Development and validation of a risk prediction score for the severity of acute hypertriglyceridemic pancreatitis in Chinese patients

High-flow nasal cannula oxygen therapy is equally effective to noninvasive ventilation for mild-moderate acute respiratory distress syndrome in patients with acute pancreatitis: A single-center, retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

The use of high-flow nasal cannula (HFNC) oxygen therapy is gaining popularity for the treatment of acute hypoxic respiratory failure. However, limited evidence exists regarding the effectiveness of HFNC for acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) in patients with acute pancreatitis (AP).

METHODS

This retrospective analysis focused on AP patients with mild-moderate ARDS, who were treated with either HFNC or noninvasive ventilation (NIV) in the emergency medicine department, from January 2020 to December 2022. The primary endpoint was treatment failure, defined as either invasive ventilation or a switch to any other study treatment (NIV for patients in the NFNC group and vice versa).

RESULTS

A total of 146 patients with AP (68 in the HFNC group and 78 in the NIV group) were included in this study. The treatment failure rate in the HFNC group was 17.6% and 19.2% in the NIV group - a risk difference of -1.6% (95% CI, -11.3 to 14.0%; P = 0.806). The most common causes of failure in the HFNC group were aggravation of respiratory distress and hypoxemia. However, in the NIV group, the most common reasons for failure were treatment intolerance and exacerbation of respiratory distress. Treatment intolerance in the HFNC group was significantly lower than that in the NIV group (16.7% vs 60.0%, 95% CI -66.8 to -6.2; P = 0.023). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that body mass index (≥28), acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II score (≥15), partial arterial oxygen tension/fraction of inspired oxygen (≤200), and respiratory rate (≥32/min) at 1 hour were independent predictors of HFNC failure.

CONCLUSION

In AP patients with mild-moderate ARDS, the usage of HFNC did not lead to a higher rate of treatment failure when compared to NIV. HFNC is an ideal choice of respiratory support for patients with NIV intolerance, but clinical application should pay attention to the influencing factors of its treatment failure.

Global, regional, and national burden of pancreatitis in older adults, 1990-2019: A systematic analysis for the global burden of disease study 2019

Background

To describe the past, present and future burden of pancreatitis in older adults, and to explore cross-national inequalities across socio-demographic index (SDI).

Methods

Data on pancreatitis in older adults, including mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) rates, were collected from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 study. Temporal trends were measured using joinpoint analyses and predicted using a Bayesian age-period-cohort model. Additionally, the unequal distribution of the burden of pancreatitis in older adults was quantified.

Results

From 1990 to 2019, the number of deaths and DALYs due to pancreatitis in older adults has been increasing annually. However, in most regions of the world, age-standardized death rates (ASDR) and age-standardized DALYs rates have been declining. The burden of pancreatitis in older adults was highest in low SDI region, primarily affecting the population aged 65-74, with a greater burden on males than females. Furthermore, from 1990 to 2019, absolute and relative cross-national inequalities in pancreatitis among older adults have remained largely unchanged. It is projected that in the next 11 years, the number of deaths in older adults due to pancreatitis will continue to increase, but the ASDR is expected to decline.

Conclusion

Over the past 30 years, the ASDR and age-standardized DALYs rate of pancreatitis in older adults have shown a decline globally, but the absolute burden continues to increase. Cross-national health inequalities persist. Therefore, it is necessary to develop targeted intervention measures and enhance awareness among this vulnerable population regarding the risk factors associated with pancreatitis.

Chaiqin Chengqi Decoction as an adjuvant treatment for mild/moderately severe hypertriglyceridemic acute pancreatitis: A retrospective study

BACKGROUND

Hypertriglyceridemia is the third leading cause of acute pancreatitis (AP), and its incidence is increasing. Due to its relatively insidious etiology, it is easy to be ignored in the early stages. In China, Chaiqin Chengqi Decoction (CQCQD) has long been employed for treating AP.

AIM

To evaluate the effectiveness of CQCQD in patients diagnosed with mild/ moderately severe hypertriglyceridemic AP (HTG-AP).

METHODS

In this study, the clinical data of 39 patients with HTG-AP admitted from January 2019 to November 2022 were collected. The changes of blood lipids, gastrointestinal symptoms, and abdominal pain before and after treatment were analyzed and compared between the two groups.

RESULTS

Twenty patients were treated with the conventional HTG-AP regimen, and 19 patients were additionally treated with CQCQD. After receiving treatment, the triglycerides (TG) level of the CQCQD group was lower than that of the CQCQD group (3.14 ± 0.25 mmol/L vs 4.96 ± 0.47 mmol/L, P < 0.01). After 3 d of treatment, the patients in the CQCQD group had more bowel movements than the control group (2.51 ± 0.25 times vs 1.00 ± 0.17 times, P = 0.01). The gastrointestinal function of most patients returned to normal, and the acute gastrointestinal injury score was significantly lower than that of the control group (0.11 ± 0.07 vs 0.42 ± 0.11, P < 0.01).

CONCLUSION

In patients with HTG-AP, CQCQD can significantly reduce the TG level, shorten the recovery time of defecation, significantly improve the gastrointestinal function.

A nomogram for predicting in-hospital overall survival of hypertriglyceridemia-induced severe acute pancreatitis: A single center, cross-sectional study

Background

Hypertriglyceridemia-induced severe acute pancreatitis (HTG-SAP) is a type of pancreatitis characterized by an abnormal elevation of plasma triglyceride. HTG-SAP has been associated with various complications and a high mortality rate. In this study, we established a nomogram for predicting the overall survival (OS) of HTG-SAP patients during hospitalization.

Methods

128 HTG-SAP cases hospitalized at the Affiliated Huadu Hospital, Southern Medical University, from 2019 to 2022 were analyzed retrospectively. A nomogram including prognostic factors correlated with OS during hospitalization was established by multivariate Cox regression analysis. We internally validated the nomogram using time-dependent (at 1-, 2-, and 3- months) survival receiver operating characteristic (SROC) and calibration curve with 500 iterations of bootstrap resampling. Time-dependent decision curve analysis (DCA) was employed to validate the clinical value of the nomogram.

Results

Multivariate Cox regression indicated that serum triglyceride, red blood cell distribution width (RDW), lactic acid, and interleukin-6 (IL6) were independent prognostic factors for OS of HTG-SAP patients during hospitalization and were used to construct a nomogram. The time-dependent area under the curve (AUC) values at 1-, 2-, and 3- months were 0.946, 0.913, and 0.929, respectively, and the Concordance index (C-index) of the nomogram was 0.916 (95%CI 0.871-0.961). The time-dependent calibration curves indicated good consistency between the observed and predicted outcomes. The time-dependent DCAs also revealed that the nomogram yielded a high clinical net benefit. After stratifying the included cases into two risk groups based on the risk score obtained from the nomogram, the high-risk group exhibited a significantly inferior overall survival (OS) compared to the low-risk group (p < 0.0001).

Conclusions

Our nomogram exhibited good performance in predicting the overall survival of HTG-SAP patients during hospitalization.