A Predictive Model for Estimation Risk of Proliferative Lupus Nephritis

Clinicopathological characteristics and outcomes of lupus nephritis patients with scanty immune depositions in kidney biopsies

BACKGROUND

The clinicopathological features, outcomes, and pathogenesis of lupus nephritis with scanty immune deposits in the kidney biopsy remain unclear.

METHODS

Four hundred ninety-eight biopsy-proven lupus nephritis patients were included, and clinical and pathological data were collected. The primary endpoint was mortality, while the secondary endpoint was doubling baseline serum creatinine or end-stage renal disease. Associations between scanty immune deposits lupus nephritis and adverse outcomes were analyzed by Cox regression models.

RESULTS

Among 498 lupus nephritis patients, 81 were diagnosed with scanty immune deposits. Patients with scanty immune deposits had significantly higher serum albumin and serum complement C4 than those with immune complex deposits. The proportion of anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibodies was similar between the two groups. In addition, patients with scanty immune deposits showed less proliferative features at kidney biopsy and lower activity index score, accompanied by milder mesangial cell and matrix hyperplasia, endothelial cell hyperplasia, nuclear fragmentation, and glomerular leukocyte infiltration. Patients in this group also had a milder degree of foot process fusion. Overall, renal survival and patient survival showed no significant difference between the two groups. 24-h proteinuria and chronicity index were significant risk factors for renal survival, and 24-h proteinuria and positive anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibodies were risk factors for patient survival in scanty immune deposits lupus nephritis patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with other lupus nephritis patients, scanty immune deposits lupus nephritis patients had significantly lower activity features on kidney biopsy, but have similar outcomes. Positive anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibodies may be a risk factor for patient survival in scanty immune deposits lupus nephritis patients.

Development and validation of a prognostic nomogram for the renal relapse of lupus nephritis

OBJECTIVES

This study aims to assess the risk of relapse after complete remission (CR) and partial remission (PR), and to develop a prognostic nomogram predicting the probability in lupus nephritis (LN) patients.

METHODS

Data from patients with LN who had been in remission were collected as a training cohort. The prognostic factors were analyzed using the univariable and multivariable Cox model for the training group. A nomogram was then developed using significant predictors in multivariable analysis. Both discrimination and calibration were assessed by bootstrapping with 100 resamples.

RESULTS

A total of 247 participants were enrolled, including 108 in the relapse group and 139 in the no relapse group. In multivariate Cox analysis, Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Disease Activity Index (SLEDAI), erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), complement 1q (C1q), and antiphospholipid (aPL), anti-Sm antibody were found to be significant for predicting relapse rates. The prognostic nomogram including the aforementioned factors effectively predicted 1- and 3-year probability of flare-free. Moreover, a favorable consistency between the predicted and actual survival probabilities was demonstrated using calibration curves.

CONCLUSIONS

High SLEDAI, ESR, and positive aPL, anti-Sm antibody are potential risk factors for LN flare, while high C1q can reduce its recurrence. The visualized model we established can help predict the relapse risk of LN and aid clinical decision-making for individual patients.

Anti-C1q antibodies in lupus nephritis children with glomerular microthrombosis

AIM

Glomerular microthrombosis (GMT) was a common vascular lesion in patients with lupus nephritis (LN). The objective of this study was to investigate the relationship between serum anti-beta2-glycoprotein I antibodies (a-β2GP1) and anti-complement 1q antibodies (a-C1q) antibodies and to investigate the possible mechanism of GMT in children with LN.

METHODS

The subjects were 191 children with LN diagnosed by renal biopsy in our hospital from January 2017 to January 2020. The patients were divided into GMT group and non-GMT group. The clinical manifestations, laboratory tests, renal pathology, prognosis of the two groups and the relationship between a-β2GP1 and a-C1q antibodies were observed.

RESULTS

In 191 children with LN, 52 cases (27.23%) presented with GMT. The value of C3, haemoglobin (Hb), estimate glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and anticardiolipin antibody (ACA) in GMT group were lower than that of non-GMT group (p < .05, p < .01). The value of serum creatinine (Scr), 24 h proteinuria (PRO), urine red blood cells (RBC), N-acetyl-β-d-glucosidase (NAG) and retinol-binding protein (RBP), a-C1q, a-β2GP1, Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Disease Activity Index (SLEDAI) and renal histopathological activity index (AI) score in GMT group were higher than that of non-GMT group (p < .05, p < .01). The positive proportions of serum a-C1q and a-β2GP1 in GMT group were higher than those in non-GMT group (p < .05). According to Spearman correlation analysis, a-C1q was positively correlated with AI score, SLEDAI, a-β2GP1, GMT, LN-III and LN-IV. Hb, eGFR and a-C1q Ab were associated with the formation of GMT in children with LN. The complete proteinuria remission and renal survival in GMT group were significantly lower than those in non-GMT group (p < .05, p < .01).

CONCLUSION

LN children with GMT had more severe clinical manifestations and renal pathologic damages, and poor outcome. Serum a-C1q level was positively correlated with a-β2GP1, and a-β2GP1 may be involved in the formation of GMT in children with LN, which might involve in the activation of complement classical pathway.

Analysis of risk factors and development of a nomogram prediction model for lupus nephritis in systemic lupus erythematosus patients

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to explore risk factors for lupus nephritis (LN) in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) patients and establish a Nomogram prediction model based on LASSO-logistic regression.

METHODS

The clinical and laboratory data of SLE patients in Meishan People's Hospital from July 2012 to December 2021 were analyzed retrospectively. All SLE patients were divided into two groups with or without LN. Risk factors were screened based on LASSO-logistic regression analysis, and a Nomogram prediction model was established. The receiver operating characteristic curve, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis were adopted to evaluate the performance of the Nomogram model.

RESULTS

A total of 555 SLE patients were enrolled, including 303 SLE patients with LN and 252 SLE patients without LN. LASSO regression and multivariate logistic regression analyses showed that ESR, mucosal ulcer, proteinuria, and hematuria were independent risk factors for LN in SLE patients. The four clinical features were incorporated into the Nomogram prediction model. Results showed that calibration curve was basically close to the diagonal dotted line with slope 1 (ideal prediction case), which proved that the prediction ability of the model was acceptable. In addition, the decision curve analysis showed that the Nomogram prediction model could bring net clinical benefits to patients when the threshold probability was 0.12-0.54.

CONCLUSION

Four clinical indicators of ESR, mucosal ulcer, proteinuria, and hematuria were independent risk factors for LN in SLE patients. The predictive power of the Nomogram model based on LASSO-logistic regression was acceptable and could be used to guide clinical work.

Revised ISN/RPS 2018 classification of lupus renal pathology predict clinical remission

BACKGROUND

A precise description of renal histological lesions and an appropriate classification of lupus nephritis are both essential for nephrologists to guide treatment and predict prognosis among patients. The prognostic value of ISN/RPS 2003 classification is controversial. A new classification for lupus nephritis was recently proposed, namely, the revised ISN/RPS 2018 classification.

OBJECTIVE

The study aimed to evaluate the predictive value of the clinical and pathological factors according to ISN/RPS 2018 classification on renal remission among patients with proliferative lupus nephritis.

METHODS

A total number of 41 patients with proliferative lupus nephritis on adequate renal biopsy specimen between 2017 and 2018 were included. Clinical and histological variables were tested for their association with renal remission. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis were performed to identify independent predictors of renal remission after 24 weeks of induction therapy.

RESULTS

After induction therapy, 56.1% of patients reached complete and partial remission and 43.9% reached no remission. In univariate analyses, baseline glomerular filtration rate (GFR), presence of anti-DNA titer, cellular crescents, interstitial inflammation, glomerulosclerosis, interstitial fibrosis, tubular atrophy and total chronicity index strongly impacted renal response. After multivariate logistic regression analysis, we identified aging, presence of cellular crescents, and high total renal chronicity index as independent predictors of renal remission. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis revealed that baseline estimated GFR (AUC = 0.708; 95% CI 0.527-0.888), anti-DNA titer (AUC = 0.674; 95% CI 0.491-0.858), cellular crescent (AUC = 0.750; 95% CI 0.585-0.915) and renal chronicity index (AUC = 0.765; 95% CI 0.585-0.915) predicted renal remission. Combining all factors achieved a perfect score predicting renal response (AUC 0.924; 95% CI 0.840-1.000).

CONCLUSION

The study identified baseline GFR, anti-DNA titer, cellular crescent, and high chronicity index according to revised ISN/RPS 2018 classification as important predictors of renal response after induction therapy in proliferative lupus nephritis.

Early diagnosis and treatment for Sjögren's syndrome: current challenges, redefined disease stages and future prospects

There are some challenges and unmet needs in the early diagnosis and management of Sjögren's syndrome (SjS) such as prominent glandular dysfunction at diagnosis and long diagnostic delay. Those challenges are partly attributed to the lack of a good knowledge of the early stages of SjS, which is a major obstacle to delivering appropriate care to SjS patients. Findings from both clinical and experimental studies suggest the plausibility of a redefined SjS course consisting of 4 stages, which includes initiation stage, preclinical stage, asymptomatic SjS stage and overt SjS stage. More studies focusing on the pathological processes and changes during the early stages of SjS are needed. To enable early diagnosis and treatment for SjS, more useful biomarkers of the early stages of SjS need to be identified, and individuals at high risk of SjS development need to be identified. Appropriate screening can be performed to facilitate the early diagnosis of SjS among those high-risk individuals.

Toll-Like Receptor as a Potential Biomarker in Renal Diseases

One of the major challenges faced by modern nephrology is the identification of biomarkers associated with histopathological patterns or defined pathogenic mechanisms that may assist in the non-invasive diagnosis of kidney disease, particularly glomerulopathy. The identification of such molecules may allow prognostic subgroups to be established based on the type of disease, thereby predicting response to treatment or disease relapse. Advances in understanding the pathogenesis of diseases, such as membranous nephropathy, minimal change disease, focal segmental glomerulosclerosis, IgA (immunoglobulin A) nephropathy, and diabetic nephropathy, along with the progressive development and standardization of plasma and urine proteomics techniques, have facilitated the identification of an increasing number of molecules that may be useful for these purposes. The growing number of studies on the role of TLR (toll-like receptor) receptors in the pathogenesis of kidney disease forces contemporary researchers to reflect on these molecules, which may soon join the group of renal biomarkers and become a helpful tool in the diagnosis of glomerulopathy. In this article, we conducted a thorough review of the literature on the role of TLRs in the pathogenesis of glomerulopathy. The role of TLR receptors as potential marker molecules for the development of neoplastic diseases is emphasized more and more often, as prognostic factors in diseases on several epidemiological backgrounds.

Analysis of clinical and laboratory characteristics and pathology of lupus nephritis-based on 710 renal biopsies in China

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to analyse the clinical and laboratory characteristics of different pathologic classifications of lupus nephritis (LN) patients in terms of age at systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) diagnosis and nephritis onset.

METHOD

Clinical, laboratory, and pathological data of 710 LN patients diagnosed by renal biopsy at our institution between 2000 and 2018 were retrospectively analysed. Patients were divided into the different pathological classification groups; childhood-, adult- and elderly-onset SLE groups and early- and late-onset LN groups.

RESULTS

Class IV occurred most frequently and had the lowest complement C3 level. There was an obvious increase in active index in class IV and class V + IV. Patients with class VI showed some clinical characteristics similar to end-stage renal disease. Patients with proliferative nephritis were younger at SLE diagnosis and had higher blood pressure, higher frequency of proteinuria and urinary erythrocyte and lower haemoglobin and complement C3. Pathologic classification between childhood-, adult- and elderly-onset SLE patients or between early- and late-onset LN patients was not significantly different. Elderly-onset SLE patients had the highest chronic index (CI), IgA, IgG and Sjögren's syndrome A antibodies and Sjögren's syndrome B antibodies rates, whereas late-onset LN patients showed significantly higher CI, haemoglobin, complement C3 and C4 but lower uric acid, IgM and IgG.

CONCLUSIONS

LN patients present with different clinical and laboratory characteristics according to pathological classification, age at SLE diagnosis and nephritis onset. These results might be valuable for estimating the pathology and guiding treatment and prognosis. Key Points • Patients with proliferative nephritis have more severe immune disorders, worse renal function and stronger inflammatory state. • The elderly-onset SLE patients showed a poorer condition. • The late-onset LN patients might have a more stable status.

Outcomes after venous thromboembolism in patients with gastric cancer: Analysis of the RIETE Registry

Gastric cancer is the fifth most common malignancy worldwide. Venous thromboembolism is an independent predictor of death among patients with gastric cancer. We aimed to describe the factors associated with mortality, thrombosis recurrence, and bleeding complications in patients with gastric cancer who develop venous thromboembolism. We included 612 patients with gastric cancer and venous thromboembolism in the Registro Informatizado de la Enfermedad TromboEmbólica (RIETE) registry from 2001 to 2018. We used Cox proportional hazard ratios and a Fine-Gray model to define factors associated with outcomes. The overall mortality at 6 months was 44.4%. Factors associated with increased 6-month mortality included immobility (HR 1.8, 95% CI 1.3-2.4; p < 0.001), anemia (HR 1.4, 95% CI 1.1-1.8; p < 0.02), and leukocytosis (HR 1.8, 95% CI 1.4-2.3; p < 0.001). Recurrent thrombosis occurred in 6.5% of patients and major bleeding complications in 8.5% of the cohort. Male sex was the main factor associated with thrombosis recurrence (HR 2.1, 95% CI 1.1-4.0; p < 0.02) and hemoglobin below 10 g/dL (HR 1.6, 95% CI 1.05-2.50; p = 0.03) the main factor associated with bleeding. In conclusion, patients with gastric cancer who develop venous thrombosis have a very high likelihood of death. Low hemoglobin in this population is associated with poor outcomes.

Lupus nephritis: challenges and progress

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

The management of lupus nephritis remains unsatisfactory due to insufficiently effective treatment regimens and the dearth of reliable predictors of disease onset or progression to guide individualized therapeutic decisions. This review summarizes new findings related to lupus nephritis over the last 18 months and discusses clinical needs that should be considered to advance trials of mechanism-based therapeutic strategies.

RECENT FINDINGS

Collaborative teams are addressing how to improve disease definitions and are developing predictive models for disease onset, disease response and risk of flare in individual patients. More attention is being paid to clinical trial design. Advanced technologic approaches are allowing the analysis of small amounts of human tissue and urine in unprecedented detail so as to discover new pathogenic mechanisms and identify disease biomarkers. Novel therapies continue to be tested in disease models and include new strategies to protect renal tissue from cell damage and fibrosis.

SUMMARY

The collaborative efforts of patients, clinical and translational researchers, the pharmaceutical industry and funding sources are needed to advance therapies for lupus nephritis. Specialized clinical centers can then deliver optimal and more personalized patient care that will improve patient outcomes.

Prognosis of Pediatric Patients with Pineoblastoma: A SEER Analysis 1990-2013

BACKGROUND

Pineoblastomas are rare, malignant embryonal tumors that have a relatively higher incidence and a poorer prognosis in children. Owing to the rarity of these tumors, there is a paucity of data on associated prognostic factors. We used the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database to evaluate prognostic factors for pineoblastomas with the aim of improving tumor management.

METHODS

Data from all pediatric patients (age ≤17 years) diagnosed with pineoblastoma between 1990 and 2013 were extracted from the SEER-18 registry database. Survival was described with Kaplan-Meier curves. The Cox proportional hazards model was used for both univariate and multivariate analyses. A nomogram was established for predicting 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival (OS) in patients with pineoblastoma.

RESULTS

Age >5 years (P = 0.004) and radiotherapy treatment (P = 0.000) were associated with better rates of survival. Gross total resection (P = 0.054) also was correlated with better prognosis, whereas tumor size >30 mm in maximum diameter (P = 0.025) was associated with poorer outcome. A nomogram was established based on the results of the Cox model and was validated by a concordance index (C-index) of 0.767 (95% confidence interval, 0.698-0.836) and calibration plots.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results show that the impact of tumor extension is not defined. OS is better in older children treated by radiotherapy, and gross total resection also appears to result in increased survival. A nomogram was built to predict 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS for these patients.