Establishment of a birth-to-education cohort of 1 million Palestinian refugees using electronic medical records and electronic education records

Introduction

By linking datasets, electronic records can be used to build large birth-cohorts, enabling researchers to cost-effectively answer questions relevant to populations over the life-course. Currently, around 5.8 million Palestinian refugees live in five settings: Jordan, Lebanon, Syria, West Bank, and Gaza Strip. The United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees in the Near East (UNRWA) provides them with free primary health and elementary-school services. It maintains electronic records to do so.We aimed to establish a birth cohort of Palestinian refugees born between 1st January 2010 and 31st December 2020 living in five settings by linking mother obstetric records with child health and education records and to describe some of the cohort characteristics. In future, we plan to assess effects of size-at-birth on growth, health and educational attainment, among other questions.

Methods

We extracted all available data from 140 health centres and 702 schools across five settings, i.e. all UNRWA service users. Creating the cohort involved examining IDs and other data, preparing data, de-duplicating records, and identifying live-births, linking the mothers' and children's data using different deterministic linking algorithms, and understanding reasons for non-linkage.

Results

We established a birth cohort of Palestinian refugees using electronic records of 972,743 live births. We found high levels of linkage to health records overall (83%), which improved over time (from 73% to 86%), and variations in linkage rates by setting: these averaged 93% in Gaza, 89% in Lebanon, 75% in Jordan, 73% in West Bank and 68% in Syria. Of the 423,580 children age-eligible to go to school, 47% went to UNRWA schools and comprised of 197,479 children with both health and education records, and 2,447 children with only education records. In addition to year and setting, other factors associated with non-linkage included mortality and having a non-refugee mother. Misclassification errors were minimal.

Conclusion

This linked open birth-cohort is unique for refugees and the Arab region and forms the basis for many future studies, including to elucidate pathways for improved health and education in this vulnerable, understudied population. Our characterization of the cohort leads us to recommend using different sub-sets of the cohort depending on the research question and analytic purposes.

Classifying caesarean section to understand rising rates among Palestinian refugees: results from 290,047 electronic medical records across five settings

BACKGROUND

Rising caesarean-section rates worldwide are driven by non-medically indicated caesarean-sections. A systematic review concluded that the ten-group classification system (Robson) is the most appropriate for assessing drivers of caesarean deliveries. Evidence on the drivers of caesarean-section rates from conflict-affected settings is scarce. This study examines caesareans-section rates among Palestinian refugees by seven-group classification, compares to WHO guidelines, and to rates in the host settings, and estimates the costs of high rates.

METHODS

Electronic medical records of 290,047 Palestinian refugee women using UNRWA's (United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees in the Near East) antenatal service from 2017-2020 in five settings (Jordan, Lebanon, Syria, West Bank, Gaza) were used. We modified Robson criteria to compare rates within each group with WHO guidelines. The host setting data were extracted from publicly available reports. Data on costs came from UNRWA's accounts.

FINDINGS

Palestinian refugees in Gaza had the lowest caesarean-section rates (22%), followed by those residing in Jordan (28%), West Bank (30%), Lebanon (50%) and Syria (64%). The seven groups caesarean section classification showed women with previous caesarean-sections contributed the most to overall rates. Caesarean-section rates were substantially higher than the WHO guidelines, and excess caesarean-sections (2017-2020) were modelled to cost up to 6.8 million USD. We documented a steady increase in caesarean-section rates in all five settings for refugee and host communities; refugee rates paralleled or were below those in their host country.

INTERPRETATION

Caesarean-section rates exceed recommended guidance within most groups. The high rates in the nulliparous groups will drive future increases as they become multiparous women with a previous caesarean-section and in turn, face high caesarean rates. Our analysis helps suggest targeted and tailored strategies to reduce caesarean-section rates in priority groups (among low-risk women) organized by those aimed at national governments, and UNRWA, and those aimed at health-care providers.