Prognostic significance of pretreatment serum carcinoembryonic antigen levels in gastric cancer with pathological lymph node-negative: A large sample single-center retrospective study

Prognostic significance of serum tumor markers in various pathologic subtypes of gastric cancer

PURPOSE

This study aimed to assess the utility of 6 serum tumor markers in prognosis between gastric adenocarcinoma and gastric signet ring cell carcinoma (SRCC).

METHODS

A cohort of 3131 cases of gastric adenocarcinoma and 275 cases of gastric SRCC was assembled. The serum levels of carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9), carbohydrate antigen 125, alpha fetoprotein (AFP), carbohydrate antigen 242 (CA242), and carbohydrate antigen 724 (CA724) were measured in all cases. The study analyzed the association between the levels of these 6 tumor markers and the prognosis of gastric adenocarcinoma and SRCC.

RESULTS

The study revealed that gastric SRCC exhibited lower concentrations of CEA (P < .001) and CA19-9 (P = .002), along with reduced positive rates of CEA (P = .041), CA19-9 (P = .003), AFP (P < .001), and CA242 (P = .006), while displaying higher positive rates of CA724 (P = .024) than gastric adenocarcinoma. Nevertheless, the receiver operating characteristic curve demonstrated that serum tumor markers did not hold clinical significance in differentiating between gastric adenocarcinoma and SRCC. Survival analysis substantiated that the combined criteria of serum tumor markers stood as an independent risk factor for both gastric adenocarcinoma and SRCC. Notably, the nomogram indicated that serum tumor markers exerted a more substantial influence on the prognosis of gastric adenocarcinoma than on gastric SRCC.

CONCLUSION

The study concluded that the combined criteria of serum tumor markers emerge as independent risk factors for both subtypes of gastric cancer. Furthermore, this combined approach exhibited enhanced efficacy in prognosticating the outcome of gastric adenocarcinoma compared with gastric SRCC.

Role of CYFRA 21-1 and CEA as prognostic and predictive markers in locally advanced and metastatic gastric carcinoma

PURPOSE

Tumor-associated serum markers have demonstrated predictive and prognostic value in patients being treated for malignancies. However, the clinical importance of tumor markers in gastric cancers (GC) is poorly standardized.

OBJECTIVES

The objective is to assess the clinical utility of cytokeratin-19 fragment (CYFRA 21-1) and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) as serum tumor markers in advanced GC.

METHODS

In this prospective study, CYFRA 21-1 and CEA levels were measured at baseline and after three cycles of chemotherapy in patients with advanced GC. The association of tumor marker levels with prognosis and decline of tumor markers with radiological overall response rates (ORR) and survival were analyzed.

RESULTS

In the 105 patients, the proportion of patients with elevated baseline CYFRA 21-1 and CEA levels was 55% (N = 58) and 37% (N = 39) based on predefined cutoffs. Response assessment was done for 61 patients who received a minimum of three cycles of chemotherapy. A 15% and 13% reduction of serum levels from baseline for CYFRA 21-1 and CEA were selected for defining "CYFRA 21-1 response" and "CEA-response," respectively. Both responses were significant predictors of radiological ORR. The median overall survival (OS) was 9.6 months in the entire cohort and 13 months for patients who received at least three cycles of chemotherapy. In multivariate analysis, baseline CEA levels and ECOG status were significant predictors of OS. In a subset analysis of patients receiving palliative chemotherapy, any of the tumor marker responses predicted improved 1-year OS.

CONCLUSION

In advanced GC, CYFRA 21-1 and CEA decline from baseline appeared to be reliable surrogate markers of chemotherapy efficacy and improved survival.

The impact of neoadjuvant chemotherapy on the clinical efficacy and serum tumor marker levels in patients undergoing radical surgery for gastric cancer

The objective of this article is to study the impact of neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) on the clinical efficacy and serum tumor marker levels in patients undergoing radical surgery for gastric cancer (GC). Thirty patients who underwent routine radical surgery for GC in our hospital from January 2020 to June 2021 were included in the control group. Thirty patients who underwent radical surgery for GC after receiving NAC from July 2021 to December 2022 were included in the observation group. The treatment outcomes of the observation group were assessed and analyzed. The surgical indicators, tumor markers, Karnofsky Performance Status (KPS), and occurrence of adverse reactions were compared between the 2 groups. Comparisons were made between the 2 groups in terms of surgical duration, number of lymph node dissections, intraoperative blood loss, time to postoperative ambulation, length of hospital stay, and time to postoperative passage of flatus (P > .05). The observation group had a higher proportion of R0 resection at the surgical margin compared to the control group (P < .05). The serum tumor markers of the 2 groups were compared before treatment (P > .05). After treatment, the levels of serum carcinoembryonic antigen, alpha-fetoprotein, cancer antigen 125, and carbohydrate antigen 72-4 decreased in both groups, and the observation group showed a greater reduction in these tumor marker levels compared to the control group (P < .05). The KPS scores of the 2 groups were compared before treatment (P > .05). After treatment, the KPS scores increased in both groups, with the observation group showing a higher improvement compared to the control group (P < .05). The overall incidence of adverse reactions, including incision infection, pleural effusion, pulmonary infection, intestinal obstruction, and gastric emptying disorders, was lower in the observation group (6.67%) compared to the control group (26.67%) (P < .05). The combination of NAC with radical surgery for GC is safe and feasible. It can significantly increase the R0 resection rate, effectively improve the levels of serum tumor markers, enhance patient's quality of life, and result in fewer surgical adverse reactions.

Pretreatment controlling nutritional status (CONUT) score and carcinoembryonic antigen level provide tumor progression and prognostic information in gastric cancer: A retrospective study

This study explores the role of combining the controlling nutritional status (CONUT) score and the carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) level on predicting tumor stage and prognosis in gastric cancer (GC) patients. A total of 682 GC patients were included in this retrospective study. CONUT scores and CEA levels were combined to establish a new scoring system: CONUT-CEA score. cutoff values for distinguishing patients between stage IV and non-stage IV were established by receiver operating characteristic curves. cutoff values for predicting prognosis were determined by maximum χ2 method. The CONUT and CEA cutoff values for discriminating stage IV patients from non-stage IV patients were 2.0 and 5.58 ng/mL, respectively. Logistic regression model demonstrated that high CONUT-CEA score was related to advanced tumor stage. Among non-stage IV patients, CONUT and CEA cutoff values of 2.0 and 9.50 ng/mL predicted overall survival (OS), respectively. The Cox proportional risk model revealed that high CONUT-CEA score was notable related to decreased OS (2 vs 0: hazard ratios (HR) = 2.358, 95% confidence intervals (CI) = 1.412-3.940, P = .001) and decreased disease-free survival (2 vs 0: HR = 1.980, 95% CI = 1.072-3.656, P = .003). The CONUT-CEA score may be a good biomarker for predicting tumor stage and prognosis in GC patients.

A novel nomogram integrated with PDL1 and CEA to predict the prognosis of patients with gastric cancer

INTRODUCTION

This study aimed to develop a prognostic nomogram for patients with gastric cancer (GC) based on the levels of programmed death 1 ligand 1 (PDL1) and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA).

METHODS

The nomogram was developed using data from a primary cohort of 247 patients who had been clinicopathologically diagnosed with GC, as well as a validation cohort of 63 patients. Furthermore, the nomogram divided the patients into three different risk groups for overall survival (OS)-the low-risk, middle-risk, and high-risk groups. Univariate and multivariate Cox hazard analyses were used to determine all of the factors included in the model. Decision curve analysis and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to assess the accuracy of the nomogram.

RESULTS

The Kaplan-Meier survival analysis revealed that metastasis stage, clinical stage, and CEA and PDL1 levels were predictors for progress-free survival (PFS) and OS of patients with GC. Metastasis stage, clinical stage, and CEA and PDL1 levels were found to be independent risk factors for the PFS and OS of patients with GC in a multivariate analysis, and the nomogram was based on these factors. The concordance index of the nomogram was 0.763 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.740-0.787]. The area under the concentration-time curve of the nomogram model was 0.81 (95% CI 0.780-0.900). According to the decision curve analysis and ROC curves, the nomogram model had a higher overall net efficiency in forecasting OS than clinical stage, CEA and PDL1 levels.

CONCLUSION

In conclusion, we proposed a novel nomogram that integrated PDL1 and CEA, and the proposed nomogram provided more accurate and useful prognostic predictions for patients with GC.

Delta computed tomography radiomics features-based nomogram predicts long-term efficacy after neoadjuvant chemotherapy in advanced gastric cancer

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

No effective preoperative tool is available for predicting the prognosis of advanced gastric cancer (AGC) treated by neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC). We aimed to explore the association between change values ("delta") in the radiomic signatures of computed tomography (CT) (delCT-RS) before and after NAC for AGC and overall survival(OS).

METHODS AND DESIGN

A total of 132 AGC patients with AGC were studied as a training cohort in our center, and 45 patients from another center were used as an external validation set. A radiomic signatures-clinical-nomogram(RS-CN) was established using delCT-RS and preoperative clinical variables. The prediction performance of RS-CN was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC)curve (AUC values), time-dependent ROC, decision curve analysis(DCA) and C-index.

RESULTS

Multivariable Cox regression analyses showed that delCT-RS, cT-stage, cN-stage, Lauren-type and the value of variation of carcinoma embryonic antigen (CEA) between NAC were independent risk factors for 3-year OS of AGC. In the training cohort, RS-CN had a good prediction performance for OS (C-Index 0.73) and AUC values were significantly better than those of delCT-RS, ypTNM-stage and tumor regression grade(TRG) (0.827 vs 0.704 vs 0.749 vs 0.571, p < 0.001). DCA and time-dependent ROC of RS-CN were better than those of ypTNM stage, TRG grade and delCT-RS. The prediction performance of the validation set was equivalent to that of the training set. The cut-off (177.2) of RS-CN score was obtained from X-Tile software, a score of > 177.2 was defined as high-risk group(HRG), and scores of ≤ 177.2 were defined as the low-risk group(LRG). The 3-year OS and disease free survival(DFS) of patients in the LRG were significantly better than those in the HRG. Adjuvant chemotherapy(AC) can only significantly improve the 3-year OS and DFS of the LRG. (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Our nomogram based on delCT-RS has good prediction of prognosis before surgery and helps identify patients that are most likely to benefit from AC. It works well in precise and individualised NAC in AGC.

Positive H. pylori status predicts better prognosis of non-cardiac gastric cancer patients: results from cohort study and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Previous researches have associated Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori) with a prognosis of gastric cancer (GC), however, without a concert conclusion. This study aimed to study this issue further by a prospective cohort study and a meta-analysis.

METHODS

Histologically diagnosed gastric cancer (GC) patients were recruited into the primary prospective cohort study between January 2009 to December 2013. All the patients were followed-up periodically to record information on post-surgery therapy and overall survival status. The pre-surgery status of H. pylori was measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. A meta-analysis was conducted after retrieving related researches in the databases of PubMed and Embase up to April 2020. Pooled hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were summarized to validate the relationship between H. pylori infection and the survival time of GC patients. I² statistics and Q test were used to assess the heterogeneity. Sensitivity analyses were performed using Galbraith's plot, leave-one-out analysis, subgroup analyses and meta-regression to explore the sources of heterogeneity and the stability of the summary results.

RESULTS

A total of 743 GC patients with radical tumorectomy were included prospectively and 516 (69.4%) were positive on H. pylori. H. pylori-positive patients tended to survive longer than -negative ones (HR 0.92, 95%CI: 0.74-1.15), though the tendency was not statistically significant. Cohort studies on the prognosis of GC were retrieved comprehensively by assessing the full-text and 59 published studies, together with the result of our study, were included in the further meta-analysis. The summarized results related the positive status of H. pylori to better overall survival (HR 0.81, 95%CI: 0.72-0.90) and disease-free survival (HR 0.83, 95%CI: 0.67-0.99). Results from subgroup analyses indicated that the pooled magnitude of this association was relatively lower in studies not referring to H. pylori in title and abstract.

CONCLUSIONS

In conclusion, gastric cancer patients with H. pylori have a better prognosis than patients of H. pylori negative. More stringent surveillance strategies may be necessary for patients with H. pylori negative at cancer diagnosis.

Prognostic value of preoperative body mass index for diabetic patients with non-metastasis gastric cancer: a single center experience

Aim

This study was designed to investigate the prognostic effect of preoperative body mass index (BMI) for Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) patients with non-metastasis gastric cancer (GC) who underwent D₂ gastrectomy.

Methods

T2DM patients with pT_1–4bN_0–3bM₀ GC were retrospectively collected in Department of Gastrointestinal Surgical Oncology, Fujian Cancer Hospital & Fujian Medical University Cancer Hospital from January, 2000 to December, 2010. These patients underwent D₂ radical resection of the stomach combined with regional lymphadenectomy. Chi-square test was used to analyze unordered categorical variables and ranked data, followed by Kaplan–Meier analysis as well as Cox regression models to detect risk factors for survival outcomes. In addition, the cut-off point was determined by the X-tile program. All analyses were carried out using survival package of R and SPSS Software.

Results

A total of 302 T2DM patients with pT_1–4bN_0–3bM₀ GC were collected and analyzed. The cut-off points of BMI, identified by the X-tile program, was 19 kg/m². Patients with low BMI (< 19 kg/m²) had a higher percentage of advanced T stage (T_4a and T_4b), more advanced TNM stage (stage IIIA, IIIB and IIIC), and more elevated level of serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), compared to those with high BMI (> 19 kg/m²) (all P < 0.05). In the low BMI subgroup, the 5-year overall survival rate was 39.02%, which was as high as 58.11% in the high BMI subgroup (P < 0.05). In the multivariate Cox regression model revealed that III_C stage (OR = 3.101), N_3b stage (OR = 3.113) were the most important prognostic indicators, followed by pretreatment BMI (OR = 2.136).

Conclusion

Low preoperative BMI (< 19 kg/m²) was a poor prognostic marker for T2DM patients with pT_1–4bN_0–3bM₀ GC.

CA724 predicts overall survival in locally advanced gastric cancer patients with neoadjuvant chemotherapy

Background

Serum tumor markers including AFU, AFP, CEA, CA199, CA125 and CA724, are of great importance in the diagnosis, prognostic prediction and recurrence monitoring of gastrointestinal malignancies. However, their significance in gastric cancer (GC) patients with neoadjuvant therapy (NCT) is still uncertain. The aim of this study was to evaluate the predictive value of these six tumor markers in locally advanced GC patients who underwent NCT and curative surgery.

Methods

In total, 290 locally advanced GC patients who underwent NCT and D2 radical gastrectomy were retrospectively analyzed. Data on their tumor markers before (pre-) and after (post-) NCT and pathological characteristics were extracted from the database of our hospital. The optimal cutoff values of the six tumor markers were calculated by the ROC curve and Youden index. Their predictive significance was analyzed and survival curves for overall survival (OS) were obtained by the Kaplan-Meier method. Associations between categorical variables were explored by the chi-square test or Fisher’s exact test. Multivariate analyses were performed by the Cox regression model.

Results

Pre- and post-CA199, −CA125 and -CA724 could predict overall survival (all P < 0.05), but only the change (diff-) of CA199 was related to prognosis (P = 0.05). In the multivariable analysis, pre- (P = 0.014) and post-CA724 (P = 0.036) remained significant, though diff-CA724 was not an independent prognostic factor (P = 0.581). In addition, pre- and post-CA199, −CA125 and -CA724 were associated with lymph node metastasis (N- vs N+) and pathological stage (I-II vs III) (all P < 0.05). Moreover, post-CA724 was related to the vascular or lymphatic invasion (P = 0.019), while pre-CA724 was not (P = 0.082). However, AFU, AFP and CEA showed no association with survival (P > 0.05).

Conclusions

CA724 is an independent factor for prognosis and could be used to predict ypN and ypTNM stage in locally advanced GC patients undergoing NCT and curative resection.

Association of Preoperative Serum Carcinoembryonic Antigen and Gastric Cancer Recurrence: A Large Cohort Study

Background and Aim: Measuring postoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) is recommended by guidelines to help detecting recurrence of gastric cancer patients. However, the prognostic significance of elevated preoperative CEA is unclear. This study aims to investigate whether patients with elevated preoperative CEA have a higher risk of recurrence than patients with normal preoperative CEA.

Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study at a gastric cancer center in South China. Consecutive patients with stage I to III gastric adenocarcinoma who underwent curative resection at the center from January 2001 to February 2016 were identified. Patients were grouped into two cohorts: normal preoperative CEA (≤ 5 ng/ml), and elevated preoperative CEA (> 5 ng/ml). 3-year recurrence-free survival (RFS) and hazard function curves over time were estimated.

Results: A total of 1,596 patients (1,063 {66.6%} male; median {Interquartile range, IQR} age, 59 {50-66} years) were identified. Patients with elevated preoperative CEA had 15.5% lower 3-year RFS (n=222 {70.4%}) than the cohorts with normal preoperative CEA (n=1,374 {85.9%}). The hazard function of recurrence for the two cohorts peaked at the similar time (around 10 months after surgery). Multivariate Cox analyses confirmed that elevated preoperative CEA was independently associated with shorter RFS (Hazard Ratio {HR}, 1.69; 95% confidence interval {CI}, 1.26-2.27; P = 0.001).

Conclusions: Patients with elevated preoperative CEA are at increased risk for recurrence, especially within the first 24 months after surgery.

The significance of preoperative serum carcinoembryonic antigen levels in the prediction of lymph node metastasis and prognosis in locally advanced gastric cancer: a retrospective analysis

Background

In this study, we aimed to investigate the preoperative serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) in the diagnosis of positive lymph node metastasis (LNM), and to evaluated the relationship between CEA and survival in patients with locally advanced gastric cancer (LAGC).

Methods

The significance of the preoperative serum CEA level for the diagnose of LAGC and prediction of LNM was determined using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. The areas under the ROC of CEA were compared with those of other tumor markers or imaging examination including CT and MRI. Logistic regression was utilized to identify the risk factors predicting positive LNM. Independent prognosis factors were evaluated using univariate and multivariate COX regression analyses.

Results

The ROC curves showed that the AUCs of CEA, CA199, and CA125 for diagnosing LAGC were 0.727, 0.594, and 0.566. When used to predict LNM, the AUC of CEA, CA199 and CA125 were 0.696, 0.531, and 0.588. Logistic regression analysis demonstrated that preoperative serum CEA were significantly associated with positive LNM. On combining imaging examination with CEA, the sensitivity and specificity were 85.3 and 79.4%, respectively, with the AUC equal to 0.853. The combination of CEA and imaging examination preformed the highest levels of AUC and sensitivity for diagnosing LNM, which is significantly higher than using either of them alone. Although patients with abnormal CEA have a poor prognosis, two models of multivariate analysis showed that CEA was not the independent prognosis factor for survival.

Conclusions

CEA can be used to diagnose gastric cancer and determine whether it has LNM. Moreover, combined with CEA could improve the diagnostic sensitivity of imaging examination for lymph node involvement.

Multislice spiral CT images combined with CEA and lymphocyte-to-neutrophil ratio predict recurrence and post-operative metastasis of rectal cancer

To explore the early predictors of post-operative recurrence and metastasis of rectal cancer, analyse the associated risk, and construct a model. Retrospective collection. Four hundred patients with rectal cancer underwent surgical resection and pathological diagnosis from September 2013 to September 2014. During the post-operative period, the patients were tested by imaging examination, serum tumour markers, and routine blood follow-up for at least 3 years. Preoperative CT examination of tumour size, lymphocyte-to-neutrophil ratio, and CEA were significant biomarkers for predicting recurrence and/or metastasis of post-operative rectal cancer. The stratified threshold of the lesion size cut-off point in CT images of patients with rectal cancer was 18.75 cm³, the cut-off point value of the lymphocyte-to-neutrophil ratio was 0.33, and the CEA cut-off point value was 16.97 ng/ml. We used the cut-off point to perform stratified survival analysis to obtain two K-M curves and conduct a log-rank test. The Cox multivariate risk regression results were as follows: preoperative CT images of lesion size, lymphocyte-to-neutrophil ratio, and CEA. The AUC of the normogram model for the prediction of post-operative recurrence and metastasis of rectal cancer is 0.939. Preoperative CT examination of tumour size can predict post-operative recurrence and metastasis of rectal cancer and can be used to analyse its risk. The lymphocyte-to-neutrophil ratio and CEA can also predict post-operative tumour recurrence and metastasis risk.

Preoperative AFU Is a Useful Serological Prognostic Predictor for Colorectal Liver Oligometastasis Patients Undergoing Hepatic Resection

Background: Preoperative alpha-l-fucosidase (AFU) has been used as a diagnostic biomarker for several cancers, but its role as a prognostic predictor in colorectal cancer liver oligometastasis (CLOM) patients after radical surgery has not been well defined. This study aimed to investigate the prognostic significance of preoperative serum AFU for CLOM patients after hepatic resection.

Methods: A retrospective data set was collected to evaluate the prognostic value of preoperative AFU in CLOM patients after radical hepatic resection. A total of 269 patients with histopathologically confirmed CLOM were enrolled. The optimal cut-off value of preoperative AFU was determined using X-tile software. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to identify the prognostic significance of preoperative serum AFU.

Results: The X-tile software showed that the optimal cut-off value of preoperative AFU was set at 30.8 U/L. Patients with preoperative AFU≤30.8 and >30.8 were classified into high and low AFU groups, respectively. Female patients and those with a single liver metastasis had a higher tendency to have a preoperative AFU≤30.8 U/L; patients with lower clinical risk score (CRS) were more likely to have AFU >30.8 U/L than patients with higher CRS. The results showed that preoperative AFU was an independent prognostic factor for overall survival (OS) (P=0.041). Patients with a preoperative AFU≤30.8 U/L had a lower OS rate than those with AFU>30.8 U/L. Furthermore, for patients with lower CRS scores (0-2), the tendency clearly showed that patients with higher preoperative AFU had a better prognosis (P=0.029).

Conclusions: Higher preoperative serum AFU can predict better survival in CLOM patients after hepatic resection, especially for CLOM patients with lower CRS scores.

Prognostic value of lymph nodes count on survival of patients with distal cholangiocarcinomas

AIM

To evaluate the prognostic value of the number of retrieved lymph nodes (LNs) and other prognostic factors for patients with distal cholangiocarcinomas, and to determine the optimal retrieved LNs cut-off number.

METHODS

The Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results database was used to screen for patients with distal cholangiocarcinoma. Patients with different numbers of retrieved LNs were divided into three groups by the X-tile program. X-tile from Yale University is a useful tool for outcome-based cut-point optimization. The Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression analysis were utilized for survival analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 449 patients with distal cholangiocarcinoma met the inclusion criteria. The Kaplan-Meier survival analysis for all patients and for N1 patients revealed no significant differences among patients with different retrieved LN counts in terms of overall and cancer-specific survival. In patients with node-negative distal cholangiocarcinoma, patients with four to nine retrieved LNs had a significantly better overall (P = 0.026) and cancer-specific survival (P = 0.039) than others. In the subsequent multivariate analysis, the number of retrieved LNs was evaluated to be independently associated with survival. Additionally, patients with four to nine retrieved LNs had a significantly lower overall mortality risk [hazard ratio (HR) = 0.39; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.20-0.74] and cancer cause-specific mortality risk (HR = 0.32; 95%CI: 0.15-0.66) than other patients. Additionally, stratified survival analyses showed persistently better overall and cancer-specific survival when retrieving four to nine LNs in patients with any T stage of tumor, a tumor between 20 and 50 mm in diameter, or a poorly differentiated or undifferentiated tumor, and in patients who were ≤ 70-years-old.

CONCLUSION

The number of retrieved LNs was an important independent prognostic factor for patients with node-negative distal cholangiocarcinoma. Additionally, patients with four to nine retrieved LNs had better overall and cancer-specific survival rates than others, but the reason and mechanism were unclear. This conclusion should be validated in future studies.