Sociodemographic, behavioral, and environmental factors of child mortality in Eastern Region of Cameroon: results from a social autopsy study

The risk factors of infant mortality in Somalia: evidence from the 2018/2019 Somali health & demographic survey

BACKGROUND

Globally, infant mortality is one of the major public health threats, especially in low-income countries. The infant mortality rate of Somalia stands at 73 deaths per 1000 live births, which is one of the highest infant death rates in the region as well as in the world. Therefore, the aim of this study was to ascertain the risk factors of infant mortality in Somalia using national representative data.

METHOD

In this study, data from the Somali Health and Demographic Survey (SHDS), conducted for the first time in Somalia in 2018/2019 and released in 2020, were utilized. The analysis of the data involved employing the Chi-square test as a bivariate analysis. Furthermore, a multivariate Cox proportional hazard model was applied to accommodate potential confounders that act as risk factors for infant death.

RESULTS

The study found that infant mortality was highest among male babies, multiple births, and those babies who live in rural areas, respectively, as compared to their counterparts. Those mothers who delivered babies with small birth size and belonged to a poor wealth index experienced higher infant mortality than those mothers who delivered babies with average size and belonged to a middle or rich wealth index. Survival analysis indicated that mothers who did use ANC services (HR = 0.740; 95% CI = 0.618-0.832), sex of the baby (HR = 0.661; 95% CI = 0.484-0.965), duration of pregnancy (HR = 0.770; 95% CI = 0.469-0.944), multiple births (HR = 1.369; 1.142-1.910) and place of residence (HR = 1.650; 95% CI = 1.451-2.150) were found to be statistically significantly related to infant death.

CONCLUSION

The study investigated the risk factors associated with infant mortality by analyzing data from the first Somali Health and Demographic Survey (SHDS), which included a representative sample of the country's population. Place of residence, gestational duration, infant's gender, antenatal care visits, and multiple births were identified as determinants of infant mortality. Given that infant mortality poses a significant public health concern, particularly in crisis-affected countries like Somalia, intervention programs should prioritize the provision of antenatal care services, particularly for first-time mothers. Moreover, these programs should place greater emphasis on educating women about the importance of receiving antenatal care and family planning services, in order to enhance their awareness of these vital health services and their positive impact on infant survival rates.

Verbal autopsy analysis of childhood deaths in rural Gambia

BACKGROUND

In low-resource settings, it is challenging to ascertain the burden and causes of under-5 mortality as many deaths occur outside health facilities. We aimed to determine the causes of childhood deaths in rural Gambia using verbal autopsies (VA).

METHODOLOGY

We used WHO VA questionnaires to conduct VAs for deaths under-5 years of age in the Basse and Fuladu West Health and Demographic Surveillance Systems (HDSS) in rural Gambia between September 01, 2019, and December 31, 2021. Using a standardized cause of death list, two physicians assigned causes of death and discordant diagnoses were resolved by consensus.

RESULTS

VAs were conducted for 89% (647/727) of deaths. Of these deaths, 49.5% (n = 319) occurred at home, 50.1% (n = 324) in females, and 32.3% (n = 209) in neonates. Acute respiratory infection including pneumonia (ARIP) (33.7%, n = 137) and diarrhoeal diseases (23.3%, n = 95) were the commonest primary causes of death in the post-neonatal period. In the neonatal period, unspecified perinatal causes of death (34.0%, n = 71) and deaths due to birth asphyxia (27.3%, n = 57) were the commonest causes of death. Severe malnutrition (28.6%, n = 185) was the commonest underlying cause of death. In the neonatal period, deaths due to birth asphyxia (p-value<0.001) and severe anaemia (p-value = 0.03) were more likely to occur at hospitals while unspecified perinatal deaths (p-value = 0.01) were more likely to occur at home. In the post-neonatal period, deaths due to ARIP (p-value = 0.04) and diarrhoeal disease (p-value = 0.001) were more likely to occur among children aged 1-11 months and 12-23 months respectively.

CONCLUSION

According to VA analysis of deaths identified within two HDSS in rural Gambia, half of deaths amongst children under-5 in rural Gambia occur at home. ARIP and diarrhoea, and the underlying cause of severe malnutrition remain the predominant causes of child mortality. Improved health care and health-seeking behaviour may reduce childhood deaths in rural Gambia.

Countrywide Mortality Surveillance for Action in Mozambique: Results from a National Sample-Based Vital Statistics System for Mortality and Cause of Death

Sub-Saharan Africa lacks timely, reliable, and accurate national data on mortality and causes of death (CODs). In 2018 Mozambique launched a sample registration system (Countrywide Mortality Surveillance for Action [COMSA]-Mozambique), which collects continuous birth, death, and COD data from 700 randomly selected clusters, a nationally representative population of 828,663 persons. Verbal and social autopsy interviews are conducted for COD determination. We analyzed data collected in 2019-2020 to report mortality rates and cause-specific fractions. Cause-specific results were generated using computer-coded verbal autopsy (CCVA) algorithms for deaths among those age 5 years and older. For under-five deaths, the accuracy of CCVA results was increased through calibration with data from minimally invasive tissue sampling. Neonatal and under-five mortality rates were, respectively, 23 (95% CI: 18-28) and 80 (95% CI: 69-91) deaths per 1,000 live births. Mortality rates per 1,000 were 18 (95% CI: 14-21) among age 5-14 years, 26 (95% CI: 20-31) among age 15-24 years, 258 (95% CI: 230-287) among age 25-59 years, and 531 (95% CI: 490-572) among age 60+ years. Urban areas had lower mortality rates than rural areas among children under 15 but not among adults. Deaths due to infections were substantial across all ages. Other predominant causes by age group were prematurity and intrapartum-related events among neonates; diarrhea, malaria, and lower respiratory infections among children 1-59 months; injury, malaria, and diarrhea among children 5-14 years; HIV, injury, and cancer among those age 15-59 years; and cancer and cardiovascular disease at age 60+ years. The COMSA-Mozambique platform offers a rich and unique system for mortality and COD determination and monitoring and an opportunity to build a comprehensive surveillance system.

Under-Five Mortality in Sierra Leone and Possible Associated Factors: Evidence from the 2019 Demographic and Health Survey

High under-five mortality rate remains one of the public health challenges, especially in sub-Saharans Africa, accounting for more than half of all global cases. Sierra Leone was and still one of the countries with the highest under-five mortality rate. Using the latest 2019 SLDHS data, we investigated factors associated with under-five mortality in Sierra Leone. A total of 9771 mothers aged 15-49 years in the country were interviewed and included in the analysis. The dependent variable is child status (dead=1; alive=0). A total of 871 (9%) children died before their fifth birthday. Maternal age of 20-24 years (AOR=0.46; CI=0.33-0.64; P<0.001) up to 40-44 years (AOR=0.43; CI=0.27-0.7; P=0.001), currently breastfeeding (AOR=0.20; CI=0.17-0.24; P<0.001), maternal media exposure and usage of reading newspapers/magazines less than once a week (AOR=0.48; CI=0.28-0.85; P=0.011) were more likely to enhance child survivability through their fifth birthday. Also, the child sex being female (AOR=0.68; CI=0.59-0.79) was more likely to survive under-five mortality compared to their male counterpart. On the other hand, mothers who listened to radio at least once a week (AOR=1.31; CI=1.08-1.59; P=0.007) watched television less than once a week (AOR=1.48; CI=1.16-1.90), had two (AOR=3.4, CI=2.78-4.16; P<0.001) or three and above birth (AOR=8.11; CI=6.07-10.83; P<0.001) in five years, had multiple birth children (AOR=1.41; CI=1.08-1.86) and very small-sized child at birth (AOR= 1.95; CI=1.41-2.70) were more likely to lose their children below the age of five years. The factors contributing to under-five mortality in Sierra Leone are critical to ensuring child survival and improving maternal health. Breastfeeding, maternal age, media exposure, child's sex, multiple birth type, very small-sized child and the total number of births in five years were significant drivers of under-five mortality. The result affirms the need for attention to be focused on enhancing the survival rate of under-five children in Sierra Leone.

Using health facility deaths to estimate population causes of neonatal and child mortality in four African countries

BACKGROUND

Verbal autopsy is the main method used in countries with weak civil registration systems for estimating community causes of neonatal and 1-59-month-old deaths. However, validation studies of verbal autopsy methods are limited and assessment has been dependent on hospital-based studies, with uncertain implications for its validity in community settings. If the distribution of community deaths by cause was similar to that of facility deaths, or could be adjusted according to related demographic factors, then the causes of facility deaths could be used to estimate population causes.

METHODS

Causes of neonatal and 1-59-month-old deaths from verbal/social autopsy (VASA) surveys in four African countries were estimated using expert algorithms (EAVA) and physician coding (PCVA). Differences between facility and community deaths in individual causes and cause distributions were examined using chi-square and cause-specific mortality fractions (CSMF) accuracy, respectively. Multinomial logistic regression and random forest models including factors from the VASA studies that are commonly available in Demographic and Health Surveys were built to predict population causes from facility deaths.

RESULTS

Levels of facility and community deaths in the four countries differed for one to four of 10 EAVA or PCVA neonatal causes and zero to three of 12 child causes. CSMF accuracy for facility compared to community deaths in the four countries ranged from 0.74 to 0.87 for neonates and 0.85 to 0.95 for 1-59-month-olds. Crude CSMF accuracy in the prediction models averaged 0.86 to 0.88 for neonates and 0.93 for 1-59-month-olds. Adjusted random forest prediction models increased average CSMF accuracy for neonates to, at most, 0.90, based on small increases in all countries.

CONCLUSIONS

There were few differences in facility and community causes of neonatal and 1-59-month-old deaths in the four countries, and it was possible to project the population CSMF from facility deaths with accuracy greater than the validity of verbal autopsy diagnoses. Confirmation of these findings in additional settings would warrant research into how medical causes of deaths in a representative sample of health facilities can be utilized to estimate the population causes of child death.

Factors affecting infant mortality in the general population: evidence from the 2016 Ethiopian demographic and health survey (EDHS); a multilevel analysis

Background

Infant mortality is one of the leading public health problems globally; the problem is even more staggering in low-income countries. In Ethiopia seven in ten child deaths occurred during infancy in 2016. Even though the problem is devastating, updated information about the major determinants of infant mortality which is done on a countrywide representative sample is lacking. Therefore, this study was aimed to identify factors affecting infant mortality among the general population of Ethiopia, 2016.

Methods

A Community-based cross-sectional study was conducted in all regions of Ethiopia from January 18 to June 27, 2016. A total of 10,641 live births were included in the analysis. Data were analyzed and reported with both descriptive and analytic statistics. Bivariable and multivariable multilevel logistic regression models were fitted by accounting correlation of individuals within a cluster. Adjusted odds ratio (AOR) with 95% confidence interval was reported to show the strength of the association and its significance.

Results

A total of 10,641 live-births from the Ethiopian demographic and health survey (EDHS) data were included in the analysis. Being male infant (AOR = 1.51; 1.25, 1.82), Multiple birth (AOR = 5.49; 95% CI, 3.88–7.78), Preterm (AOR = 8.47; 95% CI 5.71, 12.57), rural residents (AOR = 1.76; 95% CI; 1.16, 2.67), from Somali region (AOR = 2.07; 1.29, 3.33), Harari (AOR = 2.14; 1.22, 3.75) and Diredawa (AOR = 1.91; 1.04, 3.51) were found to be statistically significantly associated with infant mortality.

Conclusion

The study has assessed the determinants of infant mortality based on EDHS data. Sex of the child, multiple births, prematurity, and residence were notably associated with infant mortality. The risk of infant mortality has also shown differences across different regions. Since infant mortality is still major public health problem interventions shall be done giving more attention to infants who were delivered multiple and who are preterm.

Place of death, care-seeking and care pathway progression in the final illnesses of children under five years of age in sub-Saharan Africa: a systematic review

Background

Half of all under-5 deaths occur in sub-Saharan Africa. Reducing child mortality requires understanding of the modifiable factors that contribute to death. Social autopsies collect information about place of death, care-seeking and care-provision, but this has not been pooled to learn wider lessons. We therefore undertook a systematic review to collect, evaluate, map, and pool all the available evidence for sub-Saharan Africa.

Methods

We searched PubMed, Embase, Global Health, the Cochrane Library and grey literature for studies relating to under-5 deaths in sub-Saharan Africa with information on place of death and/or care-seeking during a child’s final illness. We assessed study quality with a modified Axis tool. We pooled proportions using random effects meta-analysis for place of death and for each stage of the Pathways to Survival framework. Pre-specified subgroup analysis included age group, national income and user-fee policy. We explored heterogeneity with meta-regression. Our protocol was published prospectively (CRD42018111484).

Results

We included 34 studies from 17 countries. Approximately half of the children died at home, irrespective of age. More children died at home in settings with user-fees (69.1%, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 56.2-80.6, I² = 98.4%) compared to settings without user-fees (43.8%, 95% CI = 34.3-53.5, I² = 96.7%). Signs of illness were present in over 95% of children but care-seeking differed by age. 40.1% of neonates (95% CI = 20.7-61.3, I² = 98.0%) died without receiving any care, compared to 6.4% of older children (95% CI = 4.2%-9.0%, I² = 90.6%). Care-seeking outside the home was less common in neonatal deaths (50.5%, 95% CI = 35.6-65.3, I² = 98.3%) compared to infants and young children (82.4%, 95% CI = 79.4%-85.2%, I² = 87.5%). In both age groups, most children were taken for formal care. Healthcare facilities discharged 69.6% of infants and young children who arrived alive (95% CI = 59.6-78.7, I² = 95.5%), of whom only 34.9% were referred for further care (95% CI = 15.1-57.9, I² = 98.7%).

Conclusions

Despite similar distributions in place of death for neonates and infants and young children, care-seeking behaviour differed by age groups. Poor illness recognition is implicated in neonatal deaths, but death despite care-seeking implies inadequate quality care and referral for older children. Understanding such care-seeking patterns enables targeted interventions to reduce under-5 mortality across the region.

Mortality Associated With Acute Respiratory Infections Among Children at Home

Background

Numerous deaths in children aged <5 years in the developing world occur at home. Acute respiratory infections (ARIs) are thought to play an important role in these deaths. Risk factors and pathogens linked to fatal episodes remain unclear.

Methods

A case-control study among low-income children aged <5 years was performed in Buenos Aires, Argentina, to define risk factors and viral pathogens among those who died of ARI at home.

Results

A total of 278 families of children aged <5 years (of whom 104 died and 174 were healthy controls) participated in the study. A total of 87.5% of ARI-associated deaths occurred among infants aged <12 months. The estimated mortality rate due to ARI among infants was 5.02 deaths/1000 live births. Dying at home from ARI was associated with living in a crowded home (odds ratio [OR], 3.73; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.41-9.88), having an adolescent mother (OR, 4.89; 95% CI, 1.37-17.38), lacking running water in the home (OR, 4.39; 95% CI, 1.11-17.38), incomplete vaccinations for age (OR, 3.39; 95% CI, 1.20-9.62), admission to a neonatal intensive care unit (OR, 7.17; 95% CI, 2.21-23.27), and no emergency department visit during the ARI episode (OR, 72.32; 95% CI, 4.82-1085.6). The at-home death rate due to respiratory syncytial virus infection among infants was 0.26 deaths/100 live births and that due to influenza was 0.07 deaths/1000 live births.

Conclusions

Social vulnerabilities underlie at-home mortality due to ARI. Mortality rates due to RSV and influenza virus infection are high among infants at home and are similar to those reported for hospitalized children.

Circumstances of child deaths in Mali and Uganda: a community-based confidential enquiry

BACKGROUND

Interventions to reduce child deaths in Africa have often underachieved, causing the Millennium Development Goal targets to be missed. We assessed whether a community enquiry into the circumstances of death could improve intervention effectiveness by identifying local avoidable factors and explaining implementation failures.

METHODS

Deaths of children younger than 5 years were ascertained by community informants in two districts in Mali (762 deaths) and three districts in Uganda (442 deaths) in 2011-15. Deaths were investigated by interviewing parents and health workers. Investigation findings were reviewed by a panel of local health-care workers and community representatives, who formulated recommendations to address avoidable factors and, subsequently, oversaw their implementation.

FINDINGS

At least one avoidable factor was identified in 97% (95% CI 96-98, 737 of 756) of deaths in children younger than 5 years in Mali and 95% (93-97, 389 of 409) in Uganda. Suboptimal newborn care was a factor in 76% (146 of 194) of neonatal deaths in Mali and 64% (134 of 194) in Uganda. The most frequent avoidable factor in postneonatal deaths was inadequate child protection (mainly child neglect) in Uganda (29%, 63 of 215) and malnutrition in Mali (22%, 124 of 562). 84% (618 of 736 in Mali, 328 of 391 in Uganda) of families had consulted a health-care provider for the fatal illness, but the quality of care was often inadequate. Even in official primary care clinics, danger signs were often missed (43% of cases in Mali [135 of 396], 39% in Uganda [30 of 78]), essential treatment was not given (39% in Mali [154 of 396], 35% in Uganda [27 of 78]), and patients who were seriously ill were not referred to a hospital in time (51% in Mali [202 of 396], 45% in Uganda [35 of 78]). Local recommendations focused on quality of care in health-care facilities and on community issues influencing treatment-seeking behaviour.

INTERPRETATION

Local investigation and review of circumstances of death of children in sub-Saharan Africa is likely to lead to more effective interventions than simple consideration of the biomedical causes of death. This approach discerned local public health priorities and implementable solutions to address the avoidable factors identified.

FUNDING

European Union's 7th Framework Programme for research and technological development.

Under-five mortality in the Rongo Sub-County of Migori County, Kenya: Experience of the Lwala Community Alliance 2007-2017 with evidence from a cross-sectional survey

Introduction

Childhood mortality remains a pressing problem in rural Kenya, and reducing under-five deaths is a key target of the Sustainable Development Goals. We aim to describe the reduction in under-five mortality in a rural Kenyan community served by the Lwala Community Alliance and factors associated with under-five mortality in this community.

Methods

A cross-sectional survey containing a complete birth history was administered to a representative sample of the catchment area of the Lwala Community Alliance. Survival analysis techniques were used to describe temporal trends and risk factors related to under-five mortality.

Results

1,362 children were included in the study, and 91 children died before the fifth birthday. The most common causes of death among children under five were malaria (19%), respiratory infection (13%), and anemia (11%). The under-five mortality rate was 104.8 per 1,000 live births from 1999 to 2006 and 53.0 per 1,000 after the founding of the Lwala Community Alliance in 2007. Factors associated with under-five mortality included year of birth (HR 0.931; 95% CI: 0.877, 0.988; p = 0.019), multiple-gestation pregnancy (HR 6.201; 95% CI: 2.073, 18.555; p < 0.001), and birth in the long rain season (HR 1.981; 95% CI: 1.350, 2.907; p < 0.001). Birth spacing greater than 18 months was negatively associated with under-five mortality (HR 0.345; 95% CI: 0.203, 0.587; p < 0.001).

Conclusions

There was a significant decrease in under-five mortality before and after the presence of the Lwala Community Alliance. Multiple-gestation pregnancies, birth season, and short birth spacing were associated with under-five mortality and provide possible targets to further reduce mortality in the region. This provides both hyper-local data necessary for implementation efforts and generalizable data and sampling methods that may be useful for other implementing organizations in sub-Saharan Africa.