Prognostic model using 18F-FDG PET radiomics predicts progression-free survival in relapsed/refractory Hodgkin lymphoma

Investigating prognostic factors in patients with relapsed or primary refractory classical Hodgkin lymphoma (R/R cHL) is essential to optimize risk-adapted treatment strategies. We built a prognostic model using baseline quantitative 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography (PET) radiomics features and clinical characteristics to predict the progression-free survival (PFS) among patients with R/R cHL treated with salvage chemotherapy followed by autologous stem cell transplantation. Metabolic tumor volume and several novel radiomics dissemination features, representing interlesional differences in distance, volume, and standard uptake value, were extracted from the baseline PET. Machine learning using backward selection and logistic regression were applied to develop and train the model on a total of 113 patients from 2 clinical trials. The model was validated on an independent external cohort of 69 patients. In addition, we validated 4 different PET segmentation methods to calculate radiomics features. We identified a subset of patients at high risk for progression with significant inferior 3-year PFS outcomes of 38.1% vs 88.4% for patients in the low-risk group in the training cohort (P < .001) and 38.5% vs 75.0% in the validation cohort (P = .015), respectively. The overall survival was also significantly better in the low-risk group (P = .022 and P < .001). We provide a formula to calculate a risk score for individual patients based on the model. In conclusion, we developed a prognostic model for PFS combining radiomics and clinical features in a large cohort of patients with R/R cHL. This model calculates a PET-based risk profile and can be applied to develop risk-stratified treatment strategies for patients with R/R cHL. These trials were registered at www.clinicaltrials.gov as #NCT02280993, #NCT00255723, and #NCT01508312.

Sensitivity of an AI method for [18F]FDG PET/CT outcome prediction of diffuse large B-cell lymphoma patients to image reconstruction protocols

BACKGROUND

Convolutional neural networks (CNNs), applied to baseline [18F]-FDG PET/CT maximum intensity projections (MIPs), show potential for treatment outcome prediction in diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL). The aim of this study is to investigate the robustness of CNN predictions to different image reconstruction protocols. Baseline [18F]FDG PET/CT scans were collected from 20 DLBCL patients. EARL1, EARL2 and high-resolution (HR) protocols were applied per scan, generating three images with different image qualities. Image-based transformation was applied by blurring EARL2 and HR images to generate EARL1 compliant images using a Gaussian filter of 5 and 7 mm, respectively. MIPs were generated for each of the reconstructions, before and after image transformation. An in-house developed CNN predicted the probability of tumor progression within 2 years for each MIP. The difference in probabilities per patient was then calculated between both EARL2 and HR with respect to EARL1 (delta probabilities or ΔP). We compared these to the probabilities obtained after aligning the data with ComBat using the difference in median and interquartile range (IQR).

RESULTS

CNN probabilities were found to be sensitive to different reconstruction protocols (EARL2 ΔP: median = 0.09, interquartile range (IQR) = [0.06, 0.10] and HR ΔP: median = 0.1, IQR = [0.08, 0.16]). Moreover, higher resolution images (EARL2 and HR) led to higher probability values. After image-based and ComBat transformation, an improved agreement of CNN probabilities among reconstructions was found for all patients. This agreement was slightly better after image-based transformation (transformed EARL2 ΔP: median = 0.022, IQR = [0.01, 0.02] and transformed HR ΔP: median = 0.029, IQR = [0.01, 0.03]).

CONCLUSION

Our CNN-based outcome predictions are affected by the applied reconstruction protocols, yet in a predictable manner. Image-based harmonization is a suitable approach to harmonize CNN predictions across image reconstruction protocols.

An artificial intelligence method using FDG PET to predict treatment outcome in diffuse large B cell lymphoma patients

Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) may improve response prediction in diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL). The aim of this study was to investigate the feasibility of a CNN using maximum intensity projection (MIP) images from 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose (18F-FDG) positron emission tomography (PET) baseline scans to predict the probability of time-to-progression (TTP) within 2 years and compare it with the International Prognostic Index (IPI), i.e. a clinically used score. 296 DLBCL 18F-FDG PET/CT baseline scans collected from a prospective clinical trial (HOVON-84) were analysed. Cross-validation was performed using coronal and sagittal MIPs. An external dataset (340 DLBCL patients) was used to validate the model. Association between the probabilities, metabolic tumour volume and Dmaxbulk was assessed. Probabilities for PET scans with synthetically removed tumors were also assessed. The CNN provided a 2-year TTP prediction with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.74, outperforming the IPI-based model (AUC = 0.68). Furthermore, high probabilities (> 0.6) of the original MIPs were considerably decreased after removing the tumours (< 0.4, generally). These findings suggest that MIP-based CNNs are able to predict treatment outcome in DLBCL.

Reproducibility of [18F]FDG PET/CT liver SUV as reference or normalisation factor

INTRODUCTION

Although visual and quantitative assessments of [18F]FDG PET/CT studies typically rely on liver uptake value as a reference or normalisation factor, consensus or consistency in measuring [18F]FDG uptake is lacking. Therefore, we evaluate the variation of several liver standardised uptake value (SUV) measurements in lymphoma [18F]FDG PET/CT studies using different uptake metrics.

METHODS

PET/CT scans from 34 lymphoma patients were used to calculate SUVmaxliver, SUVpeakliver and SUVmeanliver as a function of (1) volume-of-interest (VOI) size, (2) location, (3) imaging time point and (4) as a function of total metabolic tumour volume (MTV). The impact of reconstruction protocol on liver uptake is studied on 15 baseline lymphoma patient scans. The effect of noise on liver SUV was assessed using full and 25% count images of 15 lymphoma scans.

RESULTS

Generally, SUVmaxliver and SUVpeakliver were 38% and 16% higher compared to SUVmeanliver. SUVmaxliver and SUVpeakliver increased up to 31% and 15% with VOI size while SUVmeanliver remained unchanged with the lowest variability for the largest VOI size. Liver uptake metrics were not affected by VOI location. Compared to baseline, liver uptake metrics were 15-18% and 9-18% higher at interim and EoT PET, respectively. SUVliver decreased with larger total MTVs. SUVmaxliver and SUVpeakliver were affected by reconstruction protocol up to 62%. SUVmax and SUVpeak moved 22% and 11% upward between full and 25% count images.

CONCLUSION

SUVmeanliver was most robust against VOI size, location, reconstruction protocol and image noise level, and is thus the most reproducible metric for liver uptake. The commonly recommended 3 cm diameter spherical VOI-based SUVmeanliver values were only slightly more variable than those seen with larger VOI sizes and are sufficient for SUVmeanliver measurements in future studies.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

EudraCT: 2006-005,174-42, 01-08-2008.

External validation: a simulation study to compare cross-validation versus holdout or external testing to assess the performance of clinical prediction models using PET data from DLBCL patients

Aim

Clinical prediction models need to be validated. In this study, we used simulation data to compare various internal and external validation approaches to validate models.

Methods

Data of 500 patients were simulated using distributions of metabolic tumor volume, standardized uptake value, the maximal distance between the largest lesion and another lesion, WHO performance status and age of 296 diffuse large B cell lymphoma patients. These data were used to predict progression after 2 years based on an existing logistic regression model. Using the simulated data, we applied cross-validation, bootstrapping and holdout (n = 100). We simulated new external datasets (n = 100, n = 200, n = 500) and simulated stage-specific external datasets (1), varied the cut-off for high-risk patients (2) and the false positive and false negative rates (3) and simulated a dataset with EARL2 characteristics (4). All internal and external simulations were repeated 100 times. Model performance was expressed as the cross-validated area under the curve (CV-AUC ± SD) and calibration slope.

Results

The cross-validation (0.71 ± 0.06) and holdout (0.70 ± 0.07) resulted in comparable model performances, but the model had a higher uncertainty using a holdout set. Bootstrapping resulted in a CV-AUC of 0.67 ± 0.02. The calibration slope was comparable for these internal validation approaches. Increasing the size of the test set resulted in more precise CV-AUC estimates and smaller SD for the calibration slope. For test datasets with different stages, the CV-AUC increased as Ann Arbor stages increased. As expected, changing the cut-off for high risk and false positive- and negative rates influenced the model performance, which is clearly shown by the low calibration slope. The EARL2 dataset resulted in similar model performance and precision, but calibration slope indicated overfitting.

Conclusion

In case of small datasets, it is not advisable to use a holdout or a very small external dataset with similar characteristics. A single small testing dataset suffers from a large uncertainty. Therefore, repeated CV using the full training dataset is preferred instead. Our simulations also demonstrated that it is important to consider the impact of differences in patient population between training and test data, which may ask for adjustment or stratification of relevant variables.

The Impact of Semiautomatic Segmentation Methods on Metabolic Tumor Volume, Intensity, and Dissemination Radiomics in 18F-FDG PET Scans of Patients with Classical Hodgkin Lymphoma

Consensus about a standard segmentation method to derive metabolic tumor volume (MTV) in classical Hodgkin lymphoma (cHL) is lacking, and it is unknown how different segmentation methods influence quantitative PET features. Therefore, we aimed to evaluate the delineation and completeness of lesion selection and the need for manual adaptation with different segmentation methods, and to assess the influence of segmentation methods on the prognostic value of MTV, intensity, and dissemination radiomics features in cHL patients. Methods: We analyzed a total of 105 ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT scans from patients with newly diagnosed (n = 35) and relapsed/refractory (n = 70) cHL with 6 segmentation methods: 2 fixed thresholds on SUV4.0 and SUV2.5, 2 relative methods of 41% of SUV_max (41max) and a contrast-corrected 50% of SUV_peak (A50P), and 2 combination majority vote (MV) methods (MV2, MV3). Segmentation quality was assessed by 2 reviewers on the basis of predefined quality criteria: completeness of selection, the need for manual adaptation, and delineation of lesion borders. Correlations and prognostic performance of resulting radiomics features were compared among the methods. Results: SUV4.0 required the least manual adaptation but tended to underestimate MTV and often missed small lesions with low ¹⁸F-FDG uptake. SUV2.5 most frequently included all lesions but required minor manual adaptations and generally overestimated MTV. In contrast, few lesions were missed when using 41max, A50P, MV2, and MV3, but these segmentation methods required extensive manual adaptation and overestimated MTV in most cases. MTV and dissemination features significantly differed among the methods. However, correlations among methods were high for MTV and most intensity and dissemination features. There were no significant differences in prognostic performance for all features among the methods. Conclusion: A high correlation existed between MTV, intensity, and most dissemination features derived with the different segmentation methods, and the prognostic performance is similar. Despite frequently missing small lesions with low ¹⁸F-FDG avidity, segmentation with a fixed threshold of SUV4.0 required the least manual adaptation, which is critical for future research and implementation in clinical practice. However, the importance of small, low ¹⁸F-FDG-avidity lesions should be addressed in a larger cohort of cHL patients.

Comparing lesion and feature selections to predict progression in newly diagnosed DLBCL patients with FDG PET/CT radiomics features

PURPOSE

Biomarkers that can accurately predict outcome in DLBCL patients are urgently needed. Radiomics features extracted from baseline [¹⁸F]-FDG PET/CT scans have shown promising results. This study aims to investigate which lesion- and feature-selection approaches/methods resulted in the best prediction of progression after 2 years.

METHODS

A total of 296 patients were included. 485 radiomics features (n = 5 conventional PET, n = 22 morphology, n = 50 intensity, n = 408 texture) were extracted for all individual lesions and at patient level, where all lesions were aggregated into one VOI. 18 features quantifying dissemination were extracted at patient level. Several lesion selection approaches were tested (largest or hottest lesion, patient level [all with/without dissemination], maximum or median of all lesions) and compared to the predictive value of our previously published model. Several data reduction methods were applied (principal component analysis, recursive feature elimination (RFE), factor analysis, and univariate selection). The predictive value of all models was tested using a fivefold cross-validation approach with 50 repeats with and without oversampling, yielding the mean cross-validated AUC (CV-AUC). Additionally, the relative importance of individual radiomics features was determined.

RESULTS

Models with conventional PET and dissemination features showed the highest predictive value (CV-AUC: 0.72-0.75). Dissemination features had the highest relative importance in these models. No lesion selection approach showed significantly higher predictive value compared to our previous model. Oversampling combined with RFE resulted in highest CV-AUCs.

CONCLUSION

Regardless of the applied lesion selection or feature selection approach and feature reduction methods, patient level conventional PET features and dissemination features have the highest predictive value. Trial registration number and date: EudraCT: 2006-005174-42, 01-08-2008.

Blood-circulating EV-miRNAs, serum TARC, and quantitative FDG-PET features in classical Hodgkin lymphoma

Blood-based biomarkers are gaining interest for response evaluation in classical Hodgkin lymphoma (cHL). However, it is unknown how blood-based biomarkers relate to quantitative ¹⁸F-FDG-PET features. We correlated extracellular vesicle-associated miRNAs (EV-miRNA), serum TARC, and complete blood count (CBC) with PET features (e.g., metabolic tumor volume [MTV], dissemination and intensity features) in 30 cHL patients at baseline. EV-miR127-3p, EV-miR24-3p, sTARC, and several CBC parameters showed weak to strong correlations with MTV and dissemination features, but not with intensity features. Two other EV-miRNAs only showed weak correlations with PET features. Therefore, blood-based biomarkers may be complementary to PET features, which warrants further exploration of combining these biomarkers in prognostic models.

Combatting the effect of image reconstruction settings on lymphoma [18F]FDG PET metabolic tumor volume assessment using various segmentation methods

Background

[¹⁸F]FDG PET-based metabolic tumor volume (MTV) is a promising prognostic marker for lymphoma patients. The aim of this study is to assess the sensitivity of several MTV segmentation methods to variations in image reconstruction methods and the ability of ComBat to improve MTV reproducibility.

Methods

Fifty-six lesions were segmented from baseline [¹⁸F]FDG PET scans of 19 lymphoma patients. For each scan, EARL1 and EARL2 standards and locally clinically preferred reconstruction protocols were applied. Lesions were delineated using 9 semiautomatic segmentation methods: fixed threshold based on standardized uptake value (SUV), (SUV = 4, SUV = 2.5), relative threshold (41% of SUVmax [41M], 50% of SUVpeak [A50P]), majority vote-based methods that select voxels detected by at least 2 (MV2) and 3 (MV3) out of the latter 4 methods, Nestle thresholding, and methods that identify the optimal method based on SUVmax (L2A, L2B). MTVs from EARL2 and locally clinically preferred reconstructions were compared to those from EARL1. Finally, different versions of ComBat were explored to harmonize the data.

Results

MTVs from the SUV4.0 method were least sensitive to the use of different reconstructions (MTV ratio: median = 1.01, interquartile range = [0.96–1.10]). After ComBat harmonization, an improved agreement of MTVs among different reconstructions was found for most segmentation methods. The regular implementation of ComBat (‘Regular ComBat’) using non-transformed distributions resulted in less accurate and precise MTV alignments than a version using log-transformed datasets (‘Log-transformed ComBat’).

Conclusion

MTV depends on both segmentation method and reconstruction methods. ComBat reduces reconstruction dependent MTV variability, especially when log-transformation is used to account for the non-normal distribution of MTVs.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13550-022-00916-9.

Proposed New Dynamic Prognostic Index for Diffuse Large B-Cell Lymphoma: International Metabolic Prognostic Index

PURPOSE

Baseline metabolic tumor volume (MTV) is a promising biomarker in diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL). Our aims were to determine the best statistical relationship between MTV and survival and to compare MTV with the International Prognostic Index (IPI) and its individual components to derive the best prognostic model.

METHODS

PET scans and clinical data were included from five published studies in newly diagnosed diffuse large B-cell lymphoma. Transformations of MTV were compared with the primary end points of 3-year progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) to derive the best relationship for further analyses. MTV was compared with IPI categories and individual components to derive the best model. Patients were grouped into three groups for survival analysis using Kaplan-Meier analysis; 10% at highest risk, 30% intermediate risk, and 60% lowest risk, corresponding with expected clinical outcome. Validation of the best model was performed using four studies as a test set and the fifth study for validation and repeated five times.

RESULTS

The best relationship for MTV and survival was a linear spline model with one knot located at the median MTV value of 307.9 cm3. MTV was a better predictor than IPI for PFS and OS. The best model combined MTV with age as continuous variables and individual stage as I-IV. The MTV-age-stage model performed better than IPI and was also better at defining a high-risk group (3-year PFS 46.3% v 58.0% and 3-year OS 51.5% v 66.4% for the new model and IPI, respectively). A regression formula was derived to estimate individual patient survival probabilities.

CONCLUSION

A new prognostic index is proposed using MTV, age, and stage, which outperforms IPI and enables individualized estimates of patient outcome.

Proposed New Dynamic Prognostic Index for Diffuse Large B-Cell Lymphoma: International Metabolic Prognostic Index

PURPOSE

Baseline metabolic tumor volume (MTV) is a promising biomarker in diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL). Our aims were to determine the best statistical relationship between MTV and survival and to compare MTV with the International Prognostic Index (IPI) and its individual components to derive the best prognostic model.

METHODS

PET scans and clinical data were included from five published studies in newly diagnosed diffuse large B-cell lymphoma. Transformations of MTV were compared with the primary end points of 3-year progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) to derive the best relationship for further analyses. MTV was compared with IPI categories and individual components to derive the best model. Patients were grouped into three groups for survival analysis using Kaplan-Meier analysis; 10% at highest risk, 30% intermediate risk, and 60% lowest risk, corresponding with expected clinical outcome. Validation of the best model was performed using four studies as a test set and the fifth study for validation and repeated five times.

RESULTS

The best relationship for MTV and survival was a linear spline model with one knot located at the median MTV value of 307.9 cm³. MTV was a better predictor than IPI for PFS and OS. The best model combined MTV with age as continuous variables and individual stage as I-IV. The MTV-age-stage model performed better than IPI and was also better at defining a high-risk group (3-year PFS 46.3% v 58.0% and 3-year OS 51.5% v 66.4% for the new model and IPI, respectively). A regression formula was derived to estimate individual patient survival probabilities.

CONCLUSION

A new prognostic index is proposed using MTV, age, and stage, which outperforms IPI and enables individualized estimates of patient outcome.

18F-FDG PET Improves Baseline Clinical Predictors of Response in Diffuse Large B-Cell Lymphoma: The HOVON-84 Study

We aimed to determine the added value of baseline metabolic tumor volume (MTV) and interim PET (I-PET) to the age-adjusted international prognostic index (aaIPI) to predict 2-y progression-free survival (PFS) in diffuse large B-cell lymphoma. Secondary objectives were to investigate optimal I-PET response criteria (using Deauville score [DS] or quantitative change in SUV_max [ΔSUV_max] between baseline and I-PET4 [observational I-PET scans after 4 cycles of rituximab, cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, vincristine, and prednisone administered in 2-wk intervals with intensified rituximab in the first 4 cycles [R(R)-CHOP14]). Methods: I-PET4 scans in the HOVON-84 (Hemato-Oncologie voor Volwassenen Nederland [Haemato Oncology Foundation for Adults in the Netherlands]) randomized clinical trial (EudraCT 2006-005174-42) were centrally reviewed using DS (cutoff, 4-5). Additionally, ΔSUV_max (prespecified cutoff, 70%) and baseline MTV were measured. Multivariable hazard ratio (HR), positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) were obtained for 2-y PFS. Results: In total, 513 I-PET4 scans were reviewed according to DS, and ΔSUV_max and baseline MTV were available for 367 and 296 patients. The NPV of I-PET ranged between 82% and 86% for all PET response criteria. Univariate HR and PPV were better for ΔSUV_max (4.8% and 53%, respectively) than for DS (3.1% and 38%, respectively). aaIPI and ΔSUV_max independently predicted 2-y PFS (HR, 3.2 and 5.0, respectively); adding MTV brought about a slight improvement. Low or low-intermediate aaIPI combined with a ΔSUV_max of more than 70% (37% of patients) yielded an NPV of 93%, and the combination of high-intermediate or high aaIPI and a ΔSUV_max of 70% or less yielded a PPV of 65%. Conclusion: In this study on diffuse large B-cell lymphoma, I-PET after 4 cycles of R(R)-CHOP14 added predictive value to aaIPI for 2-y PFS, and both were independent response biomarkers in a multivariable Cox model. We externally validated that ΔSUV_max outperformed DS in 2-y PFS prediction.

Cost-Effectiveness of Shortening Treatment Duration Based on Interim PET Outcome in Patients With Diffuse Large B-cell Lymphoma

BACKGROUND

Guideline recommendations for diffuse large-B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) treatment are shifting from long to short treatment duration, although it is still unclear whether shortening treatment duration does not cause any harm. As interim PET (I-PET) has high negative predictive value for progression, we evaluated the cost-effectiveness of shortening treatment duration dependent on I-PET result.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We developed a Markov cohort model using the PET Re-Analysis (PETRA) database to evaluate a long treatment duration (LTD) strategy, ie 8x R-CHOP or 6x R-CHOP plus 2 R, and a short treatment duration (STD) strategy, ie 6x R-CHOP. Strategies were evaluated separately in I-PET2 positive and I-PET2 negative patients. Outcomes included total costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) per patient (pp) from a societal perspective. Net monetary benefit (NMB) per strategy was calculated using a willingness-to-pay threshold of €50,000/QALY. Robustness of model predictions was assessed in sensitivity analyses.

RESULTS

In I-PET2 positive patients, shortening treatment duration led to 50.4 additional deaths per 1000 patients. The STD strategy was less effective (-0.161 [95%CI: -0.343;0.028] QALYs pp) and less costly (-€2768 [95%CI: -€8420;€1105] pp). Shortening treatment duration was not cost-effective (incremental NMB -€5281). In I-PET2 negative patients, shortening treatment duration led to 5.0 additional deaths per 1000 patients and a minor difference in effectiveness (-0.007 [95%CI: -0.136;0.140] QALY pp). The STD strategy was less costly (-€5807 [95%CI: -€10,724;-€2685] pp) and led to an incremental NMB of €5449, indicating that it is cost-effective to shorten treatment duration. Robustness of these findings was underpinned by deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses.

CONCLUSION

Treatment duration should not be shortened in I-PET2 positive patients whereas it is cost-effective to shorten treatment duration in I-PET2 negative patients.

A guide to ComBat harmonization of imaging biomarkers in multicenter studies

The impact of PET image acquisition and reconstruction parameters on SUV measurements or radiomic feature values is widely documented. This "scanner" effect is detrimental to the design and validation of predictive or prognostic models and limits the use of large multicenter cohorts. To reduce the impact of this scanner effect, the ComBat method has been proposed and is now used in various contexts. The purpose of this article is to explain and illustrate the use of ComBat based on practical examples. We also give examples in which the ComBat assumptions are not met; thus, ComBat should not be used.

Aberrant patterns of PET response during treatment for DLBCL patients with MYC gene rearrangements

Purpose

MYC gene rearrangements in diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) patients are associated with poor prognosis. Our aim was to compare patterns of 2[¹⁸F]fluoro-2-deoxy-D-glucose positron emission tomography computed tomography (PET/CT) response in MYC + and MYC- DLBCL patients.

Methods

Interim PET/CT (I-PET) and end of treatment PET/CT (EoT-PET) scans of 81 MYC + and 129 MYC- DLBCL patients from 2 HOVON trials were reviewed using the Deauville 5-point scale (DS). DS1-3 was regarded as negative and DS4-5 as positive. Standardized uptake values (SUV) and metabolic tumor volume (MTV) were quantified at baseline, I-PET, and EoT-PET. Negative (NPV) and positive predictive values (PPV) were calculated using 2-year overall survival.

Results

MYC + DLBCL patients had significantly more positive EoT-PET scans than MYC- patients (32.5 vs 15.7%, p = 0.004). I-PET positivity rates were comparable (28.8 vs 23.8%). In MYC + patients 23.2% of the I-PET negative patients converted to positive at EoT-PET, vs only 2% for the MYC- patients (p = 0.002). Nine (34.6%) MYC + DLBCL showed initially uninvolved localizations at EoT-PET, compared to one (5.3%) MYC- patient. A total of 80.8% of EoT-PET positive MYC + patients showed both increased lesional SUV and MTV compared to I-PET. In MYC- patients, 31.6% showed increased SUV and 42.1% showed increased MTV. NPV of I-PET and EoT-PET was high for both MYC subgroups (81.8–94.1%). PPV was highest at EoT-PET for MYC + patients (61.5%).

Conclusion

MYC + DLBCL patients demonstrate aberrant PET response patterns compared to MYC- patients with more frequent progression during treatment after I-PET negative assessment and new lesions at sites that were not initially involved.

Trial registration number and date of registration

HOVON-84: EudraCT: 2006–005,174-42, retrospectively registered 01–08-2008. HOVON-130: EudraCT: 2014–002,654-39, registered 26–01-2015

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00259-021-05498-7.

Quantitative radiomics features in diffuse large B-cell lymphoma: does segmentation method matter?

INTRODUCTION

Radiomics features may predict outcome in diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL). Currently, multiple segmentation methods are used to calculate metabolic tumor volume (MTV). We assessed the influence of segmentation method on the discriminative power of radiomics features in DLBCL for patient level and for the largest lesion. Methods: 50 baseline ¹⁸F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography computed tomography (PET/CT) scans of DLBCL patients who progressed or relapsed within 2 years after diagnosis were matched on uptake time and reconstruction method with 50 baseline PET/CT scans of DLBCL patients without progression. Scans were analysed using 6 semi-automatic segmentation methods (standardized uptake value (SUV)4.0, SUV2.5, 41% of the maximum SUV, 50% of the SUVpeak, majority vote (MV)2 and MV3, respectively). Based on these segmentations, 490 radiomics features were extracted at patient level and 486 features for the largest lesion. To quantify the agreement between features extracted from different segmentation methods, the intra-class correlation (ICC) agreement was calculated for each method compared to SUV4.0. The feature space was reduced by deleting features that had high Pearson correlations (≥0.7) with the previously established predictors MTV and/or SUVpeak. Model performance was assessed using stratified repeated cross-validation with 5 folds and 2000 repeats yielding the mean receiver-operating characteristics curve integral (CV-AUC) for all segmentation methods using logistic regression with backward feature selection. Results: The percentage of features yielding an ICC ≥0.75 compared to the SUV4.0 segmentation was lowest for A50P both at patient level and for the largest lesion, with 77.3% and 66.7% of the features yielding an ICC ≥0.75, respectively. Features were not highly correlated with MTV, with at least 435 features at patient level and 409 features for the largest lesion for all segmentation methods with a correlation coefficient <0.7. Features were highly correlated with SUVpeak (at least 190 and 134 were uncorrelated, respectively). CV-AUCs ranged between 0.69±0.11 and 0.84±0.09 for patient level, and between 0.69±0.11 and 0.73±0.10 for lesion level. Conclusion: Even though there are differences in the actual radiomics feature values derived and selected features between segmentation methods, there is no substantial difference in the discriminative power of radiomics features between segmentation methods.

Interobserver agreement in automated metabolic tumor volume measurements of Deauville score 4 and 5 lesions at interim 18F-FDG PET in DLBCL

Introduction: Metabolic tumor volume (MTV) on interim-PET (I-PET) is a potential prognostic biomarker for diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL). Implementation of MTV on I-PET requires consensus which semi-automated segmentation method delineates lesions most successfully with least user interaction. Methods used for baseline PET are not necessarily optimal for I-PET due to lower lesional standardized uptake values (SUV) at I-PET. Therefore, we aimed to evaluate which method provides the best delineation quality of Deauville-score (DS) 4-5 DLBCL lesions on I-PET at best interobserver agreement on delineation quality and, secondly, to assess the effect of lesional SUV_max on delineation quality and performance agreements. Methods: DS4-5 lesions from 45 I-PET scans were delineated using six semi-automated methods i) SUV 2.5, ii) SUV 4.0, iii) adaptive threshold [A50%peak], iv) 41% of maximum SUV [41%max], v) majority vote including voxels detected by ≥2 methods [MV2] and vi) detected by ≥3 methods [MV3]. Delineation quality per MTV was rated by three independent observers as acceptable or non-acceptable. For each method, observer scores on delineation quality, specific agreements and MTV were assessed for all lesions, and per category of lesional SUV_max (<5, 5-10, >10). Results: In 60 DS4-5 lesions on I-PET, MV3 performed best, with acceptable delineation in 90% of lesions, with a positive agreement (PA) of 93%. Delineation quality scores and agreements per method strongly depended on lesional SUV: the best delineation quality scores were obtained using MV3 in lesions with SUV_max<10 and SUV4.0 in more FDG-avid lesions. Consequently, overall delineation quality and PA improved by applying the most preferred method per SUV category instead of using MV3 as single best method. MV3- and SUV4.0-derived MTVs of lesions with SUV_max>10, were comparable after excluding visually failed MV3 contouring. For lesions with SUV_max<10, MTVs using different methods correlated poorly. Conclusion: On I-PET, MV3 performed best and provided the highest interobserver agreement regarding acceptable delineations of DS4-5 DLBCL lesions. However, delineation method preference strongly depended on lesional SUV. Therefore, we suggest to explore an approach that identifies the optimal delineation method per lesion as function of tumor FDG uptake characteristics, i.e. SUV_max.

Profound regional spectral, connectivity, and network changes reflect visual deficits in posterior cortical atrophy: an EEG study

Patients with posterior cortical atrophy (PCA-AD) show more severe visuospatial and perceptual deficits than those with typical AD (tAD). The aim of this study was to investigate whether functional alterations measured by electroencephalography can help understand the mechanisms that explain this clinical heterogeneity. 21-channel electroencephalography recordings of 29 patients with PCA-AD were compared with 29 patients with tAD and 29 controls matched for age, gender, and disease severity. Patients with PCA-AD and tAD both showed a global decrease in fast and increase in slow oscillatory activity compared with controls. This pattern was, however, more profound in patients with PCA-AD which was driven by more extensive slowing of the posterior regions. Alpha band functional connectivity showed a similar decrease in PCA-AD and tAD. Compared with controls, a less integrated network topology was observed in PCA-AD, with a decrease of posterior and an increase of frontal hubness. In PCA-AD, decreased right parietal peak frequency correlated with worse performance on visual tasks. Regional vulnerability of the posterior network might explain the atypical pattern of neurodegeneration in PCA-AD.

Automated Segmentation of Baseline Metabolic Total Tumor Burden in Diffuse Large B-Cell Lymphoma: Which Method Is Most Successful? A Study on Behalf of the PETRA Consortium

Metabolic tumor volume (MTV) is a promising biomarker of pretreatment risk in diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL). Different segmentation methods can be used that predict prognosis equally well but give different optimal cutoffs for risk stratification. Segmentation can be cumbersome; a fast, easy, and robust method is needed. Our aims were to evaluate the best automated MTV workflow in DLBCL; determine whether uptake time, compliance or noncompliance with standardized recommendations for ¹⁸F-FDG scanning, and subsequent disease progression influence the success of segmentation; and assess differences in MTVs and discriminatory power of segmentation methods. Methods: One hundred forty baseline ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT scans were selected from U.K. and Dutch studies on DLBCL to provide a balance between scans at 60 and 90 min of uptake, parameters compliant and noncompliant with standardized recommendations for scanning, and patients with and without progression. An automated tool was applied for segmentation using an SUV of 2.5 (SUV2.5), an SUV of 4.0 (SUV4.0), adaptive thresholding (A50P), 41% of SUV_max (41%), a majority vote including voxels detected by at least 2 methods (MV2), and a majority vote including voxels detected by at least 3 methods (MV3). Two independent observers rated the success of the tool to delineate MTV. Scans that required minimal interaction were rated as a success; scans that missed more than 50% of the tumor or required more than 2 editing steps were rated as a failure. Results: One hundred thirty-eight scans were evaluable, with significant differences in success and failure ratings among methods. The best performing was SUV4.0, with higher success and lower failure rates than any other method except MV2, which also performed well. SUV4.0 gave a good approximation of MTV in 105 (76%) scans, with simple editing for a satisfactory result in additionally 20% of cases. MTV was significantly different for all methods between patients with and without progression. The 41% segmentation method performed slightly worse, with longer uptake times; otherwise, scanning conditions and patient outcome did not influence the tool's performance. The discriminative power was similar among methods, but MTVs were significantly greater using SUV4.0 and MV2 than using other thresholds, except for SUV2.5. Conclusion: SUV4.0 and MV2 are recommended for further evaluation. Automated estimation of MTV is feasible.