Long-term Survival in Korean Elderly Patients with Symptomatic Severe Aortic Stenosis Who Refused Aortic Valve Replacement

Temporal trends in incidence, prevalence, and death of aortic stenosis in Korea: a nationwide population-based study

AIMS

We aim to determine the temporal trends of incidence, prevalence, and death of aortic stenosis (AS, I35.0) in an East Asian population.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Data for 3773 patients who were newly diagnosed with AS from 2006 through 2017 were extracted from the National Health Insurance Service in Korea. The age-standardized incidence rate, prevalence rate, and death rate, survival rate (SR), and death risk of AS were calculated. Overall, the mean (standard deviation) age of AS patients was 69.9 (15.3) years [66.2 (15.7) years for men and 72.7 (14.4) years for women (P = 0.007)], and the proportion of men was 42.7%. The proportion of AS patients ≥60 years old was 80% (71.8% in men and 86% in women, P < 0.001). The proportion of patients who died of AS was 36.4% during the period from 2006 through 2017. The most common causes of death were disease of the circulatory system. The age-standardized incidence, prevalence, and death rates in 2017 were 0.85, 2.79, and 0.58 persons per 100 000 persons, respectively. The 10 year SR was 49.2%. The higher adjusted HRs [95% CI] for AS were observed in 70- to 79-year-old people (9.08 [1.27, 64.7], P = 0.027), in individuals 80 years of age or older (22.7 [3.18, 161.9], P = 0.001), in men (1.46 [1.31, 1.63], P < 0.001), among the middle socioeconomic group (1.19 [1.03, 1.37], P = 0.016), among the lower income levels (1.32 [1.17, 1.49], P < 0.001), in those with myocardial infarction (1.57 [1.16, 2.13], P = 0.003), with heart failure (1.63 [1.44, 1.85], P < 0.001), with ischaemic stroke (3.26 [1.20, 8.85], P = 0.015), with haemorrhagic stroke (2.51 [1.94, 3.25], P = 0.02), with chronic kidney disease (2.51 [1.94, 3.25], P < 0.001), and with malignant neoplasm (2.33 [1.64, 3.31], P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The proportion of AS at age ≥60 years was 80%. For AS, the age-standardized incidence rates were steady, prevalence rates increased, and death rates decreased by year over a decade. The 10 year SR of AS was about 50%. The most common cause of death in AS was disease of the circulatory system. Given the progressively higher incidence of AS with age continued efforts are required to increase awareness regarding AS-related symptoms and potential complications in aged people.

Modeling the Impact of Delaying TAVR for the Treatment of Aortic Stenosis in the Era of COVID-19

Objective

The aim of this study was to model the short term and 2-year overall survival for intermediate- and low-risk patients with severe symptomatic AS undergoing timely or delayed transcatheter aortic valve replacement during the 2019 novel coronavirus pandemic.

Methods

We developed a decision analysis model to evaluate two treatment strategies for both low-risk and intermediate-risk patients with aortic stenosis during the 2019 novel coronavirus pandemic.

Results

Prompt transcatheter aortic valve replacement resulted in improved 2-year overall survival when compared to delayed intervention for intermediate-risk patients (0.81 versus 0.67) and low-risk patients (0.95 vs 0.85), due to the risk of death or the need for urgent/emergent transcatheter aortic valve replacement in the waiting period. However, if the probability of acquiring the 2019 novel coronavirus is greater than 55% (intermediate risk patients) or 47% (low risk patients), delayed transcatheter aortic valve replacement is favorable to prompt intervention (0.66 vs 0.67, intermediate risk; 0.84 vs 0.85, low risk).

Conclusions and Relevance

Prompt transcatheter aortic valve replacement for both intermediate-risk and low-risk patients with symptomatic severe aortic stenosis results in improved 2-year survival when local healthcare system resources are not significantly constrained by the 2019 novel coronavirus.

Preoperative Anemia and Postoperative Mortality in Patients with Aortic Stenosis Treated with Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation (TAVI): A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND Patients with severe aortic stenosis who have comorbidities that prevent general anesthesia and open cardiothoracic surgery are candidates for transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI). However, TAVI can result in patient mortality following the procedure. This systematic review of the literature and meta-analysis aimed to determine the relationship between preoperative anemia and postoperative mortality in patients following TAVI. MATERIAL AND METHODS PubMed, EMBASE, the Cochrane Library, and the Web of Science were systematically searched from their inception to February 2019 for relevant published studies that included patients with bicuspid aortic valve stenosis and tricuspid aortic valve stenosis who underwent TAVI and who had preoperative data on hemoglobin levels. The pooled odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) were calculated using a random-effects generic inverse variance method. RESULTS Six published studies that involved 6,406 patients with aortic stenosis were included in the meta-analysis. There was no significant difference observed for the final pooled result for patients with and without anemia for the short-term 30-day postoperative mortality (OR, 1.34; 95% CI, 0.77-2.35). However, long-term mortality rates were significantly worse in patients with preoperative anemia compared with those without anemia (OR, 1.77; 95% CI, 1.34-2.35). CONCLUSIONS Systematic review of the literature and meta-analysis showed that pre-procedural anemia reduced long-term mortality following TAVI. This finding supports the need to correct preoperative anemia in patients with aortic stenosis to improve patient outcome following TAVI.