Prevalence and prognostic implication of non-calcified plaque in asymptomatic population with coronary artery calcium score of zero

Non-calcified plaque in asymptomatic patients with zero coronary artery calcium score: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

There is growing interest in understanding the coronary atherosclerotic burden in asymptomatic patients with zero coronary artery calcium score (CACS). In this population, we aimed to investigate the prevalence and severity of non-calcified coronary plaques (NCP) as detected by coronary CT angiography (CCTA), and to analyze the associated clinical predictors.

METHODS

This was a systematic review with meta-analysis of studies indexed in PubMed/Medline and Web of Science from inception of the database to March 31st, 2023. Using the random-effects model, separate Forest and Galbraith plots were generated for each effect size assessed. Heterogeneity was assessed using the I2 statistics whilst Funnel plots and Egger's test were used to assess for publication bias.

RESULTS

From a total of 14 studies comprising 37808 patients, we approximated the pooled summary estimates for the overall prevalence of NCP to be 10% (95%CI: 6%-13%). Similarly, the pooled prevalence of obstructive NCP was estimated at 1.1% (95%CI: 0.7%-1.5%) from a total of 10 studies involving 21531 patients. Hypertension [OR: 1.46 (95%CI:1.31-1.62)] and diabetes mellitus [OR: 1.69 (95%CI: 1.41-1.97)] were significantly associated with developing any NCP, with male gender being the strongest predictor [OR: 3.22 (95%CI: 2.17-4.27)].

CONCLUSION

There is a low burden of NCP among asymptomatic subjects with zero CACS. In a subset of this population who have clinical predictors of NCP, the addition of CCTA has a potential to provide a better insight about occult coronary atherosclerosis, however, a risk-benefit approach must be factored in prior to CCTA use given the low prevalence of NCP.

Non-Calcified Coronary Artery Plaque on Coronary Computed Tomography Angiogram: Prevalence and Significance

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to assess the prevalence of non-calcified plaque (NCP) on computed tomography angiography (CCTA) in symptomatic and asymptomatic individuals. In addition, we seek to compare plaque assessment on CCTA with intravascular ultrasound-virtual histology (IVUS-VH) and to assess the prognostic value of non-calcified plaques (NCPs).

BACKGROUND

The CCTA can characterize coronary plaques and help quantify burden. Furthermore, it can provide additional prognostic information which can enable further risk stratification of patients.

METHODS

We performed a broad comprehensive review of the current literature pertaining to CCTA and primarily isolated NCP in symptomatic and asymptomatic patients. In addition, our review included studies correlating plaque on CT with IVUS-VH.

CONCLUSIONS

NCP is the initial precursor of calcified plaque and serves as a prominent marker of early coronary atherosclerosis. By detecting NCP during early stages, several measures can be implemented which can alter the evolutionary course of the underlying disease. This can potentially lead to a lower incidence of cardiovascular events.

Gender Differences in Subclinical Coronary Atherosclerosis in the Asian Population With a Coronary Artery Calcium Score of Zero

There is little evidence on whether gender difference influences the incidence of subclinical coronary atherosclerosis in Asian populations with a 0 score. In this study, we investigated the influence of age and gender on the extent of subclinical coronary atherosclerotic burden within a healthy Asian population with a 0 coronary artery calcium (CAC) score. A total of 934 participants (320 women and 614 men) from Taiwan's Han Chinese population with an initial CAC score of 0 were included in this study. They underwent 2 consecutive cardiac computed tomography scans over a clinical follow-up period of 4.35 ± 2.37 years. Clinical information and laboratory measurements were collected for analysis. Compared with the female group, the male group demonstrated significantly higher rates of subclinical CAC progression (27.4% vs 13.8%, p <0.001). Across the age group deciles (≤40, 41 to 50, 51 to 60, ≥61 years), the male group had a higher prevalence of subclinical CAC progression than the female group. For the subclinical CAC progression, the logistic regression model demonstrated that age, gender (male gender), cholesterol level, and follow-up period were statistically significant parameters. In conclusion, these findings support that a gender difference impacts the long-term natural course of subclinical coronary calcification conversion in women compared with men, suggesting that the gender-based effect on coronary CAC conversion plays an important role in subclinical coronary atherosclerosis risk stratification in personalized preventive medicine.

Is there an association between coronary artery inflammation and coronary atherosclerotic burden?

Background

As for the coronary artery inflammation and coronary atherosclerotic burden, which are used to assess the risk of adverse cardiac events in patients, it is unclear whether there is any certain correlation between them. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to explore the potential relationship between coronary artery inflammation and coronary atherosclerotic burden.

Methods

A total of 346 eligible patients underwent assessment of computed tomography (CT) attenuation values of pericoronary adipose tissue (PCAT) in the right coronary artery and Agatston coronary artery calcium (CAC) based on coronary CT angiography. These measurements were utilized to evaluate coronary inflammation and atherosclerotic burden, respectively. Patients with a CAC score of 0 were categorized into groups based on the presence or absence of coronary artery disease (CAD). CAC scores of 10, 100, and 400 were chosen as cutoff values to compare differences in PCAT attenuation values across different CAC scores.

Results

When comparing all CAD patients to non-CAD patients, a significantly higher PCAT attenuation was observed in CAD patients (-87.54±9.39 vs. -93.45±7.42 HU, P=0.000). The PCAT attenuation in CAD patients with a CAC score of 0 was significantly higher than that in patients with a CAC score greater than 0 and in non-CAD patients with a CAC score of 0 (-82.63±8.70 vs. -90.38±8.59 vs. -93.45±7.42 HU, P=0.000). The PCAT attenuation values did not exhibit significant differences among different CAC scores (all P>0.05); however, it was highest in CAD patients with a CAC score of 0 (P<0.05). Body mass index, hyperlipidemia, hypertension, and PCAT attenuation were identified as independent risk factors in both CAD patients with a CAC score of 0 and patients with a CAC score greater than 0 (all P<0.05).

Conclusions

The results of this study suggest that a direct relationship between coronary inflammation and coronary atherosclerotic burden is not evident. Nonetheless, it is noteworthy that coronary inflammation was most pronounced in CAD patients with a CAC score of 0, while CAC score did not demonstrate an association with inflammation.

Prognostic Value of Coronary Calcium Score in Asymptomatic Individuals: A Systematic Review

Despite updated guidelines and technological developments that allow for an accurate diagnosis, many asymptomatic individuals have a high risk of developing CAD or cardiac events. The CAC score can estimate a correct risk level for these subjects, which is clinically significant for adequate management of risk factors and obtaining personalized preventive therapy. This systematic review aims to assess the prognostic value of CAC score in asymptomatic individuals. According to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) statement, a systematic literature search was performed to identify original articles since 2010 that evaluated the prognostic value of CAC score in asymptomatic individuals. The quality of the included studies was assessed by the QUIPS tool. A total of 45 articles were selected. Many of these (25 studies) evaluated the prognostic value of CAC score in asymptomatic subjects. In comparison, others (20 studies) evaluated the association of CAC score with other clinical parameters and imaging modalities or the comparison with computed tomography coronary angiography (CTCA). Our findings showed that the CAC score provides valuable prognostic information for predicting CAD risk in asymptomatic individuals.

Prevalence and associated risk factors of coronary artery disease in patients with a zero coronary calcium score

PURPOSE

A zero coronary calcium score (CCS) is not able to provide a definite exclusion for coronary artery disease (CAD). The goal of this study was to determine the prevalence and associated cardiovascular risk factors of CAD in patients with zero CCS.

METHODS

Six hundred thirteen patients with zero CCS referred to coronary calcium score analysis (CCSA) and coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) with suspicion of CAD were included. The descriptive, univariate, and multivariate analyses were used to determine the prevalence and predictors of CAD presence.

RESULTS

Among 613 patients, 17 patients (2.7%) have NCCP, and obstructive CAD was found in 3 patients (0.48%). Multivariate analysis revealed that male gender and older age (≥50 years) were significantly associated with the presence of noncalcified coronary plaques (NCCP) (p < 0.05). The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis showed that the male gender and older age (≥50 years) model had 70.6% sensitivity and 84.2% specificity for predicting NCCP.

CONCLUSION

A non-negligible portion of patients with zero CCS had CAD. Male gender and older age (≥50 years) were independently associated with NCCP. Due to the high specificity value (84.2%) and negative predictive value (99.0%) of the male gender and older age (≥50 years) model, selective use of CCTA is recommended in <50 years old female patients to avoid unnecessary radiation exposure.

The role of cardiac computed tomography in pre-participation screening of mature athletes

The overwhelming majority of sports-related sudden cardiac deaths in mature athletes is attributed to coronary artery disease (CAD). Coronary plaques of mature athletes appear to be more calcified compared to sedentary individuals and thus may be more stable and less likely to be associated with an acute coronary event. Cardiac computed tomography (CT), including unenhanced CT for coronary artery calcium scoring (CACS) and contrast-enhanced coronary CT angiography, is characterized by very high negative predictive value to rule out CAD. Cardiac CT has been shown to have additional diagnostic value for detection of CAD in athletes over and above exercise electrocardiogram. Moreover, measurement of CACS possibly enables a more precise cardiovascular risk stratification of mature athletes. The main advantage of cardiac CT is its noninvasive nature. Although cardiac CT appears to increase the overall cost of cardiac examinations, this additional cost is much lower than the cost of unnecessary invasive coronary angiographies that would be performed in case of false positive results of exercise electrocardiograms. Radiation exposure may not be a major concern for the application of this modality to pre-participation screening of athletes, since recent technical advancements have resulted in low radiation dose of cardiac CT.Highlights Coronary computed tomography angiography can be used in pre-participation screening of mature athletes to increase the negative predictive value for excluding coronary artery disease.The identification of coronary artery calcium score = 0 in an athlete can improve risk stratification, since this athlete can be reasonably managed as an individual with low cardiovascular risk.

Evaluation of Coronary Artery Calcium Progression in Asymptomatic Individuals with an Initial Score of Zero

Background and Objectives

Coronary artery calcium (CAC) scoring in the asymptomatic population can improve cardiovascular risk prediction. We aimed to assess CAC progression and the impact of coronary risk factors on the CAC progression rate in asymptomatic Korean individuals with a baseline CAC score of zero.

Methods

The study population was derived from the Korea Initiatives on Coronary Artery Calcification (KOICA) registry: a retrospective, single ethnicity, multicenter registry of asymptomatic individuals who underwent CAC scoring as a part of a health checkup. Individuals with at least two CAC scores and an initial score of zero were included. CAC progression was defined as [√CAC score (follow-up) − √CAC score (baseline)] ≥2.5. The 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk was calculated.

Results

Among 6,268 participants (mean age, 48.0±7.1 years; male, 80.5%), 719 (11.5%) experienced CAC progression during follow-up (median, 109 months; interquartile range, 78–208 months). The CAC progression rate was 0.3%, 1.9%, 4.3%, 8.6%, and 16.7% in years 1–5, respectively. The chance of CAC progression at 5 years was 13.1%, 22.0%, and 27.9% for individuals with a 10-year ASCVD risk of <5%, ≥5% but <7.5%, and ≥7.5%, respectively. A multivariable analysis revealed age, male sex, waist circumference, diabetes, and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol level as independently associated with annualized CAC progression (p<0.001, p=0.017, p=0.025, p=0.032, and p=0.003, respectively).

Conclusions

The probability of CAC progression is very low in Korean individuals with a CAC score of zero. However, the risk of CAC progression increases nonlinearly over time, and increases as the 10-year ASCVD risk increases.

Incremental prognostic utility of coronary CT angiography for asymptomatic patients based upon extent and severity of coronary artery calcium: results from the COronary CT Angiography EvaluatioN For Clinical Outcomes InteRnational Multicenter (CONFIRM) study

AIM

Prior evidence observed no predictive utility of coronary CT angiography (CCTA) over the coronary artery calcium score (CACS) and the Framingham risk score (FRS), among asymptomatic individuals. Whether the prognostic value of CCTA differs for asymptomatic patients, when stratified by CACS severity, remains unknown.

METHODS AND RESULTS

From a 12-centre, 6-country observational registry, 3217 asymptomatic individuals without known coronary artery disease (CAD) underwent CACS and CCTA. Individuals were categorized by CACS as: 0-10, 11-100, 101-400, 401-1000, >1000. For CCTA analysis, the number of obstructive vessels-as defined by the per-patient presence of a ≥50% luminal stenosis-was used to grade the extent and severity of CAD. The incremental prognostic value of CCTA over and above FRS was measured by the likelihood ratio (LR) χ(2), C-statistic, and continuous net reclassification improvement (NRI) for prediction, discrimination, and reclassification of all-cause mortality and non-fatal myocardial infarction. During a median follow-up of 24 months (25th-75th percentile, 17-30 months), there were 58 composite end-points. The incremental value of CCTA over FRS was demonstrated in individuals with CACS >100 (LRχ(2), 25.34; increment in C-statistic, 0.24; NRI, 0.62, all P < 0.001), but not among those with CACS ≤100 (all P > 0.05). For subgroups with CACS >100, the utility of CCTA for predicting the study end-point was evident among individuals whose CACS ranged from 101 to 400; the observed predictive benefit attenuated with increasing CACS.

CONCLUSION

Coronary CT angiography provides incremental prognostic utility for prediction of mortality and non-fatal myocardial infarction for asymptomatic individuals with moderately high CACS, but not for lower or higher CACS.

Impact of coronary artery calcium on coronary heart disease events in individuals at the extremes of traditional risk factor burden: the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis

AIMS

We sought to evaluate the impact of coronary artery calcium (CAC) in individuals at the extremes of risk factor (RF) burden.

METHODS AND RESULTS

6698 individuals from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) were followed for coronary heart disease (CHD) events over mean 7.1 ± 1 years. Annualized CHD event rates were compared among each RF category (0, 1, 2, or ≥3) after stratification by CAC score (0, 1-100, 101-300, and >300). The following traditional modifiable RFs were considered: cigarette smoking, LDL cholesterol ≥3.4 mmol/L, low HDL cholesterol, hypertension, and diabetes. There were 1067 subjects (16%) with 0 RFs, whereas 1205 (18%) had ≥3 RFs. Among individuals with 0 RFs, 68% had CAC 0, whereas 12 and 5% had CAC >100 and >300, respectively. Among individuals with ≥3 RFs, 35% had CAC 0, whereas 34 and 19% had CAC >100 and >300, respectively. Overall, 339 (5.1%) CHD events occurred. Individuals with 0 RFs and CAC >300 had an event rate 3.5 times higher than individuals with ≥3 RFs and CAC 0 (10.9/1000 vs. 3.1/1000 person-years). Similar results were seen across categories of Framingham risk score.

CONCLUSION

Among individuals at the extremes of RF burden, the distribution of CAC is heterogeneous. The presence of a high CAC burden, even among individuals without RFs, is associated with an elevated event rate, whereas the absence of CAC, even among those with many RF, is associated with a low event rate. Coronary artery calcium has the potential to further risk stratify asymptomatic individuals at the extremes of RF burden.

Coronary artery calcium score: a review

Context

Coronary artery disease (CAD) is the foremost cause of death in many countries and hence, its early diagnosis is usually concerned as a major healthcare priority. Coronary artery calcium scoring (CACS) using either electron beam computed tomography (EBCT) or multislice computed tomography (MSCT) has been applied for more than 20 years to provide an early CAD diagnosis in clinical routine practice. Moreover, its association with other body organs has been a matter of vast research.

Evidence Acquisition

In this review article, techniques of CACS using EBCT and MSCT scanners as well as clinical and research indications of CACS are searched from PubMed, ISI Web of Science, Google Scholar and Scopus databases in a time period between late 1970s through July 2013 and following appropriate selection, dealt with. Moreover, the previous and ongoing research subjects and their results are discussed.

Results

The CACS is vastly applied in early detection of CAD and in many other research fields.

Conclusions

CACS has remarkably changed the screening techniques to detect CAD earlier than before and is generally accepted as a standard of reference for determination of risk of further cardiac events.