizing surface and satellite observations. Our analysis suggests a significant reduction in surface measurements of nitrogen dioxide (NO2) (46-61 %) and fine particulate matter (PM2.5) (42-60 %) during the lockdown period that are also corroborated by the reduction in satellite observed aerosol optical depth (AOD) (3-56 %) and tropospheric NO2 column density (25-50 %) data over multiple cities. Other species, namely coarse particulate matter (PM10) (24-62 %), ozone (22-56 %) also showed a substantial reduction whereas carbon monoxide (16-46 %), exhibited a moderate decline. In contrast, sulfur dioxide (SO2) levels did not show any defined reduction trend but rather increased in Mumbai, Bengaluru, and Kolkata. The temporary air quality improvement achieved by the painful natural experiment of this pandemic has helped demonstrate the importance of reducing emissions from other sectors along with transportation and industry to achieve the national air quality targets in the future.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Yogesh Sathe
- Automotive Research Association of India, Pune, Maharashtra, India
| | - Pawan Gupta
- STI, Universities Space Research Association (USRA), Huntsville, AL, 35806, USA
- NASA Marshall Space Flight Center, Huntsville, AL, 35805, USA
| | - Moqtik Bawase
- Automotive Research Association of India, Pune, Maharashtra, India
| | - Lok Lamsal
- GESTAR, Universities Space Research Association (USRA), Columbia, MD, 21046, USA
- NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, 20771, USA
| | - Falguni Patadia
- STI, Universities Space Research Association (USRA), Huntsville, AL, 35806, USA
- NASA Marshall Space Flight Center, Huntsville, AL, 35805, USA
- NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, 20771, USA
| | - Sukrut Thipse
- Automotive Research Association of India, Pune, Maharashtra, India
| |
Collapse
|
9
|
A Global Climatology of Dust Aerosols Based on Satellite Data: Spatial, Seasonal and Inter-Annual Patterns over the Period 2005–2019. REMOTE SENSING 2021. [DOI: 10.3390/rs13030359] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
A satellite-based algorithm is developed and used to determine the presence of dust aerosols on a global scale. The algorithm uses as input aerosol optical properties from the MOderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS)-Aqua Collection 6.1 and Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI)-Aura version v003 (OMAER-UV) datasets and identifies the existence of dust aerosols in the atmosphere by applying specific thresholds, which ensure the coarse size and the absorptivity of dust aerosols, on the input optical properties. The utilized aerosol optical properties are the multiwavelength aerosol optical depth (AOD), the Aerosol Absorption Index (AI) and the Ångström Exponent (a). The algorithm operates on a daily basis and at 1° × 1° latitude-longitude spatial resolution for the period 2005–2019 and computes the absolute and relative frequency of the occurrence of dust. The monthly and annual mean frequencies are calculated on a pixel level for each year of the study period, enabling the study of the seasonal as well as the inter-annual variation of dust aerosols’ occurrence all over the globe. Temporal averaging is also applied to the annual values in order to estimate the 15-year climatological mean values. Apart from temporal, a spatial averaging is also applied for the entire globe as well as for specific regions of interest, namely great global deserts and areas of desert dust export. According to the algorithm results, the highest frequencies of dust occurrence (up to 160 days/year) are primarily observed over the western part of North Africa (Sahara), and over the broader area of Bodélé, and secondarily over the Asian Taklamakan desert (140 days/year). For most of the study regions, the maximum frequencies appear in boreal spring and/or summer and the minimum ones in winter or autumn. A clear seasonality of global dust is revealed, with the lowest frequencies in November–December and the highest ones in June. Finally, an increasing trend of global dust frequency of occurrence from 2005 to 2019, equal to 56.2%, is also found. Such an increasing trend is observed over all study regions except for North Middle East, where a slight decreasing trend (−2.4%) is found.
Collapse
|
10
|
Atmospheric Dynamics and Numerical Simulations of Six Frontal Dust Storms in the Middle East Region. ATMOSPHERE 2021. [DOI: 10.3390/atmos12010125] [Citation(s) in RCA: 22] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/14/2022]
Abstract
This study analyzes six frontal dust storms in the Middle East during the cold period (October–March), aiming to examine the atmospheric circulation patterns and force dynamics that triggered the fronts and the associated (pre- or post-frontal) dust storms. Cold troughs mostly located over Turkey, Syria and north Iraq played a major role in the front propagation at the surface, while cyclonic conditions and strong winds facilitated the dust storms. The presence of an upper-atmosphere (300 hPa) sub-tropical jet stream traversing from Egypt to Iran constitutes also a dynamic force accompanying the frontal dust storms. Moderate-Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) and Cloud-Aerosol Lidar and Infrared Pathfinder Satellite Observation (CALIPSO) observations are used to monitor the spatial and vertical extent of the dust storms, while model (Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with Chemistry (WRF-Chem), Copernicus Atmospheric Monitoring Service (CAMS), Regional Climate Model-4 (RegCM4)) simulations are also analyzed. The WRF-Chem outputs were in better agreement with the MODIS observations compared to those of CAMS and RegCM4. The fronts were identified by WRF-Chem simulations via gradients in the potential temperature and sudden changes of wind direction in vertical cross-sections. Overall, the uncertainties in the simulations and the remarkable differences between the model outputs indicate that modelling of dust storms in the Middle East is really challenging due to the complex terrain, incorrect representation of the dust sources and soil/surface characteristics, and uncertainties in simulating the wind speed/direction and meteorological dynamics. Given the potential threat by dust storms, more attention should be directed to the dust model development in this region.
Collapse
|