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Janko MM, Araujo AL, Ascencio EJ, Guedes GR, Vasco LE, Santos RO, Damasceno CP, Medrano PG, Chacón-Uscamaita PR, Gunderson AK, O'Malley S, Kansara PH, Narvaez MB, Coombes C, Pizzitutti F, Salmon-Mulanovich G, Zaitchik BF, Mena CF, Lescano AG, Barbieri AF, Pan WK. Study protocol: improving response to malaria in the Amazon through identification of inter-community networks and human mobility in border regions of Ecuador, Peru and Brazil. BMJ Open 2024; 14:e078911. [PMID: 38626977 PMCID: PMC11029361 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2023-078911] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/16/2023] [Accepted: 02/29/2024] [Indexed: 04/19/2024] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Understanding human mobility's role in malaria transmission is critical to successful control and elimination. However, common approaches to measuring mobility are ill-equipped for remote regions such as the Amazon. This study develops a network survey to quantify the effect of community connectivity and mobility on malaria transmission. METHODS We measure community connectivity across the study area using a respondent driven sampling design among key informants who are at least 18 years of age. 45 initial communities will be selected: 10 in Brazil, 10 in Ecuador and 25 in Peru. Participants will be recruited in each initial node and administered a survey to obtain data on each community's mobility patterns. Survey responses will be ranked and the 2-3 most connected communities will then be selected and surveyed. This process will be repeated for a third round of data collection. Community network matrices will be linked with each country's malaria surveillance system to test the effects of mobility on disease risk. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION This study protocol has been approved by the institutional review boards of Duke University (USA), Universidad San Francisco de Quito (Ecuador), Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia (Peru) and Universidade Federal Minas Gerais (Brazil). Results will be disseminated in communities by the end of the study.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mark M Janko
- Duke Global Health Institute, Durham, North Carolina, USA
| | - Andrea L Araujo
- Instituto de Geografia, Universidad San Francisco de Quito, Quito, Ecuador
| | - Edson J Ascencio
- Emerge, Emerging Diseases and Climate Change Research Unit, School of Public Health and Administration, Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, Lima, Peru
| | - Gilvan R Guedes
- Center for Regional Development and Planning (Cedeplar), Federal University of Minas Gerais (UFMG), Belo Horizonte, Brazil
| | - Luis E Vasco
- Instituto de Geografia, Universidad San Francisco de Quito, Quito, Ecuador
| | - Reinaldo O Santos
- Center for Regional Development and Planning (Cedeplar), Federal University of Minas Gerais (UFMG), Belo Horizonte, Brazil
| | - Camila P Damasceno
- Center for Regional Development and Planning (Cedeplar), Federal University of Minas Gerais (UFMG), Belo Horizonte, Brazil
| | | | - Pamela R Chacón-Uscamaita
- Emerge, Emerging Diseases and Climate Change Research Unit, School of Public Health and Administration, Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, Lima, Peru
| | - Annika K Gunderson
- Department of Epidemiology, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA
| | - Sara O'Malley
- Duke University Nicholas School of the Environment, Durham, North Carolina, USA
| | - Prakrut H Kansara
- Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Manuel B Narvaez
- Instituto de Geografia, Universidad San Francisco de Quito, Quito, Ecuador
| | - Carolina Coombes
- Emerge, Emerging Diseases and Climate Change Research Unit, School of Public Health and Administration, Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, Lima, Peru
| | | | | | - Benjamin F Zaitchik
- Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Carlos F Mena
- Instituto de Geografia, Universidad San Francisco de Quito, Quito, Ecuador
| | - Andres G Lescano
- Emerge, Emerging Diseases and Climate Change Research Unit, School of Public Health and Administration, Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, Lima, Peru
| | - Alisson F Barbieri
- Center for Regional Development and Planning (Cedeplar), Federal University of Minas Gerais (UFMG), Belo Horizonte, Brazil
| | - William K Pan
- Duke Global Health Institute, Durham, North Carolina, USA
- Duke University Nicholas School of the Environment, Durham, North Carolina, USA
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Janko MM, Araujo AL, Ascencio EJ, Guedes GR, Vasco LE, Santos RA, Damasceno CP, Medrano PG, Chacón-Uscamaita PR, Gunderson AK, O’Malley S, Kansara PH, Narvaez MB, Coombes CS, Pizzitutti F, Salmon-Mulanovich G, Zaitchik BF, Mena CF, Lescano AG, Barbieri AF, Pan WK. Network Profile: Improving Response to Malaria in the Amazon through Identification of Inter-Community Networks and Human Mobility in Border Regions of Ecuador, Peru, and Brazil. medRxiv 2023:2023.11.29.23299202. [PMID: 38076857 PMCID: PMC10705622 DOI: 10.1101/2023.11.29.23299202] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/19/2023]
Abstract
Objectives Understanding human mobility's role on malaria transmission is critical to successful control and elimination. However, common approaches to measuring mobility are ill-equipped for remote regions such as the Amazon. This study develops a network survey to quantify the effect of community connectivity and mobility on malaria transmission. Design A community-level network survey. Setting We collect data on community connectivity along three river systems in the Amazon basin: the Pastaza river corridor spanning the Ecuador-Peru border; and the Amazon and Javari river corridors spanning the Brazil-Peru border. Participants We interviewed key informants in Brazil, Ecuador, and Peru, including from indigenous communities: Shuar, Achuar, Shiwiar, Kichwa, Ticuna, and Yagua. Key informants are at least 18 years of age and are considered community leaders. Primary outcome Weekly, community-level malaria incidence during the study period. Methods We measure community connectivity across the study area using a respondent driven sampling design. Forty-five communities were initially selected: 10 in Brazil, 10 in Ecuador, and 25 in Peru. Participants were recruited in each initial node and administered a survey to obtain data on each community's mobility patterns. Survey responses were ranked and the 2-3 most connected communities were then selected and surveyed. This process was repeated for a third round of data collection. Community network matrices will be linked with eadch country's malaria surveillance system to test the effects of mobility on disease risk. Findings To date, 586 key informants were surveyed from 126 communities along the Pastaza river corridor. Data collection along the Amazon and Javari river corridors is ongoing. Initial results indicate that network sampling is a superior method to delineate migration flows between communities. Conclusions Our study provides measures of mobility and connectivity in rural settings where traditional approaches are insufficient, and will allow us to understand mobility's effect on malaria transmission.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mark M. Janko
- Duke Global Health Institute, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, USA
| | - Andrea L. Araujo
- Instituto de Geografía, Universidad San Francisco de Quito, Quito, Ecuador
| | - Edson J. Ascencio
- Emerge, Emerging Diseases and Climate Change Research Unit, School of Public Health and Administration, Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, Lima, Peru
| | - Gilvan R. Guedes
- Center for Regional Development and Planning (Cedeplar), Federal University of Minas Gerais (UFMG), Belo Horizonte, Brazil
| | - Luis E. Vasco
- Instituto de Geografía, Universidad San Francisco de Quito, Quito, Ecuador
| | - Reinaldo A. Santos
- Center for Regional Development and Planning (Cedeplar), Federal University of Minas Gerais (UFMG), Belo Horizonte, Brazil
| | - Camila P. Damasceno
- Center for Regional Development and Planning (Cedeplar), Federal University of Minas Gerais (UFMG), Belo Horizonte, Brazil
| | - Perla G. Medrano
- Duke Global Health Institute, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, USA
| | - Pamela R. Chacón-Uscamaita
- Emerge, Emerging Diseases and Climate Change Research Unit, School of Public Health and Administration, Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, Lima, Peru
| | - Annika K. Gunderson
- Department of Epidemiology, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA
| | - Sara O’Malley
- Duke Global Health Institute, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, USA
| | - Prakrut H. Kansara
- Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Manuel B. Narvaez
- Instituto de Geografía, Universidad San Francisco de Quito, Quito, Ecuador
| | - Carolina S. Coombes
- Emerge, Emerging Diseases and Climate Change Research Unit, School of Public Health and Administration, Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, Lima, Peru
| | | | | | - Benjamin F. Zaitchik
- Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Carlos F. Mena
- Instituto de Geografía, Universidad San Francisco de Quito, Quito, Ecuador
| | - Andres G. Lescano
- Emerge, Emerging Diseases and Climate Change Research Unit, School of Public Health and Administration, Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, Lima, Peru
| | - Alisson F. Barbieri
- Center for Regional Development and Planning (Cedeplar), Federal University of Minas Gerais (UFMG), Belo Horizonte, Brazil
| | - William K. Pan
- Duke Global Health Institute, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, USA
- Nicholas School of the Environment, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, USA
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Janko MM, Recalde-Coronel GC, Damasceno CP, Salmón-Mulanovich G, Barbieri AF, Lescano AG, Zaitchik BF, Pan WK. The impact of sustained malaria control in the Loreto region of Peru: a retrospective, observational, spatially-varying interrupted time series analysis of the PAMAFRO program. Lancet Reg Health Am 2023; 20:100477. [PMID: 36970494 PMCID: PMC10036736 DOI: 10.1016/j.lana.2023.100477] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/20/2022] [Revised: 10/23/2022] [Accepted: 03/07/2023] [Indexed: 03/18/2023]
Abstract
Background Although malaria control investments worldwide have resulted in dramatic declines in transmission since 2000, progress has stalled. In the Amazon, malaria resurgence has followed withdrawal of Global Fund support of the Project for Malaria Control in Andean Border Areas (PAMAFRO). We estimate intervention-specific and spatially-explicit effects of the PAMAFRO program on malaria incidence across the Loreto region of Peru, and consider the influence of the environmental risk factors in the presence of interventions. Methods We conducted a retrospective, observational, spatial interrupted time series analysis of malaria incidence rates among people reporting to health posts across Loreto, Peru between the first epidemiological week of January 2001 and the last epidemiological week of December 2016. Model inference is at the smallest administrative unit (district), where the weekly number of diagnosed cases of Plasmodium vivax and Plasmodium falciparum were determined by microscopy. Census data provided population at risk. We include as covariates weekly estimates of minimum temperature and cumulative precipitation in each district, as well as spatially- and temporally-lagged malaria incidence rates. Environmental data were derived from a hydrometeorological model designed for the Amazon. We used Bayesian spatiotemporal modeling techniques to estimate the impact of the PAMAFRO program, variability in environmental effects, and the role of climate anomalies on transmission after PAMAFRO withdrawal. Findings During the PAMAFRO program, incidence of P. vivax declined from 42.8 to 10.1 cases/1000 people/year. Incidence for P. falciparum declined from 14.3 to 2.5 cases/1000 people/year over this same period. The effects of PAMAFRO-supported interventions varied both by geography and species of malaria. Interventions were only effective in districts where interventions were also deployed in surrounding districts. Further, interventions diminished the effects of other prevailing demographic and environmental risk factors. Withdrawal of the program led to a resurgence in transmission. Increasing minimum temperatures and variability and intensity of rainfall events from 2011 onward and accompanying population displacements contributed to this resurgence. Interpretation Malaria control programs must consider the climate and environmental scope of interventions to maximize effectiveness. They must also ensure financial sustainability to maintain local progress and commitment to malaria prevention and elimination efforts, as well as to offset the effects of environmental change that increase transmission risk. Funding National Aeronautics and Space Administration, National Institutes of Health, Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mark M. Janko
- Duke Global Health Institute, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
| | - G. Cristina Recalde-Coronel
- Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA
- Facultad de Ingeniería Marítima y Ciencias del Mar, Escuela Superior Politécnica del Litoral, Guayaquil, Ecuador
| | | | | | | | - Andrés G. Lescano
- Clima, Latin American Center of Excellence for Climate Change and Health, and Emerge, Emerging Diseases and Climate Change Research Unit, Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, Lima, Peru
| | - Benjamin F. Zaitchik
- Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - William K. Pan
- Duke Global Health Institute, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA
- Nicholas School of the Environment, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA
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Kerr GH, Badr HS, Barbieri AF, Colston JM, Gardner LM, Kosek MN, Zaitchik BF. Evolving Drivers of Brazilian SARS-CoV-2 Transmission: A Spatiotemporally Disaggregated Time Series Analysis of Meteorology, Policy, and Human Mobility. Geohealth 2023; 7:e2022GH000727. [PMID: 36960326 PMCID: PMC10030230 DOI: 10.1029/2022gh000727] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/04/2022] [Revised: 02/17/2023] [Accepted: 03/06/2023] [Indexed: 06/09/2023]
Abstract
Brazil has been severely affected by the COVID-19 pandemic. Temperature and humidity have been purported as drivers of SARS-CoV-2 transmission, but no consensus has been reached in the literature regarding the relative roles of meteorology, governmental policy, and mobility on transmission in Brazil. We compiled data on meteorology, governmental policy, and mobility in Brazil's 26 states and one federal district from June 2020 to August 2021. Associations between these variables and the time-varying reproductive number (R t ) of SARS-CoV-2 were examined using generalized additive models fit to data from the entire 15-month period and several shorter, 3-month periods. Accumulated local effects and variable importance metrics were calculated to analyze the relationship between input variables and R t . We found that transmission is strongly influenced by unmeasured sources of between-state heterogeneity and the near-recent trajectory of the pandemic. Increased temperature generally was associated with decreased transmission and increased specific humidity with increased transmission. However, the impacts of meteorology, policy, and mobility on R t varied in direction, magnitude, and significance across our study period. This time variance could explain inconsistencies in the published literature to date. While meteorology weakly modulates SARS-CoV-2 transmission, daily or seasonal weather variations alone will not stave off future surges in COVID-19 cases in Brazil. Investigating how the roles of environmental factors and disease control interventions may vary with time should be a deliberate consideration of future research on the drivers of SARS-CoV-2 transmission.
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Affiliation(s)
- Gaige Hunter Kerr
- Department of Environmental and Occupational HealthGeorge Washington UniversityWashingtonDCUSA
| | - Hamada S. Badr
- Department of Civil and Systems EngineeringJohns Hopkins UniversityBaltimoreMDUSA
- Now at Sales, Market, and Global ServicesAmazon Web ServicesSeattleWAUSA
| | - Alisson F. Barbieri
- Demography DepartmentUniversidade Federal de Minas GeraisBelo HorizonteBrazil
| | - Josh M. Colston
- Division of Infectious Diseases and International HealthUniversity of Virginia School of MedicineCharlottesvilleVAUSA
| | - Lauren M. Gardner
- Department of Civil and Systems EngineeringJohns Hopkins UniversityBaltimoreMDUSA
| | - Margaret N. Kosek
- Division of Infectious Diseases and International HealthUniversity of Virginia School of MedicineCharlottesvilleVAUSA
| | - Benjamin F. Zaitchik
- Department of Earth and Planetary SciencesJohns Hopkins UniversityBaltimoreMDUSA
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Barbieri AF, Guedes GR, Noronha K, Queiroz BL, Domingues EP, Rigotti JIR, Motta GPD, Chein F, Cortezzi F, Confalonieri UE, Souza KD. Population transitions and temperature change in Minas Gerais, Brazil: a multidimensional approach. Rev bras estud popul 2015. [DOI: 10.1590/s0102-3098201500000028] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/22/2022] Open
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Guedes GR, VanWey LK, Hull JR, Antigo M, Barbieri AF. Poverty dynamics, ecological endowments, and land use among smallholders in the Brazilian Amazon. Soc Sci Res 2014; 43:74-91. [PMID: 24267754 PMCID: PMC3949509 DOI: 10.1016/j.ssresearch.2013.09.002] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/04/2011] [Revised: 04/24/2013] [Accepted: 09/01/2013] [Indexed: 05/06/2023]
Abstract
Rural settlement in previously sparsely occupied areas of the Brazilian Amazon has been associated with high levels of forest loss and unclear long-term social outcomes. We focus here on the micro-level processes in one settlement area to answer the question of how settler and farm endowments affect household poverty. We analyze the extent to which poverty is sensitive to changes in natural capital, land use strategies, and biophysical characteristics of properties (particularly soil quality). Cumulative time spent in poverty is simulated using Markovian processes, which show that accessibility to markets and land use system are especially important for decreasing poverty among households in our sample. Wealtheir households are selected into commercial production of perennials before our initial observation, and are therefore in poverty a lower proportion of the time. Land in pasture, in contrast, has an independent effect on reducing the proportion of time spent in poverty. Taken together, these results show that investments in roads and the institutional structures needed to make commercial agriculture or ranching viable in existing and new settlement areas can improve human well-being in frontiers.
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Affiliation(s)
- Gilvan R. Guedes
- Brown University, Department of Sociology, Box 1916, Providence, RI, 02912
- Brown University, Environmental Change Initiative, Box 1951, Providence, RI, 02912
- Corresponding author. Tel: +55-33-3279-5200. , Permanent Address: Vale do Rio Doce University, Campus Armando Vieira. Rua Moreira Sales, 850 – Bairro Vila Bretas – CEP: 35030-390. Cx. Postal 295 – Governador Valadares/MG, Brazil
| | - Leah K. VanWey
- Brown University, Department of Sociology, Box 1916, Providence, RI, 02912
- Brown University, Environmental Change Initiative, Box 1951, Providence, RI, 02912
- Brown University, Population Studies and Training Center, Box 1836, Providence, RI, 02912
| | - James R. Hull
- Brown University, Environmental Change Initiative, Box 1951, Providence, RI, 02912
- Brown University, Population Studies and Training Center, Box 1836, Providence, RI, 02912
| | - Mariangela Antigo
- Federal University of Minas Gerais, Department of Economics, Av Antonio Carlos, 6627, Belo Horizonte, Brazil, CEP: 31270-901
| | - Alisson F. Barbieri
- Federal University of Minas Gerais, Demography Department, Av Antonio Carlos, 6627, Belo Horizonte, Brazil, CEP: 31270-901
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Guedes GR, Brondízio ES, Barbieri AF, Anne R, Penna-Firme R, D'Antona AO. Poverty and Inequality in the Rural Brazilian Amazon: A Multidimensional Approach. Hum Ecol Interdiscip J 2012; 40:41-57. [PMID: 22927705 PMCID: PMC3426830 DOI: 10.1007/s10745-011-9444-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/06/2023]
Abstract
This paper analyses poverty and inequality dynamics among smallholders along the Transamazon High-way. We measure changes in poverty and inequality for original settlers and new owners, contrasting income-based with multidimensional indices of well-being. Our results show an overall reduction in both poverty and inequality among smallholders, although poverty decline was more pronounced among new owners, while inequality reduction was larger among original settlers. This trend suggests that families have an initial improvement in livelihood and well-being which tends to reach a limit later-a sign of structural limitations common to rural areas and maybe a replication of boom and bust trends in local economies among Amazonian municipalities. In addition, our multidimensional estimates of well-being reveal that some economically viable land use strategies of smallholders (e.g., pasture) may have important ecological implications for the regional landscape. These findings highlight the public policy challenges for fostering sustainable development among rural populations.
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Affiliation(s)
- Gilvan R Guedes
- Brown University, Providence, RI, USA; GIT/Vale do Rio Doce University, Governador Valadares, MG, Brazil
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Barbieri AF, Ojima R. O passado é o prólogo. Rev bras estud popul 2010. [DOI: 10.1590/s0102-30982010000100001] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/22/2022] Open
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Abstract
The Ecuadorian Amazon, one of the richest reserves of biodiversity in the world, has faced one of the highest rates of deforestation of any Amazonian nation. Most of this forest elimination has been caused by agricultural colonization that followed the discovery of oil fields in 1967. Since the 1990s, an increasing process of urbanization has also engendered new patterns of population mobility within the Amazon, along with traditional ways by which rural settlers make their living. However, while very significant in its effects on deforestation, urbanization and regional development, population mobility within the Amazon has hardly been studied at all, as well as the distinct migration patterns between men and women. This paper uses a longitudinal dataset of 250 farm households in the Northern Ecuadorian Amazon to understand differentials between men and women migrants to urban and rural destinations and between men and women non-migrants. First, we use hazard analysis based on the Kaplan-Meier (KM) estimator to obtain the cumulative probability that an individual living in the study area in 1990 or at time t, will out-migrated at some time, t+n, before 1999. Results indicate that out-migration to other rural areas in the Amazon, especially pristine areas is considerably greater than out-migration to the growing, but still incipient, Amazonian urban areas. Furthermore, men are more likely to out-migrate to rural areas than women, while the reverse occurs for urban areas. Difference-of-means tests were employed to examine potential factors accounting for differentials between male and female out-migration to urban and rural areas. Among the key results, relative to men younger women are more likely to out-migrate to urban areas; more difficult access from farms to towns and roads constrains women's migration; and access to new lands in the Amazon-an important cause of further deforestation-is more associated with male out-migration. Economic factors such as engagement in on-farm work, increasing resource scarcity-measured by higher population density at the farm and reduction in farm land on forest and crops-and increase in pasture land are more associated with male out-migration to rural areas. On the other hand, increasing resource scarcity, higher population density and weaker migration networks are more associated with female out-migration to urban areas. Thus, a "vicious cycle" is created: Pressure over land leads to deforestation in most or all farm forest areas and reduces the possibilities for further agricultural extensification (deforestation); out-migration, especially male out-migration, occurs to other rural or forest areas in the Amazon (with women being more likely to choose urban destinations); and, giving continuing population growth and pressures in the new settled areas, new pressures promote further out-migration to rural destinations and unabated deforestation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alisson F. Barbieri
- Department of City and Regional Planning and Carolina Population Center, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, United States
- Corresponding author. Fax: +1 919 966 6638., E-mail address: (A.F. Barbieri)
| | - David L. Carr
- Department of Geography, University of California, Santa Barbara, United States
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