Comparing three clinical prediction rules for primarily predicting the 30-day mortality of patients with pulmonary embolism: The "Simplified Revised Geneva Score," the "Original PESI," and the "Simplified PESI"

The relationship between echocardiographic parameters and albumin bilirubin score in patients with acute pulmonary thromboembolism

PURPOSE

The Albumin-Bilirubin (ALBI) score is useful and easy-to-use for objectively assessing liver function. We investigated whether the ALBI score, a parameter indicating liver stiffness, congestion and fibrosis, has any relationship with echocardiographic parameters in patients with acute pulmonary thromboembolism (PTE).

MATERIAL AND METHODS

A total of 140 patients diagnosed with acute PTE were retrospectively analyzed. These patients were divided into three groups according to the hemodynamic severity of acute PTE: Group I [Low risk]; Group II [Submassive or intermediate-risk]; and Group III [Massive or high-risk]. Biochemical data obtained from venous blood samples taken at admission were analyzed. In addition, data were also analyzed from transthoracic echocardiography and pulmonary computed tomographic angiography performed at admission. ALBI, Bova, and PESI scores were calculated.

RESULTS

ALBI scores (-3.32 ± 0.21 vs -2.86 ± 0.15 vs -2.46 ± 0.2, p < .001) were statistically significantly higher in Group III than Groups I and II. There was a significant difference between the three groups in terms of echocardiographic parameters, and LVEF and TAPSE values tended to decrease from group I to group III. In multivariate linear regression analysis, sPAP, RV/RA diameter, and NT-pro-BNP were found to be significantly associated with the ALBI score. An ALBI score higher than -2.87 was associated with Bova stage II-III in patients with Group I and Group II PTE, with a sensitivity of 87% and a specificity of 62% (AUC = 0.804; 95% CI 0.713-0.895; p < .001).

CONCLUSION

The ALBI score, which is a common, easy-to-use, and inexpensive method, may be beneficial to select intermediate and high-risk patients in patients with acute PTE. Additionally, it may have prognostic value in distinguishing low and intermediate-risk acute PTE patients.

Predictive Value of MPV and Plasma NT-ProBNP Combined with the Simplified Geneva Scale for the Prognosis of Acute Pulmonary Embolism

OBJECTIVE

To explore the predictive value of mean platelet volume (MPV) and plasma N-terminal probrain natriuretic peptide (NT-ProBNP) combined with a simplified Geneva scale for the prognosis of acute pulmonary embolism (APE).

METHODS

The clinical data of 68 patients with APE admitted to our hospital from October 2017 to October 2019 were collected. According to the prognosis, the patients were divided into a good prognosis group (n = 45) and a poor prognosis group (n = 23). The clinical data, laboratory clinical indexes, and simplified Geneva scale scores were recorded for the two groups. The risk factors of poor prognosis were analyzed by binary multivariate logistic regression analysis; the predictive ability of each index on the prognosis of patients with APE was analyzed by the ROC curve.

RESULTS

The incidences of deep vein thrombosis, diabetes, and hyperlipidemia in the poor prognosis group were higher than those in the good prognosis group (P < 0.05). PLT, platelet distribution width (PDW), MPV, and plasma NT-ProBNP in the poor prognosis group were higher than those in the good prognosis group (P < 0.05). The simplified Geneva scale score of the poor prognosis group was higher than that of the good prognosis group (P < 0.05). PDW, MPV, plasma NT-ProBNP, and simplified Geneva scale were all independent risk factors for the poor prognosis of APE patients (P < 0.05). The AUC of MPV in predicting the prognosis of APE patients was 0.818 (95% CI: 0.712-0.925). When the optimal cutoff value was 0.571, the sensitivity was 77.1%, and the specificity was 80.0%. The AUC of plasma NT-ProBNP in predicting the prognosis of APE patients was 0.762 (95% CI: 0.634-0.891). When the optimal cutoff value was 0.475, the sensitivity was 71.5%, and the specificity was 76.0%. The AUC of the simplified Geneva scale in predicting the prognosis of APE patients was 0.749 (95% CI: 0.618-0.879). When the optimal cutoff value was 0.469, the sensitivity was 82.9%, and the specificity was 64.0%. The AUC of MPV and plasma NT-ProBNP combined with the simplified Geneva scale in predicting the prognosis of APE patients was 0.907 (95% CI: 0.826-0.988). When the optimal cutoff value was 0.726, the sensitivity was 88.6%, and the specificity was 84.0%.

CONCLUSION

MPV, plasma NT-ProBNP, and simplified Geneva scale have a certain predictive value for the prognosis of APE. Compared with a single index, the combination of the three indexes has a significant improvement in predicting the prognosis of APE and has better clinical value.

Impact of cardiovascular risk factors on the clinical presentation and survival of pulmonary embolism without identifiable risk factor

BACKGROUND

The nature of pulmonary embolism (PE) without identifiable risk factor (IRF) remains unclear. The objective of this study is to investigate the potential relationship between cardiovascular risk factors (CVRFs) and PE without IRF (unprovoked) and assess their role as markers of disease severity and prognosis.

METHODS

A case-control study was performed of patients with PE admitted to our hospital [2010-2019]. Subjects with PE without IRF were included in the cohort of cases, whereas patients with PE with IRF were allocated to the control group. Variables of interest included age, active smoking, obesity, and diagnosis of arterial hypertension, dyslipidemia or diabetes mellitus.

RESULTS

A total of 1,166 patients were included in the study, of whom 64.2% had PE without IRF. The risk for PE without IRF increased with age [odds ratio (OR): 2.68; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.95-3.68], arterial hypertension (OR: 1.63; 95% CI: 1.27-2.07), and dyslipidemia (OR: 1.63; 95% CI: 1.24-2.15). The risk for PE without IRF was higher as the number of CVRF increased, being 3.99 (95% CI: 2.02-7.90) for subjects with ≥3 CVRF. The percentage of high-risk unprovoked PE increased significantly as the number of CVRF rose [0.6% for no CVRF; 23.8% for a CRF, P<0.001 (OR: 9.92; 95% CI: 2.82-34.9); 37.5% for two CRFs, P<0.001 (OR: 14.8; 95% CI: 4.25-51.85); and 38.1% for ≥3, P<0.001 (OR: 14.1; 95% CI: 4.06-49.4)]. No significant differences were observed in 1-month survival between cases and controls, whereas differences in 24-month survival reached significance.

CONCLUSIONS

A relationship was observed between CVRF and PE without IRF, as the risk for unprovoked PE increased with the number of CVRF. In addition, the number of CVRF was associated with PE without IRF severity, but not with prognosis.

Pulmonary Vessel Obstruction Does Not Correlate with Severity of Pulmonary Embolism

The aim of the present study was to analyze possible relationships between pulmonary vessel obstruction and clinically relevant parameters and scores in patients with pulmonary embolism (PE). Overall, 246 patients (48.8% women and 51.2% men) with a mean age of 64.0 ± 17.1 years were involved in the retrospective study. The following clinical scores were calculated in the patients: Wells score, Geneva score, and pulmonary embolism severity index (PESI) score. Levels of D-dimer (µg/mL), lactate, pH, troponin, and N-terminal natriuretic peptide (BNP, pg/mL) were acquired. Thrombotic obstruction of the pulmonary arteries was quantified according to Mastora score. The data collected were evaluated by means of descriptive statistics. Spearman’s correlation coefficient was used to analyze associations between the investigated parameters. P values < 0.05 were taken to indicate statistical significance. Mastora score correlated weakly with lactate level and tended to correlate with D-dimer and BNP levels. No other clinical or serological parameters correlated significantly with clot burden. Thrombotic obstruction of pulmonary vessels did not correlate with clinical severity of PE.

Validation of the Predictive Model of the European Society of Cardiology for Early Mortality in Acute Pulmonary Embolism

Background  Acute pulmonary embolism (PE) is burdened by high mortality, especially within 30 days from the diagnosis. The development and the validation of predictive models for the risk of early mortality allow to differentiate patients who can undergo home treatment from those who need admission into intensive care units. Methods  To validate the prognostic model for early mortality after PE diagnosis proposed by the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) in 2014, we analyzed data of a cohort of 272 consecutive patients with acute PE, observed in our hospital during a 10-year period. Moreover, we evaluated the additional contribution of D-dimer, measured at PE diagnosis, in improving the prognostic ability of the model. All cases of PE were objectively diagnosed by angiography chest CT scan or perfusion lung scan. Results  The overall mortality rate within 30 days from PE diagnosis was 10% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 6.4-13.5%). According to the ESC prognostic model, the risk of death increased 3.23 times in the intermediate-low-risk category, 5.55 times in the intermediate-high-risk category, and 23.78 times in the high-risk category, as compared with the low-risk category. The receiver operating characteristic analysis showed a good discriminatory power of the model (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.77 [95% CI: 0.67-0.87]), which further increased when D-dimer was added (AUC = 0.85 [95% CI: 0.73-0.96]). Conclusion  This study represents a good validation of the ESC predictive model whose performance can be further improved by adding D-dimer plasma levels measured at PE diagnosis.