Risk factors for non-curative resection of early gastric neoplasms with endoscopic submucosal dissection: Analysis of 1,123 lesions

Risk factors for pathological upgrading and noncurative resection in patients with gastric mucosal lesions after endoscopic submucosal dissection

BACKGROUND

The pathological results obtained from endoscopic forceps biopsy (EFB) do not always align with the findings of postoperative endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD). Furthermore, as ESD becomes more widespread, the number of noncurative endoscopic cases increases; thus, an accurate preoperative diagnosis and an appropriate treatment method are crucial. The purpose of this study was to explore the risk factors for postoperative pathological upgrading and noncurative resection and to gather experience in clinical and pathological diagnosis.

METHODS

From March 2016 to November 2023, 292 ESD specimens were collected from 262 patients with gastric mucosal lesions. Clinicopathological information, the coincidence rate of pathological diagnosis between EFB and ESD specimens, and risk factors related to noncurative resection were analyzed retrospectively.

RESULTS

The overall upgraded pathological diagnosis rate between EFB and ESD was 26.4%. The independent predictors for the upgraded group included proximal stomach lesions, lesion size > 2 cm, surface ulceration, and surface nodules. Twenty of the 235 early gastric cancer (EGC) patients underwent noncurative ESD resection. Multivariate analysis showed that undifferentiated carcinoma and tumor infiltration into the submucosa were significantly associated with noncurative resection.

CONCLUSION

Biopsy cannot fully represent the lesions of gastric intraepithelial neoplasia (GIN). When a suspected epithelial dysplasia is suspected, a careful endoscopic examination should be conducted to evaluate the lesion site, size, and surface characteristics to ensure an accurate diagnosis. Noncurative endoscopic resection is associated with undifferentiated carcinoma and submucosal infiltration. Clinicians must be familiar with these predictive factors for noncurative resection and select the appropriate treatment for their patients.

Endoscopic submucosal dissection for early gastric cancer: It is time to consider the quality of its outcomes

Endoscopic resection, particularly endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD), is widely used as a standard treatment modality for early gastric cancer (EGC) when the risk of lymph node metastasis is negligible. Compared with surgical gastrectomy, ESD is a minimally invasive procedure with additional advantages, such as preservation of the entire stomach and maintenance of the patient's quality of life. However, not all patients achieve curative resection after ESD of EGC. Several patients require surgical gastrectomy after ESD to achieve a curative treatment. Additional surgery after ESD, owing to non-curative resection, places considerable emotional and financial burdens on patients. Recently, as the number of endoscopists performing ESD has increased, the rate of non-curative resection after ESD has increased correspondingly. In order to decrease the non-curative resection rate, as well as determine the ideal rate of non-curative resection after ESD, it is time to consider quality indicators for the outcomes of ESD for EGC.

Endoscopic Submucosal Dissection in the Upper Gastrointestinal Tract and the Need for Rescue Surgery-A Multicenter Analysis

Endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) has become the standard treatment for early malignant lesions in the upper gastrointestinal (GI) tract. Its clinical results have been reported to be as good as surgery. The outcomes of rescue surgery after non-curative ESD have been reported to be as good as first-line surgery. The aim of this study was to evaluate the outcomes of ESD in the upper GI tract and the outcomes of rescue surgery after non-curative ESD performed in Linz, Austria, between 2009 and January 2023. A total of 193 ESDs were included and divided into 104 esophageal ESD and 89 gastric ESD procedures. The criteria for curative ESD were in line with established guidelines' recommendations. For esophageal lesions, the mean lesion size was 40.3 mm and the rate of curative ESD was 56.7%. In the non-curative ESD, the rate of technical failure as the reason for non-curative ESD was 13.3% and the oncological failure rate was 86.7%. Only 48.7% of indicated rescue surgeries were performed. The main reason for not performing surgery was interdisciplinary consensus due to comorbidity. Perioperative complications Dindo-Clavien ≥ 3 occurred in 22.2% of cases with an in-hospital mortality rate of 0. In gastric lesions, the mean size was 39 mm and the rate of curative ESD was 69.7%. The rate of technical failure as a reason for non-curative ESD was 25.9% and the oncological failure rate was 74.1% for non-curative ESD. Rescue surgery was performed in 48.2% of indicated cases. The perioperative rate for major complications was 0. The outcome of ESD in the upper GI tract is in line with the published literature, and non-curative ESD does not worsen surgical outcomes. The available follow-up data are in line with the international published literature, showing a low rate of residual malignancy in surgical resection specimens. Therefore, the indication of rescue surgery for oncological failure remains challenging. Furthermore, the learning curve of ESD has shown a trend towards improving outcomes over time.

The factors influencing the accuracy of pre-operative endoscopic ultrasonography assessment in endoscopic treatments for gastrointestinal tumors

BACKGROUND

This retrospective study aimed to evaluate the factors influencing the accuracy of Endoscopic Ultrasonography (EUS) as a preoperative assessment for gastrointestinal tumors.

METHODS

A total of 261 patients with 264 gastrointestinal tumors were enrolled in the study. The parameters of the gastrointestinal lesions examined under EUS and their pathology were recorded and analyzed.

RESULTS

The accuracy of EUS for detecting intramucosal lesions and subepithelial lesions (SELs) were 83.6% and 91.4%, respectively. One hundred and ninety-four (73.5%) lesions originated from the mucous layer, as determined by pre-operation EUS examinations. The accuracy of EUS in predicting the correct T stage for intramucosal lesions in the gastric region, esophagus, and colorectum was 77%, 71.8%, and 84.6%, respectively. According to the Paris endoscopic classification, the distribution of macroscopic patterns was different between the EUS-pathology conformity and nonconformity groups (p = 0.018). In the nonconformity group, 48.6% of erosive lesions were classified as 0-IIc, 0-IIa + IIc, 0-IIc + IIa or 0-III macroscopic patterns compared with 26% patients in the conformity group (p = 0.025). Univariate analyses demonstrated that ulcerative lesions (OR = 7.516, 95% Confidence Interval [CI] 2.574-21.952, p < 0.001), location at the cardia of the stomach (OR = 3.619, 95%CI 1.076-12.168, p = 0.038), malignant tumor (OR = 2.920, 95%CI 1.339-6.368, p = 0.007) were significantly associated with EUS inaccuracy. Multivariate logistic regression analyses showed that ulcer was an independent risk factor associated with EUS inaccuracy, with odds ratios of 5.094 (95% CI: 1.641-15.807, p = 0.005).

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggested that EUS is a reliable and easy-to-use diagnostic tool in decision-making regarding appropriate endoscopic treatment for gastrointestinal tumors. However, the diagnostic accuracy of EUS appeared questionable in the presence of ulceration.

Evaluation of the detection rate of high‑grade gastric intraepithelial neoplasia using linked color imaging and white light imaging

As an endoscopic technology for the enhancement of images, linked color imaging (LCI) performs well when used for the early detection and diagnosis of gastrointestinal cancer. However, literature data are lacking for LCI in the detection of high-grade gastric intraepithelial neoplasia. Therefore, the aim of the present study was to investigate the efficacy of LCI compared with traditional white light imaging (WLI) in the detection of high-grade gastric intraepithelial neoplasia via the comparison of detection rates between senior and junior endoscopists using both techniques. Overall, 84 lesions from 81 patients with high-grade gastric intraepithelial neoplasia diagnosed between January 2017 and December 2017 were considered. Following the exclusion of three patients with two lesions, 78 patients who had only one lesion were enrolled. The two types of endoscopy, WLI and LCI, were performed in the same patients under the same conditions. Four senior and four junior endoscopists retrospectively compared the images. The detection rate of high-grade gastric intraepithelial neoplasia was significantly higher with LCI than with WLI when performed by senior and junior endoscopists. With WLI, the detection rate obtained by senior endoscopists was significantly higher than that obtained by junior endoscopists. However, for LCI, the detection rates for junior and senior endoscopists were comparable. Interobserver agreement was good to satisfactory. These findings indicate that LCI is superior to WLI in the detection and identification of gastric cancer and provides highly accurate diagnostic results from endoscopic examinations, regardless of the experience of the endoscopist. LCI may be used to narrow the gap in the detection rate of high-grade gastric intraepithelial neoplasia between junior and senior endoscopists.

Risk Factors and Prediction Model for Non-curative Resection of Early Gastric Cancer With Endoscopic Resection and the Evaluation

Background and Study Aim: EGC, also known as Early Gastric Cancer is known to lack the lymph node metastasis and confined along the mucosa, which is treated through an endoscopic resection procedure that includes ESD (Endoscopic Submucosal dissection) and EMR (Endoscopic Mucosal Resection). However, some cases underwent residual disease, recurrence, or additional gastrectomy because of non-curative resection. The following research aims to delineate the threat factors causing the non-curative resection as well as develop a predictive model.

Patient and Methods: Effort was taken to collect all the records about the health history of pathologically diagnosed EGC who experienced endoscopic treatment in the Department of Endoscopy, the Capital Medical University, and Beijing Friendship Hospital from January 2012 to January 2020. Patients were grouped into two categories primarily; a curative resection group and finally a non-curative resection group based on the outcomes of the postoperative pathological and immunohistochemical examination results. The statistical methods used included single factor analysis, a multivariate logistic regression analysis and a chi-square test. A nomogram for the prediction of non-curative resection was constructed, which included information on age, gender, resection method, postoperative pathology, tumor size, ulcer, treatment, and infiltration depth. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis and calibration were performed to present the predictive accuracy of the nomogram.

Results: Of 443 patients with 478 lesions who had undergone ESD or EMR for EGCs, 127 were identified as being treated non-curative resection. Older patients (>60 years), a large tumor size (>30 mm), submucosal lesion, piecemeal resection, EMR for treatment and undifferentiated tumor histology were associated with non-curative resection group. Our risk nomogram showed good discriminated performance in internal validation (bootstrap-corrected area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve, 0.881; P < 0.001).

Conclusions: A validated prediction model was developed to identify people who were subject to undergoing a non-curative resection for ESD. The predictive model that we formulated is essential in providing reliable information to guide the decision-making process on the treatment for EGC before undertaking an endoscopic resection.

Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio Is a Useful Marker for Predicting Histological Types of Early Gastric Cancer

Background: The indications for endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) for gastric cancer are based on preoperative histological assessment; however, examination of tissue biopsy is not always reliable as only a limited portion of the lesion can be obtained. The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) are markers of inflammatory response and are potentially associated with the grade of malignancy in gastric cancer. We aimed to investigate the association between NLR and PLR and the histology of gastric cancer. Methods: This study included 218 patients who underwent ESD for gastric cancer. The relationship between NLR/PLR and histological diagnosis was investigated. Results: Patients with adenocarcinomas showed significantly higher NLR and PLR than those with adenomas (p < 0.001 and p < 0.05, respectively). Further, patients with undifferentiated adenocarcinoma showed a significantly higher NLR (p < 0.05) than those with differentiated adenocarcinoma. Conclusion: This study suggests that NLR could be a useful marker for assessing early gastric cancer.

Clinico-pathologic determinants of non-e-curative outcome following en-bloc endoscopic submucosal dissection in patients with early gastric neoplasia

Background

Endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) is gaining enormous popularity in the treatment of early gastric cancers (EGCs) in many institutions across the world. However, appropriate selection of candidates for endoscopic resection is crucial to sufficiently mitigate non-e-curative (NEC) resection. This study aims at identifying the various clinico-pathologic factors that independently predict the NEC outcome and depth of submucosal invasion following ESD procedure in patients with EGC.

Methods

Multiple logistic regression analysis was applied to investigate factors that independently predict both non-curability phenomenon and the level of submucosal invasion in patients with early gastric neoplasia. Statistical Packages for the Social Sciences version 23 was used for analysis.

Results

A total of 153 patients (162 EGC lesions) underwent en-bloc ESD after which the rate of complete resection and non-e-curative outcome were 95% and 22.2%, correspondingly. Multivariate analysis depicted that tumor location in the upper two third of stomach (odds ratio [OR], 5.46; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 1.65–18.12; p = 0.006), tumor size > 2 cm (OR, 7.63; 95% CI, 2.29–25.42; p = 0.001), histologically undifferentiated tumor (OR, 15.54; 95% CI, 1.65–146.22; p = 0.001), and tumors with 0-IIa/0-IIc or their mixed variants with predominant 0-IIa/0-IIc (OR, 9.77; 95% CI, 1.23–77.65; p = 0.031) were all independent predictors of NEC resection for early gastric tumors. Additionally, location in the upper two third of the stomach (OR, 8.88; 95% CI, 2.90–27.17; p < 0.001), ulcerated lesions (OR, 3.70; 95% CI, 1.15–11.90; p = 0.028), lesions with > 2 cm (OR, 2.94; 95% CI, 1.08–8.02; p = 0.036) and those with poor differentiation (OR, 6.51; 95% CI, 2.23–18.98; p = 0.001) were found to have significant association with submucosal invasion.

Conclusions

Tumors located in the upper two third of the stomach having a larger size (> 2 cm), poor histo-differentiation and a gross type of 0-IIa/0-IIc or their mixed variants with predominant 0-IIa/0-IIc were significantly associated with a risk of NEC after ESD procedure. Thus, early gastric tumors displaying these features need to be handled carefully during endoscopic resection. Our findings may shed light on the pre-procedural detection of clinicopathologic factors that determine non-e-curability in patients with EGC.

Predictive Factors and Long-Term Outcomes of Early Gastric Carcinomas in Patients with Non-Curative Resection by Endoscopic Submucosal Dissection

Purpose

Non-curative resection (NCR) remains problematic in some cases of early gastric carcinomas (EGCs) treated by endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD). The aim of this study was to identify predictors of NCR, especially of eCura C1 and eCura C2 resections, before ESD and study long-term outcomes of EGC patients with NCR.

Patients and Methods

A retrospective review of medical records was conducted over an 8-year period for EGCs undergoing ESD. Clinicopathologic and endoscopic characteristics and patients’ survival were analyzed. Risk factors for NCR and eCura C1 and C2 resections were assessed by logistic analyses. Survival of patients was estimated with the Kaplan–Meier method with a Log rank test.

Results

A total of 463 patients with 472 lesions were qualified. By univariate and multivariate analyses, the predictors for NCR and eCura C2 resections were tumor size >20 mm, tumors located in cardia-fundus, uneven surface, margin elevation, and mixed and undifferentiated types, and those for eCura C1 resection were tumors located in cardia-fundus, negative lifting sign, and mixed and undifferentiated types. The 5-year cancer-specific and cancer-free survival rates were 100.0% and 94.2%, and 95.3% and 83.4% in the curative resection (CR) and NCR groups, respectively. The 5-year cancer-specific and cancer-free survival rates were significantly greater in the CR group than that in the NCR group (P <0.0001).

Conclusion

In this cohort, we identified various endoscopic and pathologic features of EGCs to predict NCR, especially eCura C1 and eCura C2 resections before ESD. These clinically valuable factors would be very informative to endoscopists and surgeons who perform ESD to resect EGCs.

Prognostic factors for ESD of early gastric cancers: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background and study aims  Gastric neoplasms are one of the leading types of cancer in the world and early detection is essential to improve prognosis. Endoscopy is the gold-standard diagnostic procedure and allows adequate treatment in selected cases. Endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) has been reported to safely address most early gastric cancers (EGCs), with high curability rates. However, data on prognostic factors related to ESDs of EGCs are conflicting. Therefore, we aimed to systematically review the available literature and to perform a meta-analysis to identify the relevant prognostic factors in this context. Methods  We performed this study according to PRISMA guidelines. Comparative studies assessing the relationship between curative resection or long-term curability rates and relevant prognostic factors were selected. Prognostic factors were demographic data, lesion features (location, morphology of the lesion, size, and depth of invasion), histological findings, Helycobacter pylori (HP) infection, presence of gastric a atrophy and body mass index (BMI). Finally, we also evaluated risk factors related to metachronous gastric neoplasm. Results  The initial search retrieved 2829 records among which 46 studies were included for systematic review and meta-analysis. The total sample comprised 28366 patients and 29282 lesions. Regarding curative resection, pooled data showed no significant influence of sex [odds ratio (OR): 1.15 (0,97, 1.36) P  = 0.10 I 2  = 47 %] , age [OR: 1.00 (0.61, 1.64) P  = 1.00 I 2  = 58 %], posterior vs non-posterior location [OR: 1.35 (0.81, 2.27) P  = 0.25 I 2  = 84 %], depressed vs von-depressed macroscopic type[OR: 1.21 (0.99, 1.49) P  = 0.07 I 2  = 0 %], non-upper vs upper location [OR: 1.41 (0.93, 2.14) P  = 0.10 I 2  = 77 %] and BMI [OR: 0.84 (0.57; 1.26) P  = 0.41 I 2  = 0 %]. Differentiated neoplasms presented greater chance of cure compare to undifferentiated [OR: 0.10 (0.07, 0.15) P  < 0.00001 I 2  = 0 %]. Ulcerated lesions had lower curative rates compared to non-ulcerated [OR: 3.92 (2.81, 5.47) P  < 0.00001 I 2  = 44 %]. Lesions smaller than 20 mm had greater chance of curative resection [OR: 3.94 (3.25, 4.78) P  < 0.00001 I 2  = 38 %]. Bleeding during procedure had lower curative rates compared to non-bleeding [OR: 2.13 (1.56, 2.93) P  < 0.0001 I 2  = 0 %]. Concerning long-term cure, female gender [OR 1.62 (1.33, 1.97) P  < 0.00001 I 2  = 0 %] and the mucosal over SM1 cancers were protective factors [OR: 0.08 (0.02, 0.39) P  = 0.002 I 2  = 86 %]. Gastric atrophy [OR: 0.60 (0.45, 0.81) P  = 0.0006 I 2  = 42 %] and the pepsinogen I/pepsinogen II ratio [OR 2.29 (1.47, 3.57) P  = 0.0002 I 2  = 0 %] were risk factors to metachronous gastric neoplasm. Conclusions  Ulcerated lesions, histology, bleeding and size > 20 mm are prognostic factors concerning curative resection. Regarding long-term cure, female gender and mucosal over SM1 cancer are predictive factors. Gastric atrophy and the pepsinogen ratio are risk factors for metachronous gastric neoplasm.

Risk Factors and Clinical Outcomes of Non-Curative Resection in Patients with Early Gastric Cancer Treated with Endoscopic Submucosal Dissection: A Retrospective Multicenter Study in Korea

BACKGROUND/AIMS

The purpose of this study was to investigate the risk factors and long-term clinical outcomes of non-curative resection (NCR) in a large-scale patient population.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed the clinical data of 3,094 patients who underwent endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) of early gastric cancer from March 2005 to March 2018 at 13 institutions in Korea. We analyzed the risk factors for NCR and the survival between patients with curative resection and those with NCR with no additional treatment.

RESULTS

The NCR rate was 21.4% (661/3,094). In multivariate regression analysis, the risk factors affecting NCR with ESD were old age, undifferentiated tumor, tumor location in the upper body, tumor size ≥2 cm, and presence of an ulcer. In Cox proportional hazard regression analysis, tumor size ≥2 cm, submucosal invasion, positive horizontal margin, and lymphovascular invasion were risk factors for local recurrence. In Kaplan-Meier analysis, there was no statistically significant difference in the overall survival between the two groups (log-rank p=0.788). However, disease-specific survival was significantly lower in the NCR group (log-rank p=0.038).

CONCLUSION

Clinicians should be aware of the risk factors for NCR and local recurrence after ESD for early gastric cancer, and should consider providing additional treatment after NCR.

Reliability of Paris Classification for superficial neoplastic gastric lesions improves with training and narrow band imaging

Background and study aims  Paris Classification is used to classify gastrointestinal superficial neoplastic lesions and to predict presence of submucosal invasion. We aimed to evaluate interobserver reliability and agreement for this classification among Western endoscopists. Methods  A total of 54 superficial gastric lesions were independently classified according to Paris classification by eight endoscopists (4 experts and 4 non-experts). Observers were asked to classify two sets of images - first, obtained with high-resolution white light (HR-WL) endoscopy and secondly, with the same HR-WL images paired with images obtained with high-resolution Narrow Band Imaging (HR-NBI) - HR-WL + NBI image group. Results  Overall interobserver reliability when asked to classify in I, II or III was good both using HR-WL images and HR-WL + NBI images (wK of 0.65 and 0.70, respectively). The proportion of agreement for type III lesions was 0.48 for HR-WL images increasing to 0.74 in the HR-WL + NBI group. Interobserver reliability for identification of a IIc component was only moderate (wK 0,47). NBI improves both sensitivity and interobserver reliability among trainees (from wK 0.19 to 0.47). Specificity was higher than sensitivity in predicting submucosal invasion. Conclusion  Overall, the reliability of Paris classification is moderate to good. Training on this classification or its revision and use of technology such as NBI may improve not only reliability and agreement but also accuracy.

Is Radical Surgery Necessary for All Patients Diagnosed as Having Non-Curative Endoscopic Submucosal Dissection?

If a lesion does not meet the expanded indication criteria for treatment with endoscopic therapy for early gastric cancer or has a positive resection margin, it is regarded as suitable for non-curative resection. Non-curative resection is closely related to the risk of local recurrence, lymph node metastasis, and poor prognosis. If the result is confirmed as non-curative resection, additional treatment should be considered depending on the risks of residual tumor, local recurrence, and lymph node metastasis. As lymphatic invasion is the most important risk factor of recurrence and poor prognosis, surgical treatment should be considered if lymphatic invasion is present. If patients are not suitable for additional surgery owing to old age or coexisting severe disease, close surveillance can be an alternative treatment option.

The eCura system as a novel indicator for the necessity of salvage surgery after non-curative ESD for gastric cancer: A case-control study

Endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) for early gastric cancer does not always lead to complete cancer resection. The aim of this study was to determine indicators for cancer residue (CR) status in cases of non-curative ESD. We analyzed 47 cases of non-curative ESD followed by salvage surgery and collected data regarding the rates of CR, which included both local CR and lymph node metastasis (LNM). To elucidate the risk factors for CR status, we compared the CR positive and the CR negative groups among surgical specimens according to the following variables obtained from ESD findings: tumor location, tumor size, depth of invasion, lympho-vascular invasion, histological margin, and histological diagnosis. The eCura system, which is an LNM risk scoring system, was also applied and scores were calculated in each case as follows: 3 points for lymphatic invasion and 1 point each for tumor size >30 mm, positive vertical margin, venous invasion, and submucosal invasion ≥500 μm. There were 9 (19%) CR positive cases, which included 6 cases of local CR and 4 cases of LNM; no cancer was detected in over 80% of the patients. The eCura scoring system was the only significant factor for CR status: the higher the eCura score, the greater the CR positivity (p = 0.0128). In particular, all patients in the low-risk group (score = 0-1 point) had no CR. Although no cancer recurrence was observed during a median follow-up of 4 years, 2 patients died of pneumonia. In conclusion, the eCura system might make it possible to select appropriate cases for salvage surgery.

[Treatment Strategies after Non-curative Endoscopic Resection of Early Gastric Cancer]

The cases of non-curative endoscopic resection (NCR) of early gastric cancer have increased due to the widespread use of endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD). NCR is associated with augmenting chances of local recurrence and lymph node metastasis (LNM). Therefore, some additional treatment strategies after NCR are needed. Treatment strategies for NCR should be determined by considering the risk of residual tumor or local recurrence and LNM. Additional surgical treatment such as gastrectomy and lymph node dissection are recommended in patients who have high-risk of LNM. Close observation without additional treatment is considered for selected patients with a less possibility of local recurrence or LNM. Also it may be suggested if there is no or less benefit from surgery in elderly patients or patients with underlying diseases. Additional endoscopic procedures including ESD, endoscopic mucosal resection or argon coagulation therapy are suggested alternatively for highly selected patients not at risk of LNM based on the absolute or expanded criteria of ESD.

Short-Term Outcomes of Endoscopic Submucosal Dissection in Patients with Early Gastric Cancer: A Prospective Multicenter Cohort Study

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) is an effective treatment for early gastric cancer (EGC) that has demonstrated a minimal risk of lymph node metastasis in retrospective studies. We sought to prospectively evaluate the short-term outcomes of ESD treatment in EGCs.

METHODS

A prospective multicenter cohort study of neoplasms 3 cm or less in diameter at endoscopic size evaluation was performed in 12 Korean ESD study grouprelated university hospitals and the National Cancer Center. Resected specimens were evaluated by the central pathologic review board.

RESULTS

A patient cohort (n=712) with a total of 737 EGCs was analyzed. The margin-free en bloc resection rate was 97.3%, and curative resection of 640 lesions (86.8%) was achieved. Lower curative resection rates were associated with lesions 2 to 3 cm in size prior to ESD compared with lesions 2 cm or less in size (78.6% vs 88.1%, respectively, p=0.009). Significant factors associated with noncurative resection were moderately or poorly differentiated histological type, posterior wall tumor location, tumor size larger than 3 cm, ulceration, and submucosal invasion. Delayed bleeding occurred in 49 patients (6.9%), and 12 patients (1.7%) exhibited perforations.

CONCLUSIONS

ESD is an effective treatment with a high curative resection rate for EGCs that meets relatively conservative pre-ESD indications. Long-term survival outcomes should be evaluated in followup studies.

Predicting outcomes of gastric endoscopic submucosal dissection using a Bayesian approach: a step for individualized risk assessment

BACKGROUND AND STUDY AIMS

Efficacy and adverse events probabilities influence decisions regarding the best options to manage patients with gastric superficial lesions. We aimed at developing a Bayesian model to individualize the prediction of outcomes after gastric endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Data from 245 gastric ESD were collected, including patient and lesion factors. The two endpoints were curative resection and post-procedural bleeding (PPB). Logistic regression and Bayesian networks were built for each outcome; their predictive value was evaluated in-sample and validated through leave-one-out and cross-validation. Clinical decision support was enhanced by the definition of risk matrices, direct use of Bayesian inference software and by a developed online platform.

RESULTS

ESD was curative in 85.3 % and PPB occurred in 7.7 % of patients. In univariate analysis, male sex, ASA status, carcinoma histology, polypoid or depressed morphology, and lesion size ≥ 20 mm were associated with non-curative resection, while ASA status, antithrombotics and lesion size ≥ 20 mm were associated with PPB. Naïve Bayesian models presented AUROCs of ~80 % in the derivation cohort and ≥ 74 % in cross-validation for both outcomes. Risk matrices were computed, showing that lesions with cancer at biopsies, ≥ 20 mm, proximal or in the middle third, and polypoid are more prone to non-curative resection. PPB risk was < 5 % in lesions < 20 mm in the absence of antithrombotics.

CONCLUSIONS

The derived Bayesian model presented good discriminative power in the prediction of ESD outcomes and can be used to predict individualized probabilities, improving patient information and supporting clinical and management decisions.

Prediction model for non-curative resection of endoscopic submucosal dissection in patients with early gastric cancer

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) is a useful method for complete resection of early gastric cancer (EGC). However, there are still some patients who undergo additional gastrectomy after ESD because of non-curative resection. There is no model that can accurately predict non-curative resection of ESD. We aimed to create a model for predicting non-curative resection of ESD in patients with EGC.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We reviewed the medical records, including all gross findings of EGC, of patients who underwent ESD for EGCs. We divided the patients into a non-curative resection group and a curative resection group. The clinicopathologic characteristics were compared between the groups to identify the risk factors for non-curative resection of ESD. We created a scoring system based on logistic regression modeling and bootstrap validation.

RESULTS

Of 1639 patients who had undergone ESD for EGCs, 272 were identified as being treated non-curatively with ESD. A large tumor size (≥20 mm), tumor location in the upper body of the stomach, the presence of ulcer, fusion of gastric folds, the absence of mucosal nodularity, spontaneous bleeding, and undifferentiated tumor histology were associated with non-curative resection of ESD. Points of risk scores were assigned for these variables based on the β coefficient as follows: tumor size (≥20 mm), 2 points; tumor location in the upper body of the stomach, 1 point; ulcer, 2 points; fusion of gastric folds, 2 points; absence of mucosal nodularity, 1 point; spontaneous bleeding, 1 point; and undifferentiated histology, 2 points. Our risk scoring model showed good discriminatory performance on internal validation (bootstrap-corrected area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.7004; 95% confidence interval, 0.6655-0.7353).

CONCLUSIONS

We developed a validated prediction model that can be used to identify patients who will undergo non-curative resection of ESD. Our prediction model can provide useful information for making decisions about the treatment of EGC before performing ESD.

Long-Term Outcomes of Gastric Endoscopic Submucosal Dissection: Focus on Metachronous and Non-Curative Resection Management

Introduction

Endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) is an effective treatment for gastric superficial neoplasms and curative in 80-85% of the patients. The aims of this study were to identify risk factors for non-curative resection and metachronous development, and to evaluate patient management and outcome after non-curative resection.

Methods

In this single-centre study, the outcome of consecutive patients submitted to gastric ESD was assessed during a minimum follow-up of 18 months. Univariate analysis and multivariate logistic regression were performed to identify risk factors.

Results

ESD was performed in 194 lesions (164 patients) between 2005 and 2014. The median follow-up was 40 months. En bloc and complete resection rates were 95.3 and 93.8%, respectively. Male sex, larger tumor size, longer procedural time, and more advanced histology were associated with a non-curative resection (p < 0.05), but only carcinoma detected in biopsies before resection was identified as a significant risk factor on multivariate analysis. Metachronous lesions occurred in 18.4%, and the incidence rate was 4.7 lesions/100 person-years. Older age at diagnosis was identified as the only predictor of metachronous development in logistic regression. In the non-curative resection group, survival did not differ between patients allocated to surveillance and those submitted to gastrectomy; 75% of gastrectomy specimens showed no residual lesion.

Conclusions

The risk factors identified for non-curative resection help to improve patient selection and patient information. Older patients had an increased risk for the development of metachronous lesions. In patients with non-curative resections, individualized patient management and surveillance seems to be an adequate option in selected cases.

Discrepancy between Clinical and Final Pathological Evaluation Findings in Early Gastric Cancer Patients Treated with Endoscopic Submucosal Dissection

PURPOSE

Early gastric cancer cases that are estimated to meet indications for treatment before endoscopic submucosal resection are often revealed to be out-of-indication after the treatment. We investigated the short-term treatment outcomes in patients with early gastric cancer according to the pretreatment clinical endoscopic submucosal resection indications.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed the medical records of patients with early gastric cancer that met the pretreatment endoscopic submucosal resection indications, from 2004 to 2011. Curative resection rate and proportion of out-of-indication cases were compared according to the pre-endoscopic submucosal resection indications. Pre-endoscopic submucosal resection factors associated with out-of-indication in the final pathological examination were analyzed.

RESULTS

Of 756 cases, 660 had absolute and 96 had expanded pre-endoscopic submucosal resection indications. The curative resection rate was significantly lower in the patients with expanded indications (64.6%) than in those with absolute indications (81.7%; P<0.001). The cases with expanded indications (30.2%) were revealed to be out-of-indication more frequently than the cases with absolute indications (13.8%; P<0.001). Age of >65 years, tumor size of >2 cm, tumor location in the upper-third segment of the stomach, and undifferentiated histological type in pre-endoscopic submucosal resection evaluations were significant risk factors for out-of-indication after endoscopic submucosal resection.

CONCLUSIONS

Non-curative resection due to out-of-indication occurred in approximately one-third of the early gastric cancer cases that clinically met the expanded indications before endoscopic submucosal resection. The possibility of additional surgery should be emphasized for patients with early gastric cancers that clinically meet the expanded indications.