A Validated Pre-operative Risk Prediction Tool for Extended Inpatient Length of Stay Following Primary Total Hip or Knee Arthroplasty

BACKGROUND

As value-based reimbursement models mature, understanding the potential trade-off between inpatient lengths of stay and complications or need for costly postacute care becomes more pressing. Understanding and predicting a patient's expected baseline length of stay may help providers understand how best to decide optimal discharge timing for high-risk total joint arthroplasty (TJA) patients.

METHODS

A retrospective review was conducted of 37,406 primary total hip (17,134, 46%) and knee (20,272, 54%) arthroplasties performed at two high-volume, geographically diverse, tertiary health systems during the study period. Patients were stratified by 3 binary outcomes for extended inpatient length of stay: 72 + hours (29%), 4 + days (11%), or 5 + days (5%). The predictive ability of over 50 sociodemographic/comorbidity variables was tested. Multivariable logistic regression models were created using institution #1 (derivation), with accuracy tested using the cohort from institution #2 (validation).

RESULTS

During the study period, patients underwent an extended length of stay with a decreasing frequency over time, with privately insured patients having a significantly shorter length of stay relative to those with Medicare (1.9 versus 2.3 days, P < .0001). Extended stay patients also had significantly higher 90-day readmission rates (P < .0001), even when excluding those discharged to postacute care (P < .01). Multivariable logistic regression models created from the training cohort demonstrated excellent accuracy (area under the curve (AUC): 0.755, 0.783, 0.810) and performed well under external validation (AUC: 0.719, 0.743, 0.763). Many important variables were common to all 3 models, including age, sex, American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) score, body mass index, marital status, bilateral case, insurance type, and 13 comorbidities.

DISCUSSION

An online, freely available, preoperative clinical decision tool accurately predicts risk of extended inpatient length of stay after TJA. Many risk factors are potentially modifiable, and these validated tools may help guide clinicians in preoperative patient counseling, medical optimization, and understanding optimal discharge timing.

The characteristics of opioid use in patients with proximal humerus fractures

BACKGROUND

Orthopaedic surgeons prescribe more opioid narcotics than any other surgical specialty. Proximal humerus fractures (PHF) often occur in the high-risk elderly population. The opioid epidemic has led to public policy aimed at reductions in opioid prescription. This study aimed to evaluate the impact that new legislation has had on opioid prescription patterns in patients who sustained proximal humerus fractures.

METHODS

A retrospective review of all patients who sustained PHF at a single academic institution from 1/1/2015-12/31/2019 was performed. A total of 762 proximal humerus fractures were identified and final analysis included 383 patients. Collected data included basic demographics and opioid prescriptions obtained through review of the electronic medical record. The North Carolina Strengthen Opioid Misuse Prevention act legislation that went into effect on July 1, 2017.

RESULTS

There was no difference in the number of pre- or postoperative opioid prescriptions provided with the new legislation. Our data showed a significant reduction in MeQs prescribed preoperatively pre-STOP act (188.1 MeQs) and post-STOP act (99.4 MeQs). There was also a significant difference in the amount of postoperative narcotics prescribed in the pre-STOP (972.6 MeQs) and post-STOP act (508.6 MeQs) groups (p < 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

With the enactment of the STOP act in North Carolina, we have seen a significant reduction in the amount of narcotic prescribed after sustaining a proximal humerus fracture preoperatively and postoperatively. This data demonstrates the impact that implementation of state-wide regulatory changes in opioid prescribing policy has had for a common orthopedic condition.

A validated preoperative risk prediction tool for extended inpatient length of stay following anatomic or reverse total shoulder arthroplasty

BACKGROUND

Recent work has shown inpatient length of stay (LOS) following shoulder arthroplasty to hold the second strongest association with overall cost (after implant cost itself). In particular, a preoperative understanding for the patients at risk of extended inpatient stays (≥3 days) can allow for counseling, optimization, and anticipating postoperative adverse events.

METHODS

A multicenter retrospective review was performed of 5410 anatomic (52%) and reverse (48%) total shoulder arthroplasties done at 2 large, tertiary referral health systems. The primary outcome was extended inpatient LOS of at least 3 days, and over 40 preoperative sociodemographic and comorbidity factors were tested for their predictive ability in a multivariable logistic regression model based on the patient cohort from institution 1 (derivation, N = 1773). External validation was performed using the patient cohort from institution 2 (validation, N = 3637), including area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values.

RESULTS

A total of 814 patients, including 318 patients (18%) in the derivation cohort and 496 patients (14%) in the validation cohort, experienced an extended inpatient LOS of at least 3 days. Four hundred forty-five (55%) were discharged to a skilled nursing or rehabilitation facility. Following parameter selection, a multivariable logistic regression model based on the derivation cohort (institution 1) demonstrated excellent preliminary accuracy (AUC: 0.826), with minimal decrease in accuracy under external validation when tested against the patients from institution 2 (AUC: 0.816). The predictive model was composed of only preoperative factors, in descending predictive importance as follows: age, marital status, fracture case, ASA (American Society of Anesthesiologists) score, paralysis, electrolyte disorder, body mass index, gender, neurologic disease, coagulation deficiency, diabetes, chronic pulmonary disease, peripheral vascular disease, alcohol dependence, psychoses, smoking status, and revision case.

CONCLUSION

A freely-available, preoperative online clinical decision tool for extended inpatient LOS (≥ 3 days) after shoulder arthroplasty reaches excellent predictive accuracy under external validation. As a result, this tool merits consideration for clinical implementation, as many risk factors are potentially modifiable as part of a preoperative optimization strategy.

Addressing Surgical Instrument Oversupply: A Focused Literature Review and Case-Study in Orthopedic Hand Surgery

BACKGROUND

Instrument oversupply drives cost in the operating room (OR). We review previously reported methodologies for surgical instrument reduction and report a pilot methodology for optimizing instrument supply via ethnographic instrument tracking of thumb carpometacarpal (CMC) arthroplasties. Additionally, we report a cost analysis of instrument oversupply and potential savings of tray optimization methods.

METHODS

Instrument utilization was tracked over 8 CMC arthroplasties conducted by 2 surgeons at an ambulatory surgery center of a large academic hospital. An optimized supply methodology was designed. A cost analysis was conducted using health-system-specific data and previously published research.

RESULTS

After tracking instrument use in 8 CMC arthroplasties, a cumulative total of 59 out of the 120 instruments in the Hand & Foot (H&F) tray were used in at least 1 case. Two instruments were used in all cases, and another 20 instruments were used in at least 50% of the cases. Using a reduced tray with 59 instruments, potential cost savings for tray reduction in 60 cases were estimated to be $2086 without peel-packing and $2356 with peel-packing. The estimated cost savings were lower than those reported in literature due to a reduced scope and exclusion of OR time cost in the analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Instrument oversupply drives cost at our institution's ambulatory surgery center. Ethnography is a cost-effective method to track instrument utilization and determine optimal tray composition for small services but is not scalable to large health systems. The time and cost required to observe sufficient surgeries to enable supply reduction to motivate the need for more efficient methods to determine instrument utility.

The clinical impact of arthroscopic vs. open osteocapsular débridement for primary osteoarthritis of the elbow: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

Primary elbow osteoarthritis (PEOA) is a debilitating disease that can be difficult to treat. Osteocapsular débridement (OD) has been described through various approaches, including arthroscopic and open approaches, with successful outcomes in treating PEOA. There is insufficient evidence in the literature to date to demonstrate the superiority of any approach. The purpose of this review was to compare the clinical results of arthroscopic vs. open OD for PEOA.

METHODS

The online databases PubMed, Embase (Elsevier), and Scopus (Elsevier) were searched from inception through April 1, 2018, for clinical studies reporting on OD. Studies were stratified based on an arthroscopic vs. open approach. Weighted means were calculated for surgical and patient-reported outcomes.

RESULTS

We included 30 studies, reporting on 871 patients and 887 elbows, with a mean follow-up period of 44.3 ± 25.5 months. Of these studies, 15 (420 elbows) reported on open OD, 14 (456 elbows) reported arthroscopic OD, and 1 reported on a cohort of each approach (open in 5 elbows and arthroscopic in 6). The Mayo Elbow Performance Score improved by 28.6 ± 4.57 in the open group vs. 26.6 ± 7.24 in the arthroscopic group. Flexion improved by 19° ± 6° in the open group and 10° ± 6° in the arthroscopic group. Extension improved by 11° ± 5° in the open group and 11° ± 6° in the arthroscopic group.

CONCLUSIONS

Open OD and arthroscopic OD are effective surgical treatment options for patients with symptomatic PEOA, reliably improving flexion, extension, and functional outcome scores with low complication rates.

The Relationship Between Humeral Torsion and Arm Injury in Baseball Players: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

CONTEXT

Humeral torsion (HT) has been linked to various injuries and benefits. However, the exact interplay between HT, shoulder range of motion (ROM), competition level differences, and injury risk is unclear.

OBJECTIVE

To determine the relationship between HT, ROM, and injury risk in baseball players. Secondarily, to determine HT based on competition level.

DATA SOURCES

PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, CINAHL, and Cochrane databases were searched from inception until November 4, 2018.

STUDY SELECTION

Inclusion criteria consisted of (1) HT measurements and (2) arm injury or shoulder ROM.

STUDY DESIGN

Systematic review.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Level 3.

DATA EXTRACTION

Two reviewers recorded patient demographics, competition level, HT, shoulder ROM, and injury data.

RESULTS

A total of 32 studies were included. There was no difference between baseball players with shoulder and elbow injuries and noninjured players (side-to-side HT difference: mean difference [MD], 1.75 [95% CI, -1.83 to 2.18]; dominant arm: MD, 0.17 [95% CI, -1.83 to 2.18]). Meta-regression determined that for every 1° increase in shoulder internal rotation (IR), there was a subsequent increase of 0.65° in HT (95% CI, 0.28 to 1.02). HT did not explain external rotation (ER ROM: 0.19 [95% CI, -0.24 to 0.61]) or horizontal adduction (HA ROM: 0.18 [95% CI, -0.46 to 0.82]). There were no differences between HT at the high school, college, or professional levels.

CONCLUSION

No relationship was found between HT and injury risk. However, HT explained 65% of IR ROM but did not explain ER ROM or HA ROM. There were no differences in HT pertaining to competition level. The majority of IR may be nonmodifiable. Treatment to restore and maintain clinical IR may be important, especially in players with naturally greater torsion. HT adaptation may occur prior to high school, which can assist in decisions regarding adolescent baseball participation.

The clinical and radiographic impact of center of rotation lateralization in reverse shoulder arthroplasty: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

Reverse shoulder arthroplasty (RSA) has been widely adopted in the United States since its approval by the United States Food and Drug Administration in 2003. Advancements in metallurgy and design (including locking screws) have yielded clinically successful prostheses with a lateralized center of rotation (COR). This systematic review compared postsurgical outcomes and failure rates for lateral vs. medial COR RSA. We hypothesized that progressive lateralization of the COR results in greater ROM, improved clinical outcome scores, fewer acromial stress fractures, and less notching but a higher rate of glenoid implant baseplate failure and dislocation.

METHODS

PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, CINAHL, and Cochrane databases were searched from inception through June 7, 2017, following Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. Eighteen articles were included after final review. Studies were stratified on whether a prosthesis with a lateral or medial COR was used. Comparisons included shoulder range of motion (ROM), functional outcome scores, and reported complications.

RESULTS

RSA demonstrated significant improvements in outcome scores postsurgery regardless of prosthesis type. Overall, this study found no clear difference in outcome scores between the lateralized and medialized COR groups. The lateralized COR group displayed increased postoperative ROM. There was a higher reported incidence of scapular notching with medial COR prostheses. Otherwise, there were no clear differences in complications between the 2 groups.

DISCUSSION

The data suggest no significant differences exist between groups in outcome scores. The lateralized COR prosthesis showed increased postoperative external rotation and decreased scapular notching. Additional well-constructed randomized controlled trials would allow more effective comparison of these prosthesis designs.