Predicting the risk of recurrent venous thrombosis: What the future might bring

An important clinical problem in the management of venous thrombosis is to determine whether a patient can safely cease anticoagulant therapy. In this Forum article, we summarize the predictive performance of several prediction models for recurrent thrombosis, as well as for bleeding while using anticoagulants. Patients with provoked first thrombosis (considered "low risk") are now denied long-term treatment, although a strong gradient in risk can be found in this group. We furthermore discuss the problem of an unclear definition of "(un)provoked" and show that this affects the yield of currently available prediction scores plus the limitations of a "one-size-fits-all" strategy. Better prediction tools are urgently needed. We propose a strategy for future studies for which the following should be considered: (a) reporting of absolute risks next to C-statistics, (b) model applicable to all patients, (c) no discontinuation of anticoagulation for measurement of predictors.

Do hospital doctors test for thrombophilia in patients with venous thromboembolism?

The predictive value of factor V Leiden and the G20210A prothrombin mutation regarding recurrent venous thromboembolism (VTE) is limited and does not influence subsequent patient management. Systematic testing for such genetic thrombophilia should be avoided, but to which extent such testing is practiced in a Swiss Hospital is unknown. To examine the current practice of factor V Leiden and/or G20210A prothrombin mutation testing in a University Hospital, and to assess the clinical consequences of testing on patients. 1388 adult patients (48.7% women) with a main diagnosis of VTE hospitalized at the Lausanne university hospital between January 2013 and December 2015. FV Leiden and/or prothrombin G20210A mutation testing was performed in 61 (4.4%) patients with VTE, an average of 20 patients/year. On multivariable analysis, age < 65 years [odds ratio and (95% confidence interval) 5.91 (3.12-11.19)], being admitted in a medical ward [5.71 (2.02-16.16)] and staying in the intensive care unit [0.34 (0.12-0.97)] were associated with thrombophilia testing. No differences were found between patients with and without testing regarding in-hospital mortality [OR and 95% CI for tested vs. non-tested: 0.23 (0.03-1.73), p = 0.153] and length of stay (multivariable adjusted average ± standard error: 16.9 ± 3.3 vs. 20.0 ± 0.7 days for tested and non-tested patients, respectively, p = 0.875). Thrombophilia testing in hospitalized patients with a main diagnosis of VTE is seldom performed. FV Leiden and/or prothrombin G20210A mutation should not be routinely assessed in patients with acute VTE.

Can thrombophilia predict recurrent catheter-related deep vein thrombosis in children?

Thrombophilia was not predictive of recurrent catheter-related deep vein thrombosis in children. Young age at the time of catheter insertion and lack of administration of anticoagulation were predictive of recurrent events.