Analysis of prognostic factors and applicability of Kohne's prognostic groups in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer treated with first-line irinotecan or oxaliplatin-based chemotherapy

Association Between Serum Creatinine Concentrations and Overall Survival in Patients With Colorectal Cancer: A Multi-Center Cohort Study

Background

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is one of the most common malignancies throughout the world, with high rates of morbidity and mortality. Previous studies reported that serum creatinine (Scr) concentrations were associated with overall survival (OS) in cancer patients, but little is known about the association between Scr and OS in patients with CRC. This study investigated the relationship between Scr concentrations and OS in patients with CRC and examined possible effect modifiers.

Methods

A retrospective cohort, including 1,733 patients with CRC, was established from a multi-center clinical study. Patients were divided into low (<71 μmol/L in men or <59 μmol/L in women), normal (71-104 μmol/L in men or 59-85 μmol/L in women) and high (>104 μmol/L in men or >85 μmol/L in women) Scr groups. Cox regression analysis was used to examine association between Scr concentrations and OS. Stratified (subgroup) analyses were used to examine men and women separately. Interaction tests were used to evaluate associations between each variable and OS, as well as possible interactions of these variables with Scr levels. Cross-classified analyses were used only in men.

Results

Patients with low [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.43, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.19-1.72; P < 0.001] or high (HR = 1.89, 95% CI = 1.36-2.63; P < 0.001) Scr level had a significantly lower OS than patients with normal Scr levels. Significant interactions with Scr concentrations were observed for body mass index (P for interaction = 0.019) in men.

Conclusion

Low or high Scr concentration is associated with significantly lower OS in patients with CRC. Future study is warranted to investigate the underlying mechanism.

Prognostic role of a new index (multi inflammatory index) in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer: results from the randomized ITACa trial

Aims

We created a new index (Multi Inflammatory Index, MII) composed of an inflammatory index [neutrophil-to lymphocyte-ratio (NLR): MII-1; platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR): MII-2; or systemic immune-inflammation index (SII): MII-3] and C-reactive protein (CRP). Our aim was to evaluate the prognostic and/or predictive capacity of the MII in the randomized ITACa (Italian Trial in Advanced Colorectal Cancer) study on patients with metastatic colorectal cancer undergoing first-line chemotherapy.

Methods

Between November 2007 and March 2012, baseline NLR, PLR; SII and CRP were available for 131 patients, 66 receiving chemotherapy plus bevacizumab and 65 receiving chemotherapy alone.

Results

Patients with low (<25) MII-1 levels had a better outcome than those with high (⩾25) levels: median progression-free survival (PFS) was 12.4 versus 8.9 months [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.74, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.21-2.51, p = 0.003] and median overall survival (OS) was 30.9 months versus 15.0 months (HR = 2.05, 95% CI 1.40-3.02, p = 0.0002), respectively. Similar results were obtained for patients with low (<1424) MII-2 levels compared with those with high (⩾1424) levels: median PFS was 12.6 versus 8.9 months (HR = 1.95, 95% CI 1.35-2.82, p = 0.0004) and median OS was 32.4 versus 14.6 months, respectively (HR = 2.42, 95% CI 1.64-3.57, p < 0.0001). Patients with low (<6068) MII-3 levels had a longer median PFS and OS than those with high (⩾6068) levels: 12.6 versus 8.9 months (HR = 1.91, 95% CI 1.33-2.76, p = 0.005) and 30.9 versus15.0 months (HR = 2.10, 95% CI 1.43-3.09, p = 0.0002), respectively. Following adjustment for clinical covariates, multivariate analysis confirmed all MII indexes as independent prognostic factors for predicting PFS and OS.

Conclusion

All MII indexes appear to be useful as prognostic markers.

Trial registration

ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT01878422 (registration date: 07/06/2013) https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT01878422.

Decreased percentage of neutrophil is a predict factor for the efficacy of trifluridine and tipiracil hydrochloride for pretreated metastatic colorectal cancer

Background

The concentration of trifluridine in tumor DNA was strongly correlated with that of white blood cells in tumor-bearing nude mice administered trifluridine-tipiracil (TAS-102). Further, a phase I study of TAS-102 in patients with advanced solid tumors showed a significant correlation between decreased neutrophil count and the area under the concentration-time curve of trifluridine. Herein, we aimed to evaluate the association of decreased neutrophil count with the efficacy of TAS-102.

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed 40 patients with pretreated metastatic colorectal cancer who received TAS-102 at Yodogawa Christian Hospital between June 2014 and May 2018. To evaluate the association between the efficacy of TAS-102 and decreased neutrophil count, patients were grouped into 4 categories according to the decrease of neutrophil count during the first cycle of TAS-102 as follows: Category A, <25%; B, 25% to <50%; C, 50% to <75%; D, ≥75%.

Results

The rate of overall survival (OS) was significantly different between Category A and B (median: 4.1 vs. 10.1 months; P=0.04), between Category A and C (median: 4.1 vs. 10.5 months; P=0.04), and between Category A and D (median: 4.1 vs. 15.6 months; P=0.04). In the multivariate analyses, a ≥25% decrease of neutrophils [hazard ratio (HR): 0.28; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.12-0.72; P=0.01] and Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status (PS) 2 (HR: 3.79, 95% CI: 1.04-11.2; P=0.04) were independent prognostic factors for OS.

Conclusions

Decreased neutrophil count is a predict factor for the efficacy of TAS-102. TAS-102 treatment may be ineffective in patients with a decreased neutrophil count of <25%.

Impact of primary tumour location and RAS/BRAF mutational status in metastatic colorectal cancer treated with first-line regimens containing oxaliplatin and bevacizumab: Prognostic factors from the AIO KRK0207 first-line and maintenance therapy trial

BACKGROUND

The major prognostic relevance of primary tumour location (LPT) in advanced colorectal cancer was shown in large retrospective studies, but quantitative estimates are highly heterogeneous, and there is still limited information about its impact within the framework of biomarker-guided treatment strategies. Therefore, we analysed LPT in relation to other clinical and molecular parameters, based on mature survival data from the recent randomised AIO KRK0207 trial.

METHODS

Patients uniformly received first-line induction treatment with a combination of bevacizumab, oxaliplatin and fluoropyrimidine. LPT was retrospectively determined using surgical reports, pathology reports and endoscopy reports. The prognostic analyses were performed using Kaplan-Meier estimations and log-rank tests, while hazard ratios (HRs) and multivariable results were derived from Cox models.

RESULTS

Among 754 patients with unequivocal information on LPT, patients with left-sided tumours showed a median overall survival of 24.8 months compared with the right-sided cohort with 18.4 months (HR: 1.54, 95% confidence interval: 1.30-1.81, P < 0.0001). In a multivariable model, LPT proved to be the strongest prognosticator (HR 1.60), with performance status, number of metastatic sites, baseline carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and platelets independently retaining prognostic significance. In the subgroup of patients with known RAS/BRAF status (n = 567, 75%), a BRAF mutation showed the greatest unfavourable impact (HR 3.16). Although BRAF is strongly correlated to LPT, the latter remained a significant prognosticator in the BRAF wild-type subgroup. In contrast, no major impact of LPT was seen on tumours carrying RAS mutations.

CONCLUSIONS

Within the framework of a uniform treatment strategy according to the current standards, LPT proved to have an important, although not solely dominating, relevance for survival prognosis. Its impact seems to be low in tumours with a RAS mutation.

REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.govNCT00973609.

Alkaline Phosphatase Levels as a Prognostic Factor in Metastatic Colorectal Cancer Treated with the FOLFOX 4 Regimen: A Monoinstitutional Retrospective Study

Aims and background

Metastatic colorectal cancer has a heterogeneous behavior, and a set of patients will have minimal response and rapid disease progression. To understand this heterogeneity, studies have evaluated biological and clinical prognostic factors. Alkaline phosphatase seems to be a key prognostic factor, so we have reviewed the outcomes of our patients with respect to alkaline phosphatase levels.

Methods and study design

Between January 2003 and December 2008, we treated with the FOLFOX 4 regimen 103 consecutive patients with metastatic colorectal cancer. Thirty-two patients had alkaline phosphatase ≥300 U/l.

Results

Median time to progression was 4 months for patients with high alkaline phosphatase levels and 8 months for those with low alkaline phosphatase levels. Median overall survival was 8 and 17.5 months, respectively. Only 3 patients in the high alkaline phosphatase group obtained partial response (9.4%) compared to 3 complete responses and 24 partial responses (41.5%) in low alkaline phosphatase group. Toxicity was substantially different, with more grade 3–4 neutropenia, diarrhea and oral mucositis in the high than low alkaline phosphatase group.

Conclusions

Alkaline phosphatase is an uncomplicated and potent prognostic factor. Patients with high alkaline phosphatase levels had a poor prognosis. Free full text available at www.tumorionline.it

Personalized treatment is better than one treatment fits all in the management of patients with mCRC: a consensus statement

The VEGF- (bevacizumab) and EGFR- (cetuximab and panitumumab) targeting monoclonal antibodies have become integral components of the first-line treatment strategies for patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). Increasingly combination chemotherapy, with or without a targeted agent, is being used to facilitate curative liver resection and improve survival rates in patients with initially unresectable but potentially resectable mCRC. Currently, the only selective marker for the treatment of patients with mCRC is tumor RAS mutational status. BRAF status is a strong prognostic indicator. Medical and clinical oncologists from Central Asia, Russia, the Middle East, Africa and Turkey reviewed data for the use of targeted agents in the treatment of patients with mCRC and have formed recommendations for the biological of choice first-line for patients with mCRC.

Impact of Pre-Treatment Lactate Dehydrogenase Levels on Prognosis and Bevacizumab Efficacy in Patients with Metastatic Colorectal Cancer

Background

To investigate the impact of pre-treatment lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) levels on the outcome of patients with metastatic colorectal cancer treated with first-line chemotherapy with or without the anti-VEGF monoclonal antibody, bevacizumab, in a phase III prospective multicentre randomized ITACa (Italian Trial in Advanced Colorectal Cancer) trial.

Methods

Three hundred and seventy patients enrolled onto the ITACa first-line trial were considered for this study, 176 receiving chemotherapy (either FOLFIRI or FOLFOX) plus bevacizumab and 194 receiving chemotherapy only. Pre-treatment LDH levels were evaluated to identify a potential correlation with progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS) and objective response rate.

Results

Information on pre-treatment LDH levels was available for 344 patients. High LDH levels were predictive of a lower median PFS (8.1 months vs. 9.2 months, p< 0.0001) and median OS (16.1 months vs. 25.2 months, p< 0.0001) in the overall population. In the chemotherapy plus bevacizumab group, median PFS was 9.1 and 9.8 months in patients with high LDH and low LDH, respectively (p= 0.073), whereas in the chemotherapy-only arm it was 6.9 and 9.1 months, respectively (p < 0.0001). In patients with high LDH, the addition of bevacizumab to chemotherapy led to a reduction in the rate of progressive disease (16.4 vs. 30.5%, p= 0.081) and to a prolonged PFS (p= 0.028).

Conclusion

A high LDH value was confirmed as a marker of poor prognosis. Bevacizumab reduced the progressive disease rate and improved PFS in the high-LDH subgroup, making serum LDH a potentially effective an easily available and marker to select patients who benefit from bevacizumab.

Trial Registration

NCT01878422 ClinicalTrials.gov

Basal and bevacizumab-based therapy-induced changes of lactate dehydrogenases and fibrinogen levels and clinical outcome of previously untreated metastatic colorectal cancer patients: a multicentric retrospective analysis

BACKGROUND

To assess the predictive role of lactate dehydrogenases (LDH) and fibrinogen (FBG) serum levels in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) patients receiving a first-line bevacizumab-based therapy.

OBJECTIVES

The aim of the present analysis was to retrospectively evaluate the role of basal and post-treatment LDH and FBG serum levels in predicting the clinical outcome of 139 mCRC patients receiving first-line chemotherapy in combination with bevacizumab.

RESULTS

A statistically significant association between high pre-treatment LDH and FBG levels and progressive disease was observed with respect to low basal LDH and FBG patients. Furthermore, median progression-free survival was 7.3 versus 10.8 months and 7.3 versus 9.4 months for high and low LDH and FBG levels, respectively. Within the high LDH group, we observed a statistically significant reduction of LDH mean value compared with pre-treatment values in patients with objective response rate and stable disease.

CONCLUSIONS

High LDH and FBG levels correlated with prognosis. A significant correlation between bevacizumab-based chemotherapy-induced reduction in LDH serum levels and response to treatment was observed within the high LDH group. These results, if confirmed in larger prospective studies, could be helpful for early identification of patients responsive to bevacizumab-based chemotherapy or candidate to more aggressive treatments.

Prognostic and predictive response factors in colorectal cancer patients: Between hope and reality

Colorectal cancer (CRC) represents one of the most commonly diagnosed cancers worldwide. It is the second leading cause of cancer death in Western Countries. In the last decade the survival of patients with metastatic CRC has improved dramatically. Due to the advent of new drugs (irinotecan and oxaliplatin) and target therapies (i.e., bevacizumab, cetuximab and panitumab), the median overall survival has risen from about 12 mo in the mid nineties to 30 mo recently. Many questions needing of right collocations and more clearness still exist regarding the prognostic factors and the predictive factors of response to therapy. Despite advances in dosing and scheduling of chemotherapy in both adjuvant and advanced settings, and a greater emphasis on early detection, the outlook still remains poor for most patients. Molecular analyses have shown that the natural history of all CRCs is not the same. Individual patients with same stage tumours may have different long term prognosis and response to therapy. In addition, some prognostic variables are likely to be more important than others. Here we review the role of prognostic factors and predictive factors according to the recently published English literature.

A VELOUR post hoc subset analysis: prognostic groups and treatment outcomes in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer treated with aflibercept and FOLFIRI

BACKGROUND

The VELOUR study demonstrated a survival benefit for FOLFIRI + aflibercept versus FOLFIRI + placebo in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) patients who progressed on oxaliplatin-based chemotherapy. Continued divergence of overall survival (OS) curves in the intension to treat (ITT) population, with the survival advantage persisting beyond median survival time, suggested subpopulations might have different magnitudes of survival gain. Additionally, 10% of patients within VELOUR had recurrence during or within 6 months of completing oxaliplatin-based adjuvant therapy (adjuvant fast relapsers)--previously identified as having poorer survival outcomes.

METHODS

To determine which patients received the greatest benefit from FOLFIRI-aflibercept, a post hoc multivariate analysis of the VELOUR ITT population was conducted. Prognostic factors identified were applied to the ITT population, excluding adjuvant fast relapsers, to derive OS prognostic profiles.

RESULTS

The better efficacy subgroup was identified as patients within VELOUR exclusive of adjuvant fast relapsers and had performance status (PS) 0 with any number of metastatic site or PS 1 with <2 metastatic site. A significant improvement in efficacy outcome was observed with aflibercept in the better efficacy subgroup. Median OS for FOLFIRI-aflibercept and FOLFIRI-placebo:16.2 and 13.1 months (adjusted Hazard Ratio [HR] = 0.73; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.61-0.86); median progression free survival (PFS): 7.2 and 4.8 months (adjusted HR = 0.68; 95% CI: 0.57-0.80); and objective response rate (ORR): 24% versus 11% respectively. Poorer efficacy subgroup comprised of adjuvant fast relapsers or patients with PS2 or PS1 with ≥ 2 metastatic sites. In poorer efficacy subgroup, no benefit was seen with aflibercept. Median OS for FOLFIRI-aflibercept and FOLFIRI-placebo: 10.4 and 9.6 months (adjusted HR = 0.97; 95% CI: 0.78-1.21) respectively with no improvement in PFS or ORR.

CONCLUSION

This analysis suggests that within VELOUR, patients in the better efficacy subgroup may derive enhanced benefit from treatment with FOLFIRI-aflibercept. These prognostic criteria may guide practitioners toward optimal use of targeted biologicals in appropriate second-line mCRC patients.

Basal proteinuria as a prognostic factor in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer treated with bevacizumab

BACKGROUND

The beneficial effects of bevacizumab, a widely used agent in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC), on clinical survival have been proven. This study investigated the correlation of the clinical benefits and prognosis with proteinuria and other parameters.

METHODS

The study included mCRC patients receiving bevacizumab. Hypertension, 24-hour urine proteinuria, and other routine parameters were recorded at baseline and at certain intervals during treatment.

RESULTS

The study included 36 consecutive patients. The median progression-free survival (PFS) duration was 10.9±2.6months, and the median overall survival (OS) was 23±3.1months. The median PFS was 7.2months among patients with basal proteinuria above 114mg/day, whereas the median PFS was 12months among patients with an equal or lower level (P=0.010). Similarly, PFS was shorter in patients with high lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) or carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels (LDH, P=0.022; CEA, P=0.014). Bevacizumab response's performance status was good (P=0.05) and was even better in patients with a single liver metastasis (P=0.034) or hypertension (P=0.034).

CONCLUSIONS

We demonstrated that high basal proteinuria, LDH, or CEA levels may be negative prognostic factors in mCRC patients receiving bevacizumab.

Gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase level is a novel adverse prognostic indicator in human metastatic colorectal cancer

AIM

Biomarkers have been utilized for prognosis in colorectal cancer; however, relatively few have been identified. We compared the prognostic value of serum alkaline phosphatase (ALP), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) and gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT) with carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC).

METHOD

Blood samples were collected from 239 patients with mCRC presenting between 2005 and 2010 in the Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center.

RESULTS

CEA (P < 0.001), CA19-9 (P < 0.001), GGT (P < 0.001), ALP (P < 0.001) and LDH (P = 0.001) were statistically significant prognostic factors of overall survival (OS). CEA (P = 0.002) and GGT (P = 0.021) were validated as independent predictors. On univariate analysis, CEA (P = 0.003), CA19-9 (P = 0.006), GGT (P < 0.001) and ALP (P = 0.001) were statistically significant predictive factors of progression-free survival (PFS) in patients having first-line chemotherapy. CEA (P = 0.011) and GGT (P = 0.027) were independent predictors. GGT (P = 0.001), ALP (P = 0.016) and LDH (P = 0.039) levels were correlated with the tumour response rate assessed by CT, whilst CEA (P = 0.724) and CA19-9 (P = 0.822) were not. There was a statistically significant difference in OS (P < 0.001) and PFS (P < 0.001) among patients who had elevations of both CEA and GGT compared with those in whom only one or neither was elevated.

CONCLUSION

Among GGT, LDH and ALP, only GGT plays an independent role with CEA in predicting OS and PFS in mCRC. When coupled with CEA, GGT may lead to improved prognostic predictors.

Factors Influencing Survival in Stage IV Colorectal Cancer: The Influence of DNA Ploidy

Objective. To evaluate the prognostic significance of microscopically assessed DNA ploidy and other clinical and laboratory parameters in stage IV colorectal cancer (CRC). Methods. 541 patients with histologically proven stage IV CRC treated with palliative chemotherapy at our institution were included in this retrospective analysis, and 9 variables (gender, age, performance status, carcinoembryonic antigen, cancer antigen 19-9, C-Reactive Protein (CRP), anaemia, hypoalbuminaemia, and ploidy (DNA Index)) were assessed for their potential relationship to survival. Results. Mean survival time was 12.8 months (95% confidence interval (CI) 12.0-13.5). Multivariate analysis revealed that DNA indexes of 2.2-3.6 and >3.6 were associated with 2.94 and 4.98 times higher probability of death, respectively, compared to DNA index <2.2. CRP levels of >15 mg/dL and 5-15 mg/dL were associated with 2.52 and 1.72 times higher risk of death, respectively. Hazard ratios ranged from 1.29 in patients mild anaemia (Hb 12-13.5 g/dL) to 1.88 in patients with severe anaemia (Hb < 8.5 g/dL). Similarly, the presence of hypoalbuminaemia (albumin < 5 g/dL) was found to confer 1.41 times inferior survival capability. Conclusions. Our findings suggest that patients with stage IV CRC with low ploidy score and CRP levels, absent or mild anaemia, and normal albumin levels might derive greatest benefit from palliative chemotherapy.

Prognostic factors in patients with non resectable metastatic colorectal cancer in the era of targeted biotherapies: relevance of Köhne's risk classification

BACKGROUND

Köhne's prognostic classification has been previously proposed, based on performance status, alkaline phosphatase level, number of metastatic sites and white blood cells count.

AIMS

To identify prognostic factors for survival and to assess the validity of Köhne's classification, in the era of targeted biotherapies, in patients treated with chemotherapy for non resectable metastatic colorectal cancer.

METHODS

A total of 290 consecutive patients were retrospectively identified in all gastroenterology units of one French county, between 2004 and 2008. Univariate and multivariate analysis for overall survival were performed using pre-treatment patient characteristics.

RESULTS

All data were available for prognostic categorization in 133 patients. Median survival was 22.1 months. The distribution and median survival for Köhne's prognostic groups were as following: good (n=73; 24.8 months), intermediate (n=35; 24.2 months), and poor (n=25; 7.0 months). The survival difference was significant between good and poor prognostic groups (p<0.01) and between intermediate and poor prognostic groups (p<0.01), but not between good and intermediate prognostic groups (p=0.5). The two independent prognostic factors of survival in multivariate analysis were performance status 0/1 (p<0.01) and white blood cells count<10×10(9)/L (p<0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

The relevance of Köhne's classification is questioned. A simplified score could be validated by largest studies, based on white blood cells count and performance status.

Simplified prognostic model in patients with oxaliplatin-based or irinotecan-based first-line chemotherapy for metastatic colorectal cancer: a GERCOR study

BACKGROUND

The present study was done to establish a prognostic model for patients and trials using an oxaliplatin-based or irinotecan-based first-line chemotherapy in metastatic colorectal cancer.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Eight hundred three patients treated with FOLFOX or FOLFIRI in three prospective trials were randomly separated into learning (n = 535) and validation (n = 268) samples. Eleven baseline variables were evaluated in univariate and multivariate analysis as prognostic factors for overall survival, and a prognostic score was developed.

RESULTS

Independent prognostic factors identified in multivariate analysis for overall survival were performance status (PS) (p < .001), serum lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) (p < .001), and number of metastatic sites (p = .005). A prognostic score based on these three variables was found efficient (Harrell's C index 0.61). This new model was improved by selecting only PS and LDH (Harrell's C index 0.64). Three risk groups for death could be identified: a low-risk group (n = 184; median overall survival [OS] 29.8 months), an intermediate-risk group (n = 223; median OS 19.5 months), and a high-risk group (n = 128; median OS 13.9 months). Median survival for the low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups were 26.8, 21.1, and 16.5 months, respectively, in the validation sample (Harrell's C index 0.63).

CONCLUSIONS

Serum LDH level was the main prognostic factor in predicting survival, followed by WHO PS. We identified three risk groups for death depending on these two baseline parameters. This simple prognostic model can be useful for clinician's use and patient stratification in future clinical trials.

Prognostic and predictive role of lactate dehydrogenase 5 expression in colorectal cancer patients treated with PTK787/ZK 222584 (vatalanib) antiangiogenic therapy

PURPOSE

The Colorectal Oral Novel therapy For the Inhibition of angiogenesis and Retarding of Metastases (CONFIRM)-randomized trials, investigating the role of the VEGF-receptor inhibitor PTK787/ZK 222584 (vatalanib) in colorectal cancer (FOLFOX 4 ± vatalanib), showed some benefit in patients with high serum lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) levels. Here, we investigated the expression of LDH5 (encoded entirely by the LDHA gene, regulated by the hypoxia inducible factors) in cancer tissues from patients recruited in the CONFIRM trials and relationship to response.

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

Paraffin-embedded materials from 179 patients recruited in the CONFIRM trials were analyzed by immunohistochemistry for the expression of the LDH5 protein. Correlations with serum LDH, response, and survival were assessed.

RESULTS

A significant association of tumor burden and of poor performance status (PS) with serum LDH was noted. Poor PS and high tumor LDH5 expression predicted for poor response rates. High tissue LDH5 was related to poor progression-free survival (PFS) only in the placebo group of patients, whereas the addition of vatalanib seemed to improved response and PFS in this subgroup. High serum LDH levels were linked with significantly poorer overall survival, which however was not sustained in multivariate analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Serum LDH and tissue LDH5 levels are complementary features that help to characterize the activity of LDH in colorectal cancer and have a potent value in predicting response to chemotherapy. The addition of vatalanib diminished the impact of LDH expression on the prognosis of patients.

Analysis for prognostic factors of 60-day mortality: evaluation of an irinotecan-based phase III trial performed in the first-line treatment of metastatic colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

Mortality rates in published irinotecan-based trials range between 1.7% and 5.0%. This analysis aimed to evaluate clinical and histopathologic factors associated with 60-day mortality in first-line therapy for metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Sixty-day all-cause and disease-specific mortality rates from 479 patients who participated in a randomized phase III study comparing FUFIRI (5-fluorouracil [5-FU], leucovorin, irinotecan) (n = 238) vs. mIROX (modified irinotecan plus oxaliplatin (n = 241) were evaluated for association with prognostic factors such as platelet counts, alkaline phosphatase (AP) levels, white blood cell (WBC) counts, hemoglobin values, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) levels, carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels, and several other baseline parameters using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses applied to patients combined from both treatment groups.

RESULTS

The all-cause 60-day mortality rate was 5.0% (24/479). Thirteen patients (5.5%) in the FUFIRI arm died within the first 60 days of treatment compared with 11 (4.6%) patients in the mIROX arm (P = .68). Among the 24 patients in both treatment arms, mortality was qualified as disease related in 15 (63%) patients and treatment related in 7 (29%) patients (P = .695). In multivariate analyses, high LDH levels (P = .010) and an elevated WBC count (P = .006) remained as significant independent prognostic factors. Low Karnofsky performance status (KPS) showed a strong trend but failed to reach statistical significance (P = .057) as did AP levels and the number of metastatic sites.

CONCLUSION

In this study 63% of the early deaths were disease related, whereas only 29% were possibly related to study medication. Independent prognostic factors for early mortality were LDH levels and WBC counts. KPS showed a strong trend in the multivariate analysis. Future investigation may consider LDH levels and WBC counts for exclusion criteria.

Hepatic arterial infusion of 5-fluorouracil for patients with liver metastases from colorectal cancer refractory to standard systemic chemotherapy: a multicenter, retrospective analysis

INTRODUCTION

This retrospective study evaluated the safety and efficacy of hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy (HAIC) with 5-fluorouracil (5-FU) for patients with liver metastases from colorectal cancer refractory to standard systemic chemotherapy.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Fifty-five patients who had shown disease progression during the prior standard systemic chemotherapy with oxaliplatin, irinotecan, and 5-FU were enrolled. The treatment was weekly HAIC with 5-FU 1000 mg/m2/5 hours through an indwelling catheter-port system.

RESULTS

No major adverse reaction was observed other than grade 3 leukocytopenia (3.6%) and hyperbilirubinemia (1.8%). The overall response rate and disease control rate were 18.2% and 70.9%, respectively. The median progression-free survival and median overall survival (OS) were 2.8 months, and 6.7 months, respectively. The initial sites of disease progression were liver in 14, other than liver in 27, and both in 6. Multivariate analysis identified Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status (PS) ≤ 1 and number of extrahepatic metastatic sites (NMS) ≤ 1 as favorable prognostic factors for OS (hazard ratio [HR], 8.277; 95% CI, 3.60-19.0; P = .000 for ECOG PS; and HR, 2.456; 95% CI, 1.30-4.61; P = .005 for NMS).

CONCLUSION

HAIC with 5-FU may be a safe and effective treatment for patients with colorectal liver metastases refractory to standard systemic chemotherapy.

Serological diagnostic factors for liver metastasis in patients with colorectal cancer

AIM: To investigate the serological diagnostic factors for liver metastasis in patients with colorectal cancer.

METHODS: One hundred and six adult in-patients with colorectal cancer were studied and divided into patients with liver metastasis (n = 56) and patients without liver metastasis (n = 50). Serum levels of tumor and biochemical markers for liver were measured at the time of diagnosis.

RESULTS: The mean survival time was 55.9 mo, 36.8 mo and 68.3 mo for the overall patients, patients with liver metastasis and patients without liver metastasis, respectively. Lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) level was significantly correlated with the survival time of colorectal cancer patients. The levels of alanine aminotransferase, aspartate aminotransferase, γ-glutamyltransferase (GGT), LDH and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) were significantly higher in patients with liver metastasis than in those without liver metastasis. Patients with lymph node metastasis had a higher risk of liver metastasis than those without lymph node metastasis. The cut points of LDH, GGT and CEA for screening liver metastasis were 180 U/L, 30 U/L and 5.0 μg/L, respectively. The sensitivity was 64.3%, 69.6% and 70.4%, and the specificity was 64.0%, 60.0% and 52.4%, respectively. The sensitivity of parallel test was 85.2% for LDH and CEA, and 92.6% for GGT and CEA, respectively. The specificity of serial test was 85.7% for LDH (or GGT) and CEA.

CONCLUSION: Early diagnosis of liver metastasis is of great significance. The sensitivity and specificity of combined tumor and biochemical markers are rather good in screening colorectal liver metastasis.

FOLFOX in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer and high alkaline phosphatase level: an exploratory cohort of the GERCOR OPTIMOX1 study

BACKGROUND

Alkaline phosphatase (ALP) is a strong prognostic factor in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (MCRC). Patients with ALP more than three times the upper limit of normal (ULN) were excluded from our previous studies evaluating chemotherapy. An exploratory cohort of patients with ALP >3 ULN was included in the OPTIMOX1 study.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Previously untreated patients with MCRC were randomized to FOLFOX4 until progression (arm A) or FOLFOX7 for six cycles, maintenance without oxaliplatin for 12 cycles and reintroduction of FOLFOX7 (arm B). Patients were stratified according to ALP level <or=3 ULN versus 3-5 ULN.

RESULTS

Among the 620 patients in OPTIMOX1 study, 63 had ALP 3-5 ULN; 33 in arm A and 30 in arm B. The response rate in these patients was 56% versus 59% in patients with ALP <or=3 ULN. Median progression-free survival and overall survival were, respectively, 6.4 and 11.5 months in patients with ALP 3-5 ULN and 9.0 and 21.1 months in patients with ALP <or=3 ULN. Thirty-three percent of the patients in the cohort experienced grade 3/4 toxicity.

CONCLUSION

Both FOLFOX regimens achieved high tumor response rates and offer good palliation in MCRC patients with a poor prognosis.

Survival following recurrence in stage II and III colon cancer: findings from the ACCENT data set

PURPOSE

This study was undertaken to examine five possible prognostic factors in patients with recurrent stage II and III colon cancer: time from randomization on an adjuvant therapy clinical trial to tumor recurrence (< 1 year, 1 to 2 years, 2 to 3 years, 3 to 4 years, > 4 years), initial stage (II v III), initial adjuvant treatment (fluorouracil [FU]-based v surgery alone), the era in which the patient entered an adjuvant therapy clinical trial (1978 to 1985, 1986 to 1992, 1993 to 1999), and patient age at recurrence.

METHODS

The Adjuvant Colon Cancer End Points (ACCENT) data set was analyzed using univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards models, stratified by study.

RESULTS

5,722 (32.9%) of 17,381 patients experienced recurrence. Median survival following recurrence was 13.3 months. Time from randomization to recurrence was highly prognostic of survival following recurrence (P < .0001). Longer survival following recurrence was seen in patients with initial stage II versus III disease (P < .0001; 14.3% 6-year overall survival after recurrence in initial stage II patients), patients entered more recently onto trials (P < .0001), and patients initially treated with surgery alone versus FU adjuvant treatment (P = .0005). All relationships were maintained in multivariate models.

CONCLUSION

Time from initial treatment to recurrence and initial stage are important prognostic factors in patients with recurrent colon cancer. Survival following recurrence increased modestly from 1978 to 1999. Patients who had a recurrence following adjuvant therapy had poorer prognosis than those who progressed after surgery alone. These prognostic factors may be useful for clinical trial design and treatment decisions in patients with recurrent colon cancer.

Prognostic factors predictive of response and survival to a modified FOLFOX regimen: importance of an increased neutrophil count

PURPOSE

The aim of this study was to identify prognostic indicators of survival and response in a homogeneous population of chemotherapy-naive patients treated with oxaliplatin as part of 3 successive trials.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patient data were derived from 3 successive phase II trials evaluating modifications of the FOLFOX4 (oxaliplatin/5-fluorouracil/leucovorin) regimen. Clinical and laboratory prognostic factors were identified from the literature. Multifactor analyses stratified by treatment cohort were performed to identify independent prognostic factors for progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), and response rate.

RESULTS

One hundred thirty-four patients were enrolled across all 3 studies. Reduced PFS (n = 128) was associated with patients with the following characteristics: no previous surgery (P = 0.003); previous adjuvant chemotherapy (P = 0.015); > 1 organ involvement (P = 0.001); baseline absolute neutrophil count (ANC) > or = upper limit of normal (P = 0.001); and time from diagnosis to metastases < 9 months (P = 0.043). Poor OS (n = 128) was associated with patients with the following characteristics: performance status > 1 (P < 0.001); > 1 organ involvement (P = 0.018); and baseline ANC > or = upper limit of normal (P < 0.001). Response rate was related to previous surgery (P = 0.017) and performance status (P = 0.02).

CONCLUSION

This analysis has identified the additional prognostic importance of an increased ANC for PFS and OS. Further consideration needs to be given to include markers of systemic inflammation such as ANC as well as relevant cytokine levels in a larger cohort of identically treated patients.

Lactate dehydrogenase 5 expression in operable colorectal cancer: strong association with survival and activated vascular endothelial growth factor pathway--a report of the Tumour Angiogenesis Research Group

PURPOSE

Lactate dehydrogenase 5 (LDH-5) regulates, under hypoxic conditions, the anaerobic transformation of pyruvate to lactate for energy acquisition. Several studies have shown that serum LDH may be an ominous prognostic marker in malignant tumors. The clinical significance of tissue LDH-5, however, remains largely unexplored.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We investigated the immunohistochemical expression of LDH-5 in a series of 128 stage II/III colorectal adenocarcinomas treated with surgery alone. In addition, markers of tumor hypoxia (hypoxia-inducible factor 1 alpha [HIF1alpha]), angiogenesis (vascular endothelial growth factor [VEGF] and phosporylated kinase domain receptor [pKDR]/flk-1 receptor) and the tumor vascular density (CD31 positive standard vascular density [sVD] and pKDR positive activated vascular density [aVD]) were assessed.

RESULTS

The expression of LDH-5, together with that of HIF1alpha and pKDR, was both nuclear and cytoplasmic. Assessment, with minimal interobserver variability, was achieved using a previously described scoring system. LDH-5 was significantly associated with HIF1alpha (P = .01), aVD (P = .001) and, particularly, with pKDR expression in cancer cells (P = .0001). Tissue LDH-5 expression was linked with elevated serum LDH levels, but serum levels failed to reflect tissue expression in 71% of LDH-5 positive cases. In univariate analysis tissue LDH-5 was associated with poor survival (P = .0003, HR 15.1), whereas in multivariate analysis this isoenzyme was the strongest independent prognostic factor (P = .0009). VEGF, pKDR, aVD, sVD and vascular invasion were all significantly related to unfavorable prognosis.

CONCLUSION

The immunohistochemical assessment of tissue LDH-5 and pKDR provides important prognostic information in operable colorectal cancer. The strong association between LDH-5 and pKDR expression would justify their use as surrogate markers to screen patients for tyrosine kinase inhibitor therapy.