Diagnostic accuracy of prenatal ultrasound in coarctation of aorta: systematic review and individual participant data meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

To determine the diagnostic accuracy of prenatal ultrasound in detecting coarctation of the aorta (CoA).

METHODS

An individual participant data meta-analysis was performed to report on the strength of association and diagnostic accuracy of different ultrasound signs in detecting CoA prenatally. MEDLINE, EMBASE and CINAHL were searched for studies published between January 2000 and November 2021. Inclusion criteria were fetuses with suspected isolated CoA, defined as ventricular and/or great vessel disproportion with right dominance on ultrasound assessment. Individual participant-level data were obtained by two leading teams. PRISMA-IPD and PRISMA-DTA guidelines were used for extracting data, and the QUADAS-2 tool was used for assessing quality and applicability. The reference standard was CoA, defined as narrowing of the aortic arch, diagnosed after birth. The most commonly evaluated parameters on ultrasound, both in B-mode and on Doppler, constituted the index test. Summary estimates of sensitivity, specificity, diagnostic odds ratio (DOR) and likelihood ratios were computed using the hierarchical summary receiver-operating-characteristics model.

RESULTS

The initial search yielded 72 studies, of which 25 met the inclusion criteria. Seventeen studies (640 fetuses) were included. On random-effects logistic regression analysis, tricuspid valve/mitral valve diameter ratio > 1.4 and > 1.6, aortic isthmus/arterial duct diameter ratio < 0.7, hypoplastic aortic arch (all P < 0.001), aortic isthmus diameter Z-score of < -2 in the sagittal (P = 0.003) and three-vessel-and-trachea (P < 0.001) views, pulmonary artery/ascending aorta diameter ratio > 1.4 (P = 0.048) and bidirectional flow at the foramen ovale (P = 0.012) were independently associated with CoA. Redundant foramen ovale was inversely associated with CoA (P = 0.037). Regarding diagnostic accuracy, tricuspid valve/mitral valve diameter ratio > 1.4 had a sensitivity of 72.6% (95% CI, 48.2-88.3%), specificity of 65.4% (95% CI, 46.9-80.2%) and DOR of 5.02 (95% CI, 1.82-13.9). The sensitivity and specificity values were, respectively, 75.0% (95% CI, 61.1-86.0%) and 39.7% (95% CI, 27.0-53.4%) for pulmonary artery/ascending aorta diameter ratio > 1.4, 47.8% (95% CI, 14.6-83.0%) and 87.6% (95% CI, 27.3-99.3%) for aortic isthmus diameter Z-score of < -2 in the sagittal view and 74.1% (95% CI, 58.0-85.6%) and 62.0% (95% CI, 41.6-78.9%) for aortic isthmus diameter Z-score of < -2 in the three-vessel-and-trachea view. Hypoplastic aortic arch had a sensitivity of 70.0% (95% CI, 42.0-88.6%), specificity of 91.3% (95% CI, 78.6-96.8%) and DOR of 24.9 (95% CI, 6.18-100). The diagnostic yield of prenatal ultrasound in detecting CoA did not change significantly when considering multiple categorical parameters. Five of the 11 evaluated continuous parameters were independently associated with CoA (all P < 0.001) but all had low-to-moderate diagnostic yield.

CONCLUSIONS

Several prenatal ultrasound parameters are associated with an increased risk for postnatal CoA. However, diagnostic accuracy is only moderate, even when combinations of parameters are considered. © 2024 The Authors. Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Prediction of postnatal circulation in pulmonary atresia/critical stenosis with intact ventricular septum: systematic review and external validation of models

OBJECTIVE

A favorable postnatal prognosis in cases of pulmonary atresia/critical stenosis with intact ventricular septum (PA/CS-IVS) is generally equated with the possibility of achieving biventricular (BV) repair. Identification of fetuses that will have postnatal univentricular (UV) circulation is key for prenatal counseling, optimization of perinatal care and decision-making regarding fetal therapy. We aimed to evaluate the accuracy of published models for predicting postnatal circulation in PA/CS-IVS using a large internationally derived validation cohort.

METHODS

This was a systematic review of published uni- and multiparametric models for the prediction of postnatal circulation based on echocardiographic findings at between 20 and 28 weeks of gestation. Models were externally validated using data from the International Fetal Cardiac Intervention Registry. Sensitivity, specificity, predictive values, area under the receiver-operating-characteristics curves (AUCs) and proportion of cases with true vs predicted outcome were calculated.

RESULTS

Eleven published studies that reported prognostic parameters of postnatal circulation were identified. Models varied widely in terms of the main outcome (UV (n = 3), non-BV (n = 3), BV (n = 3), right-ventricle-dependent coronary circulation (n = 1) or tricuspid valve size at birth (n = 1)) and in terms of the included predictors (single parameters only (n = 6), multiparametric score (n = 4) or both (n = 1)), and were developed on small sample sizes (range, 15-38). Nine models were validated externally given the availability of the required parameters in the validation cohort. Tricuspid valve diameter Z-score, tricuspid regurgitation, ratios between right and left cardiac structures and the presence of ventriculocoronary connections (VCC) were the most commonly evaluated parameters. Multiparametric models including up to four variables (ratios between right and left structures, right ventricular inflow duration, presence of VCC and tricuspid regurgitation) had the best performance (AUC, 0.80-0.89). Overall, the risk of UV outcome was underestimated and that of BV outcome was overestimated by most models.

CONCLUSIONS

Current prenatal models for the prediction of postnatal outcome in PA/CS-IVS are heterogeneous. Multiparametric models for predicting UV and non-BV circulation perform well in identifying BV patients but have low sensitivity, underestimating the rate of fetuses that will ultimately have UV circulation. Until better discrimination can be achieved, fetal interventions may need to be limited to only those cases in which non-BV postnatal circulation is certain. © 2023 The Authors. Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Prediction of perinatal survival in early-onset fetal growth restriction: role of placental growth factor

OBJECTIVE

To analyze the ability to predict perinatal survival and severe neonatal morbidity of cases with early-onset fetal growth restriction (eoFGR) using maternal variables, ultrasound parameters and angiogenic markers at the time of diagnosis.

METHODS

This was a prospective observational study in a cohort of singleton pregnancies with a diagnosis of eoFGR (< 32 weeks of gestation). At diagnosis of eoFGR, complete assessment was performed, including ultrasound examination (anatomy, biometry and Doppler assessment) and maternal serum measurement of the angiogenic biomarkers, soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 (sFlt-1) and placental growth factor (PlGF). Logistic regression models for the prediction of perinatal survival (in cases diagnosed at < 28 weeks) and severe neonatal morbidity (in all liveborn cases) were calculated.

RESULTS

In total, 210 eoFGR cases were included, of which 185 (88.1%) survived perinatally. The median gestational age at diagnosis was 27 + 0 weeks. All cases diagnosed at ≥ 28 weeks survived. In cases diagnosed < 28 weeks, survivors (vs non-survivors) had a higher gestational age (26.1 vs 24.4 weeks), estimated fetal weight (EFW; 626 vs 384 g), cerebroplacental ratio (1.1 vs 0.9), PlGF (41 vs 18 pg/mL) and PlGF multiples of the median (MoM; 0.10 vs 0.06) and lower sFlt-1/PlGF ratio (129 vs 479) at the time of diagnosis (all P < 0.001). The best combination of two variables for predicting perinatal survival was provided by EFW and PlGF MoM (area under the receiver-operating-characteristics curve (AUC), 0.84 (95% CI, 0.75-0.92)). These were also the best variables for predicting severe neonatal morbidity (AUC, 0.73 (95% CI, 0.66-0.80)).

CONCLUSIONS

A model combining EFW and maternal serum PlGF predicts accurately perinatal survival in eoFGR cases diagnosed before 28 weeks of gestation. Prenatal prediction of severe neonatal morbidity in eoFGR cases is modest regardless of the model used. © 2022 The Authors. Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

sFlt-1/PlGF ratio and timing of delivery in early-onset fetal growth restriction with antegrade umbilical artery flow

OBJECTIVE

To analyze the value of the soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1/placental growth factor (sFlt-1/PlGF) ratio in predicting the time to delivery in early-onset fetal growth restriction (FGR) with preserved antegrade umbilical artery (UA) flow at diagnosis.

METHODS

This was a prospective observational single-center cohort study of pregnancies with early-onset (< 32 + 0 weeks) FGR and antegrade UA flow, in which maternal serum sFlt-1/PlGF ratio was determined at diagnosis. FGR was defined as estimated fetal weight < 3^rd centile or < 10^th centile with UA pulsatility index > 95^th centile, fetal middle cerebral artery pulsatility index < 5^th centile or cerebroplacental ratio < 5^th centile. The previously described sFlt-1/PlGF ratio cut-off value of 85 for facilitating the diagnosis of pre-eclampsia was assessed in the prediction of the need to deliver in < 1 week and ≥ 4 weeks.

RESULTS

In total, 120 cases were included. There were 116 (96.7%) liveborn neonates and 108 (90.0%) perinatal survivors. Median (interquartile range (IQR)) gestational age at diagnosis of early-onset FGR was 27.1 (25.7-29.4) weeks. Median (IQR) sFlt-1/PlGF ratio at diagnosis was 196 (84-474). Ninety (75.0%) cases had a sFlt-1/PlGF ratio ≥ 85. Among pregnancies with a liveborn neonate, median (IQR) interval to delivery in the groups with sFlt-1/PlGF ratio < 85 and ≥ 85 was 41 (22-54) days and 11 (4-20) days, respectively (P < 0.01). The probability of having to deliver within 1 week after diagnosis was 0% and 35.6% in those with sFlt-1/PlGF ratio < 85 and ≥ 85, respectively (P = 0.03), and the probability of delaying delivery for ≥ 4 weeks was 72.4% and 19.5%, respectively (P < 0.01).

CONCLUSION

sFlt-1/PlGF ratio < 85 at diagnosis of early-onset FGR with antegrade UA flow identifies a group of pregnancies in which the need to deliver within 1 week is very low and the interval to delivery is expected to be prolonged for ≥ 4 weeks in > 70% of cases. Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Longitudinal change of sFlt-1/PlGF ratio in singleton pregnancy with early-onset fetal growth restriction

OBJECTIVE

To describe the evolution of soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 to placental growth factor (sFlt-1/PlGF) ratio in the last 5 weeks prior to delivery in singleton pregnancy complicated by early-onset fetal growth restriction (FGR), with or without pre-eclampsia (PE).

METHODS

This was a prospective observational cohort study of early-onset FGR cases that underwent serial assessment of maternal serum sFlt-1/PlGF ratio from diagnosis to delivery. Measurements were made at weekly intervals and within the last 48 h before birth. Absolute values and percentage increase between time intervals were computed, and previously described cut-off values of 38 (suspicion of PE), 85 (aids diagnosis of PE) and 655 (high risk for imminent delivery) were used for analysis of the sFlt-1/PlGF ratio. We compared findings between cases with early-onset FGR only (n = 37) and those that additionally developed PE (n = 36).

RESULTS

Overall perinatal survival was 63/73 (86.3%). A sFlt-1/PlGF ratio above 38 was observed 4 weeks before delivery in most FGR-only and FGR with PE cases (73% and 100%, respectively), but absolute values of sFlt-1/PlGF were significantly higher in FGR cases with PE. Extremely elevated values of the ratio (≥ 655) within the last 48 h before delivery were found in 65% of cases of FGR with PE, but in only 8% of isolated FGR cases (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Elevated sFlt-1/PlGF was observed in most early-onset FGR pregnancies from 4 weeks before delivery, and values were even higher if there was concurrent PE. However, serial measurements of the ratio were of limited value, being useful only to anticipate the need for imminent delivery in cases of FGR with PE when sFlt-1/PlGF values ≥ 655 were reached. Copyright © 2017 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

[Risk factors for acute respiratory failure after liver transplantation]

OBJECTIVES

To study the risk factors for acute respiratory failure during recovery after liver transplantation.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We prospectively studied 340 consecutive liver transplant operations. Patient data was grouped according to whether acute respiratory failure developed (group I) or not (group II). Acute respiratory failure was defined by the need for mechanical ventilation longer than 5 days after transplantation or by the need for an inspired oxygen fraction of over 50% for 72 hours. We evaluated demographic characteristics, stage of liver disease before the transplant, comorbidity, immunosuppressant treatment administered, and complications during and after surgery.

RESULTS

Sixty-six patients were placed in group I and 274 in group II. Univariate analysis showed significant differences between the groups for age, sex, Child-Pugh functional stage, preoperative renal failure, type of immunosuppression, and postoperative complications such as atrial fibrillation, pleural effusion, pulmonary edema, ascites, postoperative acute renal failure, brain dysfunction, early graft dysfunction, and respiratory infection. Multivariate analysis by logistic regression, taking the development or not of acute respiratory failure as the dependent variable, gave a model with 6 variables that accounted for 94% of the cases. The variables entering into the model, with their respective odds ratios (OR) were female sex (OR, 5.5), stage C liver function (OR, 3.9), pulmonary edema (OR, 16.3), postoperative acute renal failure (OR, 9), cerebral dysfunction (OR, 4.5), and respiratory infection (OR, 62).

CONCLUSIONS

The development of acute respiratory failure after liver transplantation is affected by the following factors: female sex, Child-Pugh class, pulmonary edema, postoperative acute renal failure, cerebral dysfunction, and respiratory infection.

[Lung transplantation for pulmonary fibrosis: perioperative morbidity and mortality]

Lung transplantation has become a valid therapeutic option for patients with pulmonary fibrosis in terminal stage, and the number of such interventions has increased exponentially in recent years. We undertook a retrospective study of 46 pulmonary fibrosis patients who received lung transplants from 1992 through 2002 with the aim of describing the most common intra- and early postoperative complications in the recovery unit. We also aimed to analyze the impact of each complication on mortality during the study period. The most frequent complications during surgery were reperfusion syndrome (47.5%), hemodynamic instability (41%), arrhythmias (23.9%), and pulmonary hypertension (15%), with exitus secondary to reperfusion syndrome. The most common postoperative complications were infection (56.5%), reimplantation response (45.7%), and kidney failure (19.6%). Overall mortality during the study period was 23.9%. The following complications were statistically significant in the univariate analysis of the relation with mortality: reperfusion syndrome (p=0.039), reimplantation response (p=0.039), kidney failure (p=0.013), rejection (p=0.016), and sepsis (p<0.001). The only complication that remained significant in the multivariate analysis was sepsis (p<0.001). In spite of the considerable progress made, intra- and postoperative complications continue to be a real threat for the transplanted lung patient. Sepsis was the strongest predictor of poor prognosis in the early recovery period.

[Headache caused by cerebral angiopathy during labor with epidural analgesia]

A 29-year-old woman presented projectile vomiting followed by frontal headache, immediately upon receiving epidural analgesia for labor. The clinical picture persisted until expulsion. Although no leaking of spinal fluid into the needle or epidural catheter had been observed, post-dural puncture headache was diagnosed. The postpartum persistence of symptoms and the patient's generally worsening condition indicated the need for more thorough physical examination, which revealed signs of neurological involvement. Those findings and imaging studies (computed tomography of the brain, transcranial Doppler and magnetic resonance angiography) established a final diagnosis of postpartum cerebral angiopathy. Although epidural analgesia is increasingly requested by women entering labor, it is not a risk-free procedure. We describe a relatively unknown clinical entity, postpartum cerebral angiopathy, that developed during epidural analgesia for labor and that was initially believed to be a complication of the analgesic technique.