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Wang S, Sun J, Zhang X, Li M, Qin B, Liu M, Zhang N, Wang S, Zhou T, Zhang W, Ma C, Deng X, Bai Y, Qu G, Liu L, Shi H, Zhou B, Li K, Yang B, Li S, Wang F, Ma J, Zhang L, Wang Y, An L, Liu W, Chang Q, Zhang R, Yin X, Yang Y, Ao Q, Ma Q, Yan S, Huang H, Song P, Gao L, Lu W, Xu L, Lei L, Wang K, Zhang Q, Song Q, Zhang Z, Fang X, He Y, Li T, Zhu P. Antiviral effectiveness and survival correlation of azvudine and nirmatrelvir/ritonavir in elderly severe patients with COVID-19: a retrospective real-world study. EClinicalMedicine 2024; 69:102468. [PMID: 38361990 PMCID: PMC10867603 DOI: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2024.102468] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/19/2023] [Revised: 01/18/2024] [Accepted: 01/19/2024] [Indexed: 02/17/2024] Open
Abstract
Background Azvudine and nirmatrelvir/ritonavir are approved to treat mild-to-moderate coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in adults with a high risk for progression to severe infection. We sought to compare the antiviral effectiveness and clinical outcomes of elderly severe patients with COVID-19 receiving these two antiviral agents. Methods In this observational study, we identified 249 elderly patients with severe COVID-19 infection who were admitted to the Second Medical Center of the People's Liberation Army General Hospital from December 2022 to January 2023, including 128 azvudine recipients, 66 nirmatrelvir/ritonavir recipients and 55 patients not received antiviral treatments. We compared the cycle threshold (Ct) value dynamic change of all three groups. The primary outcome was a composite outcome of disease progression, including all-cause death, intensive care unit admission, and initiation of invasive mechanical ventilation. The outcomes of all enrolled patients were followed up from the electronic medical record system. Kaplan-Meier and Cox risk proportional regression analyses were used to compare the clinical outcomes of all three groups. To more directly compare the effectiveness of the two antiviral drugs, we performed propensity-score matching between the two antiviral groups and compared antiviral efficacy and clinical outcomes in the matched population. Findings Among 249 patients (mean age, 91.41 years), 77 patients died during the follow-up period. When compared to patients who did not receive any antivirals, neither nirmatrelvir/ritonavir nor azvudine demonstrated a survival benefit. The Cox analysis of the all-cause death of the three groups showed that the risk of death was 0.730 (0.423-1.262) in the azvudine group 0.802 (0.435-1.480) and in the nirmatrelvir/ritonavir group compared with the non-antiviral group. After propensity score matching, we included 58 azvudine recipients and 58 nirmatrelvir/ritonavir recipients. The fitted curve of the Ct value after matching illustrated that the rate of viral decline in the early stage of nirmatrelvir/ritonavir treatment seems to surpass that of azvudine, but there was no statistical significance. Azvudine was seemly associated with a lower risk of composite outcomes (HR:1.676, 95% CI:0.805-3.488) and short-term all-cause death (HR: 1.291, 95%CI: 0.546-3.051). Interpretation Patients who received azvudine have a similar antiviral effectiveness and survival curve trend compared to nirmatrelvir/ritonavir. In this limited series, antiviral treatment was not associated with a significant clinical benefit. This lack of clinical benefit might be attributed to potential bias. Funding This study was supported by the "National Key R&D Program of China" (Funding No. 2020YFC2008900) and the National Defense Science and Technology Innovation Special Zone Project (223-CXCY-N101-07-18-01).
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Affiliation(s)
- Shuxia Wang
- Department of Geriatrics, The Second Medical Center & National Clinical Research Center for Geriatric Diseases, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Jin Sun
- Department of Geriatrics, The Second Medical Center & National Clinical Research Center for Geriatric Diseases, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
- Medical School of Chinese PLA, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Xin Zhang
- The Second Medical Center, PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Man Li
- Department of Geriatrics, The Second Medical Center & National Clinical Research Center for Geriatric Diseases, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Bangguo Qin
- Medical School of Chinese PLA, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Miao Liu
- Department of Anti-NBC Medicine, Graduate School of Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Nan Zhang
- Medical School of Chinese PLA, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Shengshu Wang
- Institute of Geriatrics, The Second Medical Center, Beijing Key Laboratory of Aging and Geriatrics, National Clinical Research Center for Geriatrics Diseases, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Tingyu Zhou
- National Clinical Research Center for Geriatric Diseases, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Wei Zhang
- Department of Integrative Therapy, The Second Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Cong Ma
- Department of Health Medicine, The Second Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Xinli Deng
- Department of Clinical Laboratory, The Second Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Yongyi Bai
- Department of Cardiology, The Second Medical Center & National Clinical Research Center for Geriatric Diseases, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Geping Qu
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, The Second Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Lin Liu
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, The Second Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Hui Shi
- Department of Gastroenterology, The Second Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Bo Zhou
- Department of Neurology, The Second Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Ke Li
- Department of Neurology, The Second Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Bo Yang
- Department of Hematology, The Second Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Suxia Li
- Department of Hematology, The Second Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Fan Wang
- Department of Cardiology, The Second Medical Center & National Clinical Research Center for Geriatric Diseases, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Jinling Ma
- Department of Cardiology, The Second Medical Center & National Clinical Research Center for Geriatric Diseases, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Lu Zhang
- Department of Cardiology, The Second Medical Center & National Clinical Research Center for Geriatric Diseases, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Yajuan Wang
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, The Second Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Li An
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, The Second Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Wenhui Liu
- Department of Gastroenterology, The Second Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Qing Chang
- Department of Gastroenterology, The Second Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Ru Zhang
- Department of Gastroenterology, The Second Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Xi Yin
- Department of Neurology, The Second Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Yang Yang
- Department of Neurology, The Second Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Qiangguo Ao
- Department of Nephrology, The Second Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Qiang Ma
- Department of Nephrology, The Second Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Shuangtong Yan
- Department of Endocrinology, The Second Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Haili Huang
- Department of Medical Oncology, The Second Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Peng Song
- Department of Medical Oncology, The Second Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Linggen Gao
- Department of General Surgery, The Second Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Wenning Lu
- Department of General Surgery, The Second Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Lining Xu
- Department of General Surgery, The Second Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Li Lei
- Department of Health Medicine, The Second Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Keyu Wang
- Department of Clinical Laboratory, The Second Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Qi Zhang
- The Second Medical Center, PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Qing Song
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, The First Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Zhijian Zhang
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, The Second Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Xiangqun Fang
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, The Second Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Yao He
- Institute of Geriatrics, The Second Medical Center, Beijing Key Laboratory of Aging and Geriatrics, National Clinical Research Center for Geriatrics Diseases, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Tianzhi Li
- The Second Medical Center, PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Ping Zhu
- Department of Geriatrics, The Second Medical Center & National Clinical Research Center for Geriatric Diseases, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
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Anesi GL, Degnan K, Dutcher L, Saw S, Maguire C, Binkley A, Patel S, Athans V, Barton TD, Binkley S, Candeloro CL, Herman DJ, Kasbekar N, Kennedy L, Millstein JH, Meyer NJ, Talati NJ, Patel H, Pegues DA, Sayre PJ, Tebas P, Terico AT, Murphy KM, O’Donnell JA, White M, Hamilton KW. The Penn Medicine COVID-19 Therapeutics Committee-Reflections on a Model for Rapid Evidence Review and Dynamic Practice Recommendations During a Public Health Emergency. Open Forum Infect Dis 2023; 10:ofad428. [PMID: 37663091 PMCID: PMC10468749 DOI: 10.1093/ofid/ofad428] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/25/2023] [Accepted: 08/08/2023] [Indexed: 09/05/2023] Open
Abstract
The Penn Medicine COVID-19 Therapeutics Committee-an interspecialty, clinician-pharmacist, and specialist-front line primary care collaboration-has served as a forum for rapid evidence review and the production of dynamic practice recommendations during the 3-year coronavirus disease 2019 public health emergency. We describe the process by which the committee went about its work and how it navigated specific challenging scenarios. Our target audiences are clinicians, hospital leaders, public health officials, and researchers invested in preparedness for inevitable future threats. Our objectives are to discuss the logistics and challenges of forming an effective committee, undertaking a rapid evidence review process, aligning evidence-based guidelines with operational realities, and iteratively revising recommendations in response to changing pandemic data. We specifically discuss the arc of evidence for corticosteroids; the noble beginnings and dangerous misinformation end of hydroxychloroquine and ivermectin; monoclonal antibodies and emerging viral variants; and patient screening and safety processes for tocilizumab, baricitinib, and nirmatrelvir-ritonavir.
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Affiliation(s)
- George L Anesi
- Division of Pulmonary, Allergy, and Critical Care, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Kathleen Degnan
- Division of Infectious Diseases, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Lauren Dutcher
- Division of Infectious Diseases, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Stephen Saw
- Department of Pharmacy, Hospital of the University of Pennsylvania, University of Pennsylvania Health System, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Christina Maguire
- Department of Pharmacy, Penn Presbyterian Medical Center, University of Pennsylvania Health System, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Amanda Binkley
- Department of Pharmacy, Penn Presbyterian Medical Center, University of Pennsylvania Health System, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Sonal Patel
- Department of Pharmacy, Hospital of the University of Pennsylvania, University of Pennsylvania Health System, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Vasilios Athans
- Department of Pharmacy, Hospital of the University of Pennsylvania, University of Pennsylvania Health System, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Todd D Barton
- Division of Infectious Diseases, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Shawn Binkley
- Department of Pharmacy, Hospital of the University of Pennsylvania, University of Pennsylvania Health System, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Christina L Candeloro
- Department of Pharmacy, Hospital of the University of Pennsylvania, University of Pennsylvania Health System, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - David J Herman
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Penn Medicine Princeton Medical Center, University of Pennsylvania Health System, Princeton, New Jersey, USA
| | - Nishaminy Kasbekar
- Department of Pharmacy, Penn Presbyterian Medical Center, University of Pennsylvania Health System, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Leigh Kennedy
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Pennsylvania Hospital, University of Pennsylvania Health System, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Jeffrey H Millstein
- Regional Physician Practices of Penn Medicine, Woodbury Heights, New Jersey, USA
| | - Nuala J Meyer
- Division of Pulmonary, Allergy, and Critical Care, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Naasha J Talati
- Division of Infectious Diseases, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Hinal Patel
- Department of Pharmacy, Penn Medicine Princeton Medical Center, University of Pennsylvania Health System, Princeton, New Jersey, USA
| | - David A Pegues
- Division of Infectious Diseases, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Patrick J Sayre
- Department of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Pablo Tebas
- Division of Infectious Diseases, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Adrienne T Terico
- Department of Pharmacy, Pennsylvania Hospital, University of Pennsylvania Health System, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Kathleen M Murphy
- Division of Infectious Diseases, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Judith A O’Donnell
- Division of Infectious Diseases, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Melissa White
- Department of Pharmacy, Penn Medicine Lancaster General Health, University of Pennsylvania Health System, Lancaster, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Keith W Hamilton
- Division of Infectious Diseases, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
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