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Wang J, Pouwels X, Ramaekers B, Frederix G, van Lieshout C, Hoogenveen R, Li X, de Wit GA, Joore M, Koffijberg H, van Giessen A, Knies S, Feenstra T. A Blueprint for Multi-use Disease Modeling in Health Economics: Results from Two Expert-Panel Consultations. PHARMACOECONOMICS 2024; 42:797-810. [PMID: 38613660 PMCID: PMC11180025 DOI: 10.1007/s40273-024-01376-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 03/19/2024] [Indexed: 04/15/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The current use of health economic decision models in HTA is mostly confined to single use cases, which may be inefficient and result in little consistency over different treatment comparisons, and consequently inconsistent health policy decisions, for the same disorder. Multi-use disease models (MUDMs) (other terms: generic models, whole disease models, disease models) may offer a solution. However, much is uncertain about their definition and application. The current research aimed to develop a blueprint for the application of MUDMs. METHODS We elicited expert opinion using a two-round modified Delphi process. The panel consisted of experts and stakeholders in health economic modelling from various professional backgrounds. The first questionnaire concerned definition, terminology, potential applications, issues and recommendations for MUDMs and was based on an exploratory scoping review. In the second round, the panel members were asked to reconsider their input, based on feedback regarding first-round results, and to score issues and recommendations for priority. Finally, adding input from external advisors and policy makers in a structured way, an overview of issues and challenges was developed during two team consensus meetings. RESULTS In total, 54 respondents contributed to the panel results. The term 'multi-use disease models' was proposed and agreed upon, and a definition was provided. The panel prioritized 10 potential applications (with comparing alternative policies and supporting resource allocation decisions as the top 2), while 20 issues (with model transparency and stakeholders' roles as the top 2) were identified as challenges. Opinions on potential features concerning operationalization of multi-use models were given, with 11 of these subsequently receiving high priority scores (regular updates and revalidation after updates were the top 2). CONCLUSIONS MUDMs would improve on current decision support regarding cost-effectiveness information. Given feasibility challenges, this would be most relevant for diseases with multiple treatments, large burden of disease and requiring more complex models. The current overview offers policy makers a starting point to organize the development, use, and maintenance of MUDMs and to support choices concerning which diseases and policy decisions they will be helpful for.
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Affiliation(s)
- Junfeng Wang
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Economics, Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands
- Division of Pharmacoepidemiology and Clinical Pharmacology, Utrecht Institute for Pharmaceutical Sciences, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands
| | - Xavier Pouwels
- Department of Health Technology and Services Research, Faculty of Behavioural, Management, and Social Sciences, TechMed Centre, University of Twente, Enschede, The Netherlands
| | - Bram Ramaekers
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Medical Technology Assessment, Maastricht University Medical Center+, CAPHRI Care and Public Health Research Institute, Maastricht, The Netherlands
| | - Geert Frederix
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Economics, Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands
| | - Chris van Lieshout
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Economics, Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands
| | - Rudolf Hoogenveen
- Department of Statistics, Modelling and Data Science, Center of Research and Data services, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, The Netherlands
| | - Xinyu Li
- University of Groningen, Faculty of Science and Engineering, Groningen Research Institute of Pharmacy, Groningen, The Netherlands
| | - G Ardine de Wit
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Economics, Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands
- Centre for Public Health, Healthcare and Society, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, The Netherlands
- Department of Health Sciences, Faculty of Beta Sciences, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam & Amsterdam Public Health Institute, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Manuela Joore
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Medical Technology Assessment, Maastricht University Medical Center+, CAPHRI Care and Public Health Research Institute, Maastricht, The Netherlands
| | - Hendrik Koffijberg
- Department of Health Technology and Services Research, Faculty of Behavioural, Management, and Social Sciences, TechMed Centre, University of Twente, Enschede, The Netherlands
| | - Anoukh van Giessen
- Department of Statistics, Modelling and Data Science, Center of Research and Data services, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, The Netherlands
| | - Saskia Knies
- National Health Care Institute, Diemen, The Netherlands
| | - Talitha Feenstra
- University of Groningen, Faculty of Science and Engineering, Groningen Research Institute of Pharmacy, Groningen, The Netherlands.
- Centre for Public Health, Healthcare and Society, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, The Netherlands.
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Doggen K, van Hoek AJ, Luyten J. Accounting for Adverse Events Following Immunization in Economic Evaluation: Systematic Review of Economic Evaluations of Pediatric Vaccines Against Pneumococcus, Rotavirus, Human Papillomavirus, Meningococcus and Measles-Mumps-Rubella-Varicella. PHARMACOECONOMICS 2023; 41:481-497. [PMID: 36809673 DOI: 10.1007/s40273-023-01252-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 02/09/2023] [Indexed: 05/10/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Economic evaluations of vaccines should accurately represent all relevant economic and health consequences of vaccination, including losses due to adverse events following immunization (AEFI). We investigated to what extent economic evaluations of pediatric vaccines account for AEFI, which methods are used to do so and whether inclusion of AEFI is associated with study characteristics and the vaccine's safety profile. METHODS A systematic literature search (MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane Systematic Reviews and Trials, Database of the Centre for Reviews and Dissemination of the University of York, EconPapers, Paediatric Economic Database Evaluation, Tufts New England Cost-Effectiveness Analysis Registry, Tufts New England Global Health CEA, International Network of Agencies for Health Technology Assessment Database) was performed for economic evaluations published between 2014 and 29 April 2021 (date of search) pertaining to the five groups of pediatric vaccines licensed in Europe and the United States since 1998: the human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccines, the meningococcal vaccines (MCV), the measles-mumps-rubella-varicella (MMRV) combination vaccines, the pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCV) and the rotavirus vaccines (RV). Rates of accounting for AEFI were calculated, stratified by study characteristics (e.g., region, publication year, journal impact factor, level of industry involvement) and triangulated with the vaccine's safety profile (Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices [ACIP] recommendations and information on safety-related product label changes). The studies accounting for AEFI were analyzed in terms of the methods used to account for both cost and effect implications of AEFI. RESULTS We identified 112 economic evaluations, of which 28 (25%) accounted for AEFI. This proportion was significantly higher for MMRV (80%, four out of five evaluations), MCV (61%, 11 out of 18 evaluations) and RV (60%, nine out of 15 evaluations) compared to HPV (6%, three out of 53 evaluations) and PCV (5%, one out of 21 evaluations). No other study characteristics were associated with a study's likelihood of accounting for AEFI. Vaccines for which AEFI were more frequently accounted for also had a higher frequency of label changes and a higher level of attention to AEFI in ACIP recommendations. Nine studies accounted for both the cost and health implications of AEFI, 18 studies considered only costs and one only health outcomes. While the cost impact was usually estimated based on routine billing data, the adverse health impact of AEFI was usually estimated based on assumptions. DISCUSSION Although (mild) AEFI were demonstrated for all five studied vaccines, only a quarter of reviewed studies accounted for these, mostly in an incomplete and inaccurate manner. We provide guidance on which methods to use to better quantify the impact of AEFI on both costs and health outcomes. Policymakers should be aware that the impact of AEFI on cost-effectiveness is likely to be underestimated in the majority of economic evaluations.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kris Doggen
- Faculty of Medicine, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
- Belgian Intermutualistic Agency, Brussels, Belgium
| | - Albert Jan van Hoek
- Centre for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven, The Netherlands
| | - Jeroen Luyten
- Leuven Institute for Healthcare Policy, Department of Public Health and Primary Care, Faculty of Medicine, KU Leuven, Kapucijnenvoer 35, 3000, Leuven, Belgium.
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Syeed MS, Ghule P, Le LM, Veettil SK, Horn EK, Perdrizet J, Wasserman M, Thakkinstian A, Chaiyakunapruk N. Pneumococcal Vaccination in Children: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Cost-Effectiveness Studies. VALUE IN HEALTH : THE JOURNAL OF THE INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY FOR PHARMACOECONOMICS AND OUTCOMES RESEARCH 2023; 26:598-611. [PMID: 36328324 DOI: 10.1016/j.jval.2022.10.006] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/04/2022] [Revised: 09/15/2022] [Accepted: 10/05/2022] [Indexed: 05/06/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) have significantly reduced disease burden caused by Streptococcus pneumoniae, a leading cause of childhood morbidity and mortality globally. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to assess the incremental net benefit (INB) of the 13-valent PCV (PCV13) and 10-valent PCV (PCV10) in children. METHODS We performed a comprehensive search in several databases published before May 2022. Studies were included if they were cost-effectiveness or cost-utility analyses of PCV13 or PCV10 compared with no vaccination or with each other in children. Various monetary units were converted to purchasing power parity, adjusted to 2021 US dollars. The INBs were calculated and then pooled across studies stratified by country income level, perspective, and consideration of herd effects, using a random-effect model. RESULTS Seventy studies were included. When herd effects were considered, PCV13 was cost-effective compared with PCV10 from the payer perspective in both high-income countries (HICs) (INB, $103.94; 95% confidence interval, $75.28-$132.60) and low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) (INB, $53.49; 95% confidence interval, $30.42-$76.55) with statistical significance. These findings were robust across a series of sensitivity analyses. PCV13 was cost-effective compared with no vaccination across perspectives and consideration of herd effects in both HICs and LMICs, whereas findings were less consistent for PCV10. CONCLUSION PCVs were generally cost-effective compared with no vaccination in HICs and LMICs. Our study found that PCV13 was cost-effective compared with PCV10 when herd effects were considered from the payer perspective in both HICs and LMICs. The results are sensitive to the consideration of herd effects.
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Affiliation(s)
- M Sakil Syeed
- University of Utah College of Pharmacy, Salt Lake City, UT, USA
| | - Priyanka Ghule
- University of Utah College of Pharmacy, Salt Lake City, UT, USA
| | - Lan M Le
- University of Utah College of Pharmacy, Salt Lake City, UT, USA
| | | | | | | | | | - Ammarin Thakkinstian
- The Faculty of Medicine Ramathibodi Hospital, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand
| | - Nathorn Chaiyakunapruk
- University of Utah College of Pharmacy, Salt Lake City, UT, USA; IDEAS Center, Veterans Affairs Salt Lake City Healthcare System, Salt Lake City, UT, USA.
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Rozenbaum MH, Perdrizet J, Li X, Wasserman MD, Grant LR, Hayford K, Farkouh RA. A Response to: Letter to the Editor Regarding 'Clinical and Economic Burden of Pneumococcal Disease Due to Serotypes Contained in Current and Investigational Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccines in Children Under Five Years of Age'. Infect Dis Ther 2023; 12:295-298. [PMID: 36376731 PMCID: PMC9868018 DOI: 10.1007/s40121-022-00719-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/19/2022] [Accepted: 10/19/2022] [Indexed: 11/16/2022] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Mark H. Rozenbaum
- grid.487416.8Health Economics and Outcomes Research, Pfizer, Capelle aan den Ijssel, The Netherlands
| | - Johnna Perdrizet
- grid.410513.20000 0000 8800 7493Health Economics and Outcomes Research, Pfizer Inc, New York, NY USA
| | - Xiuyan Li
- grid.410513.20000 0000 8800 7493Health Economics and Outcomes Research, Pfizer Inc, New York, NY USA
| | - Matt D. Wasserman
- grid.410513.20000 0000 8800 7493Patient and Health Impact, Pfizer Inc, New York, NY USA
| | - Lindsay R. Grant
- grid.410513.20000 0000 8800 7493Vaccines Medical Development and Scientific and Clinical Affairs, Pfizer Inc, New York, NY USA
| | - Kyla Hayford
- grid.410513.20000 0000 8800 7493Vaccines Medical Development and Scientific and Clinical Affairs, Pfizer Inc, New York, NY USA
| | - Raymond A. Farkouh
- grid.487416.8Health Economics and Outcomes Research, Pfizer, Capelle aan den Ijssel, The Netherlands
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Løchen A, Anderson RM. Dynamic transmission models and economic evaluations of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines: a quality appraisal and limitations. Clin Microbiol Infect 2021. [DOI: 10.1016/j.cmi.2021.07.002] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/25/2022]
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Løchen A, Anderson R. Dynamic transmission models and economic evaluations of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines: a quality appraisal and limitations. Clin Microbiol Infect 2020; 26:60-70. [DOI: 10.1016/j.cmi.2019.04.026] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/21/2019] [Revised: 04/08/2019] [Accepted: 04/22/2019] [Indexed: 02/01/2023]
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Shiri T, Khan K, Keaney K, Mukherjee G, McCarthy ND, Petrou S. Pneumococcal Disease: A Systematic Review of Health Utilities, Resource Use, Costs, and Economic Evaluations of Interventions. VALUE IN HEALTH : THE JOURNAL OF THE INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY FOR PHARMACOECONOMICS AND OUTCOMES RESEARCH 2019; 22:1329-1344. [PMID: 31708071 DOI: 10.1016/j.jval.2019.06.011] [Citation(s) in RCA: 29] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/02/2018] [Revised: 06/20/2019] [Accepted: 06/27/2019] [Indexed: 06/10/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Pneumococcal diseases cause substantial mortality, morbidity, and economic burden. Evidence on data inputs for economic evaluations of interventions targeting pneumococcal disease is critical. OBJECTIVES To summarize evidence on resource use, costs, health utilities, and cost-effectiveness for pneumococcal disease and associated interventions to inform future economic analyses. METHODS We searched MEDLINE, Embase, Web of Science, CINAHL, PsycINFO, EconLit, and Cochrane databases for peer-reviewed studies in English on pneumococcal disease that reported health utilities using direct or indirect valuation methods, resource use, costs, or cost-effectiveness of intervention programs, and summarized the evidence descriptively. RESULTS We included 383 studies: 9 reporting health utilities, 131 resource use, 160 economic costs of pneumococcal disease, 95 both resource use and costs, and 178 economic evaluations of pneumococcal intervention programs. Health state utility values ranged from 0 to 1 for both meningitis and otitis media and from 0.3 to 0.7 for both pneumonia and sepsis. Hospitalization was shortest for otitis media (range: 0.1-5 days) and longest for sepsis/septicemia (6-48). The main categories of costs reported were drugs, hospitalization, and household or employer costs. Resource use was reported in hospital length of stay and number of contacts with general practitioners. Costs and resource use significantly varied among population ages, disease conditions, and settings. Current vaccination programs for both adults and children, antibiotic use and outreach programs to promote vaccination, early disease detection, and educational programs are cost-effective in most countries. CONCLUSION This study has generated a comprehensive repository of health economic evidence on pneumococcal disease that can be used to inform future economic evaluations of pneumococcal disease intervention programs.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tinevimbo Shiri
- Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, Liverpool, England, UK; Warwick Clinical Trials Unit, Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, England, UK.
| | - Kamran Khan
- Warwick Clinical Trials Unit, Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, England, UK
| | - Katherine Keaney
- Population Evidence and Technologies, Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, England, UK
| | - Geetanjali Mukherjee
- Population Evidence and Technologies, Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, England, UK
| | - Noel D McCarthy
- Population Evidence and Technologies, Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, England, UK
| | - Stavros Petrou
- Warwick Clinical Trials Unit, Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, England, UK; Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, England, UK
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Marijam A, Olbrecht J, Ozakay A, Eken V, Meszaros K. Cost-Effectiveness Comparison of Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccines in Turkish Children. Value Health Reg Issues 2019; 19:34-44. [PMID: 30776766 DOI: 10.1016/j.vhri.2018.11.007] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/16/2018] [Revised: 10/16/2018] [Accepted: 11/29/2018] [Indexed: 12/12/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) is used for universal infant vaccination in Turkey. OBJECTIVES To assess the cost effectiveness of replacing PCV13 with pneumococcal nontypeable Haemophilus influenzae protein D conjugate vaccine (PHiD-CV). METHODS A Markov cohort model with monthly cycles following 1 cohort of infants over a 10-year time horizon was used. Local input parameters were obtained from published sources and expert consultation whenever possible. The model was adapted to estimate the health benefits and economic impact of each vaccine on invasive pneumococcal disease, pneumonia, and acute otitis media (AOM). An annual discount rate of 3% was used for benefits and costs (2016 euros). RESULTS Under base-case assumptions, vaccinating 1 birth cohort of 1 325 783 infants with PHiD-CV instead of PCV13 was predicted to have the same impact on meningitis and pneumonia, a similar impact on bacteremia (+30 cases), but greater reductions in AOM-related general practitioner visits (-34 955) and hospitalizations (-624). Assuming equal vaccine prices, PHiD-CV was predicted to be dominant over PCV13 (176 additional quality-adjusted life-years while saving €635 330 [discounted]). One-way sensitivity analysis indicated that varying the vaccine price differential had the largest effect on the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio, and then AOM parameters. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis predicted PHiD-CV to be dominant over PCV13 in 92.4% of simulations. CONCLUSIONS Any difference in price between PHiD-CV and PCV13 is expected to be the key driver of vaccine choice for preventing childhood pneumococcal disease in Turkey. At price parity, PHiD-CV use is likely to be a dominant strategy over the use of PCV13.
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Nymark LS, Sharma T, Miller A, Enemark U, Griffiths UK. Inclusion of the value of herd immunity in economic evaluations of vaccines. A systematic review of methods used. Vaccine 2017; 35:6828-6841. [PMID: 29146380 DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2017.10.024] [Citation(s) in RCA: 25] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/14/2016] [Revised: 10/04/2017] [Accepted: 10/12/2017] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE The objectives of this review were to identify vaccine economic evaluations that include herd immunity and describe the methodological approaches used. METHODS We used Kim and Goldie's search strategy from a systematic review (1976-2007) of modelling approaches used in vaccine economic evaluations and additionally searched PubMed/MEDLINE and Embase for 2007-2015. Studies were classified according to modelling approach used. Methods for estimating herd immunity effects were described, in particular for the static models. RESULTS We identified 625 economic evaluations of vaccines against human-transmissible diseases from 1976 to 2015. Of these, 172 (28%) included herd immunity. While 4% of studies included herd immunity in 2001, 53% of those published in 2015 did this. Pneumococcal, human papilloma and rotavirus vaccines represented the majority of studies (63%) considering herd immunity. Ninety-five of the 172 studies utilised a static model, 59 applied a dynamic model, eight a hybrid model and ten did not clearly state which method was used. Relatively crude methods and assumptions were used in the majority of the static model studies. CONCLUSION The proportion of economic evaluations using a dynamic model has increased in recent years. However, 55% of the included studies used a static model for estimating herd immunity. Values from a static model can only be considered reliable if high quality surveillance data are incorporated into the analysis. Without this, the results are questionable and they should only be included in sensitivity analysis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Liv S Nymark
- Department of Public Health, Aarhus University, Bartholins Allé 2, DK-8000 Aarhus C, Denmark; Research Center for Vitamins and Vaccines, Bandim Health Project, Statens Serums Institut, Artillerivej 5, DK-2300 Copenhagen S, Denmark; Department of Health Services Research & Policy, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, 15-17 Tavistock Place, London WC1H 9SH, UK
| | - Tarang Sharma
- Nordic Cochrane Centre, Rigshospitalet, Blegdamsvej 9, DK- 2100 Copenhagen Ø, Denmark; Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Blegdamsvej 3, 2200 København N, Denmark
| | | | - Ulrika Enemark
- Department of Public Health, Aarhus University, Bartholins Allé 2, DK-8000 Aarhus C, Denmark; Research Center for Vitamins and Vaccines, Bandim Health Project, Statens Serums Institut, Artillerivej 5, DK-2300 Copenhagen S, Denmark
| | - Ulla Kou Griffiths
- Department of Global Health and Development, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, 15-17 Tavistock Place, London WC1H 9SH, UK; UNICEF, 3 UN Plaza, New York, NY 10007, USA
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Kuhlmann A, von der Schulenburg JMG. Modeling the cost-effectiveness of infant vaccination with pneumococcal conjugate vaccines in Germany. THE EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF HEALTH ECONOMICS : HEPAC : HEALTH ECONOMICS IN PREVENTION AND CARE 2017; 18:273-292. [PMID: 26905404 DOI: 10.1007/s10198-016-0770-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/12/2012] [Accepted: 02/05/2016] [Indexed: 06/05/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND In 2009, the European Medicines Agency granted approval for two higher-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccines. This study aims to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of universal infant (<2 years old) vaccination with a 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) in comparison with a 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV10) for the prevention of pneumococcal disease in Germany. METHODS A population-based Markov model was developed to estimate the impact of PCV13 and PCV10 on invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD), non-invasive pneumonia (PNE), and acute otitis media (AOM) over a time horizon of 50 years. The model included the effects of the historical vaccination scheme in infants as well as indirect herd effects and replacement disease. We used German epidemiological data to calculate episodes of IPD, PNE, and AOM, as well as direct and indirect effects of the vaccination. Parameter uncertainty was tested in univariate and probabilistic sensitivity analyses. RESULTS In the base-case analysis, the ICER of PCV13 versus PCV10 infant vaccination was EUR 9826 per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained or EUR 5490 per life-year (LY) gained from the societal perspective and EUR 3368 per QALY gained or EUR 1882 per LY gained from the perspective of the German statutory health insurance. The results were particularly sensitive to the magnitude of indirect effects of both vaccines. CONCLUSIONS Universal infant vaccination with PCV13 is likely to be a cost-effective intervention compared with PCV10 within the German health care system, if additional net indirect effects of PCV13 vaccination are significant.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alexander Kuhlmann
- Center for Health Economics Research Hannover (CHERH), Leibniz Universität Hannover, Otto-Brenner-Straße 1, 30159, Hanover, Germany.
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Ciapponi A, Lee A, Bardach A, Glujovsky D, Rey-Ares L, Luisa Cafferata M, Valanzasca P, García Martí S. Interchangeability between Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccines: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis. Value Health Reg Issues 2016; 11:24-34. [DOI: 10.1016/j.vhri.2015.12.001] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/20/2014] [Revised: 04/22/2015] [Accepted: 12/04/2015] [Indexed: 10/22/2022]
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