Identifying CLL patients at high risk of atrial fibrillation on treatment using machine learning

An increased risk of developing atrial fibrillation (AF) has been observed in patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) who were treated with ibrutinib and other BTK inhibitors. Previous studies have explored the prevalence of AF in CLL and the risk of developing AF at time of diagnosis. However, the interaction between treatment type with other risk factors on risk of developing atrial fibrillation at the time of treatment initiation has not been investigated. This becomes particularly crucial in CLL, as there is often a substantial time gap between diagnosis and treatment, unlike many other cancers. We propose a treatment-aware approach using predictive modeling to identify the risk factors associated with AF at time of treatment initiation. Moreover, the model provides treatment-dependent risk factors by including the interaction between the treatment types and other risk factors. The results demonstrated that the treatment-aware modeling including interactions outperformed currentrisk scores.

Real-world outcomes upon second-line treatment in patients with chronic lymphocytic leukaemia

For chronic lymphocytic leukaemia (CLL), targeted drugs have become the standard of care, in particular for second-line treatment. In this study, overall survival (OS), treatment-free survival (TFS) and adverse events (AE) were registered retrospectively in a Danish population-based cohort upon second-line treatment for CLL. Data were collected from medical records and the Danish National CLL register. For 286 patients receiving second-line treatment, three-year TFS was higher upon targeted treatment (ibrutinib/venetoclax/idelalisib) [63%, 95% confidence interval (CI) 50%-76%] compared with fludarabine, cyclophosphamide and rituximab or bendamustine and rituximab (FCR/BR) (37%, CI: 26%-48%) and chlorambucil+/-CD20-antibody (CD20Clb/Clb) (22%, CI: 10%-33%). Upon targeted treatment, three-year OS estimates were higher for targeted treatment (79%, CI: 68%-91%) compared with FCR/BR (70%, CI: 60%-81%) or CD20Clb/Clb (60%, CI: 47%-74%). The most common AEs were infections and haematological AEs; 92% of patients treated with targeted drugs had AEs, 53% of which were severe. Upon FCR/BR and CD20Clb/Clb, AEs were present for 75% and 53% respectively, of which 63% and 31% were severe. These real-world data demonstrate higher TFS and a tendency towards higher OS following targeted second-line treatment for CLL compared to chemoimmunotherapy, also for patients who may be frailer and more comorbid.

Clinical Outcomes in Patients with Multi-Hit TP53 Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia Treated with Ibrutinib

PURPOSE

TP53 aberration (TP53 mutation and/or 17p deletion) is the most important predictive marker in chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL). Although each TP53 aberration is considered an equal prognosticator, the prognostic value of carrying isolated (single-hit) or multiple (multi-hit) TP53 aberrations remains unclear, particularly in the context of targeted agents.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We performed deep sequencing of TP53 using baseline samples collected from 51 TP53 aberrant patients treated with ibrutinib in a phase II study (NCT01500733).

RESULTS

We identified TP53 mutations in 43 patients (84%) and del(17p) in 47 (92%); 9 and 42 patients carried single-hit and multi-hit TP53, respectively. The multi-hit TP53 subgroup was enriched with younger patients who had prior treatments and unmutated immunoglobulin heavy-chain variable region gene status. We observed significantly shorter overall survival, progression-free survival (PFS), and time-to-progression (TTP) in patients with multi-hit TP53 compared with those with single-hit TP53. Clinical outcomes were similar in patient subgroups stratified by 2 or >2 TP53 aberrations. In multivariable analyses, multi-hit TP53 CLL was independently associated with inferior PFS and TTP. In sensitivity analyses, excluding mutations below 1% VAF demonstrated similar outcome. Results were validated in an independent population-based cohort of 112 patients with CLL treated with ibrutinib.

CONCLUSIONS

In this study, single-hit TP53 defines a distinct subgroup of patients with an excellent long-term response to single-agent ibrutinib, whereas multi-hit TP53 is independently associated with shorter PFS. These results warrant further investigations on prognostication and management of multi-hit TP53 CLL.See related commentary by Bomben et al., p. 4462.