A new scoring system to predict mortality in community-acquired pneumonia: CURB (S)-65

OBJECTIVE

The first decision to be made in the case of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is whether hospitalization of the patient is mandatory. In this study, we aimed to investigate whether the addition of oxygenation parameters to CURB-65 has diagnostic value in predicting mortality in CAP.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A total of 903 CAP patients were included in the study. Patients with a CURB-65 score of 0 and 1 were classified as Group 1 and patients with a CURB-65 score of 2 or more were classified as Group 2. The prediction of mortality through Pneumonia Severity Index (PSI), CURB-65 and CURBS-65/CURBP-65 with the addition of SaO2 and PaO2 values; hence the four different models, was compared among all patient groups.

RESULTS

As a result, 3.3% of the cases in Group 1 and 12.7% of the cases in Group 2 died. In both CURB-65 groups, it was noted that the frequency of patients with SaO2 <90% was significantly higher in the dead group than in the alive patient group (p=0.009 and p=0.001, respectively). In the univariate analysis, PaO2<60, and SaO2<90 were significantly associated with mortality. Model 2 (CURBS-65) and Model 3 (CURBP- 65) were examined, SaO2<90 (OR 2.08) was found to have an effect on death. In predicting mortality by the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) analysis, it was understood that the CURBS-65 score had a slightly higher area under the curve (AUC) value than CURB-65.

CONCLUSIONS

As a result, it has been shown that the use of CURBS-65 scoring instead of CURB-65 clinical scoring may be more useful in predicting mortality.

Prognosis of hospitalized patients with community-acquired pneumonia

INTRODUCTION

The long-term prognosis of patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) has attracted increasing interest in recent years. The objective of the present study is to investigate the short and long-term outcomes in hospitalized patients with CAP and to identify the predictive factors associated with mortality.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

The study was designed as a retrospective, multicenter, observational study. Hospitalized patients with CAP, as recorded in the pneumonia database of the Turkish Thoracic Society between 2011 and 2013, were included. Short-term mortality was defined as 30-day mortality and long-term mortality was assessed from those who survived 30 days. Predictive factors for short- and long-term mortality were analyzed.

RESULTS

The study included 785 patients, 68% of whom were male and the mean age was 67±16 (18-92). The median duration of follow-up was 61.2±11.8 (37-90) months. Thirty-day mortality was 9.2% and the median survival of patients surviving 30 days was 62.8±4.4 months. Multivariate analysis revealed that advanced age, the absence of fever, a higher Charlson comorbidity score, higher blood urea nitrogen (BUN)/albumin ratios and lower alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels were all predictors of long-term mortality.

CONCLUSION

Long-term mortality following hospitalization for CAP is high. Charlson score and lack of fever are potential indicators for decreased long-term survival. As novel parameters, baseline BUN/albumin ratios and ALT levels are significantly associated with late mortality. Further interventions and closer monitoring are necessary for such subgroups of patients.