Influence of short- and long-term persistence on identification of rainfall temporal trends using different versions of the Mann-Kendall test in Mizoram, Northeast India

Investigating the temporal dynamics of rainfall in a changing climate, especially in rainfed agriculture regions, is crucial for analyzing climate-induced changes and offering adaptation options. Since Mizoram experiences unfavorable impacts of rain nearly every year, the region rainfall has been altering over the years, and vital climatic activity is becoming uncontrollable. The current study is primarily concerned with the changing trend of rainfall over Mizoram, which includes both short-term persistence (STP) and long-term persistence (LTP) of rainfall in seasonal and annual time series of rainfall overseeing for the period of 25 years of daily average rainfall from 1996 to 2020 collected collectively from the seven stations over the study area of Mizoram. Four different Mann-Kendall method iterations were used to analyze rainfall trends: the original or conventional method (without autocorrelation) (MnKn1), removing lag-1 autocorrelation (trend-free pre-whitening), considering multiple lag autocorrelation (more than lag-1 autocorrelation) (MnKn3), and Hurst coefficient or LTP (MnKn4). In the analysis, the study found that during monsoon, station Lawngtlai (LT) observed the highest rainfall having a Z value of 1.986, increased by 0.466 cm/year, while station Serchhip (SC) observed the lowest rainfall having Z value of -2.282, decreased by -0.163 cm/year. After applying modified MnKn4, we observed LTP of rainfall in winter at station Lawngtlai (LT) with an increasing trend and other stations observing STP in almost all seasons either increasing or decreasing trend. Therefore, possible climate change adaptation measures should be made to optimize rainfall use for various applications for the states of Mizoram.

Feasibility and Safety of Chorionic Villus Sampling (CVS) for Prenatal Diagnosis of Thalassemia in Bangladesh

Thalassaemia is one of the commonest inherited disorders in Bangladesh. Since population is rapidly increasing in Bangladesh, therefore birth of large number of new cases is expected every year. Chorionic villus sampling (CVS) is an invasive diagnostic procedure done in early pregnancy to obtain fetal cells for the prenatal diagnosis of chromosomal and genetic disorders like thalassemia. To investigate the feasibility, safety, and outcome of transabdominal Chorionic Villus Sampling (CVS) for prenatal diagnosis of Beta Thalassemia, this retrospective analytical study was carried out on women who had undergone transabdominal CVS for prenatal diagnosis of Beta thalassemia. All CVS are done at Fetal Medicine Centre, Family Foundation, Green Road, Dhaka, Bangladesh from June 2013 to December 2016. A total of 236 couples who were referred for prenatal diagnosis of thalassemia (Beta thalassemia & Hb-E beta thalassemia) were studied. Transabdominal CVS was done under local anesthesia and real-time ultrasound guidance. A 18G/88mm Spinal Needle (B Braun, Germany) was used. Most procedures were done between 11 and 13 weeks (range 11-14 weeks). All CVS were performed with the "2 operators" technique. The samples were sent for prenatal diagnosis by genetic analysis. Results were recorded and analyzed for descriptive statistics. Out of 236, 123 (52.1%) fetuses were diagnosed as trait (Beta trait or HbE trait), 64 (27.1%) as healthy fetuses and 49 (20.7%) as affected fetuses. A total of 236 CVSs were performed as outdoor basis. Most aspirations (95.1%) were easy; however, in 4.8% cases the aspiration was difficult due to a variety of factors. The overall success rate was 100%. Minor complications like placental hematoma and pervaginal (P/V) bleeding occurred in 2% & 1.3% respectively which were subsided by conservative management. The procedure related miscarriage within three weeks not occurred in any cases. Transabdominal CVS under real-time sonography is a useful outdoor procedure for prenatal diagnosis of beta thalassaemia in early pregnancy without significant risk to the mother and the fetus.

Status of HIV infection among the pregnant women attending in outpatient department

Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection has been spreading rapidly in the developing countries and vertical transmission also taking place. This study has been done to find out the prevalence of HIV infection among the pregnant women, so that necessity of routine screening test can be identified. It is a cross sectional study. Five hundred two pregnant women were included. Three ml venous blood was taken and then HIV screening test was done by ELISA method. All reactive tests were confirmed by Western blot antibody testing. The positive cases were followed up and necessary treatment was given. Delivery was conducted in this hospital. Baby's blood was tested to see vertical transmission after 18 months. Most of the subject were educated housewife, mean age was 25 years. Six (6%) husband was overseas service holder, 12% were smoker and 1.6% had drug addiction. Eight (8%) subject had previous history of blood transfusion and 49% subject or her husband had history of surgery or got parental therapy. 2% subject gave the history of familial disharmony and 2% had multiple sex partners. HIV infection was found in 2 patients (0.4%). Both of them got infection from their husband. One husband was over seas service holder and another one was injecting drug user. For the prevention of spread, reduction of vertical transmission and providing early management to the positive patient all pregnant women should be screened for HIV routinely.

Sun exposure and primary prevention of skin cancer for infants and young children during autumn/winter

OBJECTIVE AND METHOD

Excessive sun exposure in childhood has been associated with the development of skin cancer, and appropriate levels of sun protection during the early years of a child's life can significantly reduce the risks. A survey of 133 mothers was undertaken in south-east Queensland to examine the levels of sun exposure and skin protection of infants and young children.

RESULTS

Among this sample of 133 mothers, use of appropriate skin protection was relatively high for themselves and their children. However, even by six months of age, a third had been sunburnt and 15% had experienced painful sunburn. By three years of age, 82% had been sunburnt and one-third had experienced painful sunburn, though mothers' knowledge levels of sun safety issues were very high. The predictors associated with primary prevention varied across the type of prevention behaviour, but indicated that interventions should focus on susceptibility to sunburn and history of sunburn. Similar programs could be applicable across a broad range of socio-demographic groups, but require attention to mother's country of birth as a factor that significantly influences their use of protection for their young children.

CONCLUSIONS

Ongoing public education that targets specific groups and settings may contribute to adoption of appropriate sun protective behaviours for young children.

IMPLICATIONS

Results of the study provide some of the needed baseline data to assist future skin cancer prevention campaigns for young children and infants. A similar study of levels of sun exposure and skin protection for children during summer is under way.