1
|
Uppal S, Kumar Shrivastava P, Khan A, Sharma A, Kumar Shrivastav A. Machine learning methods in predicting the risk of malignant transformation of oral potentially malignant disorders: A systematic review. Int J Med Inform 2024; 186:105421. [PMID: 38552265 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijmedinf.2024.105421] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/28/2023] [Revised: 03/18/2024] [Accepted: 03/19/2024] [Indexed: 04/22/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Oral Potentially Malignant Disorders (OPMDs) refer to a heterogenous group of clinical presentations with heightened rate of malignant transformation. Identification of risk levels in OPMDs is crucial to determine the need for active intervention in high-risk patients and routine follow-up in low-risk ones. Machine learning models has shown tremendous potential in several areas of dentistry that strongly suggest its application to estimate rate of malignant transformation of precancerous lesions. METHODS A comprehensive literature search was performed on Pubmed/MEDLINE, Web of Science, Scopus, Embase, Cochrane Library database to identify articles including machine learning models and algorithms to predict malignant transformation in OPMDs. Relevant bibliographic data, study characteristics, and outcomes were extracted for eligible studies. Quality of the included studies was assessed through the IJMEDI checklist. RESULTS Fifteen articles were found suitable for the review as per the PECOS criteria. Amongst all studies, highest sensitivity (100%) was recorded for U-net architecture, Peaks Random forest model, and Partial least squares discriminant analysis (PLSDA). Highest specificity (100%) was noted for PLSDA. Range of overall accuracy in risk prediction was between 95.4% and 74%. CONCLUSION Machine learning proved to be a viable tool in risk prediction, demonstrating heightened sensitivity, automation, and improved accuracy for predicting transformation of OPMDs. It presents an effective approach for incorporating multiple variables to monitor the progression of OPMDs and predict their malignant potential. However, its sensitivity to dataset characteristics necessitates the optimization of input parameters to maximize the efficiency of the classifiers.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Simran Uppal
- Faculty of Dentistry, Jamia Millia Islamia, New Delhi, India.
| | | | - Atiya Khan
- Faculty of Dentistry, Jamia Millia Islamia, New Delhi, India.
| | - Aditi Sharma
- Faculty of Dentistry, Jamia Millia Islamia, New Delhi, India.
| | - Ayush Kumar Shrivastav
- Computer Science and Engineering, Centre for Development of Advanced Computing, Noida, Uttar Pradesh, India.
| |
Collapse
|
2
|
Alinia S, Asghari-Jafarabadi M, Mahmoudi L, Norouzi S, Safari M, Roshanaei G. Survival prediction and prognostic factors in colorectal cancer after curative surgery: insights from cox regression and neural networks. Sci Rep 2023; 13:15675. [PMID: 37735621 PMCID: PMC10514146 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-023-42926-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/14/2023] [Accepted: 09/16/2023] [Indexed: 09/23/2023] Open
Abstract
Medical research frequently relies on Cox regression to analyze the survival distribution of cancer patients. Nonetheless, in specific scenarios, neural networks hold the potential to serve as a robust alternative. In this study, we aim to scrutinize the effectiveness of Cox regression and neural network models in assessing the survival outcomes of patients who have undergone treatment for colorectal cancer. We conducted a retrospective study on 284 colorectal cancer patients who underwent surgery at Imam Khomeini clinic in Hamadan between 2001 and 2017. The data was used to train both Cox regression and neural network models, and their predictive accuracy was compared using diagnostic measures such as sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, accuracy, negative predictive value, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. The analyses were performed using STATA 17 and R4.0.4 software. The study revealed that the best neural network model had a sensitivity of 74.5% (95% CI 61.0-85.0), specificity of 83.3% (65.3-94.4), positive predictive value of 89.1% (76.4-96.4), negative predictive value of 64.1% (47.2-78.8), AUC of 0.79 (0.70-0.88), and accuracy of 0.776 for death prediction. For recurrence, the best neural network model had a sensitivity of 88.1% (74.4-96.0%), specificity of 83.7% (69.3-93.2%), positive predictive value of 84.1% (69.9-93.4%), negative predictive value of 87.8% (73.8-95.9%), AUC of 0.86 (0.78-0.93), and accuracy of 0.859. The Cox model had comparable results, with a sensitivity of 73.6% (64.8-81.2) and 85.5% (78.3-91.0), specificity of 89.6% (83.8-93.8) and 98.0% (94.4-99.6), positive predictive value of 84.0% (75.6-90.4) and 97.4% (92.6-99.5), negative predictive value of 82.0% (75.6-90.4) and 88.8% (0.83-93.1), AUC of 0.82 (0.77-0.86) and 0.92 (0.89-0.95), and accuracy of 0.88 and 0.92 for death and recurrence prediction, respectively. In conclusion, the study found that both Cox regression and neural network models are effective in predicting early recurrence and death in patients with colorectal cancer after curative surgery. The neural network model showed slightly better sensitivity and negative predictive value for death, while the Cox model had better specificity and positive predictive value for recurrence. Overall, both models demonstrated high accuracy and AUC, indicating their usefulness in predicting these outcomes.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Shayeste Alinia
- Department of Statistics and Epidemiology, School of Medicine, Zanjan University of Medical Sciences, Mahdavi Blvd, Zanjan, 4513956111, Iran
| | - Mohammad Asghari-Jafarabadi
- Faculty of Health, Road Traffic Injury Research Center, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences, Golgasht St. Attar E Neshabouri St., Tabriz, 5166614711, Iran.
- Cabrini Research, Cabrini Health, Malvern, VIC, 3144, Australia.
- Faculty of Medicine, Nursing and Health Sciences, School of Public Health and Preventative Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, 3004, Australia.
- Department of Psychiatry, Faculty of Medicine, Nursing and Health Sciences, School of Clinical Sciences, Monash University, Clayton, VIC, 3168, Australia.
| | - Leila Mahmoudi
- Department of Statistics and Epidemiology, School of Medicine, Zanjan University of Medical Sciences, Mahdavi Blvd, Zanjan, 4513956111, Iran.
| | - Solmaz Norouzi
- Department of Statistics and Epidemiology, School of Medicine, Zanjan University of Medical Sciences, Mahdavi Blvd, Zanjan, 4513956111, Iran
| | - Maliheh Safari
- Department of Biostatistics, School of Medicine, Arak University of Medical Sciences, Arak, Iran
| | - Ghodratollah Roshanaei
- Department of Biostatistics, Modeling of Non-Communicable Diseases Research Center, School of Public Health, Hamadan University of Medical Sciences, Hamadan, Iran
| |
Collapse
|
3
|
Bektaş M, Burchell GL, Bonjer HJ, van der Peet DL. Machine learning applications in upper gastrointestinal cancer surgery: a systematic review. Surg Endosc 2023; 37:75-89. [PMID: 35953684 PMCID: PMC9839827 DOI: 10.1007/s00464-022-09516-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/25/2022] [Accepted: 07/26/2022] [Indexed: 01/25/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Machine learning (ML) has seen an increase in application, and is an important element of a digital evolution. The role of ML within upper gastrointestinal surgery for malignancies has not been evaluated properly in the literature. Therefore, this systematic review aims to provide a comprehensive overview of ML applications within upper gastrointestinal surgery for malignancies. METHODS A systematic search was performed in PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane, and Web of Science. Studies were only included when they described machine learning in upper gastrointestinal surgery for malignancies. The Cochrane risk-of-bias tool was used to determine the methodological quality of studies. The accuracy and area under the curve were evaluated, representing the predictive performances of ML models. RESULTS From a total of 1821 articles, 27 studies met the inclusion criteria. Most studies received a moderate risk-of-bias score. The majority of these studies focused on neural networks (n = 9), multiple machine learning (n = 8), and random forests (n = 3). Remaining studies involved radiomics (n = 3), support vector machines (n = 3), and decision trees (n = 1). Purposes of ML included predominantly prediction of metastasis, detection of risk factors, prediction of survival, and prediction of postoperative complications. Other purposes were predictions of TNM staging, chemotherapy response, tumor resectability, and optimal therapy. CONCLUSIONS Machine Learning algorithms seem to contribute to the prediction of postoperative complications and the course of disease after upper gastrointestinal surgery for malignancies. However, due to the retrospective character of ML studies, these results require trials or prospective studies to validate this application of ML.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Mustafa Bektaş
- Surgery, Amsterdam UMC Location Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, De Boelelaan 1117, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
| | - George L. Burchell
- Medical Library, Amsterdam UMC Location Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, De Boelelaan 1117, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
| | - H. Jaap Bonjer
- Surgery, Amsterdam UMC Location Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, De Boelelaan 1117, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Donald L. van der Peet
- Surgery, Amsterdam UMC Location Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, De Boelelaan 1117, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
| |
Collapse
|
4
|
Abstract
AbstractCancer survival prediction is one of the three major tasks of cancer prognosis. To improve the accuracy of cancer survival prediction, in this paper, we propose a priori knowledge- and stability-based feature selection (PKSFS) method and develop a novel two-stage heterogeneous stacked ensemble learning model (BQAXR) to predict the survival status of cancer patients. Specifically, PKSFS first obtains the optimal feature subsets from the high-dimensional cancer datasets to guide the subsequent model construction. Then, BQAXR seeks to generate five high-quality heterogeneous learners, among which the shortcomings of the learners are overcome by using improved methods, and integrate them in two stages through the stacked generalization strategy based on optimal feature subsets. To verify the merits of PKSFS and BQAXR, this paper collected the real survival datasets of gastric cancer and skin cancer from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database of the National Cancer Institute, and conducted extensive numerical experiments from different perspectives based on these two datasets. The accuracy and AUC of the proposed method are 0.8209 and 0.8203 in the gastric cancer dataset, and 0.8336 and 0.8214 in the skin cancer dataset. The results show that PKSFS has marked advantages over popular feature selection methods in processing high-dimensional datasets. By taking full advantage of heterogeneous high-quality learners, BQAXR is not only superior to mainstream machine learning methods, but also outperforms improved machine learning methods, which indicates can effectively improve the accuracy of cancer survival prediction and provide a reference for doctors to make medical decisions.
Collapse
|
5
|
Artificial Intelligence Mortality Prediction Model for Gastric Cancer Surgery Based on Body Morphometry, Nutritional, and Surgical Information: Feasibility Study. APPLIED SCIENCES-BASEL 2022. [DOI: 10.3390/app12083873] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/04/2022]
Abstract
The objective of this study is to develop a mortality prediction model for patients undergoing gastric cancer surgery based on body morphometry, nutritional, and surgical information. Using a prospectively built gastric surgery registry from the Asan Medical Center (AMC), 621 gastric cancer patients, who were treated with surgery with no recurrence of cancer, were selected for the development of the prediction model. Input features (i.e., body morphometry, nutritional, surgical, and clinicopathologic information) were selected in the collected data based on the XGBoost analysis results and experts’ opinions. A convolutional neural network (CNN) framework was developed to predict the mortality of patients undergoing gastric cancer surgery. Internal validation was performed in split datasets of the AMC, whereas external validation was performed in patients in the Ajou University Hospital. Fifteen features were selected for the prediction of survival probability based on the XGBoost analysis results and experts’ suggestions. Accuracy, F1 score, and area under the curve of our CNN model were 0.900, 0.909, and 0.900 in the internal validation set and 0.879, 0.882, and 0.881 in the external validation set, respectively. Our developed CNN model was published on a website where anyone could predict mortality using individual patients’ data. Our CNN model provides substantially good performance in predicting mortality in patients undergoing surgery for gastric cancer, mainly based on body morphometry, nutritional, and surgical information. Using the web application, clinicians and gastric cancer patients will be able to efficiently manage mortality risk factors.
Collapse
|
6
|
Comparison of Different Machine Learning Models in Prediction of Postirradiation Recurrence in Prostate Carcinoma Patients. BIOMED RESEARCH INTERNATIONAL 2022; 2022:7943609. [PMID: 35178455 PMCID: PMC8844388 DOI: 10.1155/2022/7943609] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/10/2021] [Revised: 01/12/2022] [Accepted: 01/20/2022] [Indexed: 11/17/2022]
Abstract
After primary treatment of localized prostate carcinoma (PC), up to a third of patients have disease recurrence. Different predictive models have already been used either for initial stratification of PC patients or to predict disease recurrence. Recently, artificial intelligence has been introduced in the diagnosis and management of PC with a potential to revolutionize this field. The aim of this study was to analyze machine learning (ML) classifiers in order to predict disease progression in the moment of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) elevation during follow-up. The study cohort consisted of 109 PC patients treated with external beam radiotherapy alone or in combination with androgen deprivation therapy. We developed and evaluated the performance of two ML algorithms based on artificial neural networks (ANN) and naïve Bayes (NB). Of all patients, 72.5% was randomly selected for a training set while the remaining patients were used for testing of the models. The presence/absence of disease progression was defined as the output variable. The input variables for models were conducted from the univariate analysis preformed among two groups of patients in the training set. They included two pretreatment variables (UICC stage and Gleason's score risk group) and five posttreatment variables (nadir PSA, time to nadir PSA, PSA doubling time, PSA velocity, and PSA in the moment of disease reevaluation). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and predictive accuracy was calculated to test the models' performance. The results showed that specificity was similar for both models, while NB achieved better sensitivity then ANN (100.0% versus 94.4%). The ANN showed an accuracy of 93.3%, and the matching for NB model was 96.7%. In this study, ML classifiers have shown potential for application in routine clinical practice during follow-up when disease progression was suspected.
Collapse
|
7
|
Alabi RO, Bello IO, Youssef O, Elmusrati M, Mäkitie AA, Almangush A. Utilizing Deep Machine Learning for Prognostication of Oral Squamous Cell Carcinoma-A Systematic Review. FRONTIERS IN ORAL HEALTH 2022; 2:686863. [PMID: 35048032 PMCID: PMC8757862 DOI: 10.3389/froh.2021.686863] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/28/2021] [Accepted: 06/15/2021] [Indexed: 12/17/2022] Open
Abstract
The application of deep machine learning, a subfield of artificial intelligence, has become a growing area of interest in predictive medicine in recent years. The deep machine learning approach has been used to analyze imaging and radiomics and to develop models that have the potential to assist the clinicians to make an informed and guided decision that can assist to improve patient outcomes. Improved prognostication of oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) will greatly benefit the clinical management of oral cancer patients. This review examines the recent development in the field of deep learning for OSCC prognostication. The search was carried out using five different databases-PubMed, Scopus, OvidMedline, Web of Science, and Institute of Electrical and Electronic Engineers (IEEE). The search was carried time from inception until 15 May 2021. There were 34 studies that have used deep machine learning for the prognostication of OSCC. The majority of these studies used a convolutional neural network (CNN). This review showed that a range of novel imaging modalities such as computed tomography (or enhanced computed tomography) images and spectra data have shown significant applicability to improve OSCC outcomes. The average specificity, sensitivity, area under receiving operating characteristics curve [AUC]), and accuracy for studies that used spectra data were 0.97, 0.99, 0.96, and 96.6%, respectively. Conversely, the corresponding average values for these parameters for computed tomography images were 0.84, 0.81, 0.967, and 81.8%, respectively. Ethical concerns such as privacy and confidentiality, data and model bias, peer disagreement, responsibility gap, patient-clinician relationship, and patient autonomy have limited the widespread adoption of these models in daily clinical practices. The accumulated evidence indicates that deep machine learning models have great potential in the prognostication of OSCC. This approach offers a more generic model that requires less data engineering with improved accuracy.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Rasheed Omobolaji Alabi
- Department of Industrial Digitalization, School of Technology and Innovations, University of Vaasa, Vaasa, Finland.,Research Program in Systems Oncology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland
| | - Ibrahim O Bello
- Department of Oral Medicine and Diagnostic Science, College of Dentistry, King Saud University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - Omar Youssef
- Research Program in Systems Oncology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland.,Department of Pathology, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland
| | - Mohammed Elmusrati
- Department of Industrial Digitalization, School of Technology and Innovations, University of Vaasa, Vaasa, Finland
| | - Antti A Mäkitie
- Research Program in Systems Oncology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland.,Department of Otorhinolaryngology - Head and Neck Surgery, University of Helsinki and Helsinki University Hospital, Helsinki, Finland.,Division of Ear, Nose and Throat Diseases, Department of Clinical Sciences, Intervention and Technology, Karolinska Institutet and Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Alhadi Almangush
- Research Program in Systems Oncology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland.,Department of Pathology, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland.,Institute of Biomedicine, Pathology, University of Turku, Turku, Finland.,Faculty of Dentistry, University of Misurata, Misurata, Libya
| |
Collapse
|
8
|
Adeoye J, Hui L, Koohi-Moghadam M, Tan JY, Choi SW, Thomson P. Comparison of time-to-event machine learning models in predicting oral cavity cancer prognosis. Int J Med Inform 2021; 157:104635. [PMID: 34800847 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijmedinf.2021.104635] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/29/2021] [Revised: 10/28/2021] [Accepted: 10/29/2021] [Indexed: 12/13/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Applying machine learning to predicting oral cavity cancer prognosis is important in selecting candidates for aggressive treatment following diagnosis. However, models proposed so far have only considered cancer survival as discrete rather than dynamic outcomes. OBJECTIVES To compare the model performance of different machine learning-based algorithms that incorporate time-to-event data. These algorithms included DeepSurv, DeepHit, neural net-extended time-dependent cox model (Cox-Time), and random survival forest (RSF). MATERIALS AND METHODS Retrospective cohort of 313 oral cavity cancer patients were obtained from electronic health records. Models were trained on patient data following preprocessing. Predictors were based on demographic, clinicopathologic, and treatment information of the cases. Outcomes were the disease-specific and overall survival. Multivariable analyses were conducted to select significant prognostic features associated with tumor prognosis. Two models were generated per algorithm based on all-prognostic features and significant-prognostic features following statistical analysis. Concordance index (c-index) and integrated Brier scores were used as performance evaluators and model stability was assessed using intraclass correlation coefficients (ICC) calculated from these measures obtained from the cross-validation folds. RESULTS While all models were satisfactory, better discriminatory performance and calibration was observed for disease-specific than overall survival (mean c-index: 0.85 vs 0.74; mean integrated Brier score: 0.12 vs 0.17). DeepSurv performed best in terms of discrimination for both outcomes (c-indices: 0.76 -0.89) while RSF produced better calibrated survival estimates (integrated Brier score: 0.06 -0.09). Model stability of the algorithms varied with the outcomes as Cox-Time had the best intraclass correlation coefficient (mean ICC: 1.00) for disease-specific survival while DeepSurv was most stable for overall survival prediction (mean ICC: 0.99). CONCLUSIONS Machine learning algorithms based on time-to-event outcomes are successful in predicting oral cavity cancer prognosis with DeepSurv and RSF producing the best discriminative performance and calibration.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- John Adeoye
- Oral and Maxillofacial Surgery, Faculty of Dentistry, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China; Oral Cancer Research Group, Faculty of Dentistry, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.
| | - Liuling Hui
- Oral and Maxillofacial Surgery, Faculty of Dentistry, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
| | - Mohamad Koohi-Moghadam
- Applied Oral Sciences and Community Dental Care, Faculty of Dentistry, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
| | - Jia Yan Tan
- Oral and Maxillofacial Surgery, Faculty of Dentistry, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China; Oral Cancer Research Group, Faculty of Dentistry, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
| | - Siu-Wai Choi
- Oral and Maxillofacial Surgery, Faculty of Dentistry, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China; Oral Cancer Research Group, Faculty of Dentistry, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
| | - Peter Thomson
- Oral and Maxillofacial Surgery, Faculty of Dentistry, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China; Oral Cancer Research Group, Faculty of Dentistry, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China; College of Medicine and Dentistry, James Cook University, Queensland, Australia.
| |
Collapse
|
9
|
Usefulness of artificial intelligence for predicting recurrence following surgery for pancreatic cancer: Retrospective cohort study. Int J Surg 2021; 93:106050. [PMID: 34388677 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijsu.2021.106050] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/30/2021] [Revised: 07/26/2021] [Accepted: 08/05/2021] [Indexed: 12/13/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND or Purpose: Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is a leading cause of mortality in the world with the overall 5-year survival rate of 6%. The survival of patients with PDAC is closely related to recurrence and therefore it is necessary to identify the risk factors for recurrence. This study uses artificial intelligence approaches and multi-center registry data to analyze the recurrence of pancreatic cancer after surgery and its major determinants. METHODS Data came from 4846 patients enrolled in a multi-center registry system, the Korea Tumor Registry System (KOTUS). The random forest and the Cox proportional-hazards model (the Cox model) were applied and compared for the prediction of disease-free survival. Variable importance, the contribution of a variable for the performance of the model, was used for identifying major predictors of disease-free survival after surgery. The C-Index was introduced as a criterion for validating the models trained. RESULTS Based on variable importance from the random forest, major predictors of disease-free survival after surgery were tumor size (0.00310), tumor grade (0.00211), TNM stage (0.00211), T stage (0.00146) and lymphovascular invasion (0.00125). The coefficients of these variables were statistically significant in the Cox model (p < 0.05). The C-Index averages of the random forest and the Cox model were 0.6805 and 0.7738, respectively. CONCLUSIONS This is the first artificial-intelligence study with multi-center registry data to predict disease-free survival after the surgery of pancreatic cancer. The findings of this methodological study demonstrate that artificial intelligence can provide a valuable decision-support system for treating patients undergoing surgery for pancreatic cancer. However, at present, further studies are needed to demonstrate the actual benefit of applying machine learning algorithms in clinical practice.
Collapse
|
10
|
Zhang W, Li Z, Akram MS, Rehman MFU, Khan NH, Hu D, Mustaqeem M, Zeng Y, Kanwal F. Gastric Cancer Screening Methods: A Comparative Study of Two Scoring Methods. Cancer Manag Res 2021; 13:5785-5791. [PMID: 34321925 PMCID: PMC8312504 DOI: 10.2147/cmar.s308395] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/25/2021] [Accepted: 06/18/2021] [Indexed: 01/09/2023] Open
Abstract
Objective To evaluate the Li’s and Japanese scoring methods scoring for screening early gastric cancer in a healthy population. Methods During January 2016–December 2018, profiles of the healthy people participated in a physical examination in the first people’s Hospital of Shanghai were collected. A total of 342 volunteers, including 137 males and 205 females ageing 40–74, were enrolled. After recording the basic information, all volunteers were scored using the Japan scoring method and the new gastric cancer screening score (ie, Li’s score). The subjects’ work characteristics (ROC curve) were drawn according to the patient’s endoscopic pathological examination to indicate early gastric cancer, to determine the best cut-off point for the diagnosis of early gastric cancer by Japanese scoring and Li’s scoring, respectively. The sensitivity and specificity of both scoring methods were calculated as well. Results The area under the ROC curve of Japanese and Li’s score, in the diagnosis of early gastric cancer, was 0.763 and 0.837, respectively. Japanese and Li’s score ≥14 were considered as the best cut-off point. The sensitivity and specificity of Li’s scoring were 63.60% and 91.10%, respectively. The sensitivity and specificity of the Japanese score were 54.50% and 87.50%, respectively. The area under the ROC curve in Li’s scoring is more significant than that in Japanese scoring, and there was a substantial difference in the two methods (P<0.05). Conclusion Both Li’s scoring and Japanese scoring have shown good screening value for early gastric cancer in a healthy population, but Li’s scoring is more sensitive/specific than Japanese scoring.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Weixing Zhang
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Shanghai General Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, School of Medicine, Shanghai, People's Republic of China
| | - Zhangzhi Li
- Department of Hematology, Taihe Hospital, Hubei University of Medicine, Hubei, 442000, People's Republic of China
| | | | | | - Nazeer Hussain Khan
- Henan International Key Laboratory of Nuclear Protein, School of Life Sciences, Henan University Kaifeng, Henan, 475004, People's Republic of China.,Laboratory of Animal and Human Physiology, Department of Biological Sciences, Quaid I Azam University, Islamabad, 45320, Pakistan
| | - Dan Hu
- Department of Neurology, The Central Hospital of Xiaogan, Hubei, 432100, People's Republic of China
| | - Muhammad Mustaqeem
- Department of Chemistry, University of Sargodha, Sub Campus Bhakkar, Bhakkar, 30000, Pakistan
| | - Yuanyuan Zeng
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Shanghai General Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, School of Medicine, Shanghai, People's Republic of China
| | - Fariha Kanwal
- Med-X Research Institute, School of Biomedical Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, People's Republic of China
| |
Collapse
|
11
|
Cao B, Zhang KC, Wei B, Chen L. Status quo and future prospects of artificial neural network from the perspective of gastroenterologists. World J Gastroenterol 2021; 27:2681-2709. [PMID: 34135549 PMCID: PMC8173384 DOI: 10.3748/wjg.v27.i21.2681] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/13/2021] [Revised: 03/29/2021] [Accepted: 04/22/2021] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
Artificial neural networks (ANNs) are one of the primary types of artificial intelligence and have been rapidly developed and used in many fields. In recent years, there has been a sharp increase in research concerning ANNs in gastrointestinal (GI) diseases. This state-of-the-art technique exhibits excellent performance in diagnosis, prognostic prediction, and treatment. Competitions between ANNs and GI experts suggest that efficiency and accuracy might be compatible in virtue of technique advancements. However, the shortcomings of ANNs are not negligible and may induce alterations in many aspects of medical practice. In this review, we introduce basic knowledge about ANNs and summarize the current achievements of ANNs in GI diseases from the perspective of gastroenterologists. Existing limitations and future directions are also proposed to optimize ANN’s clinical potential. In consideration of barriers to interdisciplinary knowledge, sophisticated concepts are discussed using plain words and metaphors to make this review more easily understood by medical practitioners and the general public.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Bo Cao
- Department of General Surgery & Institute of General Surgery, Chinese People’s Liberation Army General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Ke-Cheng Zhang
- Department of General Surgery & Institute of General Surgery, Chinese People’s Liberation Army General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Bo Wei
- Department of General Surgery & Institute of General Surgery, Chinese People’s Liberation Army General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Lin Chen
- Department of General Surgery & Institute of General Surgery, Chinese People’s Liberation Army General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| |
Collapse
|
12
|
Khanagar SB, Naik S, Al Kheraif AA, Vishwanathaiah S, Maganur PC, Alhazmi Y, Mushtaq S, Sarode SC, Sarode GS, Zanza A, Testarelli L, Patil S. Application and Performance of Artificial Intelligence Technology in Oral Cancer Diagnosis and Prediction of Prognosis: A Systematic Review. Diagnostics (Basel) 2021; 11:diagnostics11061004. [PMID: 34072804 PMCID: PMC8227647 DOI: 10.3390/diagnostics11061004] [Citation(s) in RCA: 22] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/02/2021] [Revised: 05/25/2021] [Accepted: 05/29/2021] [Indexed: 12/20/2022] Open
Abstract
Oral cancer (OC) is a deadly disease with a high mortality and complex etiology. Artificial intelligence (AI) is one of the outstanding innovations in technology used in dental science. This paper intends to report on the application and performance of AI in diagnosis and predicting the occurrence of OC. In this study, we carried out data search through an electronic search in several renowned databases, which mainly included PubMed, Google Scholar, Scopus, Embase, Cochrane, Web of Science, and the Saudi Digital Library for articles that were published between January 2000 to March 2021. We included 16 articles that met the eligibility criteria and were critically analyzed using QUADAS-2. AI can precisely analyze an enormous dataset of images (fluorescent, hyperspectral, cytology, CT images, etc.) to diagnose OC. AI can accurately predict the occurrence of OC, as compared to conventional methods, by analyzing predisposing factors like age, gender, tobacco habits, and bio-markers. The precision and accuracy of AI in diagnosis as well as predicting the occurrence are higher than the current, existing clinical strategies, as well as conventional statistics like cox regression analysis and logistic regression.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Sanjeev B. Khanagar
- Preventive Dental Science Department, College of Dentistry, King Saud Bin Abdulaziz University for Health Sciences, Riyadh 11481, Saudi Arabia;
- King Abdullah International Medical Research Center, Ministry of National Guard Health Affairs, Riyadh 11481, Saudi Arabia
| | - Sachin Naik
- Dental Biomaterials Research Chair, Dental Health Department, College of Applied Medical Sciences, King Saud University, Riyadh 11433, Saudi Arabia; (S.N.); (A.A.A.K.)
| | - Abdulaziz Abdullah Al Kheraif
- Dental Biomaterials Research Chair, Dental Health Department, College of Applied Medical Sciences, King Saud University, Riyadh 11433, Saudi Arabia; (S.N.); (A.A.A.K.)
| | - Satish Vishwanathaiah
- Department of Preventive Dental Sciences, Division of Pedodontics, College of Dentistry, Jazan University, Jazan 45142, Saudi Arabia; (S.V.); (P.C.M.)
| | - Prabhadevi C. Maganur
- Department of Preventive Dental Sciences, Division of Pedodontics, College of Dentistry, Jazan University, Jazan 45142, Saudi Arabia; (S.V.); (P.C.M.)
| | - Yaser Alhazmi
- Department of Maxillofacial Surgery and Diagnostic Sciences, Division of Oral Pathology, College of Dentistry, Jazan University, Jazan 45142, Saudi Arabia;
| | - Shazia Mushtaq
- College of Applied Medical Sciences, Dental Health Department, King Saud University, Riyadh 12372, Saudi Arabia;
| | - Sachin C. Sarode
- Department of Oral and Maxillofacial Pathology, Dr. D.Y. Patil Dental College and Hospital, Dr. D. Y. Patil Vidyapeeth, Pimpri, Pune 411018, India; (S.C.S.); (G.S.S.)
| | - Gargi S. Sarode
- Department of Oral and Maxillofacial Pathology, Dr. D.Y. Patil Dental College and Hospital, Dr. D. Y. Patil Vidyapeeth, Pimpri, Pune 411018, India; (S.C.S.); (G.S.S.)
| | - Alessio Zanza
- Department of Maxillo and Oro-Facial Sciences, University of Rome La Sapienza, 00185 Rome, Italy; (A.Z.); (L.T.)
| | - Luca Testarelli
- Department of Maxillo and Oro-Facial Sciences, University of Rome La Sapienza, 00185 Rome, Italy; (A.Z.); (L.T.)
| | - Shankargouda Patil
- Department of Maxillofacial Surgery and Diagnostic Sciences, Division of Oral Pathology, College of Dentistry, Jazan University, Jazan 45142, Saudi Arabia;
- Correspondence:
| |
Collapse
|
13
|
Alabi RO, Youssef O, Pirinen M, Elmusrati M, Mäkitie AA, Leivo I, Almangush A. Machine learning in oral squamous cell carcinoma: Current status, clinical concerns and prospects for future-A systematic review. Artif Intell Med 2021; 115:102060. [PMID: 34001326 DOI: 10.1016/j.artmed.2021.102060] [Citation(s) in RCA: 61] [Impact Index Per Article: 20.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/25/2020] [Revised: 01/27/2021] [Accepted: 03/23/2021] [Indexed: 02/06/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Oral cancer can show heterogenous patterns of behavior. For proper and effective management of oral cancer, early diagnosis and accurate prediction of prognosis are important. To achieve this, artificial intelligence (AI) or its subfield, machine learning, has been touted for its potential to revolutionize cancer management through improved diagnostic precision and prediction of outcomes. Yet, to date, it has made only few contributions to actual medical practice or patient care. OBJECTIVES This study provides a systematic review of diagnostic and prognostic application of machine learning in oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) and also highlights some of the limitations and concerns of clinicians towards the implementation of machine learning-based models for daily clinical practice. DATA SOURCES We searched OvidMedline, PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, and Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) databases from inception until February 2020 for articles that used machine learning for diagnostic or prognostic purposes of OSCC. ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA Only original studies that examined the application of machine learning models for prognostic and/or diagnostic purposes were considered. DATA EXTRACTION Independent extraction of articles was done by two researchers (A.R. & O.Y) using predefine study selection criteria. We used the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA) in the searching and screening processes. We also used Prediction model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool (PROBAST) for assessing the risk of bias (ROB) and quality of included studies. RESULTS A total of 41 studies were published to have used machine learning to aid in the diagnosis/or prognosis of OSCC. The majority of these studies used the support vector machine (SVM) and artificial neural network (ANN) algorithms as machine learning techniques. Their specificity ranged from 0.57 to 1.00, sensitivity from 0.70 to 1.00, and accuracy from 63.4 % to 100.0 % in these studies. The main limitations and concerns can be grouped as either the challenges inherent to the science of machine learning or relating to the clinical implementations. CONCLUSION Machine learning models have been reported to show promising performances for diagnostic and prognostic analyses in studies of oral cancer. These models should be developed to further enhance explainability, interpretability, and externally validated for generalizability in order to be safely integrated into daily clinical practices. Also, regulatory frameworks for the adoption of these models in clinical practices are necessary.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Rasheed Omobolaji Alabi
- Department of Industrial Digitalization, School of Technology and Innovations, University of Vaasa, Vaasa, Finland.
| | - Omar Youssef
- Department of Pathology, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland; Research Program in Systems Oncology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland
| | - Matti Pirinen
- Institute for Molecular Medicine Finland (FIMM), University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland; Department of Public Health, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland; Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland
| | - Mohammed Elmusrati
- Department of Industrial Digitalization, School of Technology and Innovations, University of Vaasa, Vaasa, Finland
| | - Antti A Mäkitie
- Research Program in Systems Oncology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland; Department of Otorhinolaryngology - Head and Neck Surgery, University of Helsinki and Helsinki University Hospital, Helsinki, Finland; Division of Ear, Nose and Throat Diseases, Department of Clinical Sciences, Intervention and Technology, Karolinska Institutet and Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Ilmo Leivo
- University of Turku, Institute of Biomedicine, Pathology, Turku, Finland
| | - Alhadi Almangush
- Department of Pathology, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland; Research Program in Systems Oncology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland; University of Turku, Institute of Biomedicine, Pathology, Turku, Finland; Faculty of Dentistry, Misurata University, Misurata, Libya
| |
Collapse
|
14
|
Alhazmi A, Alhazmi Y, Makrami A, Masmali A, Salawi N, Masmali K, Patil S. Application of artificial intelligence and machine learning for prediction of oral cancer risk. J Oral Pathol Med 2021; 50:444-450. [PMID: 33394536 DOI: 10.1111/jop.13157] [Citation(s) in RCA: 28] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/12/2020] [Revised: 12/21/2020] [Accepted: 12/29/2020] [Indexed: 12/15/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Oral cancer requires early diagnosis and treatment to increase the chances of survival. This study aimed to develop an artificial neural network model that helps to predict the individuals' risk of developing oral cancer based on data on risk factors, systematic medical condition, and clinic-pathological features. METHODS A popular data mining algorithm artificial neural network was used for developing the artificial intelligence-based prediction model. A total of 29 variables that were associated with the patients were used for developing the model. The dataset was randomly split into the training dataset 54 (75%) cases and testing dataset 19 (25%) cases. All records and observations were reviewed by Board-certified oral pathologist. RESULTS A total of 73 patients met the eligibility criteria. Twenty-two (30.13%) were benign cases, and 51 (69.86%) were malignant cases. Thirty-seven were female, and 36 were male, with a mean age of 63.09 years. Our analysis displayed that the average sensitivity and specificity of ANN for oral cancer prediction based on the 10-fold cross-validation analysis was 85.71% (95% confidence interval [CI], 57.19-98.22) and 60.00% (95% CI, 14.66-94.73), respectively. The accuracy of ANN for oral cancer prediction was 78.95% (95% CI, 54.43-931.95). CONCLUSION Our results suggest that this machine-learning technique has the potential to help in oral cancer screening and diagnosis based on the datasets. The results demonstrate that the artificial neural network could perform well in estimating the probability of malignancy and improve the positive predictive value that could help to predict the individuals' risk of developing OC based on knowledge of their risk factors, systemic medical conditions, and clinic-pathological data.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Anwar Alhazmi
- Department of Preventive Dental Science, Jazan University, College of Dentistry, Jazan, Saudi Arabia
| | - Yaser Alhazmi
- Department of Maxillofacial Surgery and Diagnostic Sciences, Jazan University, College of Dentistry, Jazan, Saudi Arabia
| | - Ali Makrami
- Prince Mohammed Bin Nasser Hospital, Ministry of health, Jazan, Saudi Arabia
| | | | | | | | - Shankargouda Patil
- Department of Maxillofacial Surgery and Diagnostic Sciences, Jazan University, College of Dentistry, Jazan, Saudi Arabia
| |
Collapse
|
15
|
Ghosh S, Maulik S, Chatterjee S, Mallick I, Chakravorty N, Mukherjee J. Prediction of survival outcome based on clinical features and pretreatment 18FDG-PET/CT for HNSCC patients. COMPUTER METHODS AND PROGRAMS IN BIOMEDICINE 2020; 195:105669. [PMID: 32763771 DOI: 10.1016/j.cmpb.2020.105669] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/16/2020] [Accepted: 07/15/2020] [Indexed: 06/11/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE In this study, we have analysed pretreatment positron-emission tomography/ computed tomography (PET/CT) images of head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) patients. We have used a publicly available dataset for our analysis. The clinical features of the patient, PET quantitative parameters, and textural indices from pretreatment PET-CT images are selected for the study. The main objective of the study is to use classifiers to predict the outcome for HNSCC patients and compare the performance of the model with the conventional statistical model (CoxPH). METHODS We have applied a 40% fixed SUV threshold method for tumour delineation. Clinical features of each patient are provided in the dataset, and other features are calculated using LIFEx software. For predicting the outcome, we have implemented three classifiers - Random Forest classifier, Gradient Boosted Decision tree (GBDT) and Decision tree classifier. We have trained each model using 93 data points and test the model performance using 39 data points. The best model - GBDT is chosen based on the performance metrics. RESULTS It is observed that typically three features: MTV (Metabolic tumour Volume), primary tumour site and GLCM_correlation are significant for prediction of survival outcome. For testing cohort, GBDT achieves a balanced accuracy of 88%, where conventional statistical model reported a balanced accuracy of 81.5%. CONCLUSIONS The proposed classifier achieves higher accuracy than the state of the art technique. Using this classifier we can estimate the HNSCC patient's outcome, and depending upon the outcome treatment policy can be selected.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Sayantani Ghosh
- Department of Computer Science & Engineering, Indian Institute Of Technology Kharagpur, Kharagpur, West Bengal, 721302, India
| | | | | | | | - Nishant Chakravorty
- School Of Medical Science & Technology, Indian Institute Of Technology Kharagpur, Kharagpur, West Bengal, 721302, India
| | - Jayanta Mukherjee
- Department of Computer Science & Engineering, Indian Institute Of Technology Kharagpur, Kharagpur, West Bengal, 721302, India.
| |
Collapse
|
16
|
Patel SK, George B, Rai V. Artificial Intelligence to Decode Cancer Mechanism: Beyond Patient Stratification for Precision Oncology. Front Pharmacol 2020; 11:1177. [PMID: 32903628 PMCID: PMC7438594 DOI: 10.3389/fphar.2020.01177] [Citation(s) in RCA: 21] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/25/2020] [Accepted: 07/20/2020] [Indexed: 12/13/2022] Open
Abstract
The multitude of multi-omics data generated cost-effectively using advanced high-throughput technologies has imposed challenging domain for research in Artificial Intelligence (AI). Data curation poses a significant challenge as different parameters, instruments, and sample preparations approaches are employed for generating these big data sets. AI could reduce the fuzziness and randomness in data handling and build a platform for the data ecosystem, and thus serve as the primary choice for data mining and big data analysis to make informed decisions. However, AI implication remains intricate for researchers/clinicians lacking specific training in computational tools and informatics. Cancer is a major cause of death worldwide, accounting for an estimated 9.6 million deaths in 2018. Certain cancers, such as pancreatic and gastric cancers, are detected only after they have reached their advanced stages with frequent relapses. Cancer is one of the most complex diseases affecting a range of organs with diverse disease progression mechanisms and the effectors ranging from gene-epigenetics to a wide array of metabolites. Hence a comprehensive study, including genomics, epi-genomics, transcriptomics, proteomics, and metabolomics, along with the medical/mass-spectrometry imaging, patient clinical history, treatments provided, genetics, and disease endemicity, is essential. Cancer Moonshot℠ Research Initiatives by NIH National Cancer Institute aims to collect as much information as possible from different regions of the world and make a cancer data repository. AI could play an immense role in (a) analysis of complex and heterogeneous data sets (multi-omics and/or inter-omics), (b) data integration to provide a holistic disease molecular mechanism, (c) identification of diagnostic and prognostic markers, and (d) monitor patient's response to drugs/treatments and recovery. AI enables precision disease management well beyond the prevalent disease stratification patterns, such as differential expression and supervised classification. This review highlights critical advances and challenges in omics data analysis, dealing with data variability from lab-to-lab, and data integration. We also describe methods used in data mining and AI methods to obtain robust results for precision medicine from "big" data. In the future, AI could be expanded to achieve ground-breaking progress in disease management.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Sandip Kumar Patel
- Department of Biosciences and Bioengineering, Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, Mumbai, India
- Buck Institute for Research on Aging, Novato, CA, United States
| | - Bhawana George
- Department of Hematopathology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, United States
| | - Vineeta Rai
- Department of Entomology & Plant Pathology, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC, United States
| |
Collapse
|
17
|
Arkin FS, Aras G, Dogu E. Comparison of Artificial Neural Networks and Logistic Regression for 30-days Survival Prediction of Cancer Patients. Acta Inform Med 2020; 28:108-113. [PMID: 32742062 PMCID: PMC7382770 DOI: 10.5455/aim.2020.28.108-113] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/13/2022] Open
Abstract
Introduction A machine learning technique that imitates neural system and brain can provide better than traditional methods like logistic regression for survival prediction and create an algorithm by determining influential factors. Aim To determine the influential factors on survival time of palliative care cancer patients and to compare two statistical methods for better prediction of survival. Methods One-year data is gathered from the patients that we followed in the palliative care clinic of our hospital (2017-2018) (n = 189). All data were retrospectively evaluated. After descriptive statistics, we used Pearson and Spearman correlations for parametric and non-parametric variables. The Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) and logistic regression model were applied to parameters which have a significant correlation with short survival. Results Significantly correlated variables with short survival were Palliative Performance Scale (PPS), Edmonton Symptom Assessment System (ESAS), Karnofsky Performance Scale (KPS), brain, liver, and distant metastasis, hemogram parameters, cero-reactive protein (CRP) and albumin (ALB). ANN model showed 89.3% prediction accuracy while the logistic regression model showed 73.0%. ANN model achieved a better AUC value of 0.86 than logistic regression model (0.76). Discussion There are several prognostic evaluation tools such as PPS, KPS, CRP, albumin, leukocytes, neutrophil were reported several studies as survival-related parameters in logistic regression models, also. Many studies compare ANN with logistic regression. When we evaluated these parameters totally, we observed the same relations with survival then we used the same parameters in the ANN model. The effectivity of the survival prediction models can be improved with the use of ANN. Conclusion ANN provides a more accurate estimation than logistic regression. ANN model is an important statistical method for survival prediction of cancer patients.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Funda Secik Arkin
- Yedikule Chest Diseases and Thoracic Surgery Training and Research Hospital, Palliative Clinic, Istanbul, Turkey
| | - Gulfidan Aras
- Yedikule Chest Diseases and Thoracic Surgery Training and Research Hospital, Palliative Clinic, Istanbul, Turkey
| | - Elif Dogu
- Department of Industrial Engineering, Galatasaray University, Istanbul, Turkey
| |
Collapse
|
18
|
Wu Y, Li Q, Cai Z, Zhang Y, Qiu Y, Yang N, Song T, Li S, Lou J, Li J, Mao X, Chen C, Zhang D, Si S, Geng Z, Tang Z. Survival prediction for gallbladder carcinoma after curative resection: Comparison of nomogram and Bayesian network models. Eur J Surg Oncol 2020; 46:2106-2113. [PMID: 32807616 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejso.2020.07.009] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/02/2020] [Revised: 06/24/2020] [Accepted: 07/07/2020] [Indexed: 12/24/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND In this study, we developed a nomogram and a Bayesian network (BN) model for prediction of survival in gallbladder carcinoma (GBC) patients following surgery and compared the performance of the two models. METHODS Survival prediction models were established and validated using data from 698 patients with GBC who underwent curative-intent resection between 2008 and 2017 at one of six Chinese tertiary hospitals. Model construction and internal validation were performed using data from 381 patients at one hepatobiliary center, and external validation was then performed using data from 317 patients at the other five centers. A BN model and a nomogram model were constructed based on the independent prognostic variables. Performance of the BN and nomogram models was compared based on area under receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC), model accuracy, and a confusion matrix. RESULTS Independent prognostic variables included age, pathological grade, liver infiltration, T stage, N stage, and margin. In internal validation, AUC was 84.14% and 78.22% for the BN and nomogram, respectively, and model accuracy was 75.65% and 72.17%, respectively. In external validation, AUC was 76.46% and 70.19% for the BN and nomogram, respectively, with model accuracy of 66.88% and 60.25%, respectively. Based on the confusion matrix, the nomogram had a higher true positive rate but a substantially lower true negative rate compared to the BN. CONCLUSION A BN model was more accurate than a Cox regression-based nomogram for prediction of survival in GBC patients undergoing curative-intent resection.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Yuhan Wu
- Department of Industrial Engineering, School of Mechanical Engineering, Northwestern Polytechnical University, Xi'an, 710072, Shaanxi, China
| | - Qi Li
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, 710061, Shaanxi, China
| | - Zhiqiang Cai
- Department of Industrial Engineering, School of Mechanical Engineering, Northwestern Polytechnical University, Xi'an, 710072, Shaanxi, China
| | - Yongjie Zhang
- Department of Biliary Surgery, Eastern Hepatobiliary Hospital Affiliated to Naval Medical University, Shanghai, 200433, China
| | - Yinghe Qiu
- Department of Biliary Surgery, Eastern Hepatobiliary Hospital Affiliated to Naval Medical University, Shanghai, 200433, China
| | - Ning Yang
- Department of Biliary Surgery, Eastern Hepatobiliary Hospital Affiliated to Naval Medical University, Shanghai, 200433, China
| | - Tianqiang Song
- Department of Hepatobiliary Oncology, Tianjin Medical University Cancer Hospital, Tianjin, 300060, China
| | - Shengping Li
- Department of Hepatobiliary Oncology, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, 510060, Guangdong, China
| | - Jianying Lou
- Department of Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, 310009, Zhejiang, China
| | - Jiangtao Li
- Department of Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, 310009, Zhejiang, China
| | - Xianhai Mao
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Hunan Provincial People's Hospital, Changsha, 410005, Hunan, China
| | - Chen Chen
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, 710061, Shaanxi, China
| | - Dong Zhang
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, 710061, Shaanxi, China
| | - Shubin Si
- Department of Industrial Engineering, School of Mechanical Engineering, Northwestern Polytechnical University, Xi'an, 710072, Shaanxi, China
| | - Zhimin Geng
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, 710061, Shaanxi, China.
| | - Zhaohui Tang
- Department of General Surgery, Xinhua Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, 200092, China.
| |
Collapse
|
19
|
Application of artificial intelligence in the diagnosis and prediction of gastric cancer. Artif Intell Gastroenterol 2020. [DOI: 10.35712/wjg.v1.i1.12] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
|
20
|
Qie YY, Xue XF, Wang XG, Dang SC. Application of artificial intelligence in the diagnosis and prediction of gastric cancer. Artif Intell Gastroenterol 2020; 1:12-18. [DOI: 10.35712/aig.v1.i1.12] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/12/2020] [Revised: 07/13/2020] [Accepted: 07/16/2020] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
Gastric cancer is the second leading cause of cancer deaths worldwide. Despite the great progress in the diagnosis and treatment of gastric cancer, the incidence and mortality rate of the disease in China are still relatively high. The high mortality rate of gastric cancer may be related to its low early diagnosis rate and poor prognosis. Much research has been focused on improving the sensitivity and specificity of diagnostic tools for gastric cancer, in order to more accurately predict the survival times of gastric cancer patients. Taking appropriate treatment measures is the key to reducing the mortality rate of gastric cancer. In the past decade, artificial intelligence technology has been applied to various fields of medicine as a branch of computer science. This article discusses the application and research status of artificial intelligence in gastric cancer diagnosis and survival prediction.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Yin-Yin Qie
- Department of General Surgery, The Affiliated Hospital, Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang 212001, Jiangsu Province, China
| | - Xiao-Fei Xue
- Department of General Surgery, Pucheng Hospital, Weinan 715500, Shaanxi Province, China
| | - Xiao-Gang Wang
- Department of General Surgery, Pucheng Hospital, Weinan 715500, Shaanxi Province, China
| | - Sheng-Chun Dang
- Department of General Surgery, the Affiliated Hospital, Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang 212001, Jiangsu Province, China
- Department of General Surgery, Pucheng Hospital, Weinan 715500, Shaanxi Province, China
| |
Collapse
|
21
|
Li Z, Wu X, Gao X, Shan F, Ying X, Zhang Y, Ji J. Development and validation of an artificial neural network prognostic model after gastrectomy for gastric carcinoma: An international multicenter cohort study. Cancer Med 2020; 9:6205-6215. [PMID: 32666682 PMCID: PMC7476835 DOI: 10.1002/cam4.3245] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/03/2020] [Revised: 06/01/2020] [Accepted: 06/01/2020] [Indexed: 12/24/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Recently, artificial neural network (ANN) methods have also been adopted to deal with the complex multidimensional nonlinear relationship between clinicopathologic variables and survival for patients with gastric cancer. Using a multinational cohort, this study aimed to develop and validate an ANN-based survival prediction model for patients with gastric cancer. METHODS Patients with gastric cancer who underwent gastrectomy in a Chinese center, a Japanese center, and recorded in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database, respectively, were included in this study. Multilayer perceptron neural network was used to develop the prediction model. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, area under the curves (AUCs), and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to compare the ANN model with previous prediction models. RESULTS An ANN model with nine input nodes, nine hidden nodes, and two output nodes was constructed. These three cohort's data showed that the AUC of the model was 0.795, 0.836, and 0.850 for 5-year survival prediction, respectively. In the calibration curve analysis, the ANN-predicted survival had a high consistency with the actual survival. Comparison of the DCA and time-dependent ROC between the ANN model and previous prediction models showed that the ANN model had good and stable prediction capability compared to the previous models in all cohorts. CONCLUSIONS The ANN model has significantly better discriminative capability and allows an individualized survival prediction. This model has good versatility in Eastern and Western data and has high clinical application value.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Ziyu Li
- Gastrointestinal Cancer Center, Key Laboratory of Carcinogenesis and Translational Research (Ministry of Education), Peking University Cancer Hospital and Institute, Beijing, China
| | - Xiaolong Wu
- Gastrointestinal Cancer Center, Key Laboratory of Carcinogenesis and Translational Research (Ministry of Education), Peking University Cancer Hospital and Institute, Beijing, China
| | - Xiangyu Gao
- Gastrointestinal Cancer Center, Key Laboratory of Carcinogenesis and Translational Research (Ministry of Education), Peking University Cancer Hospital and Institute, Beijing, China
| | - Fei Shan
- Gastrointestinal Cancer Center, Key Laboratory of Carcinogenesis and Translational Research (Ministry of Education), Peking University Cancer Hospital and Institute, Beijing, China
| | - Xiangji Ying
- Gastrointestinal Cancer Center, Key Laboratory of Carcinogenesis and Translational Research (Ministry of Education), Peking University Cancer Hospital and Institute, Beijing, China
| | - Yan Zhang
- Gastrointestinal Cancer Center, Key Laboratory of Carcinogenesis and Translational Research (Ministry of Education), Peking University Cancer Hospital and Institute, Beijing, China
| | - Jiafu Ji
- Gastrointestinal Cancer Center, Key Laboratory of Carcinogenesis and Translational Research (Ministry of Education), Peking University Cancer Hospital and Institute, Beijing, China
| |
Collapse
|
22
|
Jin P, Ji X, Kang W, Li Y, Liu H, Ma F, Ma S, Hu H, Li W, Tian Y. Artificial intelligence in gastric cancer: a systematic review. J Cancer Res Clin Oncol 2020; 146:2339-2350. [PMID: 32613386 DOI: 10.1007/s00432-020-03304-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 53] [Impact Index Per Article: 13.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/03/2020] [Accepted: 06/26/2020] [Indexed: 02/08/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE This study aims to systematically review the application of artificial intelligence (AI) techniques in gastric cancer and to discuss the potential limitations and future directions of AI in gastric cancer. METHODS A systematic review was performed that follows the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines. Pubmed, EMBASE, the Web of Science, and the Cochrane Library were used to search for gastric cancer publications with an emphasis on AI that were published up to June 2020. The terms "artificial intelligence" and "gastric cancer" were used to search for the publications. RESULTS A total of 64 articles were included in this review. In gastric cancer, AI is mainly used for molecular bio-information analysis, endoscopic detection for Helicobacter pylori infection, chronic atrophic gastritis, early gastric cancer, invasion depth, and pathology recognition. AI may also be used to establish predictive models for evaluating lymph node metastasis, response to drug treatments, and prognosis. In addition, AI can be used for surgical training, skill assessment, and surgery guidance. CONCLUSIONS In the foreseeable future, AI applications can play an important role in gastric cancer management in the era of precision medicine.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Peng Jin
- Department of Pancreatic and Gastric Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, No. 17, Panjiayuan Nanli, Chaoyang District, Beijing, 100021, China
| | - Xiaoyan Ji
- Department of Emergency Ward, First Teaching Hospital of Tianjin University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Tianjin, 300193, China
| | - Wenzhe Kang
- Department of Pancreatic and Gastric Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, No. 17, Panjiayuan Nanli, Chaoyang District, Beijing, 100021, China
| | - Yang Li
- Department of Pancreatic and Gastric Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, No. 17, Panjiayuan Nanli, Chaoyang District, Beijing, 100021, China
| | - Hao Liu
- Department of Pancreatic and Gastric Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, No. 17, Panjiayuan Nanli, Chaoyang District, Beijing, 100021, China
| | - Fuhai Ma
- Department of Pancreatic and Gastric Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, No. 17, Panjiayuan Nanli, Chaoyang District, Beijing, 100021, China
| | - Shuai Ma
- Department of Pancreatic and Gastric Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, No. 17, Panjiayuan Nanli, Chaoyang District, Beijing, 100021, China
| | - Haitao Hu
- Department of Pancreatic and Gastric Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, No. 17, Panjiayuan Nanli, Chaoyang District, Beijing, 100021, China
| | - Weikun Li
- Department of Pancreatic and Gastric Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, No. 17, Panjiayuan Nanli, Chaoyang District, Beijing, 100021, China
| | - Yantao Tian
- Department of Pancreatic and Gastric Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, No. 17, Panjiayuan Nanli, Chaoyang District, Beijing, 100021, China.
| |
Collapse
|
23
|
Survival Prediction in Patients with Colorectal Cancer Using Artificial Neural Network and Cox Regression. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CANCER MANAGEMENT 2020. [DOI: 10.5812/ijcm.81161] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/27/2022]
|
24
|
Alabi RO, Elmusrati M, Sawazaki-Calone I, Kowalski LP, Haglund C, Coletta RD, Mäkitie AA, Salo T, Almangush A, Leivo I. Comparison of supervised machine learning classification techniques in prediction of locoregional recurrences in early oral tongue cancer. Int J Med Inform 2019; 136:104068. [PMID: 31923822 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijmedinf.2019.104068] [Citation(s) in RCA: 59] [Impact Index Per Article: 11.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/28/2019] [Revised: 12/10/2019] [Accepted: 12/26/2019] [Indexed: 12/23/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The proper estimate of the risk of recurrences in early-stage oral tongue squamous cell carcinoma (OTSCC) is mandatory for individual treatment-decision making. However, this remains a challenge even for experienced multidisciplinary centers. OBJECTIVES We compared the performance of four machine learning (ML) algorithms for predicting the risk of locoregional recurrences in patients with OTSCC. These algorithms were Support Vector Machine (SVM), Naive Bayes (NB), Boosted Decision Tree (BDT), and Decision Forest (DF). MATERIALS AND METHODS The study cohort comprised 311 cases from the five University Hospitals in Finland and A.C. Camargo Cancer Center, São Paulo, Brazil. For comparison of the algorithms, we used the harmonic mean of precision and recall called F1 score, specificity, and accuracy values. These algorithms and their corresponding permutation feature importance (PFI) with the input parameters were externally tested on 59 new cases. Furthermore, we compared the performance of the algorithm that showed the highest prediction accuracy with the prognostic significance of depth of invasion (DOI). RESULTS The results showed that the average specificity of all the algorithms was 71% . The SVM showed an accuracy of 68% and F1 score of 0.63, NB an accuracy of 70% and F1 score of 0.64, BDT an accuracy of 81% and F1 score of 0.78, and DF an accuracy of 78% and F1 score of 0.70. Additionally, these algorithms outperformed the DOI-based approach, which gave an accuracy of 63%. With PFI-analysis, there was no significant difference in the overall accuracies of three of the algorithms; PFI-BDT accuracy increased to 83.1%, PFI-DF increased to 80%, PFI-SVM decreased to 64.4%, while PFI-NB accuracy increased significantly to 81.4%. CONCLUSIONS Our findings show that the best classification accuracy was achieved with the boosted decision tree algorithm. Additionally, these algorithms outperformed the DOI-based approach. Furthermore, with few parameters identified in the PFI analysis, ML technique still showed the ability to predict locoregional recurrence. The application of boosted decision tree machine learning algorithm can stratify OTSCC patients and thus aid in their individual treatment planning.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Rasheed Omobolaji Alabi
- Department of Industrial Digitalization, School of Technology and Innovations, University of Vaasa, Vaasa, Finland.
| | - Mohammed Elmusrati
- Department of Industrial Digitalization, School of Technology and Innovations, University of Vaasa, Vaasa, Finland
| | - Iris Sawazaki-Calone
- Oral Pathology and Oral Medicine, Dentistry School, Western Parana State University, Cascavel, PR, Brazil
| | - Luiz Paulo Kowalski
- Department of Head and Neck Surgery and Otorhinolaryngology, A.C. Camargo Cancer Center, São Paulo, SP, Brazil
| | - Caj Haglund
- Research Programs Unit, Translational Cancer Biology, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland
| | - Ricardo D Coletta
- Department of Oral Diagnosis, School of Dentistry, State University of Campinas, Piracicaba, São Paulo, Brazil
| | - Antti A Mäkitie
- Department of Otorhinolaryngology - Head and Neck Surgery, University of Helsinki and Helsinki University Hospital, Helsinki, Finland; Research Program in Systems Oncology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland; Division of Ear, Nose and Throat Diseases, Department of Clinical Sciences, Intervention and Technology, Karolinska Institutet and Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Tuula Salo
- Department of Pathology, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland; Department of Oral and Maxillofacial Diseases, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland; Cancer and Translational Medicine Research Unit, Medical Research Center Oulu, University of Oulu and Oulu University Hospital, Oulu, Finland
| | - Alhadi Almangush
- Department of Pathology, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland; Institute of Biomedicine, Pathology, University of Turku, Turku, Finland; Faculty of Dentistry, University of Misurata, Misurata, Libya
| | - Ilmo Leivo
- Institute of Biomedicine, Pathology, University of Turku, Turku, Finland
| |
Collapse
|
25
|
Huang S, Yang J, Fong S, Zhao Q. Artificial intelligence in cancer diagnosis and prognosis: Opportunities and challenges. Cancer Lett 2019; 471:61-71. [PMID: 31830558 DOI: 10.1016/j.canlet.2019.12.007] [Citation(s) in RCA: 218] [Impact Index Per Article: 43.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/23/2019] [Revised: 12/04/2019] [Accepted: 12/06/2019] [Indexed: 02/06/2023]
Abstract
Cancer is an aggressive disease with a low median survival rate. Ironically, the treatment process is long and very costly due to its high recurrence and mortality rates. Accurate early diagnosis and prognosis prediction of cancer are essential to enhance the patient's survival rate. Developments in statistics and computer engineering over the years have encouraged many scientists to apply computational methods such as multivariate statistical analysis to analyze the prognosis of the disease, and the accuracy of such analyses is significantly higher than that of empirical predictions. Furthermore, as artificial intelligence (AI), especially machine learning and deep learning, has found popular applications in clinical cancer research in recent years, cancer prediction performance has reached new heights. This article reviews the literature on the application of AI to cancer diagnosis and prognosis, and summarizes its advantages. We explore how AI assists cancer diagnosis and prognosis, specifically with regard to its unprecedented accuracy, which is even higher than that of general statistical applications in oncology. We also demonstrate ways in which these methods are advancing the field. Finally, opportunities and challenges in the clinical implementation of AI are discussed. Hence, this article provides a new perspective on how AI technology can help improve cancer diagnosis and prognosis, and continue improving human health in the future.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Shigao Huang
- Cancer Center, Institute of Translational Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Macau, Taipa, Macao, China
| | - Jie Yang
- Department of Computer and Information Science, University of Macau, Taipa, Macau, China; Chongqing Industry&Trade Polytechnic, Chongqing, China
| | - Simon Fong
- Department of Computer and Information Science, University of Macau, Taipa, Macau, China; Zhuhai Institute of Advanced Technology Chinese Academy of Sciences, Zhuhai, China.
| | - Qi Zhao
- Cancer Center, Institute of Translational Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Macau, Taipa, Macao, China.
| |
Collapse
|
26
|
Mortezagholi A, Khosravizadeh O, Menhaj MB, Shafigh Y, Kalhor R. Make Intelligent of Gastric Cancer Diagnosis Error in Qazvin's Medical Centers: Using Data Mining Method. Asian Pac J Cancer Prev 2019; 20:2607-2610. [PMID: 31554353 PMCID: PMC6976843 DOI: 10.31557/apjcp.2019.20.9.2607] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/21/2018] [Accepted: 05/04/2019] [Indexed: 01/04/2023] Open
Abstract
Objective: Gastric cancer is one of the most common types of cancers, which will result in irreparable harm in the case of misdiagnosis or late diagnosis. The purpose of this study is to investigate the capability of data mining techniques and disease risk factor characteristics to predict and diagnose the gastric cancer. Methods: In this retrospective descriptive-analytic study, we selected 405 samples from two groups of patient and healthy participants. A total of 11 characteristics and risk factors were examined. we used four Machine learning methods, Include support vector machine (SVM), decision tree (DT), naive Bayesian model, and k nearest neighborhood (KNN) to classify the patients with gastric cancer. The evaluation criteria to investigate the model on the database of patients with gastric cancer included Recall, Precision, F-score, and Accuracy. Data was analyzed using MATLAB® software, version 3.2 (Mathworks Inc., Natick, MA, USA). Results: Based on the results achieved from the evaluation of four methods, the accuracy rates of SVM, DT, naive Bayesian model, and KNN algorithms were 90.08, 87.89, 87.60, and 87.60 percent, respectively. The findings showed that the highest level of F-Score was related to the SVM (91.99); whereas, the lowest rate was associated with the KNN algorithm (87.17). Conclusion: According to the findings, the SVM algorithm showed the best results in classification of Test samples. So, this intelligent system can be used as a physician assistant in medical education hospitals, where the diagnosis processes are performed by medical students.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Asghar Mortezagholi
- Department of Computer Engineering, Islamic Azad University of Qazvin (QIAU), Qazvin, Iran
| | - Omid Khosravizadeh
- Social Determinants of Health Research Center, Qazvin University of Medical Sciences, Qazvin, Iran.
| | | | - Younes Shafigh
- General Surgeon, Assistant Professor. School of Medicine, Qazvin University of Medical Sciences, Qazvin, Iran
| | - Rohollah Kalhor
- Social Determinants of Health Research Center, Qazvin University of Medical Sciences, Qazvin, Iran.
| |
Collapse
|
27
|
Zhao Y, Zhao L, Mao T, Zhong L. Assessment of risk based on variant pathways and establishment of an artificial neural network model of thyroid cancer. BMC MEDICAL GENETICS 2019; 20:92. [PMID: 31138213 PMCID: PMC6537382 DOI: 10.1186/s12881-019-0829-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/24/2018] [Accepted: 05/17/2019] [Indexed: 01/13/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND This study aimed to establish an artificial neural network (ANN) model based on variant pathways to predict the risk of thyroid cancer. METHODS The RNASeq data of 482 thyroid cancer samples were downloaded from the TCGA database. The samples were divided into low-risk and high-risk groups, followed by identification of differentially expressed genes (DEGs). Co-expression analysis and pathway enrichment analysis were then performed. The variant pathways were screened according to the functional deviation score of each pathway, and an ANN model was established. Finally, the efficiency of the ANN model for risk assessment was validated by survival analysis and analysis of an independent microarray dataset (GSE34289) for thyroid cancer. RESULTS In total, 190 DEGs (85 up-regulated and 105 down-regulated) were identified between the low-risk and high-risk groups. Ten risk-related variant pathways were identified between the low-risk and high-risk groups, which were related to inflammatory and immune responses. Based on these variant pathways, an ANN model was built, consisting of an input layer, two hidden layers, and an output layer, corresponding to 15, 8, 5, and 1 neuron, respectively. Survival analysis showed that this model could effectively distinguish the samples with different risks. Analysis of microarray dataset GSE34289 showed that the accuracy of this model for predicating low-risk and high-risk samples was 77.5 and 86.0%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS This study suggests that the ANN model based on variant pathways can be used for effectively evaluating the risk of thyroid cancer.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Yinlong Zhao
- Department of Nuclear Medicine, The Second Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, Jilin, 130041, People's Republic of China
| | - Lingzhi Zhao
- Purchasing Center, The Second Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, Jilin, 130041, People's Republic of China
| | - Tiezhu Mao
- Department of radiotherapy, The Second Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, Jilin, 130041, People's Republic of China
| | - Lili Zhong
- Jilin Provincial Key Laboratory on Molecular and Chemical Genetic, The Second Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, Jilin, 130041, People's Republic of China.
| |
Collapse
|
28
|
Paik ES, Lee JW, Park JY, Kim JH, Kim M, Kim TJ, Choi CH, Kim BG, Bae DS, Seo SW. Prediction of survival outcomes in patients with epithelial ovarian cancer using machine learning methods. J Gynecol Oncol 2019; 30:e65. [PMID: 31074247 PMCID: PMC6543110 DOI: 10.3802/jgo.2019.30.e65] [Citation(s) in RCA: 27] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/11/2018] [Revised: 02/07/2019] [Accepted: 02/09/2019] [Indexed: 11/30/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES The aim of this study was to develop a new prognostic classification for epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC) patients using gradient boosting (GB) and to compare the accuracy of the prognostic model with the conventional statistical method. METHODS Information of EOC patients from Samsung Medical Center (training cohort, n=1,128) was analyzed to optimize the prognostic model using GB. The performance of the final model was externally validated with patient information from Asan Medical Center (validation cohort, n=229). The area under the curve (AUC) by the GB model was compared to that of the conventional Cox proportional hazard regression analysis (CoxPHR) model. RESULTS In the training cohort, the AUC of the GB model for predicting second year overall survival (OS), with the highest target value, was 0.830 (95% confidence interval [CI]=0.802-0.853). In the validation cohort, the GB model also showed high AUC of 0.843 (95% CI=0.833-0.853). In comparison, the conventional CoxPHR method showed lower AUC (0.668 (95% CI=0.617-0.719) for the training cohort and 0.597 (95% CI=0.474-0.719) for the validation cohort) compared to GB. New classification according to survival probability scores of the GB model identified four distinct prognostic subgroups that showed more discriminately classified prediction than the International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics staging system. CONCLUSION Our novel GB-guided classification accurately identified the prognostic subgroups of patients with EOC and showed higher accuracy than the conventional method. This approach would be useful for accurate estimation of individual outcomes of EOC patients.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- E Sun Paik
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Jeong Won Lee
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.,Samsung Advanced Institute for Health Sciences & Technology, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Jeong Yeol Park
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Asan Medical Center, Seoul, Korea
| | - Ju Hyun Kim
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Asan Medical Center, Seoul, Korea
| | - Mijung Kim
- Department of Electronics and Information System, Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium
| | - Tae Joong Kim
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Chel Hun Choi
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Byoung Gie Kim
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Duk Soo Bae
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Sung Wook Seo
- Samsung Advanced Institute for Health Sciences & Technology, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.,Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.
| |
Collapse
|
29
|
Li YY, Yang C, Zhou P, Zhang S, Yao Y, Li D. Genome-scale analysis to identify prognostic markers and predict the survival of lung adenocarcinoma. J Cell Biochem 2018; 119:8909-8921. [PMID: 30105759 DOI: 10.1002/jcb.27144] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/27/2018] [Accepted: 05/18/2018] [Indexed: 12/17/2022]
Abstract
Lung cancer is one of the most malignant cancers worldwide, and lung adenocarcinoma (LAC) remains the most common histologic subtype. However, the functional significance of RNA expression-based prognosis prediction in LAC is still unclear and needs to be further studied. By utilizing the Cox multivariate regression, we established a risk score staging system to predict the outcome of patients with LAC and subsequently identified 10 genes, including PTPRH, OGFRP1, LDHA, AL365203.1, LINC02178, AL512488.1, LINC01312, AL353746.1, DRAXINP1, and LINC02310, which were closely related to the prognosis of patients with LAC. The identified genes allowed us to classify patients into high-risk group with poor outcome and low-risk group with better outcome. Compared with other clinical factors, the risk score performs better in predicting the outcome of LAC patients. We used Gene-Set Enrichment Analysis to identify the differences between the 2 groups in biological pathways. In conclusion, we identified 10 genes by utilizing Cox regression model and developed a risk staging model for LAC, which might prove significant for the clinical management of LAC patients.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Yan-Yan Li
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Shanghai Ninth People's Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Chun Yang
- Department of Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, College of Medicine, Beilun Branch of Zhejiang University, Ningbo, China
| | - Pingting Zhou
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Shanghai Ninth People's Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Shijie Zhang
- General Office, Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences, Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou, China
| | - Yuan Yao
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Shanghai Ninth People's Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Dong Li
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Shanghai Ninth People's Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| |
Collapse
|
30
|
Oh SE, Seo SW, Choi MG, Sohn TS, Bae JM, Kim S. Prediction of Overall Survival and Novel Classification of Patients with Gastric Cancer Using the Survival Recurrent Network. Ann Surg Oncol 2018; 25:1153-1159. [PMID: 29497908 DOI: 10.1245/s10434-018-6343-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 23] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/02/2017] [Indexed: 12/15/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Artificial neural networks (ANNs) have been applied to many prediction and classification problems, and could also be used to develop a prediction model of survival outcomes for cancer patients. OBJECTIVE The aim of this study is to develop a prediction model of survival outcomes for patients with gastric cancer using an ANN. METHODS This study enrolled 1243 patients with stage IIA-IV gastric cancer who underwent D2 gastrectomy from January 2007 to June 2010. We used a recurrent neural network (RNN) to make the survival recurrent network (SRN), and patients were randomly sorted into a training set (80%) and a test set (20%). Fivefold cross-validation was performed with the training set, and the optimized model was evaluated with the test set. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and area under the curves (AUCs) were evaluated, and we compared the survival curves of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) 8th stage groups with those of the groups classified by the SRN-predicted survival probability. RESULTS The test data showed that the ROC AUC of the SRN was 0.81 at the fifth year. The SRN-predicted survival corresponded closely with the actual survival in the calibration curve, and the survival outcome could be more discriminately classified by using the SRN than by using the AJCC staging system. CONCLUSION SRN was a more powerful tool for predicting the survival rates of gastric cancer patients than conventional TNM staging, and may also provide a more flexible and expandable method when compared with fixed prediction models such as nomograms.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Sung Eun Oh
- Department of Surgery, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Sung Wook Seo
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.
| | - Min-Gew Choi
- Department of Surgery, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.
| | - Tae Sung Sohn
- Department of Surgery, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Jae Moon Bae
- Department of Surgery, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Sung Kim
- Department of Surgery, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| |
Collapse
|
31
|
Korhani Kangi A, Bahrampour A. Predicting the Survival of Gastric Cancer Patients Using
Artificial and Bayesian Neural Networks. Asian Pac J Cancer Prev 2018; 19:487-490. [PMID: 29480983 PMCID: PMC5980938 DOI: 10.22034/apjcp.2018.19.2.487] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/21/2022] Open
Abstract
Introduction and purpose: In recent years the use of neural networks without any premises for investigation
of prognosis in analyzing survival data has increased. Artificial neural networks (ANN) use small processors with
a continuous network to solve problems inspired by the human brain. Bayesian neural networks (BNN) constitute a
neural-based approach to modeling and non-linearization of complex issues using special algorithms and statistical
methods. Gastric cancer incidence is the first and third ranking for men and women in Iran, respectively. The aim of the
present study was to assess the value of an artificial neural network and a Bayesian neural network for modeling and
predicting of probability of gastric cancer patient death. Materials and Methods: In this study, we used information
on 339 patients aged from 20 to 90 years old with positive gastric cancer, referred to Afzalipoor and Shahid Bahonar
Hospitals in Kerman City from 2001 to 2015. The three layers perceptron neural network (ANN) and the Bayesian
neural network (BNN) were used for predicting the probability of mortality using the available data. To investigate
differences between the models, sensitivity, specificity, accuracy and the area under receiver operating characteristic
curves (AUROCs) were generated. Results: In this study, the sensitivity and specificity of the artificial neural network
and Bayesian neural network models were 0.882, 0.903 and 0.954, 0.909, respectively. Prediction accuracy and the
area under curve ROC for the two models were 0.891, 0.944 and 0.935, 0.961. The age at diagnosis of gastric cancer
was most important for predicting survival, followed by tumor grade, morphology, gender, smoking history, opium
consumption, receiving chemotherapy, presence of metastasis, tumor stage, receiving radiotherapy, and being resident
in a village. Conclusion: The findings of the present study indicated that the Bayesian neural network is preferable to
an artificial neural network for predicting survival of gastric cancer patients in Iran.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Azam Korhani Kangi
- Modeling of Health Research Center, Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, School of Health, Kerman University of Medical Sciences, Kerman, Iran.
| | | |
Collapse
|
32
|
Li G, Zhou X, Liu J, Chen Y, Zhang H, Chen Y, Liu J, Jiang H, Yang J, Nie S. Comparison of three data mining models for prediction of advanced schistosomiasis prognosis in the Hubei province. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2018; 12:e0006262. [PMID: 29447165 PMCID: PMC5831639 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0006262] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/06/2017] [Revised: 02/28/2018] [Accepted: 01/23/2018] [Indexed: 01/27/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND In order to better assist medical professionals, this study aimed to develop and compare the performance of three models-a multivariate logistic regression (LR) model, an artificial neural network (ANN) model, and a decision tree (DT) model-to predict the prognosis of patients with advanced schistosomiasis residing in the Hubei province. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS Schistosomiasis surveillance data were collected from a previous study based on a Hubei population sample including 4136 advanced schistosomiasis cases. The predictive models use LR, ANN, and DT methods. From each of the three groups, 70% of the cases (2896 cases) were used as training data for the predictive models. The remaining 30% of the cases (1240 cases) were used as validation groups for performance comparisons between the three models. Prediction performance was evaluated using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy. Univariate analysis indicated that 16 risk factors were significantly associated with a patient's outcome of prognosis. In the training group, the mean AUC was 0.8276 for LR, 0.9267 for ANN, and 0.8229 for DT. In the validation group, the mean AUC was 0.8349 for LR, 0.8318 for ANN, and 0.8148 for DT. The three models yielded similar results in terms of accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity. CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE Predictive models for advanced schistosomiasis prognosis, respectively using LR, ANN and DT models were proved to be effective approaches based on our dataset. The ANN model outperformed the LR and DT models in terms of AUC.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Guo Li
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei, China
- Hubei Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Wuhan, Hubei, China
| | - Xiaorong Zhou
- Hubei Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Wuhan, Hubei, China
| | - Jianbing Liu
- Hubei Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Wuhan, Hubei, China
| | - Yuanqi Chen
- Department of Mathematics, Wuhan University, Wuhan, Hubei, China
| | - Hengtao Zhang
- Department of Mathematics, Wuhan University, Wuhan, Hubei, China
| | - Yanyan Chen
- Hubei Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Wuhan, Hubei, China
| | - Jianhua Liu
- Yichang Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Yichang, Hubei, China
| | - Hongbo Jiang
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Guangdong Pharmaceutical University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Junjing Yang
- Hubei Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Wuhan, Hubei, China
| | - Shaofa Nie
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei, China
| |
Collapse
|
33
|
Nilsaz-Dezfouli H, Abu-Bakar MR, Arasan J, Adam MB, Pourhoseingholi MA. Improving Gastric Cancer Outcome Prediction Using Single Time-Point Artificial Neural Network Models. Cancer Inform 2017; 16:1176935116686062. [PMID: 28469384 PMCID: PMC5392036 DOI: 10.1177/1176935116686062] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/25/2016] [Accepted: 09/18/2016] [Indexed: 12/17/2022] Open
Abstract
In cancer studies, the prediction of cancer outcome based on a set of prognostic variables has been a long-standing topic of interest. Current statistical methods for survival analysis offer the possibility of modelling cancer survivability but require unrealistic assumptions about the survival time distribution or proportionality of hazard. Therefore, attention must be paid in developing nonlinear models with less restrictive assumptions. Artificial neural network (ANN) models are primarily useful in prediction when nonlinear approaches are required to sift through the plethora of available information. The applications of ANN models for prognostic and diagnostic classification in medicine have attracted a lot of interest. The applications of ANN models in modelling the survival of patients with gastric cancer have been discussed in some studies without completely considering the censored data. This study proposes an ANN model for predicting gastric cancer survivability, considering the censored data. Five separate single time-point ANN models were developed to predict the outcome of patients after 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5 years. The performance of ANN model in predicting the probabilities of death is consistently high for all time points according to the accuracy and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
| | - Mohd Rizam Abu-Bakar
- Institute for Mathematical Research, Universiti Putra Malaysia, Serdang, Malaysia
| | - Jayanthi Arasan
- Institute for Mathematical Research, Universiti Putra Malaysia, Serdang, Malaysia
| | - Mohd Bakri Adam
- Institute for Mathematical Research, Universiti Putra Malaysia, Serdang, Malaysia
| | - Mohamad Amin Pourhoseingholi
- Gastroenterology and Liver Diseases Research Center, Research Institute for Gastroenterology and liver Diseases, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences,Tehran, Iran
| |
Collapse
|
34
|
Complementarity of Clinician Judgment and Evidence Based Models in Medical Decision Making: Antecedents, Prospects, and Challenges. BIOMED RESEARCH INTERNATIONAL 2016; 2016:1425693. [PMID: 27642588 PMCID: PMC5013221 DOI: 10.1155/2016/1425693] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/10/2016] [Accepted: 07/25/2016] [Indexed: 01/02/2023]
Abstract
Early accounts of the development of modern medicine suggest that the clinical skills, scientific competence, and doctors' judgment were the main impetus for treatment decision, diagnosis, prognosis, therapy assessment, and medical progress. Yet, clinician judgment has its own critics and is sometimes harshly described as notoriously fallacious and an irrational and unfathomable black box with little transparency. With the rise of contemporary medical research, the reputation of clinician judgment has undergone significant reformation in the last century as its fallacious aspects are increasingly emphasized relative to the evidence based options. Within the last decade, however, medical forecasting literature has seen tremendous change and new understanding is emerging on best ways of sharing medical information to complement the evidence based medicine practices. This review revisits and highlights the core debate on clinical judgments and its interrelations with evidence based medicine. It outlines the key empirical results of clinician judgments relative to evidence based models and identifies its key strengths and prospects, the key limitations and conditions for the effective use of clinician judgment, and the extent to which it can be optimized and professionalized for medical use.
Collapse
|
35
|
The Application of Classification and Regression Trees for the Triage of Women for Referral to Colposcopy and the Estimation of Risk for Cervical Intraepithelial Neoplasia: A Study Based on 1625 Cases with Incomplete Data from Molecular Tests. BIOMED RESEARCH INTERNATIONAL 2015; 2015:914740. [PMID: 26339651 PMCID: PMC4538922 DOI: 10.1155/2015/914740] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/24/2014] [Accepted: 02/14/2015] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Nowadays numerous ancillary techniques detecting HPV DNA and mRNA compete with cytology; however no perfect test exists; in this study we evaluated classification and regression trees (CARTs) for the production of triage rules and estimate the risk for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) in cases with ASCUS+ in cytology. STUDY DESIGN We used 1625 cases. In contrast to other approaches we used missing data to increase the data volume, obtain more accurate results, and simulate real conditions in the everyday practice of gynecologic clinics and laboratories. The proposed CART was based on the cytological result, HPV DNA typing, HPV mRNA detection based on NASBA and flow cytometry, p16 immunocytochemical expression, and finally age and parous status. RESULTS Algorithms useful for the triage of women were produced; gynecologists could apply these in conjunction with available examination results and conclude to an estimation of the risk for a woman to harbor CIN expressed as a probability. CONCLUSIONS The most important test was the cytological examination; however the CART handled cases with inadequate cytological outcome and increased the diagnostic accuracy by exploiting the results of ancillary techniques even if there were inadequate missing data. The CART performance was better than any other single test involved in this study.
Collapse
|
36
|
Faradmal J, Soltanian AR, Roshanaei G, Khodabakhshi R, Kasaeian A. Comparison of the performance of log-logistic regression and artificial neural networks for predicting breast cancer relapse. Asian Pac J Cancer Prev 2015; 15:5883-8. [PMID: 25081718 DOI: 10.7314/apjcp.2014.15.14.5883] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Breast cancer is the most common cancers in female populations. The exact cause is not known, but is most likely to be a combination of genetic and environmental factors. Log-logistic model (LLM) is applied as a statistical method for predicting survival and it influencing factors. In recent decades, artificial neural network (ANN) models have been increasingly applied to predict survival data. The present research was conducted to compare log-logistic regression and artificial neural network models in prediction of breast cancer (BC) survival. MATERIALS AND METHODS A historical cohort study was established with 104 patients suffering from BC from 1997 to 2005. To compare the ANN and LLM in our setting, we used the estimated areas under the receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) and integrated AUC (iAUC). The data were analyzed using R statistical software. RESULTS The AUC for the first, second and third years after diagnosis are 0.918, 0.780 and 0.800 in ANN, and 0.834, 0.733 and 0.616 in LLM, respectively. The mean AUC for ANN was statistically higher than that of the LLM (0.845 vs. 0.744). Hence, this study showed a significant difference between the performance in terms of prediction by ANN and LLM. CONCLUSIONS This study demonstrated that the ability of prediction with ANN was higher than with the LLM model. Thus, the use of ANN method for prediction of survival in field of breast cancer is suggested.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Javad Faradmal
- Modeling of Noncommunicable Diseases Research Center, Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Hamadan University of Medical Sciences, Hamadan, Iran E-mail :
| | | | | | | | | |
Collapse
|
37
|
Sapra R, Mehrotra S, Nundy S. Artificial Neural Networks: Prediction of mortality/survival in gastroenterology. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 2015. [DOI: 10.1016/j.cmrp.2015.05.007] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/26/2022]
|
38
|
Machine Learning for Predictive Modelling based on Small Data in Biomedical Engineering. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 2015. [DOI: 10.1016/j.ifacol.2015.10.185] [Citation(s) in RCA: 51] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/01/2023]
|