Comparison of survival between adolescent and young adult vs older patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

Overall Survival of Young Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer Stage B in a Retrospective Study Based on a Multicenter Cohort

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is usually diagnosed in patients at the age of > 45 years. We aimed to determine the prognosis of patients with HCC at the age of 30-44 years compared with that of patients at a more senior age.

METHODS

Based on the Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center database, a total of 1745 patients with HCC were retrospectively enrolled and were assigned to three age groups (30-44, 45-59, and 60-70 years). The primary endpoint was overall survival. Among baseline characteristics, five variables including sex, serum albumin level, total bilirubin level, the maximum tumor diameter, and the number of tumor nodules were adjusted using propensity score matching.

RESULTS

Patients aged 30-44 years presented a worse overall survival, a greater number of HCC nodules, a greater maximum tumor diameter, and higher serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) concentration than those aged 45-59 years in a crude analysis (p < 0.05). Using propensity score matching, the difference in overall survival between the two cohorts was canceled (p > 0.05).

CONCLUSION

The prognosis of patients with HCC at age 30-44 years was equal to that of patients aged 45-59 years.

Incidence and survival of pediatric and adult hepatocellular carcinoma, United States, 2001-2020

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma accounts for approximately 80 % of liver neoplasms. Globally, hepatocellular carcinoma ranks as the third most lethal cancer, with the number of deaths expected to further increase by 2040. In adults, disparities in incidence and survival are well described while pediatric epidemiology is not well characterized. We describe incidence and survival for pediatric (ages 0-19 years) hepatocellular carcinoma cases and compare these measures to adults (ages ≥ 20 years) diagnosed with hepatocellular carcinoma.

METHODS

We assessed incidence data from the US Cancer Statistics database during 2003-2020 and 5-year survival from the National Program of Cancer Registries during 2001-2019. Incidence trends were determined by annual percent change (APC) and average APC (AAPC) using joinpoint regression. Five-year survival was evaluated by relative survival, and all-cause survival was estimated using multivariate Cox modeling. Corresponding 95 % confidence intervals (CI) were calculated for all analyses.

RESULTS

Incidence rate per 100,000 persons was 0.056 (95 %CI:0.052-0.060) for pediatric cases and 7.793 (7.767-7.819) for adults. Incidence was stable in the pediatric population (0.3 AAPC, - 1.1 to 1.7). In contrast, after periods of increase, incidence declined in adults after 2015 (-1.5 APC). Relative survival increased over time for both pediatric and adult ages and was higher for children and adolescents (46.4 %, 95 %CI:42.4-50.3) than adults (20.7 %, 95 %CI:20.5-20.9). Regression modeling showed that non-Hispanic Black race and ethnicity was associated with higher risk of death in children and adolescents (1.48, 95 %CI:1.07-2.05) and adults (1.11, 95 %CI:1.09-1.12) compared to non-Hispanic white race and ethnicity.

CONCLUSIONS

Between 2003 and 2020 in the United States, pediatric incidence was stable while incidence in adults began to decline after 2015. Survival was higher across all stages for children and adolescents compared to adults. Non-Hispanic Black race and ethnicity showed a higher risk of death for both age groups. Further studies could explore the factors that influence these outcome disparities.

Trends of primary liver cancer incidence and mortality in the United States: A population-based study over the last four decades

BACKGROUND

Primary liver cancer is the third leading cause of cancer deaths worldwide and has one of the worst 5-year survival rates. This study examines US primary liver cancer incidence and incidence-based mortality trends over four decades.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

The SEER-9 registry was used to study primary liver cancer cases from 1978 to 2018. The incidence and mortality rates were calculated based on gender, age, race, and stage of diagnosis. Joinpoint regression software was used to calculate the annual percent change.

RESULTS

The overall incidence rate of primary liver cancer from 1978 to 2018 increased by 2.71%/year (p<0.001). Rates in patients <50 years old began to fall in 2002 at a rate of -3.62%/year (p<0.001). Similarly, the incidence-based mortality rates for primary liver cancer increased by 2.15%/year (p<0.001). Whereas Whites incidence-based mortality rates began to plateau in 2012 (0.18%/year; p = 0.84), Blacks rates have declined since 2010 (-2.93%/year; p = 0.03), and Asian rates have declined since 1999 (-1.30%/year; p<0.001).

CONCLUSION

While the overall primary liver cancer incidence and incidence-based mortality have been increasing over the last four decades, there was an observed decline in incidence and incidence-based mortality in recent years, especially among at-risk subgroups.

Incidence and survival of pediatric and adult hepatocellular carcinoma, United States, 2001-2020

Importance

Hepatocellular carcinoma accounts for approximately 80% of liver neoplasms. Globally, hepatocellular carcinoma ranks as the third most lethal cancer, with the number of deaths expected to further increase by 2040. In adults, disparities in incidence and survival are well described while pediatric epidemiology is not well characterized.

Objective

To describe incidence and survival for pediatric (ages 0-19 years) hepatocellular carcinoma cases and compare these measures to adults (ages ≥20 years) diagnosed with hepatocellular carcinoma. We evaluated demographic factors and clinical characteristics that influence incidence and outcomes.

Design

Population-based cohort study.

Setting

Incidence data from the US Cancer Statistics database from 2003 to 2020 and 5-year relative survival from the National Program of Cancer Registries from 2001 to 2019, covering 97% and 83% of the US population, respectively.

Participants

355,349 US Cancer Statistics and 257,406 the National Program of Cancer Registries patients were identified using ICD-O-3 C22.0 and 8170-5 codes.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Incidence annual percent change (APC) and average APC (AAPC) using joinpoint regression. Five-year relative survival. All-cause survival estimated using multivariate Cox modeling. Corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated.

Results

Incidence rate per 100,000 persons was 0.056 (95%CI:0.052-0.060) for pediatric cases and 7.793 (7.767-7.819) for adults. Incidence was stable in the pediatric population (0.3 AAPC, -1.1-1.7). In contrast, after periods of increase, incidence declined in adults after 2015 (-1.5 APC). Relative survival increased over time for both pediatric and adult ages and was higher for children and adolescents (46.4%, 95%CI:42.4-50.3) than adults (20.7%, 95%CI:20.5-20.9) overall and when stratified by stage. Regression modeling showed that non-Hispanic Black race and ethnicity was associated with higher risk of death in children and adolescents (1.48, 95%CI:1.07-2.05) and adults (1.11, 95%CI:1.09-1.12) compared to non-Hispanic white race and ethnicity.

Conclusions and Relevance

Between 2003 and 2020 in the United States, pediatric incidence was stable while incidence in adults began to decline after 2015. Survival was higher across all stages for children and adolescents compared to adults. Non-Hispanic Black race and ethnicity showed a higher risk of death for both age groups. Further studies could explore the factors that influence these outcome disparities.

Prognosis of early-stage lung adenocarcinoma in young patients

Lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) is a familiar lung cancer with a poor prognosis. This study was meant to determine whether there are differences in survival between younger and older patients with early-stage LUAD because of the rise in the incidence of LUAD in young individuals over the previous few decades. We analysed the clinical, therapeutic and prognostic features of a cohort (2012-2013) of 831 consecutive patients with stage I/II LUAD who underwent curative surgical resection at Shanghai Pulmonary Hospital. Propensity score matching (PSM) was performed for age, sex, tumour size, tumour stage and therapy in a 2:1 ratio between the two groups without taking gender, illness stage at operation or decisive treatment into account. Following PSM analysis to create a 2:1 match for comparison, the final survival study included 163 patients with early-stage LUAD <50 years and 326 patients ≥50 years. Surprisingly, younger patients were overwhelmingly female (65.6%) and never smokers (85.9%). There were no statistical differences between the two groups in terms of the overall survival rate (P = 0.067) or time to advancement (P = 0.76). In conclusion, no significant differences stood out between older and younger patients with stage I/II LUAD regarding overall and disease-free survival rates. Younger patients with early-stage LUAD were more likely to be female and never smokers, which suggests that risk factors other than active smoking may be responsible for lung carcinogenesis in these patients.

Risk of early death in adolescents and young adults with cancer: a population-based study

BACKGROUND

Advancements in treatment and supportive care have led to improved survival for adolescents and young adults (AYAs) with cancer; however, a subset of those diagnosed remain at risk for early death (within 2 months of diagnosis). Factors that place AYAs at increased risk of early death have not been well studied.

METHODS

The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results registry was used to assess risk of early death in AYAs with hematologic malignancies, central nervous system tumors, and solid tumors. Associations between age at diagnosis, sex, race, ethnicity, socioeconomic status, insurance status, rurality, and early death were assessed.

RESULTS

A total of 268 501 AYAs diagnosed between 2000 and 2016 were included. Early death percentage was highest in patients diagnosed with hematologic malignancies (3.1%, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 2.9% to 3.2%), followed by central nervous system tumors (2.5%, 95% CI = 2.3% to 2.8%), and solid tumors (1.0%, 95% CI = 0.9% to 1.0%). Age at diagnosis, race, ethnicity, lower socioeconomic status, and insurance status were associated with increased risk of early death in each of the cancer types. For AYAs with hematologic malignancies and solid tumors, risk of early death decreased statistically significantly over time.

CONCLUSIONS

A subset of AYAs with cancer remains at risk for early death. In addition to cancer type, sociodemographic factors also affect risk of early death. A better understanding of the interplay of factors related to cancer type, treatment, and health systems that place certain AYA subsets at higher risk for early death is needed to address these disparities and improve outcomes.

Low-grade hepatocellular carcinoma characteristics, a practical nomogram and risk stratification system: a SEER population-based study

BACKGROUND

The purpose of this study is to establish a nomogram and risk stratification system to predict OS in patients with low-grade HCC.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Data were extracted from the SEER database. C-index, time-dependent AUCs, and calibration plots were used to evaluate the effective performance of the nomogram. NRI, IDI, and DCA curves were adopted to compare the clinical utility of nomogram with AJCC.

RESULTS

3415 patients with low-grade HCC were available. The C-indices for the training and validation cohorts were 0.773 and 0.772. The time-dependent AUCs in the training cohort were 0.821, 0.817, and 0.846 at 1, 3 and 5 years. Calibration plots for 1-, 3- and 5-year OS showed good consistency between actual observations and that predicted by the nomogram. The values of NRI at 1, 3, and 5 years were 0.37, 0.66, and 0.64. The IDI values at 1, 3, and 5 years were 0.11, 0.16, and 0.23 (P< 0.001). DCA curves demonstrated that the nomogram showed better ability of predicting 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS probabilities than AJCC.

CONCLUSIONS

A nomogram and risk stratification system for predicting OS in patients with low-grade HCC were established and validated.