Short-term risk prediction after major lower limb amputation: PERCEIVE study

BACKGROUND

The accuracy with which healthcare professionals (HCPs) and risk prediction tools predict outcomes after major lower limb amputation (MLLA) is uncertain. The aim of this study was to evaluate the accuracy of predicting short-term (30 days after MLLA) mortality, morbidity, and revisional surgery.

METHODS

The PERCEIVE (PrEdiction of Risk and Communication of outcomE following major lower limb amputation: a collaboratIVE) study was launched on 1 October 2020. It was an international multicentre study, including adults undergoing MLLA for complications of peripheral arterial disease and/or diabetes. Preoperative predictions of 30-day mortality, morbidity, and MLLA revision by surgeons and anaesthetists were recorded. Probabilities from relevant risk prediction tools were calculated. Evaluation of accuracy included measures of discrimination, calibration, and overall performance.

RESULTS

Some 537 patients were included. HCPs had acceptable discrimination in predicting mortality (931 predictions; C-statistic 0.758) and MLLA revision (565 predictions; C-statistic 0.756), but were poor at predicting morbidity (980 predictions; C-statistic 0.616). They overpredicted the risk of all outcomes. All except three risk prediction tools had worse discrimination than HCPs for predicting mortality (C-statistics 0.789, 0.774, and 0.773); two of these significantly overestimated the risk compared with HCPs. SORT version 2 (the only tool incorporating HCP predictions) demonstrated better calibration and overall performance (Brier score 0.082) than HCPs. Tools predicting morbidity and MLLA revision had poor discrimination (C-statistics 0.520 and 0.679).

CONCLUSION

Clinicians predicted mortality and MLLA revision well, but predicted morbidity poorly. They overestimated the risk of mortality, morbidity, and MLLA revision. Most short-term risk prediction tools had poorer discrimination or calibration than HCPs. The best method of predicting mortality was a statistical tool that incorporated HCP estimation.

Indocyanine Green to Visualize and Resect Pulmonary Sequestration in Adults

Pulmonary sequestration (PS) is a rare congenital pulmonary dysplasia which presents with recurrent chest infections and haemoptysis. Its diagnosis is difficult and suspected on contrast-enhanced chest CT. The definitive treatment of pulmonary sequestration is surgical resection or endoluminal occlusion of the abnormal feeding vessel. Here, we report an innovative technique in which per-operative indocyanine green guided excision of intra-lobar sequestrated lung parenchyma and ligation of abnormal feeding vessel. The first patient was a 44-year-old gentleman with recurrent bouts of cough for 2 years. Courses of antibiotics failed to resolve it. Fibreoptic bronchoscopy and routine blood tests did not show any abnormality. CECT chest showed multiloculated cystic solid and low density mass in the right lower lung. The area of the lesion received its blood supply from anomalous systemic artery originating from coeliac trunk. Intraoperative, indocyanine green was injected into the atypical vessel, and pulmonary sequestration turned green. A sequential atypical lung resection could be completely removed with parenchyma preservation. The second patient was a 53-year-old lady presenting with chest pain, cough and expectoration for 2 years not responding to general management and antibiotics. CECT showed a low-density mass in the right lower lung lobe, with a feeding arterial vessel arising from the abdominal aorta. This was diagnosed as PS and resected using per-operative indocyanine green with parenchymal preservation and ligation of feeding vessel. Both patients have been followed up for at least 1 year and are symptom free. The intraoperative use of indocyanine green could greatly facilitate the presentation of the extent of a lung sequestration and safe resection.

Pathophysiology of chronic limb ischemia

Chronic ischemia of the lower extremities is an everyday problem in vascular surgery clinics. In Germany, approximately 3% of all hospitalizations are due to peripheral artery disease (PAD), with critical limb ischemia (CLI) in particular showing a rapid increase. The consequences of chronic undersupply range from reduced walking distance to loss of limbs. At the beginning there are stress factors, such as hyperlipidemia (LDL), free radicals, arterial hypertension, infections or subclinical inflammation that interfere with endothelial homeostasis and cause endothelial dysfunction with increased permeability. Cells of the immune system are attracted and migrate into the vascular wall, where they lead to the degradation of matrix components and destabilization of the plaque. By changing the phenotype of smooth muscle cells and macrophages towards osteoclast-like cells, bone-like hardening of the vessel wall takes place. Above a vessel wall thickness of approximately 100 µm, hypoxia-induced factor (HIF-1α) is intensified by the lack of oxygen, which leads to an increase in growth factors, such as vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF). This promotes angiogenesis, but it is not sufficient to compensate for a stenosed artery. Arteriogenesis refers to the growth of existing collateral vessels. The driving forces are the pressure gradient before and after the stenosis and the shear forces acting on the vessel walls. In the case of progressive stenosis, the compensatory capacities can be overtaxed and a manifest hypoxia in the tissue with regression of the obtained vascular structures and tissue atrophy occurs.

Novel effects of adenosine receptors on pericellular hyaluronan matrix: implications for human smooth muscle cell phenotype and interactions with monocytes during atherosclerosis

Hyaluronan (HA) is responsive to pro-atherosclerotic growth factors and cytokines and is thought to contribute to neointimal hyperplasia and atherosclerosis. However, the specific function of the pericellular HA matrix is likely depend on the respective stimuli. Adenosine plays an important role in the phenotypic regulation of vascular smooth muscle cells (VSMC) and is thought to inhibit inflammatory responses during atherosclerosis. The aim of this study was to examine the regulation and function of HA matrix in response to adenosine in human coronary artery SMC (HCASMC). The adenosine receptor agonist NECA (10 μM) caused a strong induction of HA synthase (HAS)1 at 6 h and a weaker induction again after 24 h. Use of selective adenosine receptor antagonists revealed that adenosine A2(B) receptors (A2(B)R) mediate the early HAS1 induction, whereas late HAS1 induction was mediated via A2(A)R and A3R. The strong response after 6 h was mediated in part via phosphoinositide-3 kinase- and mitogen-activated protein kinase pathways and was inhibited by Epac. Functionally, NECA increased cell migration, which was abolished by shRNA-mediated knock down of HAS1. In addition to HA secretion, NECA also stimulated the formation of pronounced pericellular HA matrix in HCASMC and increased the adhesion of monocytes. The adenosine-induced monocyte adhesion was sensitive to hyaluronidase. In conclusion, the current data suggest that adenosine via adenosine A2(B)R and A2(A)R/A3R induces HAS1. In turn a HA-rich matrix is formed by HCASMC which likely supports the migratory HCASMC phenotype and traps monocytes/macrophages in the interstitial matrix.

[Endovascular treatment of traumatic ruptures of the thoracic aorta]

Traumatic rupture of the descending aorta is an acute life-threatening event. The most common cause is deceleration trauma resulting in a sudden stretching of the aortic isthmus as for example in car and motorcycle accidents and falls from a great height. Exemplified by a case report of a multiply injured 57-year-old male the diagnostic pathways, therapy and postoperative complications are presented.