The Angiopoietin-2/Angiopoietin-1 ratio increases early in burn patients and predicts mortality

BACKGROUND

Angiopoietin-2 (Angpt-2) is involved in the pathogenesis of the capillary leak syndrome in sepsis and has been shown to be associated with worse outcomes in diverse critical illnesses. It is however unclear whether Angpt-2 plays a similar role in severely burned patients during the early phase characterized by massive capillary leakage. Our aim was to analyze the Angiopoietin-2/Angiopoietin-1 ratio (Angpt-2/Angpt-1 ratio) over the first two days in critically ill burn patients and examine its association with survival and further clinical parameters.

METHODS

Adult burn patients with a total burn surface area (TBSA) ≥ 20% treated in the burn intensive care unit (ICU) of the University Hospital of Zurich, Switzerland, were included. Serum samples were collected prospectively and serum Angpt-1 and Angpt-2 were measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) over the first two days after burn insult and stratified according to survival status, TBSA and the abbreviated burn severity index (ABSI). Due to hemodilution in the initial resuscitation phase, the Angpt-2/Angpt-1 ratio was normalized to albumin.

RESULTS

Fifty-six patients were included with a median age of 51.5 years. Overall mortality was 14.3% (8/56 patients). The total amount of infused crystalloids was 12́902 ml (IQR 9́362-16́770 ml) at 24 h and 18́461 ml (IQR 13́024-23́766 ml) at 48 h. The amount of substituted albumin was 20 g (IQR 10-50 g) at 24 h and 50 g (IQR 20-60 g) at 48 h. The albumin-corrected Angpt-2/Angpt-1 ratios increased over the first 48 h after the burn insult (d0: 0.5 pg*l/ml*g [IQR 0.24 - 0.80 pg*l/ml*g]; d1: 0.83 pg*l/ml*g [IQR 0.29 - 1.98 pg*l/ml*g]; d2: 1.76 pg*l/ml*g [IQR 0.70 - 3.23 pg*l/ml*g]; p < 0.001) and were significantly higher in eventual ICU non-survivors (p = 0.005), in patients with a higher TBSA (p = 0.001) and in patients with a higher ABSI (p = 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

In analogy to the pathological host response in sepsis, the Angpt-2/Angpt-1 ratio steadily increases in the first two days in critically ill burn patients, suggesting a putative involvement in the pathogenesis of capillary leakage in burns. A higher Angpt-2/Angpt-1 ratio is associated with mortality, total burn surface area and burn scores.

Dynamics of disease characteristics and clinical management of critically ill COVID-19 patients over the time course of the pandemic: an analysis of the prospective, international, multicentre RISC-19-ICU registry

Background

It remains elusive how the characteristics, the course of disease, the clinical management and the outcomes of critically ill COVID-19 patients admitted to intensive care units (ICU) worldwide have changed over the course of the pandemic.

Methods

Prospective, observational registry constituted by 90 ICUs across 22 countries worldwide including patients with a laboratory-confirmed, critical presentation of COVID-19 requiring advanced organ support. Hierarchical, generalized linear mixed-effect models accounting for hospital and country variability were employed to analyse the continuous evolution of the studied variables over the pandemic.

Results

Four thousand forty-one patients were included from March 2020 to September 2021. Over this period, the age of the admitted patients (62 [95% CI 60–63] years vs 64 [62–66] years, p < 0.001) and the severity of organ dysfunction at ICU admission decreased (Sequential Organ Failure Assessment 8.2 [7.6–9.0] vs 5.8 [5.3–6.4], p < 0.001) and increased, while more female patients (26 [23–29]% vs 41 [35–48]%, p < 0.001) were admitted. The time span between symptom onset and hospitalization as well as ICU admission became longer later in the pandemic (6.7 [6.2–7.2| days vs 9.7 [8.9–10.5] days, p < 0.001). The PaO₂/FiO₂ at admission was lower (132 [123–141] mmHg vs 101 [91–113] mmHg, p < 0.001) but showed faster improvements over the initial 5 days of ICU stay in late 2021 compared to early 2020 (34 [20–48] mmHg vs 70 [41–100] mmHg, p = 0.05). The number of patients treated with steroids and tocilizumab increased, while the use of therapeutic anticoagulation presented an inverse U-shaped behaviour over the course of the pandemic. The proportion of patients treated with high-flow oxygen (5 [4–7]% vs 20 [14–29], p < 0.001) and non-invasive mechanical ventilation (14 [11–18]% vs 24 [17–33]%, p < 0.001) throughout the pandemic increased concomitant to a decrease in invasive mechanical ventilation (82 [76–86]% vs 74 [64–82]%, p < 0.001). The ICU mortality (23 [19–26]% vs 17 [12–25]%, p < 0.001) and length of stay (14 [13–16] days vs 11 [10–13] days, p < 0.001) decreased over 19 months of the pandemic.

Conclusion

Characteristics and disease course of critically ill COVID-19 patients have continuously evolved, concomitant to the clinical management, throughout the pandemic leading to a younger, less severely ill ICU population with distinctly different clinical, pulmonary and inflammatory presentations than at the onset of the pandemic.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13054-022-04065-2.

Machine learning using the extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) algorithm predicts 5-day delta of SOFA score at ICU admission in COVID-19 patients

Background

Accurate risk stratification of critically ill patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is essential for optimizing resource allocation, delivering targeted interventions, and maximizing patient survival probability. Machine learning (ML) techniques are attracting increased interest for the development of prediction models as they excel in the analysis of complex signals in data-rich environments such as critical care.

Methods

We retrieved data on patients with COVID-19 admitted to an intensive care unit (ICU) between March and October 2020 from the RIsk Stratification in COVID-19 patients in the Intensive Care Unit (RISC-19-ICU) registry. We applied the Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) algorithm to the data to predict as a binary outcome the increase or decrease in patients' Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score on day 5 after ICU admission. The model was iteratively cross-validated in different subsets of the study cohort.

Results

The final study population consisted of 675 patients. The XGBoost model correctly predicted a decrease in SOFA score in 320/385 (83%) critically ill COVID-19 patients, and an increase in the score in 210/290 (72%) patients. The area under the mean receiver operating characteristic curve for XGBoost was significantly higher than that for the logistic regression model (0.86 vs. 0.69, P < 0.01 [paired t-test with 95% confidence interval]).

Conclusions

The XGBoost model predicted the change in SOFA score in critically ill COVID-19 patients admitted to the ICU and can guide clinical decision support systems (CDSSs) aimed at optimizing available resources.

Functional characterization of missense mutations in severe methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase deficiency using a human expression system

5,10-Methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase (MTHFR) catalyzes the NADPH-dependent reduction of 5,10-methylenetetrahydrofolate to 5-methyltetrahydrofolate using FAD as the cofactor. Severe MTHFR deficiency is the most common inborn error of folate metabolism, resulting in hyperhomocysteinemia and homocystinuria. Approximately 70 missense mutations have been described that cause severe MTHFR deficiency, however, in most cases their mechanism of dysfunction remains unclear. Few studies have investigated mutational specific defects; most of these assessing only activity levels from a handful of mutations using heterologous expression. Here, we report the in vitro expression of 22 severe MTHFR missense mutations and two known single nucleotide polymorphisms (p.Ala222Val, p.Thr653Met) in human fibroblasts. Significant reduction of MTHFR activity (<20 % of wild-type) was observed for five mutant proteins that also had highly reduced protein levels on Western blot analysis. The remaining mutations produced a spectrum of enzyme activity levels ranging from 22-122 % of wild-type, while the SNPs retained wild-type-like activity levels. We found increased thermolability for p.Ala222Val and seven disease-causing mutations all located in the catalytic domain, three of which also showed FAD responsiveness in vitro. By contrast, six regulatory domain mutations and two mutations clustering around the linker region showed increased thermostability compared to wild-type protein. Finally, we confirmed decreased affinity for NADPH in individual mutant enzymes, a result previously described in primary patient fibroblasts. Our expression study allows determination of significance of missense mutations in causing deleterious loss of MTHFR protein and activity, and is valuable in detection of aberrant kinetic parameters, but should not replace investigations in native material.

Poor outcome in progressive sclerosing cholangitis after septic shock

BACKGROUND AND STUDY AIMS

Progressive sclerosing cholangitis after septic shock is an increasingly diagnosed disease entity. We evaluated the outcome after long-term follow-up of 29 patients treated in our institution between 1995 and 2007.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patients with cholestatic liver disease without evidence of pre-existing hepatobiliary disease and who previously required long-term treatment in an intensive care unit for septic shock due to following reasons were included in the study: severe trauma (n = 10; five with burn injury and five following accident), cardiac operation (n = 9), bacterial infection (n = 5), sigmoidectomy (n = 2), operation of aortic aneurysm (n = 3).

RESULTS

In all patients, endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography showed multiple stenoses, pre-stenotic dilatations, and in part rarefication of intrahepatic small bile ducts. The bile ducts were partially filled by black-pigmented or necrotic material. In 18 of 29 patients, liver biopsies were performed and showed fibrosing cholangitis. The endoscopic therapy comprised removal of occluding material, dilation of stenoses, and intermittent stenting if necessary. All endoscopic procedures were done under antibiotic prophylaxis. During follow-up, 19 of the 29 patients died. Three patients received orthotopic liver transplantation. Four patients have been registered for transplantation, and the remaining three patients show signs of severe cholestasis. The actuarial estimate (Kaplan-Meier) indicated a survival free of liver transplantation of 55 % after 1 year, and only 14 % after 6 years. The median survival was 1.1 years.

CONCLUSIONS

Progressive sclerosing cholangitis after septic shock is a recently described disease characterized by extremely short survival free of liver transplantation. This disease should be considered in patients who develop cholestasis following treatment of septic shock in an intensive care unit.