Impact of carotid atherosclerosis in CHA2DS2-VASc-based risk score on predicting ischemic stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation

High-risk carotid plaques and incident ischemic stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation in the Cardiovascular Health Study

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Whether carotid artery disease could improve stroke risk stratification tools in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) remains uncertain. This study was undertaken to investigate the risk of ischemic stroke associated with occlusive and nonocclusive carotid atherosclerotic disease in patients with AF in the prospective population-based Cardiovascular Health Study.

METHODS

We included participants aged ≥65 years with AF. We used multivariable Cox regression analysis to explore the risk of ischemic stroke associated with the percentage of carotid stenosis, plaque irregularity, echogenicity, and vulnerability (markedly irregular, ulcerated, or hypoechoic plaques).

RESULTS

A total of 1398 participants were included (55.2% female, 61.7% aged 65-74 years). The maximum carotid stenosis was <50%, 50%-99%, and 100% in 94.5%, 5%, and 0.5% of participants, respectively. High-risk plaques based on echogenicity and plaque irregularity were found in 25.6% and 8.9% of participants, respectively. After a median follow-up of 10.9 years (interquartile range = 7.5-15.6), 298 ischemic strokes were recorded. There was no difference in the incidence of ischemic stroke according to the degree of carotid artery stenosis (p = 0.44), plaque echogenicity (low vs. high risk, p = 0.68), plaque irregularity (low vs. high risk, p = 0.55), and plaque vulnerability (p = 0.86). The CHA₂DS₂-VASc score was associated with an increased risk of ischemic stroke (adjusted hazard ratio = 1.28, 95% confidence interval = 1.18-1.40, p < 0.001). Both maximum grade of stenosis and plaque vulnerability were not associated with incident ischemic stroke (all p > 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Neither the degree of carotid stenosis nor the presence of vulnerable plaques was associated with incident ischemic stroke in this cohort of individuals with AF. This suggests that carotid disease was probably not a significant contributor to ischemic stroke in this population.

R2CHA2DS2-VA predicts the cardiovascular risk after carotid endarterectomy

OBJECTIVE

R2CHA2DS2-VA score has been used to predict short and long-term outcomes in many cardiovascular diseases. This study aims to validate the R2CHA2DS2-VA score as a long-term major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) predictor after CEA. Secondary outcomes were also assessed regarding the incidence of all-cause mortality, acute myocardial infarction (AMI), major adverse limb events (MALE), and acute heart failure (AHF).

METHODS

From January 2012 to December 2021, patients (n= 205) from a Portuguese tertiary care and referral center that underwent CEA with regional anesthesia (RA) for carotid stenosis were selected from a previously collected prospective database, and a post-hoc analysis was performed. Demographics and comorbidities were registered. Clinical adverse events were assessed 30-days after the procedure and in the subsequent long-term surveillance period. Statistical analysis was performed by the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazards regression.

RESULTS

Of the patients enrolled, 78.5% were males with a mean age of 70.44 ± 8.9 years. Higher scores of R2CHA2DS2-VA were associated with long-term MACE (adjusted Hazard Ratio (aHR) 1.390; 95% Confidence Interval (CI) 1.173-1.647) and mortality (aHR 1.295; 95% CI 1.08-1.545) CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrated the potential of the R2CHA2DS2-VA score to predict long-term outcomes such as AMI, AHF, MACE, and all-cause mortality in a population of patients submitted to carotid endarterectomy.

Comprehensive comparison of stroke risk score performance: a systematic review and meta-analysis among 6 267 728 patients with atrial fibrillation

AIMS

Multiple risk scores to predict ischaemic stroke (IS) in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) have been developed. This study aims to systematically review these scores, their validations and updates, assess their methodological quality, and calculate pooled estimates of the predictive performance.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We searched PubMed and Web of Science for studies developing, validating, or updating risk scores for IS in AF patients. Methodological quality was assessed using the Prediction model Risk Of Bias ASsessment Tool (PROBAST). To assess discrimination, pooled c-statistics were calculated using random-effects meta-analysis. We identified 19 scores, which were validated and updated once or more in 70 and 40 studies, respectively, including 329 validations and 76 updates-nearly all on the CHA2DS2-VASc and CHADS2. Pooled c-statistics were calculated among 6 267 728 patients and 359 373 events of IS. For the CHA2DS2-VASc and CHADS2, pooled c-statistics were 0.644 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.635-0.653] and 0.658 (0.644-0.672), respectively. Better discriminatory abilities were found in the newer risk scores, with the modified-CHADS2 demonstrating the best discrimination [c-statistic 0.715 (0.674-0.754)]. Updates were found for the CHA2DS2-VASc and CHADS2 only, showing improved discrimination. Calibration was reasonable but available for only 17 studies. The PROBAST indicated a risk of methodological bias in all studies.

CONCLUSION

Nineteen risk scores and 76 updates are available to predict IS in patients with AF. The guideline-endorsed CHA2DS2-VASc shows inferior discriminative abilities compared with newer scores. Additional external validations and data on calibration are required before considering the newer scores in clinical practice.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

ID CRD4202161247 (PROSPERO).

Atherosclerosis and Atrial Fibrillation: Double Trouble

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

This review aims to evaluate the major cardiovascular adverse events (MACE) and antithrombotic approaches in concomitant atrial fibrillation (AF) and atherosclerosis.

RECENT FINDINGS

MACE in concomitant AF and atherosclerosis has been evaluated in recent studies. A recent retrospective study of 2670 patients with AF revealed that atherosclerosis burden with AF can be a marker of adverse vascular outcomes with extracranial atherosclerosis as a potent predictor of MACE. Trials to evaluate the antithrombotic approaches in concomitant atherosclerotic disease and AF has been mainly in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD). AFIRE trial demonstrated that in patients with AF and stable CAD rivaroxaban alone is not inferior to rivaroxaban plus aspirin with better safety profile. Atherosclerosis is common in AF and poses additional risk to patients. Antithrombotic management of atherosclerosis in AF is not well investigated and needs further trial to identify the subgroups that benefit from more intensive antithrombotic measures.

A Review of Biomarkers for Ischemic Stroke Evaluation in Patients With Non-valvular Atrial Fibrillation

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most prevalent cardiac arrhythmia worldwide and results in a significantly increased ischemic stroke (IS) risk. IS risk stratification tools are widely being applied to guide anticoagulation treatment decisions and duration in patients with non-valvular AF (NVAF). The CHA₂DS₂-VASc score is largely validated and currently recommended by renowned guidelines. However, this score is heavily dependent on age, sex, and comorbidities, and exhibits only moderate predictive power. Finding effective and validated clinical biomarkers to assist in personalized IS risk evaluation has become one of the promising directions in the prevention and treatment of NVAF. A number of studies in recent years have explored differentially expressed biomarkers in NVAF patients with and without IS, and the potential role of various biomarkers for prediction or early diagnosis of IS in patients with NVAF. In this review, we describe the clinical application and utility of AF characteristics, cardiac imaging and electrocardiogram markers, arterial stiffness and atherosclerosis-related markers, circulating biomarkers, and novel genetic markers in IS diagnosis and management of patients with NVAF. We conclude that at present, there is no consensus understanding of a desirable biomarker for IS risk stratification in NVAF, and enrolling these biomarkers into extant models also remains challenging. Further prospective cohorts and trials are needed to integrate various clinical risk factors and biomarkers to optimize IS prediction in patients with NVAF. However, we believe that the growing insight into molecular mechanisms and in-depth understanding of existing and emerging biomarkers may further improve the IS risk identification and guide anticoagulation therapy in patients with NVAF.

[Acute cerebral circulation impairment associated with percutaneous coronary intervention]

The article deals with generalized literature data on the current importance of the problem concerning acute cerebral ischemia occurring during percutaneous coronary interventions. Pathophysiological mechanisms of the development of acute cerebral circulation impairment are described, with their classification. Also considered are various risk factors which may cause this formidable complication, followed by describing modern methods of its surgical treatment. It is noted that the main risk factors for neurological complications appearing after revascularization of coronary arteries include age, accompanying diseases (instability of arterial pressure, diabetes mellitus, atrial fibrillation, atherorosclerotic lesions of the aorta and brachiocephalic arteries, previous stroke), as well as systolic dysfunction, leukocytosis, and a low level of cognitive function prior to operation. The development of acute cerebral circulation impairment during and after percutaneous coronary intervention is an indication for using methods of endovascular treatment. It is most appropriate to use a combination of direct percutaneous thrombectomy and a stent retriever. It is underlined in the article that removal of the thrombus form the cerebral artery is not an independent surgical procedure but rather a methodology envisaging an operation to be performed from the simplest technique to the most complicated one. As the first procedure, it is necessary to perform thrombaspiration and then, if ineffective, a second stage consisting in thrombextraction with the help of a stent retriever. Besides, in order to increase efficacy of thrombaspiration there have been worked out several techniques combining the use of direct thrombextraction and a stent retriever. Described in detail are 4 most commonly used techniques.

Carotid Intima-Media Thickness, Genetic Risk, and Ischemic Stroke: A Family-Based Study in Rural China

BACKGROUND

Carotid intima-media thickness (cIMT) has been associated with an elevated risk of ischemic stroke (IS) in several studies, but the results are inconsistent. We investigated whether the association between cIMT and IS varied across different IS subtypes, and further assessed gene-cIMT interactions' association with IS risk.

METHODS

A total of 1048 IS cases (795 large-artery atherosclerosis (LAA) cases, 103 small-vessel occlusion (SVO) cases, and 150 other subtypes) and 2696 IS-free controls across 2179 families were included in the analysis. Self-reported IS cases were confirmed through medical records' review and head imaging by computed tomography and/or magnetic resonance imaging. The mean values of the common cIMT obtained in bilateral distal and proximal carotid artery segments were used. The genotype information of rs2910164 polymorphism in microRNA-146a (miR-146a) was also collected.

RESULTS

We found that cIMT was significantly associated with a higher risk of IS and LAA subtype but not SVO subtype in the multivariate-adjusted models. The odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) in the highest quartile versus the lowest quartile of cIMT was 2.48 (1.92-3.20) for IS and 2.75 (2.08-3.64) for LAA (both p trend <0.001). The results also showed that there was a significant interaction between cIMT and rs2910164 genotype with the risk of IS (p interaction = 0.03) and LAA (p interaction = 0.02). The associations of cIMT with IS and LAA were strengthened among participants carried rs2910164_GG genotype compared with those with rs2910164_CC genotype.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results indicate that higher cIMT levels were significantly associated with IS and LAA subtype but not SVO subtype, and the relations were modified by rs2910164 polymorphism in miR-146a.