Effectiveness of seasonal influenza vaccine against clinically diagnosed influenza over 2 consecutive seasons in children in Guangzhou, China: a matched case-control study

Monitoring seasonal influenza epidemics by using internet search data with an ensemble penalized regression model

Seasonal influenza epidemics cause serious public health problems in China. Search queries-based surveillance was recently proposed to complement traditional monitoring approaches of influenza epidemics. However, developing robust techniques of search query selection and enhancing predictability for influenza epidemics remains a challenge. This study aimed to develop a novel ensemble framework to improve penalized regression models for detecting influenza epidemics by using Baidu search engine query data from China. The ensemble framework applied a combination of bootstrap aggregating (bagging) and rank aggregation method to optimize penalized regression models. Different algorithms including lasso, ridge, elastic net and the algorithms in the proposed ensemble framework were compared by using Baidu search engine queries. Most of the selected search terms captured the peaks and troughs of the time series curves of influenza cases. The predictability of the conventional penalized regression models were improved by the proposed ensemble framework. The elastic net regression model outperformed the compared models, with the minimum prediction errors. We established a Baidu search engine queries-based surveillance model for monitoring influenza epidemics, and the proposed model provides a useful tool to support the public health response to influenza and other infectious diseases.

Clinical characteristics and factors associated with severe acute respiratory infection and influenza among children in Jingzhou, China

BACKGROUND

Influenza is an important cause of respiratory illness in children, but data are limited on hospitalized children with laboratory-confirmed influenza in China.

METHODS

We conducted active surveillance for severe acute respiratory infection (SARI; fever and at least one sign or symptom of acute respiratory illness) among hospitalized pediatric patients in Jingzhou, Hubei Province, from April 2010 to April 2012. Data were collected from enrolled SARI patients on demographics, underlying health conditions, clinical course of illness, and outcomes. Nasal swabs were collected and tested for influenza viruses by reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction. We described the clinical and epidemiological characteristics of children with influenza and analyzed the association between potential risk factors and SARI patients with influenza.

RESULTS

During the study period, 15 354 children aged <15 years with signs and symptoms of SARI were enrolled at hospital admission. severe acute respiratory infection patients aged 5-15 years with confirmed influenza (H3N2) infection were more likely than children without influenza to have radiographic diagnosis of pneumonia (11/31, 36% vs 15/105, 14%. P<.05). Only 16% (1116/7145) of enrolled patients had received seasonal trivalent influenza vaccination within 12 months of hospital admission. Non-vaccinated influenza cases were more likely than vaccinated influenza cases to have pneumonia (31/133, 23% vs 37/256, 15%, P<.05). severe acute respiratory infection cases aged 5-15 years diagnosed with influenza were also more likely to have a household member who smoked cigarettes compared with SARI cases without a smoking household member (54/208, 26% vs 158/960, 16%, P<.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Influenza A (H3N2) virus infection was an important contributor to pneumonia requiring hospitalization. Our results highlight the importance of surveillance in identifying factors for influenza hospitalization, monitoring adherence to influenza prevention and treatment strategies, and evaluating the disease burden among hospitalized pediatric SARI patients. Influenza vaccination promotion should target children.

Seasonal influenza vaccine policy, use and effectiveness in the tropics and subtropics - a systematic literature review

AIM

The evidence needed for tropical countries to take informed decisions on influenza vaccination is scarce. This article reviews policy, availability, use and effectiveness of seasonal influenza vaccine in tropical and subtropical countries.

METHOD

Global health databases were searched in three thematic areas - policy, availability and protective benefits in the context of human seasonal influenza vaccine in the tropics and subtropics. We excluded studies on monovalent pandemic influenza vaccine, vaccine safety, immunogenicity and uptake, and disease burden.

RESULTS

Seventy-four countries in the tropics and subtropics representing 60% of the world's population did not have a national vaccination policy against seasonal influenza. Thirty-eight countries used the Northern Hemisphere and 21 countries the Southern Hemisphere formulation. Forty-six countries targeted children and 57 targeted the elderly; though, the age cut-offs varied. Influenza vaccine supply increased twofold in recent years. However, coverage remained lower than five per 1000 population. Vaccine protection against laboratory-confirmed influenza in the tropics ranged from 0% to 42% in the elderly, 20-77% in children and 50-59% in healthy adults. Vaccinating pregnant women against seasonal influenza prevented laboratory-confirmed influenza in both mothers (50%) and their infants <6 months (49-63%).

CONCLUSION

Guidelines on vaccine composition, priority risk groups and vaccine availability varied widely. The evidence on vaccine protection was scarce. Countries in the tropics and subtropics need to strengthen and expand their evidence-base required for making informed decisions on influenza vaccine introduction and expansion, and how much benefit to expect.

Seasonal influenza vaccine effectiveness against medically attended influenza illness among children aged 6-59 months, October 2011-September 2012: A matched test-negative case-control study in Suzhou, China

BACKGROUND

Seasonal influenza infections among young children in China lead to substantial numbers of hospitalizations and financial burden. This study assessed the seasonal influenza vaccine effectiveness (VE) against laboratory confirmed medically attended influenza illness among children in Suzhou, China, from October 2011-September 2012.

METHODS

We conducted a test-negative case-control study among children aged 6-59 months who sought care at Soochow University Affiliated Children's Hospital (SCH) from October 2011-September 2012. A case was defined as a child with influenza-like illness (ILI) or severe acute respiratory infection (SARI) with an influenza-positive nasopharyngeal swab by rRT-PCR. Controls were selected from children presenting with ILI or SARI without laboratory confirmed influenza. We conducted 1:1 matching by age and admission date. Vaccination status was verified from the citywide immunization system database. VE was calculated with conditional logistic regression: (1-OR)×100%.

RESULT

During the study period, 2634 children aged 6-59 months presented to SCH with ILI (1975) or SARI (659) and were tested for influenza. The vaccination records were available for 69% (1829; ILI: 1354, SARI: 475). Among those, 23% (427) tested positive for influenza, and were included as cases. Among influenza positive cases, the vaccination rates were 3.2% for SARI and 4.5% for ILI. Among controls, the vaccination rates were 13% for SARI, and 11% for ILI. The overall VE against lab-confirmed medically attended influenza virus infection was 67% (95% CI: 41-82). The VE for SARI was 75% (95% CI: 11-93) and for ILI was 64% (95% CI: 31-82).

CONCLUSIONS

The seasonal influenza vaccine was effective against medically attended lab-confirmed influenza infection in children aged 6-59 months in Suzhou, China in the 2011-12 influenza season. Increasing seasonal influenza vaccination among young children in Suzhou may decrease medically attended influenza-associated ILI and SARI cases in this population.

Concurrent and cross-season protection of inactivated influenza vaccine against A(H1N1)pdm09 illness among young children: 2012-2013 case-control evaluation of influenza vaccine effectiveness

In 2012-2013, we examined 1729 laboratory-confirmed A(H1N1)pdm09 influenza cases matched 1:1 with healthy controls and estimated influenza vaccine effectiveness (VE) for trivalent inactivated influenza vaccine (IIV3) to be 67% (95% confidence interval=58-74%) for ages 8 months to 6 years old. Among children aged 8-35 months old, VE for fully vaccinated children (73%, 60-81%) was significantly higher than VE for partially vaccinated children (55%, 33-70%). Significant cross-season protection from prior IIV3 was noted, including VE of 31% (8-48%) from IIV3 received in 2010-2011 against influenza illness in 2012--2013 without subsequent boosting doses.

Influenza vaccine effectiveness against medically-attended influenza illness during the 2012-2013 season in Beijing, China

BACKGROUND

Influenza vaccine coverage remains low in China, and there is limited information on the preventive value of local vaccination programs.

METHODS

As part of influenza virological surveillance in Beijing, China during the 2012-2013 influenza season, we assessed the vaccine effectiveness (VE) of one or more doses of trivalent inactivated influenza vaccine (IIV3) in preventing medically-attended influenza-like-illness (ILI) associated with laboratory-confirmed influenza virus infection using a test-negative case-control design. Influenza vaccination was determined based on self-report by adult patients or the parents of child patients.

RESULTS

Of 1998 patients with ILI, 695 (35%) tested positive for influenza viruses, including 292 (42%) A(H3N2), 398 (57%) A(H1N1)pdm09, and 5 (1%) not (sub)typed influenza viruses. The rate of influenza vaccination among all patients was 4% (71/1998). Among influenza positive patients, 2% (57/1303) were vaccinated compared to 4% (14/695) among influenza negative patients, resulting in VE for one or more doses of vaccine (adjusted for age, sex, week, and days since illness onset) against all circulating influenza viruses of 52% (95% CI=12-74%). A significant adjusted VE for one or more doses of vaccine for all ages against A(H1N1)pdm09 of 59% (95% CI, 8-82%) was observed; however, the VE against A(H3N2) was 43% (95% CI, -30% to 75%). The point estimate of VE was 59% (95% CI, 19-79%) for those aged <60 years, but a negative VE point estimate without statistical significance was observed among those aged ≥60 years.

CONCLUSIONS

IIV3 conferred moderate protection against medically-attended influenza in Beijing, China during the 2012-2013 season, especially against the A(H1N1)pdm09 strain and among those aged <60 years old.

Effectiveness of 2012-2013 influenza vaccine against influenza-like illness in general population: estimation in a French web-based cohort

Most of the methods used for estimating the influenza vaccine effectiveness (IVE) target the individuals who have an influenza-like illness (ILI) rather than virologically-proven influenza and access the healthcare system. The objective of this study was to estimate the 2012-2013 IVE in general French population, using a cohort of volunteers registered on GrippeNet.fr, an online surveillance system for ILI. The IVE estimations were obtained through a logistic regression, and analyses were also performed by focusing on at-risk population of severe influenza, and by varying inclusion period and ILI definition. Overall, 1996 individuals were included in the analyses. The corrected IVE was estimated to 49% (20 to 67) for the overall population, and 32% (0 to 58) for the at-risk population. Three covariables appeared with a significant effect on the occurrence of at least one ILI during the epidemic: the age (P = 0.045), the presence of a child in the household (P<10(-3)), and the frequency of cold/flu (P<10(-3)). Comparable results were found at epidemic peak time in the hypothesis of real-time feed of data. In this study, we proposed a novel, follow-up, web-based method to reveal seasonal vaccine effectiveness, which enables analysis in a portion of the population that is not tracked by the health care system in most VE studies.

Effectiveness of one dose of mumps vaccine against clinically diagnosed mumps in Guangzhou, China, 2006-2012

Although mumps-containing vaccines were introduced in China in 1990s, mumps continues to be a public health concern due to the lack of decline in reported mumps cases. To assess the mumps vaccine effectiveness (VE) in Guangzhou, China, we performed a 1:1 matched case-control study. Among children in Guangzhou aged 8 mo to 12 y during 2006 to 2012, we matched one healthy child to each child with clinically diagnosed mumps. Cases with clinically diagnosed mumps were identified from surveillance sites system and healthy controls were randomly sampled from the Children's Expanded Programmed Immunization Administrative Computerized System in Guangzhou. Conditional logistic regression was used to calculate VE. We analyzed the vaccination information for 1983 mumps case subjects and 1983 matched controls and found that the overall VE for 1 dose of mumps vaccine, irrespective of the manufacture, was 53.6% (95% confidence interval [CI], 41.0-63.5%) to children aged 8 mo to 12 y. This post-marketing mumps VE study found that immunization with one dose of the mumps vaccine confers partial protection against mumps disease. Evaluation of the VE for the current mumps vaccines, introduction of a second dose of mumps vaccine, and assessment of modifications to childhood immunization schedules is essential.