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Schiller S, Carmeli I, Orgad R, Kashtan H, Cooper L, Solomon D. Esophagectomy in the Older Adult: A Systematic Review. J Laparoendosc Adv Surg Tech A 2024; 34:464-478. [PMID: 38587375 DOI: 10.1089/lap.2024.0087] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 04/09/2024] Open
Abstract
Current management of esophageal carcinoma (EC) involves combining different modalities, offering the opportunity of personalized strategies. This is particularly enticing in the geriatric population, where tailoring treatment modalities remains key to achieve good outcomes in terms of both quality of life and survival. Primary outcomes of our review included (1) evidence on short-term outcomes following esophagectomy, and (2) evidence on long-term outcomes following esophagectomy. Secondary review questions compared outcomes of (1) neoadjuvant treatment versus upfront surgery for locally advanced esophageal carcinoma, (2) endoscopic submucosal dissection versus esophagectomy for early esophageal carcinoma, and (3) definitive radiation with or without chemotherapy versus surgery. Twenty-six articles were included in the review for the main review questions. Our systematic review underscores the need for comprehensive geriatric evaluations to guide decision-making. Despite concerns about perioperative risks, well-selected older patients can derive survival benefits from surgical intervention.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Idan Carmeli
- Division of General Surgery, Samson Assuta Ashdod Hospital, Ashdod, Israel
- Faculty of Medicine, Ben Gurion University of the Negev, Beersheba, Israel
| | - Ran Orgad
- Division of General Surgery, Samson Assuta Ashdod Hospital, Ashdod, Israel
| | - Hanoch Kashtan
- Division of General Surgery, Samson Assuta Ashdod Hospital, Ashdod, Israel
- Faculty of Medicine, Ben Gurion University of the Negev, Beersheba, Israel
| | - Lisa Cooper
- Faculty of Medicine, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel
- Department of Geriatrics, Rabin Medical Center, Petach Tikva, Israel
| | - Daniel Solomon
- Division of General Surgery, Samson Assuta Ashdod Hospital, Ashdod, Israel
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2
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Konishi H, Urabe Y, Nakamura T, Ishibashi K, Mizuno J, Fukuhara M, Takasago T, Tanaka H, Tsuboi A, Yamashita K, Hiyama Y, Takigawa H, Kotachi T, Yuge R, Ishikawa A, Oka S. Long-term prognosis after endoscopic submucosal dissection for esophageal cancer in older adult patients. BMC Gastroenterol 2024; 24:164. [PMID: 38745162 PMCID: PMC11091999 DOI: 10.1186/s12876-024-03234-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/31/2024] [Accepted: 04/19/2024] [Indexed: 05/16/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The validity of endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) in older individuals with comorbidities remains unclear. Therefore, this study evaluated the safety and efficacy of ESD and additional treatment for ESCC in older adult patients. METHODS The clinicopathological characteristics and clinical outcomes of 398 consecutive older adult patients (≥ 65 years) with 505 lesions who underwent ESD for ESCC at the Hiroshima University Hospital between September 2007 and December 2019 were retrospectively evaluated. Additionally, the prognoses of 381 patients who were followed up for > 3 years were assessed. RESULTS The mean patient age and procedure time were 73.1 ± 5.8 years and 77.1 ± 43.5 min, respectively. The histological en bloc resection rate was 98% (496/505). Postoperative stenosis, perforation, pneumonia, and delayed bleeding were conservatively treated in 82 (16%), 19 (4%), 15 (3%), and 5 (1%) patients, respectively. The 5-year overall and disease-specific survival rates were 78.9% and 98.0%, respectively (mean follow-up time: 71.1 ± 37.3 months). Multivariate analysis showed that age and the American Society of Anesthesiologists classification of physical status class ≥III (hazard ratio: 1.27; 95% confidence interval: 1.01-1.59, p = 0.0392) were independently associated with overall survival. A significantly lower overall survival rate was observed in the high-risk follow-up group than in the low-risk follow-up and high-risk additional treatment groups (p < 0.01). However, no significant difference in disease-specific survival was observed among the three groups. CONCLUSIONS ESD is safe for ESCC treatment in patients aged ≥ 65 years. However, additional treatments should be considered based on the patient's general condition.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hirona Konishi
- Department of Gastroenterology, Hiroshima University Hospital, Hiroshima, Japan
| | - Yuji Urabe
- Department of Gastrointestinal Endoscopy and Medicine, Hiroshima University Hospital, 1-2-3, Kasumi, Minamiku, Hiroshima, 734-8551, Japan.
| | - Takeo Nakamura
- Department of Gastroenterology, Hiroshima University Hospital, Hiroshima, Japan
| | - Kazuki Ishibashi
- Department of Gastroenterology, Hiroshima University Hospital, Hiroshima, Japan
| | - Junichi Mizuno
- Department of Gastroenterology, Hiroshima University Hospital, Hiroshima, Japan
| | - Motomitsu Fukuhara
- Department of Gastroenterology, Hiroshima University Hospital, Hiroshima, Japan
| | - Takeshi Takasago
- Department of Gastroenterology, Hiroshima University Hospital, Hiroshima, Japan
| | - Hidenori Tanaka
- Department of Gastroenterology, Hiroshima University Hospital, Hiroshima, Japan
| | - Akiyoshi Tsuboi
- Department of Gastroenterology, Hiroshima University Hospital, Hiroshima, Japan
| | - Ken Yamashita
- Department of Gastroenterology, Hiroshima University Hospital, Hiroshima, Japan
| | - Yuichi Hiyama
- Department of Clinical Research Center, Hiroshima University Hospital, Hiroshima, Japan
| | - Hidehiko Takigawa
- Department of Gastroenterology, Hiroshima University Hospital, Hiroshima, Japan
| | - Takahiro Kotachi
- Department of Gastroenterology, Hiroshima University Hospital, Hiroshima, Japan
| | - Ryo Yuge
- Department of Gastroenterology, Hiroshima University Hospital, Hiroshima, Japan
| | - Akira Ishikawa
- Department of Molecular Pathology, Graduate School of Biomedical and Health Sciences, Hiroshima University, Hiroshima, Japan
| | - Shiro Oka
- Department of Gastroenterology, Hiroshima University Hospital, Hiroshima, Japan
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3
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Yibulayin X, Xu K, Yibulayin W, Abulaiti A, Wu Z, He D, Ran A, Ma L, Sun X. Single-port inflatable mediastinoscopic esophagectomy is a cure for esophageal cancer patients: Case report. Medicine (Baltimore) 2022; 101:e31619. [PMID: 36401468 PMCID: PMC9678513 DOI: 10.1097/md.0000000000031619] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/03/2022] Open
Abstract
RATIONALE It is often difficult to perform transthoracic esophagectomy (TTE) in patients with chest deformities, as these patients may be lost to surgery for non-oncological reasons. PATIENT CONCERNS In this case, we had a patient with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) who was not suitable for TTE because of extensive thoracic adhesions caused by the left pneumonectomy 8 years ago. DIAGNOSES ESCC. INTERVENTIONS Based on Professor Fujiwara's surgical method, we further improved it by proposing a single-port inflatable mediastinoscopy combined with laparoscopic-assisted esophagectomy. OUTCOMES At the time of this writing, computed tomography and gastroscopy revealed no stenosis of anastomosis, and no evidence of disease recurrence. LESSONS To the best of our knowledge, the present case is the first single-port inflatable mediastinoscopic esophagectomy performed on a patient undergoing pneumonectomy.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xiayimaierdan Yibulayin
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Affiliated Tumor Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University, Urumqi, China
| | - Keming Xu
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Affiliated Tumor Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University, Urumqi, China
| | - Waresijiang Yibulayin
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Affiliated Tumor Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University, Urumqi, China
| | - Abulimiti Abulaiti
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Affiliated Tumor Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University, Urumqi, China
| | - Zhenhua Wu
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Affiliated Tumor Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University, Urumqi, China
| | - Dan He
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Affiliated Tumor Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University, Urumqi, China
| | - Anpeng Ran
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Affiliated Tumor Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University, Urumqi, China
| | - Lei Ma
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Affiliated Tumor Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University, Urumqi, China
| | - Xiaohong Sun
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Affiliated Tumor Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University, Urumqi, China
- * Correspondence: Xiaohong Sun, Department of Thoracic Surgery, Affiliated Tumor Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University, 789 Suzhou East St., Urumqi, Xinjiang 830011, China (e-mail: )
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Linde P, Mallmann M, Adams A, Wegen S, Rosenbrock J, Trommer M, Marnitz S, Baues C, Celik E. Chemoradiation for elderly patients (≥ 65 years) with esophageal cancer: a retrospective single-center analysis. Radiat Oncol 2022; 17:187. [PMCID: PMC9670495 DOI: 10.1186/s13014-022-02160-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/29/2022] [Accepted: 11/14/2022] [Indexed: 11/19/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Present studies on the efficacy and safety of curative chemoradiation therapy (CRT) with esophageal cancer reflect heterogenous results especially in elderly patients. The aim of this study was to evaluate the toxicity and efficacy of CRT in patients ≥ 65 years. In a cohort, the focus centered around treatment-related toxicity (CTCAE Grade > 3), overall survival as well as progression free survival, comparing these rates in-between patients older than 70 years to those younger than 70 years.
Methods A total of 67 patients older than 65 years (34 (50.7%) were older than 70 years) met the inclusion criteria for retrospective analysis (period from January 2013 to October 2017). Treatment consisted of radiotherapy and chemotherapy with carboplatin/paclitaxel or fluorouracil (5-FU)/cisplatin with the intention of neoadjuvant or definite chemoradiation. A sum of 67 patients received CRT (44 (65.6%) patients in neoadjuvant, 23 (34.4%) in definite intent). Of these, 22 and 12 patients were older than 70 years (50% and 52.2% in both treatment groups, respectively). Median age was 71 years and patients had a good physical performance status (ECOG 0: 57.6%, ECOG 1: 27.3%). Median follow-up was 24 months. Most patients had advanced tumour stages (T3 stage: n = 51, 79.7%) and nodal metastasis (N1 stage: n = 54, 88.5%). A subgroup comparison was conducted between patients aged ≤ 70 years and > 70 years. Results In severe (CTCAE Grade 3–5) toxicities (acute and late), no significant differences were observed between both patient groups (< 70 years vs. > 70 years). 21% had acute grade 3 events, 4 patients (4%) had grade 4 events, and two patients (3%) had one grade 5 event. Late toxicity after CRT was grade 1 in 13 patients (22%), grade 2 in two (3%), grade 3 in two (3%), grade 4 in four (7%), and grade 5 in one (2%). Median overall survival (OS) of all patients was 30 months and median progression-free survival (PFS) was 16 months. No significant differences were seen for OS (32 months vs. 25 months; p = 0.632) and PFS (16 months vs. 12 months; p = 0.696) between older patients treated with curative intent and younger ones. Trimodal therapy significantly prolonged both OS and PFS (p = 0.005; p = 0.018), regardless of age.
Conclusion CRT in elderly patients (≥ 65 years) with esophageal cancer is feasible and effective. Numbers for acute and late toxicities can be compared to cohorts of younger patients (< 65 years) with EC who received the same therapies. Age at treatment initiation alone should not be the determining factor. Instead, functional status, risk of treatment-related morbidities, life expectancy and patient´s preferences should factor into the choice of therapy.
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Affiliation(s)
- Philipp Linde
- grid.6190.e0000 0000 8580 3777Department of Radiation Oncology, Cyberknife and Radiation Therapy, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital of Cologne, University of Cologne, Kerpener St 62, 50937 Cologne, Germany ,grid.411097.a0000 0000 8852 305XCenter for Integrated Oncology (CIO), University Hospital of Cologne, Faculty of Medicine and University of Cologne, Kerpener St 62, 50937 Cologne, Germany
| | - Markus Mallmann
- grid.6190.e0000 0000 8580 3777Department of Radiation Oncology, Cyberknife and Radiation Therapy, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital of Cologne, University of Cologne, Kerpener St 62, 50937 Cologne, Germany ,grid.411097.a0000 0000 8852 305XCenter for Integrated Oncology (CIO), University Hospital of Cologne, Faculty of Medicine and University of Cologne, Kerpener St 62, 50937 Cologne, Germany
| | - Anne Adams
- grid.6190.e0000 0000 8580 3777Institute of Medical Statistics and Computational Biology, Faculty of Medicine and University of Cologne, Kerpener St 62, 50937 Cologne, Germany
| | - Simone Wegen
- grid.6190.e0000 0000 8580 3777Department of Radiation Oncology, Cyberknife and Radiation Therapy, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital of Cologne, University of Cologne, Kerpener St 62, 50937 Cologne, Germany ,grid.411097.a0000 0000 8852 305XCenter for Integrated Oncology (CIO), University Hospital of Cologne, Faculty of Medicine and University of Cologne, Kerpener St 62, 50937 Cologne, Germany
| | - Johannes Rosenbrock
- grid.6190.e0000 0000 8580 3777Department of Radiation Oncology, Cyberknife and Radiation Therapy, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital of Cologne, University of Cologne, Kerpener St 62, 50937 Cologne, Germany ,grid.411097.a0000 0000 8852 305XCenter for Integrated Oncology (CIO), University Hospital of Cologne, Faculty of Medicine and University of Cologne, Kerpener St 62, 50937 Cologne, Germany
| | - Maike Trommer
- grid.6190.e0000 0000 8580 3777Department of Radiation Oncology, Cyberknife and Radiation Therapy, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital of Cologne, University of Cologne, Kerpener St 62, 50937 Cologne, Germany ,grid.411097.a0000 0000 8852 305XCenter for Integrated Oncology (CIO), University Hospital of Cologne, Faculty of Medicine and University of Cologne, Kerpener St 62, 50937 Cologne, Germany
| | - Simone Marnitz
- grid.6190.e0000 0000 8580 3777Department of Radiation Oncology, Cyberknife and Radiation Therapy, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital of Cologne, University of Cologne, Kerpener St 62, 50937 Cologne, Germany ,grid.411097.a0000 0000 8852 305XCenter for Integrated Oncology (CIO), University Hospital of Cologne, Faculty of Medicine and University of Cologne, Kerpener St 62, 50937 Cologne, Germany
| | - Christian Baues
- grid.6190.e0000 0000 8580 3777Department of Radiation Oncology, Cyberknife and Radiation Therapy, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital of Cologne, University of Cologne, Kerpener St 62, 50937 Cologne, Germany ,grid.411097.a0000 0000 8852 305XCenter for Integrated Oncology (CIO), University Hospital of Cologne, Faculty of Medicine and University of Cologne, Kerpener St 62, 50937 Cologne, Germany
| | - Eren Celik
- grid.6190.e0000 0000 8580 3777Department of Radiation Oncology, Cyberknife and Radiation Therapy, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital of Cologne, University of Cologne, Kerpener St 62, 50937 Cologne, Germany ,grid.411097.a0000 0000 8852 305XCenter for Integrated Oncology (CIO), University Hospital of Cologne, Faculty of Medicine and University of Cologne, Kerpener St 62, 50937 Cologne, Germany
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5
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Zhang M, Cui M, Zuo Q, Wang L, Wang J, Zhu L, Yan R, Lu N, Yan H, Zhang L. Construction and evaluation of prognostic models for esophageal cancer patients with distant and non-distant metastases: providing a reference process for clinical diagnosis and treatment. J Gastrointest Oncol 2021; 12:1241-1254. [PMID: 34532084 DOI: 10.21037/jgo-21-429] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/04/2021] [Accepted: 08/19/2021] [Indexed: 12/24/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Although the current treatment for esophageal cancer has great technological progress, the 5-year survival rate of patients is not optimistic. About 70% of patients with esophageal cancer are at an advanced stage at first diagnosis. These patients are prone to distant metastasis, and the prognosis is poor. Therefore, understanding the risk factors for distant metastasis in patients with esophageal cancer, combined with the prognosis of the patient, can aid in choosing the optimal diagnosis and treatment plan. Ultimately, it will improve the patient's survival time and quality of life. This research aims to construct a model for the risk assessment of distant metastasis in patients with esophageal cancer and prognostic models for patients with distant and non-distant metastases. Methods The Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database was used to select patients with esophageal cancer from 2010 to 2015. The optimal cutoff point was selected for the age and tumor size variables using X-tile. The nomogram was constructed using R software (The R Foundation for Statistical Computing). Results Gender, grade, T stage, N stage, and tumor size were independent risk factors associated with distant metastasis in patients with esophageal cancer. The concordance index (C-index) of the nomogram prediction model for whether the patient will have distant metastasis was 0.609. Age, grade, T stage, N stage, and tumor size were independent risk factors affecting the prognosis without distant metastasis. The C-index of the nomogram prediction model for patients with distant metastases was 0.590. Age and T stage were independent risk factors affecting the prognosis of patients with distant metastases. The C-index of the nomogram prediction model was 0.543. The combination of radiotherapy, chemotherapy, and primary surgery yielded the best overall survival for both patients with distant metastases and patients with non-distant metastases. Conclusions A comprehensive assessment of the risk of distant metastasis in patients with esophageal cancer, combined with prognosis prediction, is necessary to provide patients with a reasonable treatment plan.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mingxin Zhang
- Department of Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Medical University, Xi'an, China.,Department of Internal Medicine, The Second Clinical Medical College of Shaanxi University of Chinese Medicine, Xianyang, China
| | - Manli Cui
- Department of Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Medical University, Xi'an, China
| | - Qianqian Zuo
- Department of Oncology Geriatrics, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Medical University, Xi'an, China
| | - Li Wang
- Department of Scientific Research, The Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Medical University, Xi'an, China
| | - Jia Wang
- Department of Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Medical University, Xi'an, China
| | - Lin Zhu
- Department of Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Medical University, Xi'an, China
| | - Rong Yan
- Department of Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Medical University, Xi'an, China
| | - Ning Lu
- Department of Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Medical University, Xi'an, China
| | - Honglin Yan
- Department of Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Medical University, Xi'an, China
| | - Lingmin Zhang
- Department of Anesthesiology, First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, China
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6
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Baranov NS, Slootmans C, van Workum F, Klarenbeek BR, Schoon Y, Rosman C. Outcomes of curative esophageal cancer surgery in elderly: A meta-analysis. World J Gastrointest Oncol 2021; 13:131-146. [PMID: 33643529 PMCID: PMC7896422 DOI: 10.4251/wjgo.v13.i2.131] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/22/2020] [Revised: 11/29/2020] [Accepted: 12/10/2020] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND An increasing number of older patients is undergoing curative, surgical treatment of esophageal cancer. Previous meta-analyses have shown that older patients suffered from more postoperative morbidity and mortality compared to younger patients, which may lead to patient selection based on age. However, only studies including patients that underwent open esophagectomy were included. Therefore, it remains unknown whether there is an association between age and outcome in patients undergoing minimally invasive esophagectomy.
AIM To perform a systematic review on age and postoperative outcome in esophageal cancer patients undergoing esophagectomy.
METHODS Studies comparing older with younger patients with primary esophageal cancer undergoing curative esophagectomy were included. Meta-analysis of studies using a 75-year age threshold are presented in the manuscript, studies using other age thresholds in the Supplementary material. MEDLINE, Embase and the Cochrane Library were searched for articles published between 1995 and 2020. Risk of bias was assessed with the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. Primary outcomes were anastomotic leak, pulmonary and cardiac complications, delirium, 30- and 90-d, and in-hospital mortality. Secondary outcomes included pneumonia and 5-year overall survival.
RESULTS Seven studies (4847 patients) using an age threshold of 75 years were included for meta-analysis with 755 older and 4092 younger patients. Older patients (9.05%) had higher rates of 90-d mortality compared with younger patients (3.92%), (confidence interval = 1.10-5.56). In addition, older patients (9.45%) had higher rates of in-hospital mortality compared with younger patients (3.68%), (confidence interval = 1.01-5.91). In the subgroup of 2 studies with minimally invasive esophagectomy, older and younger patients had comparable 30-d, 90-d and in-hospital mortality rates.
CONCLUSION Older patients undergoing curative esophagectomy for esophageal cancer have a higher postoperative mortality risk. Minimally invasive esophagectomy may be important for minimizing mortality in older patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nikolaj S Baranov
- Department of Surgery, Radboud University Medical Center, Nijmegen 6525GA, the Netherlands
| | - Cettela Slootmans
- Department of Surgery, Radboud University Medical Center, Nijmegen 6525GA, the Netherlands
| | - Frans van Workum
- Department of Surgery, Radboud University Medical Center, Nijmegen 6525GA, the Netherlands
| | - Bastiaan R Klarenbeek
- Department of Surgery, Radboud University Medical Center, Nijmegen 6525GA, the Netherlands
| | - Yvonne Schoon
- Department of Geriatrics, Radboud University Medical Center, Nijmegen 6525GA, the Netherlands
| | - Camiel Rosman
- Department of Surgery, Radboud University Medical Center, Nijmegen 6525GA, the Netherlands
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7
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Yu X, Gao S, Xue Q, Tan F, Gao Y, Mao Y, Wang D, Zhao J, Li Y, He J, Mu J. Development of a predictive nomogram for cause-specific mortality in surgically resected early-stage oesophageal cancer: a Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) analysis. J Thorac Dis 2020; 12:2583-2594. [PMID: 32642166 PMCID: PMC7330307 DOI: 10.21037/jtd.2020.03.25] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/28/2023]
Abstract
Background The aim of this population-based study was to perform competing risk analysis and estimate cancer- and other cause-specific mortality in patients who underwent oesophagectomy with pT1N0M0 oesophageal cancer (EC). A competing risks nomogram was also developed to predict the proportional of death from each specific cause. Methods A total of 1,144 patients who received oesophagectomy for pT1N0M0 EC between 2010 and 2015 from SEER database were included. The cumulative incidence function was used to evaluate each cause of death, and the significant difference was assessed by the Grey’s test. A nomogram was established using the proportional subdistribution hazard analysis to identify predictors for each cause-specific death. Results The 5-year cumulative incidence of cancer-specific death for surgically resected pT1N0M0 EC was 15.7%, and the incidence was 11.2% for other cause-specific death. Age, tumour length, pT1 substage, grade, history and primary site were identified as predictive factors for EC-specific death, but only age, tumor length and pT1 substage were associated with death from other cause. Our nomograms showed a relative good discriminative ability, with c-index of 0.663 for the EC-specific mortality model and 0.699 for the other cause-specific mortality model. The calibration curves showed a good match between the nomogram-predicted probabilities and the actual probabilities. Conclusions In patients who underwent curative-intent resection for pT1N0M0 EC, death from other causes was an important competing event. During clinical decision making and patient-clinician communication, our quantifiable nomograms could provide a rapid and precise judgement of the risk of death from each cause.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xiangyang Yu
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing 100021, China.,Department of Thoracic Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital & Shenzhen Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Shenzhen 518116, China
| | - Shugeng Gao
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing 100021, China.,Department of Thoracic Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital & Shenzhen Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Shenzhen 518116, China
| | - Qi Xue
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing 100021, China.,Department of Thoracic Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital & Shenzhen Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Shenzhen 518116, China
| | - Fengwei Tan
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing 100021, China.,Department of Thoracic Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital & Shenzhen Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Shenzhen 518116, China
| | - Yushun Gao
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing 100021, China.,Department of Thoracic Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital & Shenzhen Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Shenzhen 518116, China
| | - Yousheng Mao
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing 100021, China.,Department of Thoracic Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital & Shenzhen Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Shenzhen 518116, China
| | - Dali Wang
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing 100021, China.,Department of Thoracic Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital & Shenzhen Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Shenzhen 518116, China
| | - Jun Zhao
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing 100021, China.,Department of Thoracic Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital & Shenzhen Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Shenzhen 518116, China
| | - Yin Li
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing 100021, China.,Department of Thoracic Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital & Shenzhen Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Shenzhen 518116, China
| | - Jie He
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing 100021, China.,Department of Thoracic Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital & Shenzhen Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Shenzhen 518116, China
| | - Juwei Mu
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing 100021, China.,Department of Thoracic Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital & Shenzhen Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Shenzhen 518116, China
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