Prediction of Mortality in Nonagenarians Following the Surgical Repair of Hip Fractures

Mortality following hip fracture: Trends and geographical variations over the last SIXTY years

INTRODUCTION

The management of hip fractures has advanced on all aspects from prevention pre-operatively, specialised hip fracture units, early operative intervention and rehabilitation. This is in line with the appropriate recognition over the past years of an important presentation with significant mortality and socioeconomic consequences of ever increasing incidence in an aging population. It is therefore imperative to continue to gather data on the incidence and trends of hip fractures to guide future management planning of this important presentation.

METHODS

A review of all articles published on the outcome after hip fracture over a twenty year period (1999-2018) was undertaken to determine any changes that had occurred in the demographics and mortality over this period. This article complements and expands upon the findings of a previous article by the authors assessing a four decade period (1959 - 1998) and attempts to present trends and geographical variations over sixty years.

RESULTS

The mean age of patients sustaining hip fractures continues to be steadily increasing at approximately just over 1 year of age for every 5-year time period. The mean age of patients sustaining hip fractures increased from 73 years (1960s) to 81 years (2000s) to 82 years (2010s). Over the six decade period one-year mortality has reduced from an overall mean of 27% (1960s) to 20% (2010s). The proportion of female hip fractures has decreased from 84% (1960s) to 70% (2010s). There is a decreasing trend in the proportion of intracapsular fractures from 54% (1970s) to 49% (2000s) and 48% (2010s).

CONCLUSION

Our study indicates that significant progress has been made with preventative planning, medical management, specialised orthogeriatric units and surgical urgency all playing a role in the improvements in mean age of hip fracture incidence and reduction in mortality rates. While geographical variations do still exist there has been an increase in the study of hip fractures globally with results now being published from more widespread institutions indicating appropriate increased attention and commitment to an ever-increasing presentation.

Risk factors for postoperative medical morbidity and 3-month mortality in elderly patients with hip fracture following hip arthroplasty during COVID-19 pandemic

BACKGROUND

The purpose of the current study was to investigate the incidence of postoperative medical complications and 3-month mortality in patients  ≥ 70 years old with hip fracture following hip arthroplasty (HA) and independent risk factors associated with postoperative medical complications and 3-month mortality during the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic.

METHODS

A multicenter retrospective study was conducted, patients  ≥ 70 years old with HA for hip fracture under general anesthesia were included during COVID-19 and before COVID-19 pandemic. The outcome was defined as postoperative medical complications and 3-month mortality. The baseline characteristics and risk factors were collected, multivariable logistic regression was used to identify independent risk factors for postoperative medical complications and 3-month mortality.

RESULTS

A total of 1096 patients were included during COVID-19 pandemic and 1149 were included before COVID-19 pandemic in the study. Patients  ≥ 70 years with hip fracture for HA had longer fracture to operation duration (7.10 ± 3.52 vs. 5.31 ± 1.29, P < 0.001), and the incidence of postoperative medical complications (21.90% vs. 12.53%, P < 0.001) and 3-month mortality (5.20% vs. 3.22%, P = 0.025) was higher during COVID-2019 pandemic. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that dementia (OR 2.73; 95% CI 1.37-5.44; P = 0.004), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) (OR 3.00; 95% CI 1.92-4.71; P < 0.001), longer fracture to operation duration (OR 1.24; 95% CI 1.19-1.30; P < 0.001) were associated with increased risk for postoperative medical complications. COPD (OR 2.10; 95% CI 1.05-4.17; P = 0.035), dementia (OR 3.00; 95% CI 1.11-7.94; P = 0.031), postoperative medical complications (OR 4.99; 95% CI 2.68-9.28; P < 0.001), longer fracture to operation duration (OR 1.11; 95% CI 1.04-1.19; P = 0.002) were associated with increased risk for 3-month mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

In conclusion, we found that postoperative medical morbidity and 3-month mortality in patients with hip fracture underwent HA were 21.90% and 5.20%, respectively, during the COVID-19. COPD, dementia and longer fracture to operation duration were associated with negative outcome in patients with hip fracture underwent HA during the COVID-19.

Risk factors of serious postoperative outcomes in patients aged ≥90 years undergoing surgical intervention

Objective

We aimed to identify preoperative and intraoperative factors associated with serious postoperative outcomes, which may help patients and clinicians make better-informed decisions.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective study including all patients aged ≥90 years who underwent surgery between January 1, 2011, and January 1, 2021, at Chongqing University Central Hospital. We assessed 30 pre- and intraoperative demographic and clinical variables. Logistic regression was used to identify the independent risk factors for serious postoperative outcomes in patients aged ≥90 years.

Results

A total of 428 patients were included in our analysis. The mean age was 92.6 years (SD ± 2.6). There were 240 (56.1%) females and 188 (43.9%) males. The most common comorbidities were hypertension (44.9%) and arrhythmias (34.8%). The 30-day hospital mortality was 5.6%, and severe morbidity was 33.2%. Based on the multivariate logistic regression classification analysis of the American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA)≥ Ⅳ [odds ratio (OR), 5.39, 95% confidence interval (CI), 2.06-14.16, P = .001], emergency surgery (OR, 5.02, 95% CI, 2.85-15.98, P = .001) and chronic heart failure (OR, 6.11, 95% CI, 1.93-13.06, P = .001) were identified as independent risk factors for 30-day hospital mortality, and ASA≥ Ⅳ (OR, 4.56, 95%CI, 2.56-8.15, P < .001), Barthel index (BI) < 35 (OR, 2.28, 95%CI, 1.30-3.98, P = .001), chronic heart failure (OR, 3.67, 95%CI, 1.62-8.31, P = .002), chronic kidney disease (OR, 4.24, 95%CI, 1.99-9.05, P < .001), general anesthesia (OR, 3.31, 95%CI, 1.91-5.76, P < .001), emergency surgery (OR, 3.72, 95%CI, 1.98-6.99, P < .001), and major surgery (OR, 3.44, 95%CI, 1.90-6.22, P < .001) were identified as independent risk factors for serious postoperative complications.

Conclusions

Patients aged ≥90 years with ASA≥ Ⅳ, BI < 35, combined with chronic heart failure or chronic kidney disease, undergoing emergency surgery, major surgery or general anesthesia have a higher risk of serious postoperative outcomes. Identifying these risk factors in an early stage may contribute to our clinical decision-making and improve the quality of treatments.

12-month survival in nonagenarians inside the Mugello study: on the way to live a century

Background

Life expectancy has increased over the last century and a growing number of people is reaching age 90 years and over. However, data on nonagenarians’ health trends are scarce due to difficulties in investigating this specific population. This study aims to identify risk factors for one-year mortality in nonagenarians using data collected within the “Mugello Study”.

Methods

Complete information on sociodemographic data, cognitive and functional status, lifestyle, medical history, and drug use was collected from 433 nonagenarians, as well as information about survival after 1 year from the interview.

Results

The sample included 314 women (72.5%) and 119 men (27.5%) with a median age of 92 years (range 90-99 years). The mortality rate was 20.3% (88 deaths). After adjustment for age and sex, a significantly higher risk of dying within 12 months was observed in individuals with more severe cognitive impairment (HR = 5.011, p < 0.001), more severe disability in basic activities of daily living (HR = 4.193, p < 0.001), sedentary lifestyle (HR = 3.367, p < 0.001), higher number of drugs assumed (HR = 1.118, p = 0.031), and kidney dysfunction (HR = 2.609, p = 0.004). When all the variables were included in the analysis, only older age (HR = 1.079, p = 0.048), lower cognitive function (HR = 2.859, p = 0.015), sedentary lifestyle (HR = 2.030, p = 0.026), and kidney dysfunction (HR = 2.322, p = 0.018) remained significantly associated with reduced survival.

Conclusions

Data from the Mugello study support the hypothesis that survival at 12 months in nonagenarians is not a stochastic process and that older age, reduced cognitive function, sedentary lifestyle, and the presence of kidney dysfunction are associated with mortality.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12877-022-02908-9.

Effect of Resistance Training Combined with Beta-Hydroxy-Beta-Methylbutyric Acid Supplements in Elderly Patients with Sarcopenia after Hip Replacement

Objectives

To evaluate the efficacy of resistance training (RT) combined with beta‐hydroxy‐beta‐methylbutyric acid (HMB) in the treatment of elderly patients with sarcopenia after hip replacement.

Methods

From January 1, 2018 to December 31, 2018, 200 elderly patients (68 men, mean age 76.3 years and 137 women, mean age 79.1 years) who experienced femoral neck fracture with sarcopenia after hip arthroplasty were assigned to four groups: RT + HMB group, RT group, HMB group, and negative control group. Baseline data, body composition, grip strength, Barthel index (BI), Harris hip score (HHS), and visual analog scale score (VAS) were compared among the four groups before and 3 months after surgery.

Results

A total of 177 participants completed the trial, including 43 in the HMB + RT group, 44 in the HMB group, 45 in the RT group, and 45 in the negative control group. At the 3‐month follow‐up, the body composition and grip strength of the HMB + RT group and RT group were significantly improved compared with those before operation. The HMB group had no significant change, while the measures in the negative control group significantly decreased. Postoperative BI and HSS did not reach pre‐injury levels in any of the four groups, but postoperative VAS score was significantly improved. However, there was no significant difference in BI, HSS, or VAS among the four groups.

Conclusion

RT, with or without HMB supplementation, can effectively improve body composition and grip strength in elderly patients with sarcopenia after hip replacement at short‐term follow‐up. Simultaneously, use of exclusive HMB supplementation alone may also help to prevent decreases in muscle mass and grip strength in these patients.

MORTALITY IN PATIENTS > 90 YEARS OLD WITH PROXIMAL FEMORAL FRACTURES SUBJECTED TO SURGERY

ABSTRACT Introduction: Proximal femoral fractures have a high mortality rate among older adults, especially those aged > 80 years. Objective: To analyze predictive factors for hospital or late mortality of patients > 90 years old who showed proximal femoral fracture and subjected to surgery. Methods: The study included data from 230 patients aged > 90 years diagnosed with proximal femoral fracture and who underwent surgery between January and December 2017. The statistical evaluation was performed by multivariate analysis by a logistic regression. The associations were estimated by the odds ratio (OD) and confidence interval (95%). Statistical significance was determined with p < 0.05. Results: Late death occurred in 51.3% (118 patients) of the sample and hospital death in 3.5% (8 patients). Most patients were women (83.5%) and the most common fracture was transtrochanteric (57.0%). There was association between late death and the surgery duration (p < 0.05), and between hospital death and the presence of heart diseases (p < 0.05) or endocrinopathies (p < 0.05). Conclusion: Most patients aged > 90 years with proximal femoral fracture subjected to surgery died in less than one year. Late death was associated with the surgery duration and hospital death was associated with the presence of previous endocrinopathies or heart diseases, and the female gender was a protective factor from this outcome. Level of Evidence III, Retrospective Case-Control Study.

Effect of Dementia on Postoperative Mortality in Elderly Patients with Hip Fracture

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to assess the prevalence of dementia as an underlying disease in elderly patients with hip fracture, to investigate the effect of dementia on postoperative mortality after surgery of hip fracture, and to analyze the differences in postoperative mortalities according to the severity of dementia through subgroup analysis.

METHODS

This study selected 2,346 elderly patients who were diagnosed with unilateral intertrochanteric or femoral neck fractures who underwent surgery between January 2004 and December 2018. The patients were classified into the non-dementia group (2,196 patients) and dementia group (150 patients; no-medication [66 patients] and medication [84 patients] subgroups). The cumulative crude mortality rate was calculated, and 30-day, 60-day, 3-month, 6-month, and 1-year mortality rates were compared between the groups. A univariate regression test was performed using age, sex, diagnosis, surgery type, and Charlson's comorbidity index (CCI), as these variables had P values of < 0.10. Multivariate regression analysis was performed to identify independent risk factors associated with mortality.

RESULTS

The 30-day, 60-day, 3-month, 6-month, and 1-year postoperative cumulative mortality rates were 1.8%, 3.8%, 5.6%, 8.9%, and 13.6%, respectively, in the non-dementia group, and 2%, 7.3%, 14%, 19.3%, and 24%, respectively, in the dementia group (P = 0.748, P = 0.048, P < 0.001, P < 0.001, and P = 0.001). The factors that affected the 1-year mortality were age (odds ratio [OR], 1.06; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.02-1.08; P < 0.001), sex (OR, 2.68; 95% CI, 2.07-3.47; P < 0.001), CCI (OR, 1.34; 95% CI, 1.23-1.47; P < 0.001), and dementia (OR, 1.70; 95% CI, 1.46-1.08; P = 0.016). In subgroup analysis, severity of dementia influenced the 6-month mortality (OR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.70-2.01; P = 0.018), and 1-year mortality (OR, 1.30; 95% CI, 1.17-1.90; P = 0.027).

CONCLUSION

In elderly hip fracture patients, the comparison between patients with and without dementia revealed that dementia was an independent risk factor for mortality at a minimum of 1 year of follow-up, and the severity of dementia in hip fracture patients was a risk factor for mortality within 6 months and 1 year, postoperatively.

Patients aged ninety years and older are exposed to increased risk of one-year mortality after hip fractures

BACKGROUND

The increase in the population over 90 years old suggests an expected surge in the number of extreme elderly patients sustaining hip fractures.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study is to identify factors associated with 1-year mortality and determine the conditions that are associated with an unfavorable survival outcome in nonagenarians.

DESIGN

Cross-sectional study SUBJECTS: Nonagenarian patients presenting with hip fractures between 2013 and 2018.

METHODS

Bivariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify variables associated with mortality, and a survival analysis was conducted to determine whether the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) is associated with mortality.

RESULTS

A total of 127 patients, with a mean age of 92.84 years was assessed, identifying 1-year mortality rate in 53.5% of patients. According to the bivariate analysis, requirement of postoperative vasopressor support, transfusion, decompensated heart failure and general anesthesia were associated with a higher probability of 1-year mortality after surgery. Body mass index, health status, dementia or CCI ≥ 3 were not associated with mortality. Similarly, the Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed no difference in mortality rate of patients with CCI ≥ 3 (p = 0.282).

CONCLUSION

Patients older than 90 years with hip fractures have higher mortality rates per year than younger patients. Some associations were found, but more studies are needed to reach final conclusions, which could help identify higher-risk patients and be able to implement additional measures.

Nonagenarian hip fractures: Morbidity and mortality at a single institution

OBJECTIVES

The incidence of hip fractures continues to rise dramatically, but few studies have examined these injuries in the population of individuals over 90 years of age, which is one of the fastest growing populations. We present the largest such study specifically examining hip fractures in the super-elderly.

METHODS

A review of 216 hip fracture patients over 90 years of age were examined for immediate postoperative complications and in-house, 30-day, and 1-year mortality.

RESULTS

Overall 1-year mortality was 38.1%. Statistically-significant risk factors for 1-year mortality included oncologic fracture, dementia, and CHF. Fracture classification and hospital length of stay were associated with perioperative complications including anemia and pneumonia.

CONCLUSION

The nonagenarian hip fracture is associated with a higher 1-year mortality than prior reported rates of mortality for elderly hip fractures. Factors previously reported to influence the risk of 1-year mortality in hip fractures are not observed in the super-elderly.

Influence of surgical parameters on mortality after surgery for extracapsular hip fractures in the elderly

INTRODUCTION

Hip fracture is a very frequent traumatic pathology in the elderly with high mortality. Different factors have been associated with mortality after surgery (age comorbidities). There are surgical factors that are associated with mortality, but they have not been related to the different mortality rates and medical comorbidities.

OBJECTIVE

To analyze the surgical parameters with influence on mortality in surgery of extracapsular hip fractures in the elderly patient, as well as the influence of medical comorbidities of these patients on mortality, by means of the Charlson comorbidity index (CCI).

METHOD

Retrospective review of 187 patients operated on in 2015. Data were collected on age and sex, laterality and type of fracture; surgical delay, surgical time, type of osteosynthesis material, mean stay. The presence of comorbidities was determined using the JRC.

RESULTS

Mean age was 85 years. Regarding the Charlson comorbidity index in brief, 67.4% of patients had a score between 0 and 1, 23.5% of 2, and 9.1% >2. Mortality at one month and one year after surgery was 5.3% and 14.4% respectively. Forty-three complications were recorded, of which 31 were medical complications. Of the 27 patients who died in the first year, 14 (51.8%) suffered complications, 48.2% of which were medical complications.

DISCUSSION

Multivariate analysis showed significant differences with respect to age, medical complications and Charlson index abbreviated to 2 with respect to mortality. There is no association between delay and surgical time with increased mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

No association was demonstrated between the surgical parameters studied (surgical delay and time, fracture pattern and stability, reduction criteria, surgical complications) and increased short and long-term mortality. Patients with older age, comorbidities measured with abbreviated CCI and those suffering medical complications have a higher risk of mortality at the month and year of surgery.

Functional Outcomes After Hip Fracture in Independent Community-Dwelling Patients

OBJECTIVES

To determine predictors of new activities of daily living (ADLs) disability and worsened mobility disability and secondarily increased daily care hours received, in previously independent hip fracture patients.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

SETTING

Academic hospital with ambulatory follow-up.

PARTICIPANTS

Community-dwelling adults 65 years or older independent in ADLs undergoing hip fracture surgery in 2015 (n = 184).

MEASUREMENTS

Baseline, 3- and 6-month ADLs, mobility, and daily care hours received were ascertained by telephone survey and chart review. Comorbidities, medications, and characteristics of hospitalization were extracted from patient charts. Models for each outcome used logistic regression with a backward elimination strategy, adjusting a priori for age, sex, and race.

RESULTS

Predictors of new ADL disability at 3 months were dementia (odds ratio [OR] = 11.81; P = .001) and in-hospital delirium (OR = 4.20; P = .002), and at 6 months were age (OR = 1.04; P = .014), dementia (OR = 9.91; P = .001), in-hospital delirium (OR = 3.00; P = .031) and preadmission opiates (OR = 7.72; P = .003). Predictors of worsened mobility at 3 months were in-hospital delirium (OR = 4.48; P = .001) and number of medications (OR = 1.13; P = .003), and at 6 months were age (OR = 1.06; P = .001), preadmission opiates (OR = 7.23; P = .005), in-hospital delirium (OR = 3.10; P = .019), and number of medications (OR = 1.13; P = .013). Predictors of increased daily care hours received at 3 and 6 months were age (3 months: OR = 1.07; P = .014; 6 months: OR = 1.06; P = .017) and number of medications (3 months: OR = 1.13; P = .004; 6 months: OR = 1.22; P = .013). The proportion of patients with ADL disability and care hours received did not change from 3 to 6 months, yet there were significant improvements in mobility.

CONCLUSION

Age, dementia, in-hospital delirium, number of medications, and preadmission opiate use were predictors of poor outcomes in independent older adults following hip fracture. Further investigation is needed to identify factors associated with improved mobility measures from 3 to 6 months to ultimately optimize recovery.

Age Alone Does Not Predict Complications, Length of Stay, and Cost for Patients Older Than 90 Years With Hip Fractures

The purpose of this study was to analyze the perioperative complication rate and inpatient hospitalization costs associated with hip fractures in patients older than 90 years compared with patients younger than 90 years. Patients 60 years and older with hip fractures treated operatively at 1 academic medical center between October 2014 and September 2016 were analyzed. Patient demographics, comorbidities, length of stay, procedure performed, and inpatient complications were analyzed. Total cost of admission was obtained from the hospital finance department. Outcomes were compared between patients older than 90 years and patients younger than 90 years. A total of 500 patients with hip fractures were included in this study. There were 109 (21.8%) patients 90 years and older and 391 (78.2%) patients 60 to 89 years. There was no difference in fracture pattern, operation performed, Charlson Comorbidity Index, or length of stay between the 2 groups. The mean length of stay for patients 90 years and older with hip fractures was 7.8±4.3 days vs 7.6±4.2 days for the younger cohort (P=.552). There was no observed difference in perioperative complications. Finally, there was no difference in the total mean cost of admission. Patients 90 years and older are at no greater risk for perioperative complications based on age alone. They are also no more likely to require longer or more costly hospitalizations than patients younger than 90 years. [Orthopedics. 2019; 42(1):e51-e55.].

Different impacts of dementia on two-year mortality after osteosynthesis and hemiarthroplasty in treating geriatric hip fractures

BACKGROUND

Geriatric hip fractures are mostly managed by internal fixation (IF) or hemiarthroplasty (HA). Survivorship of dementia patients following these surgeries has not been extensively compared in literature. By analysis of nationwide database, this study aimed to investigate the impact of dementia on two-year mortality after IF and HA in treating geriatric hip fractures.

METHOD

From retrospective review of Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database, we enrolled 153,623 subjects aged 65 years and older with hospitalization for first hip fracture operated by IF (93,029 cases) or HA (60,594 cases) between 2000 and 2011. Postoperative mortality was compared between subjects with and without dementia after adjustments of age, gender, Charlson comorbidity index and hospital level.

RESULTS

The prevalence of dementia was 5.24% in the IF and 5.29% in the HA group. In the IF group, dementia increased adjusted hazard ratio of one-year (1.06, 95%CI:1.00-1.13) and two-year mortality (1.10, 95%CI:1.05-1.16). However, short and long-term mortality following HA was not significantly impacted by dementia (in-hospital OR:0.79, 95%CI:0.60-1.03; three-month HR:0.99, 95%CI:0.87-1.12; one-year HR:1.01, 95%CI:0.93-1.10; two-year HR:1.03, 95%CI:0.96-1.09). In a subgroup of dementia patients, mortality following IF was 15% higher than HA in one (p = 0.004) and two years (p < 0.001). The negative prognostic factors included female (HR:1.10; 95%CI:1.03-1.18) and aging 65-84 years (HR:1.15; 95%CI:1.00-1.32).

CONCLUSION

Dementia increased one and two-year mortality following geriatric hip fracture treated by IF, rather than HA. Dementia patients undergoing HA, especially female or 65-84 years old, sustained better one and two-year survival than those receiving IF.

Perioperative mortality for patients with a hip fracture

INTRODUCTION

Studies on mortality following hip fracture surgery have hitherto focused on the 30 day to 1 year period and beyond. This study focuses on the immediate perioperative period. It examines mortality rates, patient characteristics, operative details and post-operative complications.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A retrospective study of a hip fracture database in a large District General Hospital in the United Kingdom, from 1986 to 2015. A dataset of 9393 patients was identified, including patients undergoing surgery for curative and palliative purposes, over fifteen years of age and with no upper age limit imposed. It compared patients who survived the first 48h from start of surgery with those who died within this perioperative period.

RESULTS

9393 patients were treated surgically and included within this study, with a mean age of 80.13 and consisting of 7130 female and 2263 male patients. The all cause mortality within 48h from start of surgery was 0.8% (72 patients). Increased risk of perioperative mortality was associated with increasing age, ASA grade 3 and above, in-hospital falls, impaired mobility prior to the fall and a reduced mental test score on admission. For the patient with a perioperative death, the most common circumstances identified in this study involved being found dead in bed by attending staff within 48h of surgery.

DISCUSSION

There has been significant attention paid to the optimization of patient management leading up to hip fracture surgery and its attendant impact on medium and longer term survival. The information from this study may be used to identify patients most at risk of death in the 48h after surgery. The importance of this dataset is that it provides large numbers, which are needed in order to look for associations, given the low 48h mortality rate found.

CONCLUSION

We are unable to highlight any correctable or alterable factors associated with mortality. Further studies with detailed collection of data on a national scale may be needed to assess the impact of levels of postoperative care for hip fracture patients and perioperative mortality.

Five-year survival after surgery in nonagenarian patients

AIM

In countries with longer life expectancies, the nonagenarian population is increasing. Therefore, there is greater demand for healthcare, including surgical procedures. The aim of the present study was to determine the outcomes of surgery carried out on nonagenarians in terms of long-term survival after the procedure.

METHODS

We carried out a cross-longitudinal study on a cohort of 159 nonagenarian patients, who underwent a non-cardiac, non-traumatic surgical procedure in our institution between January 1999 and December 2011. The following variables were recorded: sociodemographic characteristics, American Society of Anesthesiologists score, Charlson Comorbidity Index, surgical site, postoperative complications, operative mortality and long-term survival. The output variable was long-term survival.

RESULTS

Of the 159 patients,99 women (62%) and 60 men (38%), with a mean age of 91.8 years (SD ± 2.0 years), 44 cases were operations for malignant disorders (28%), 117 cases (74%) under emergency conditions and 42 cases (26%) were elective treatments. The operative mortality was 29%, 4.8% for elective surgery and 37.6% for emergency surgery (P < 0.001). The postoperative complication rate, including death, was 60%. The probability of survival at 1, 3, and 5 years was 59.6%, 35.8% and 24.1%, respectively. In multivariate analysis, American Society of Anesthesiologists score (HR 2.07, 95% CI 1.58-2.72), emergency surgery (HR 1.64, 95% CI 1.05-2.57) and postoperative medical complications (HR 2.58, 95% CI 1.73-3.85) were independently related to 5-year survival.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings support the perioperative safety of elective general surgery in nonagenarian patients. In selected nonagenarian patients with no cognitive impairment, surgery must not be denied. These data might be useful for surgical decision-making or informed consent for nonagerians. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2017; 17: 2389-2395.