Assessing the effect of the coal-to-gas program on air pollution: evidence from China

This paper studies the relationship between the coal-to-gas program and air pollution in China and provides micro-evidence of the mechanism from the perspective of households. Using daily air pollution and meteorological data between January 1, 2016, and January 1, 2020, we assessed the effect of the coal-to-gas program on air pollution by introducing the regression discontinuity designs in time (RDiT). We found that the coal-to-gas program significantly improved air quality and brought significant economic benefits. In the short term, the coal-to-gas program can lead to more than 10 units of reduction in SO₂, PM_2.5, and AQI in the treatment group, while it can lead to more than 50 units in the long term. Using the difference-in-differences approach, we found that the coal-to-gas program has significantly reduced air pollution. Combined with the micro-panel data of the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study from 2011 to 2018, we found that the coal-to-gas program changes the household heating energy choices and that the probability of coal-fired heating of households in pilot areas is decreasing. The study suggests that non-clean energy in households should be further replaced to continue improving air quality.

The Effect of the "Triple-Layer Medical Security" Policy on the Vulnerability as Expected Poverty of Rural Households: Evidence from Yunnan Province, China

China launched the "critical battle against poverty" nationwide in 2012. As its main battlefield, Yunnan province promulgated the "triple medical security" (TMS) policy in 2017. This study, based on the pooled cross-section database of 2015-2020 of registered poor households in Yunnan province, employed the logit model to examine the effect of TMS on the vulnerability as expected poverty (VEP) of these households. It found that increasing the reimbursement rates for overall medical expenses and inpatient expenses and decreasing the proportion of out-of-pocket medical payment to income reduced the VEP; increases in the number of sick people in the family increased its VEP, and although the increase in the reimbursement rate for overall medical expenses or for inpatient expenses partially offset the VEP caused by the increase in the number of chronically ill people in the family, the VEP caused by the increase in the number of critically ill people would increase in the short term with the increase in the reimbursement rate for overall medical expenses or for inpatient expenses. The findings help improve policies concerning the medical security and health of the rural poor population, providing theoretical reference and practical guidance for future research.