Association between Variability of Metabolic Risk Factors and Cardiometabolic Outcomes

Association between weight loss and cardiovascular outcomes and mortality in Korea: A nationwide cohort study

AIMS

While the benefit of weight loss in reducing the incidence of cardiovascular disease (CVD) is recognized, its association with CVD mortality remains controversial. This study investigates the association between weight loss and the incidence of CVD outcomes.

METHODS

This was a 7.2-year retrospective cohort study of 1,020,533 adults aged 40-80 years who underwent at least two general health checkups within a 2-year interval in Korea. Weight was measured by trained examiners at certified hospitals. We used Cox proportional hazards models to examine the association between weight loss and the incidence of CVD outcomes.

RESULTS

Weight loss of more than 3 % was associated with an increased risk of combined CVD events (hazard ratio [HR] for moderate weight loss: 1.24, 95 % confidence interval [CI]: 1.21-1.28; HR for severe weight loss: 1.45, 95 % CI: 1.33-1.57). Weight loss was significantly associated with an increased risk of both nonfatal CVD events and CVD mortality, but regular exercise mitigated the adverse effects on CVD mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Weight loss of more than 3% is associated with an increased risk of a combined CVD events, consistent across most risk factors. However, regular exercise may reduce the adverse effects on CVD mortality, suggesting a potential protective role of physical activity.

Association between visit-to-visit lipid variability and risk of ischemic heart disease: a cohort study in China

AIMS

To explore the associations between visit-to-visit lipid variability and risk of ischemic heart disease (IHD) in a population-based cohort in China.

METHODS

We evaluated lipid variability in 30,217 individuals from the Yinzhou Health Information System who had ≥3 recorded lipid measurements during 2010-2014. We used various indicators including standard deviation (SD), coefficient of variation (CV), variability independent of the mean (VIM), and average real variability (ARV) to quantify the variability in triglycerides, total cholesterol (TC), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C). We used Cox proportional hazards models to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

RESULTS

Overall, a total of 1305 participants with IHD were identified during the follow-up of 194,421 person-years. Subjects in Q4 had a 21% elevated risk of IHD (HR = 1.21, 95% CI: 1.03-1.41) for LDL-C variability (CV) compared with the reference (Q1). The HRs for Q4 vs Q1 were 1.21 (95% CI: 1.04-1.42) for HDL-C variability, and 1.28 (95% CI: 1.10-1.50) for TC variability. However, no association was observed between triglycerides variability and risk of IHD.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher variability in LDL-C, HDL-C, and TC levels was associated with an elevated risk of IHD, suggesting that lipid variability could be considered as an independent risk factor of IHD.

Association between lipid variability and the risk of mortality in cancer patients not receiving lipid-lowering agents

Aim

We investigated the association between total cholesterol (TC), low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol, and triglyceride (TG) variability and cancer patient mortality risk.

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed 42,539 cancer patients who were not receiving lipid-lowering agents and who had at least three TC measurements within 2 years of their initial cancer diagnosis. Using a multivariable Cox regression model, the risk of mortality was evaluated.

Results

In multivariable analysis, Q2 (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]: 1.32, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.24-1.41), Q3 (aHR: 1.66, 95% CI: 1.56-1.76), and Q4 (aHR: 1.96, 95% CI: 1.84-2.08) of coefficient of variation (CV) in TC were significantly associated with mortality risk compared to Q1, showing a linear association between higher TC variability and mortality (P for trend<0.001). Q2 (aHR: 1.34, 95% CI: 1.06-1.77), Q3 (aHR: 1.40, 95% CI: 1.06-1.85), and Q4 (aHR: 1.50, 95% CI: 1.14-1.97) were all significantly associated with a higher risk of death compared to Q1 in multivariable Cox regression for the association between CV in LDL and all-cause mortality (P for trend=0.005).

Conclusion

In cancer patients who do not receive lipid-lowering agents, high variability in total cholesterol and LDL cholesterol levels was found to pose significant role in mortality risk.

Association of body weight change with all-cause and cause-specific mortality: A nationwide population-based study

AIMS

Weight gain and loss increase the risk of all-cause mortality. This study explored the association of short-term weight change with all-cause and cause-specific mortality in middle-aged to older people.

METHODS

This was a 8.4-year retrospective cohort study of 645,260 adults aged 40 to 80 who underwent health checkups twice within a 2-year interval between January 2009 and December 2012. Cox analyses were used to analyze the association between short-term weight change and all-cause and cause-specific mortality.

RESULTS

Weight gain and loss were associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality: the hazard ratios were 2.05 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.93-2.16), 1.21 (95% CI, 1.16-1.25), 1.12 (95% CI 1.08-1.17), and 1.60 (95% CI, 1.49-1.70) for the severe weight loss, moderate weight loss, moderate weight gain, and severe weight gain groups, respectively. This U-shaped association was also seen between weight change and cause-specific mortality. Within the weight loss group, those who regained weight after two years had a reduced mortality risk.

CONCLUSIONS

In a middle-aged and elderly population, weight gain or loss of more than 3% during a 2-year interval was related to an elevated risk of all-cause and cause-specific mortality.

Dose-response relationship between physical activity and cardiometabolic risk in obese children and adolescents: A pre-post quasi-experimental study

Objective: This study aims to explore the dose-response relationship between the daily duration of moderate to vigorous physical activity and the improvement of cardiometabolic risk indicators in obese children and adolescents. Methods: Seventy-seven obese children and adolescents aged 10-17 years were randomly recruited for a 4-week exercise intervention in a closed camp during 2019-2021, physical activity was monitored by ActiGraph GT3X + to obtain daily MVPA duration, and the improvement of CMR indicators were reflected by the changes (Δ) of waist circumference, systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, total cholesterol, triglyceride , high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, fasting insulin, fasting plasma glucose, and homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance before and after the intervention, calculated as ''Δ+indicator" = values after intervention-values before intervention. The groups were divided into different doses of Q1∼Q3 according to the daily MVPA duration from low to high. The differences in the improvement of different dose groups were compared by one-way analysis of covariance, and the dose-response relationship between MVPA duration and CMR indicators improvement was analyzed by linear regression and piecewise regression. The nonlinear relationship was analyzed by restricted cubic spline. Results: 1) Compared with indicators before the intervention, WC, SBP, DBP, TC, TG, HDL-C, LDL-C, FINS, and HOMA-IR were significantly lower after the intervention (p-value < 0.05). 2) The dose-response relationship between MVPA and LDL-C improvement was non-linear (P-Nonlinear < 0.05). When MVPA >77.1min/day, ΔLDL-C further decreased with the increase of MVPA duration [β = -0.009, 95% confidence interval (CI): -0.013, -0.005], and when MVPA ≤77.1min/day, increasing the MVPA duration did not increase the improvement of ΔLDL-C. Conclusion: There was a nonlinear dose-response relationship between the daily MVPA duration and LDL-C improvement in obese children and adolescents. In order to obtain more significant improvement in LDL-C through increased MVPA duration, MVPA duration should be higher than 77.1 min/day.

Long-term variability in physiological measures in relation to mortality and epigenetic aging: prospective studies in the USA and China

BACKGROUND

Visit-to-visit body weight variability (BWV), pulse rate variability (PRV), and blood pressure variability (BPV) have been respectively linked to multiple health outcomes. The associations of the combination of long-term variability in physiological measures with mortality and epigenetic age acceleration (EAA) remain largely unknown.

METHODS

We constructed a composite score of physiological variability (0-3) of large variability in BWV, PRV, and BPV (the top tertiles) in 2006/2008-2014/2016 in the Health and Retirement Study (HRS) and 2011-2015 in the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). All-cause mortality was documented through 2018. EAA was calculated using thirteen DNA methylation-based epigenetic clocks among 1047 participants in a substudy of the HRS. We assessed the relation of the composite score to the risk of mortality among 6566 participants in the HRS and 6906 participants in the CHARLS by Cox proportional models and then investigated its association with EAA using linear regression models.

RESULTS

A higher score of variability was associated with higher mortality risk in both cohorts (pooled hazard ratio [HR] per one-point increment, 1.27; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.18, 1.39; P-heterogeneity = 0.344), after adjustment for multiple confounders and baseline physiological measures. Specifically, each SD increment in BWV, PRV, and BPV was related to 21% (95% CI: 15%, 28%), 6% (0%, 13%), and 12% (4%, 19%) higher hazard of mortality, respectively. The composite score was significantly related to EAA in second-generation clocks trained on health outcomes (e.g., standardized coefficient = 0.126 in the Levine clock, 95% CI: 0.055, 0.196) but not in most first-generation clocks trained on chronological age.

CONCLUSIONS

Larger variability in physiological measures was associated with a higher risk of mortality and faster EAA.