Al-Khamis A, Warner C, Park J, Marecik S, Davis N, Mellgren A, Nordenstam J, Kochar K. Modified frailty index predicts early outcomes after colorectal surgery: an ACS-NSQIP study.
Colorectal Dis 2019;
21:1192-1205. [PMID:
31162882 DOI:
10.1111/codi.14725]
[Citation(s) in RCA: 66] [Impact Index Per Article: 13.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/25/2018] [Accepted: 05/14/2019] [Indexed: 02/08/2023]
Abstract
AIM
Frailty is defined as a decrease in physiological reserve with increased risk of morbidity following significant physiological stressors. This study examines the predictive power of the five-item modified frailty index (5-mFI) in predicting outcomes in colorectal surgery patients.
METHODS
The American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program Database was queried from 2011 to 2016 to determine the predictive power of 5-mFI in patients who had colorectal surgery.
RESULTS
Of 295 490 patients, 45.8% had a score of 0, 36.2% had a score of 1 and 18% had a score of ≥ 2. On univariate analysis, frailer patients had significantly greater incidences for overall morbidity, serious morbidity, mortality, prolonged length of hospital stay, discharge to a facility other than home, reoperation and unplanned readmission. These findings were consistent on multivariate analysis where the frailest patients had greater odds of postoperative overall morbidity (OR 1.39; 95% CI 1.35-1.43), serious morbidity (OR 1.39; 95% CI 1.33-1.45), mortality (OR 2.00; 95% CI 1.87-2.14), prolonged length of hospital stay (OR 1.24; 95% CI 1.20-1.27), discharge destination to a facility other than home (OR 2.80; 95% CI 2.70-2.90), reoperation (OR 1.17; 95% CI 1.11-1.23) and unplanned readmission (OR 1.31; 95% CI 1.26-1.36). Weighted kappa statistics showed strong agreement between the 5-mFI and 11-mFI (kappa = 0.987, P < 0.001).
CONCLUSIONS
The 5-mFI is a valid and easy to use predictor of 30-day postoperative outcomes after colorectal surgery. This tool may guide the surgeon to proactively recognize frail patients to instigate interventions to optimize them preoperatively.
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