Development and validation of health system performance measures for opioid use disorder in British Columbia, Canada

BACKGROUND

Performance measurement provides an evidence-based means to inform development of interventions to improve the quality of care for people who use opioids. We aimed to develop and assess the predictive validity of health system performance measures for opioid use disorder (OUD) in British Columbia (BC), Canada.

METHODS

Performance measures were generated using retrospective population-level administrative datasets (both provincial and regional) and publicly-reported retrospective data according to four domains (care engagement, clinical guideline compliance, integration, and healthcare utilization). The adjusted odds ratio was estimated via generalized linear mixed models to determine predictive validity for all-cause hospitalization or mortality within 6 months of measurement.

FINDINGS

A total of 102 performance measures were constructed. We identified 55,470 diagnosed PWOUD, and 39,456 ever engaged in opioid agonist treatment (OAT). We found divergent rates of treatment for concurrent conditions (7.4% for alcohol use disorder to 80.1% for HIV/AIDS), low levels of linkage to OAT and other outpatient care following acute care, and increasing levels of service provision, including increases in OAT prescribers and pharmacies, naloxone kit distribution and overdose prevention site visitation. Our analyses on the predictive validity measures largely supported a priori hypotheses on the direction of effect on the outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

We identified a range of priorities to improve the quality of care for PWOUD, with critical gaps in linkage to care through acute care settings and long-term engagement in OAT. The proposed measures can be derived for geographic and clinical subgroups and updated over time, providing a basis to monitor and evaluate efforts to address the public health burden of OUD.

Determinants of selection into buprenorphine/naloxone among people initiating opioid agonist treatment in British Columbia

BACKGROUND

Studies assessing the comparative effectiveness of methadone versus buprenorphine/naloxone for opioid use disorder in real-world settings are rare - challenged by structural differences in delivery across settings and factors influencing treatment selection. We identified determinants of selection into buprenorphine/naloxone and quantified contributions of individual and provider-level covariates in a setting delivering both medications within the same healthcare settings.

METHODS

Utilizing linked health administrative datasets, we conducted a retrospective cohort study of people with opioid use disorder (PWOUD) receiving opioid agonist treatment (OAT) in British Columbia, Canada, from 2008-2017. Determinants of buprenorphine/naloxone selection were identified using a generalized linear mixed model with random intercept terms for providers and individuals. We determined the influence of individual demographics, clinical history, measures of provider experience and preference, and dates of key policy changes.

RESULTS

A total of 39,605 individuals experienced 178,976 OAT episodes (methadone:139,439(77.9 %);buprenorphine/naloxone:39,537(22.1 %)). Male sex, less OAT experience, younger age, mental health conditions and chronic pain were associated with higher odds of buprenorphine/naloxone prescription. For providers, higher client-attachment, more complex OAT case-mixes, and higher buprenorphine/naloxone prescribing-preference were also associated with higher odds of buprenorphine/naloxone prescription. Observed individual-level covariates explained 9.7 % of variance in odds of buprenorphine/naloxone selection, while observed provider-level covariates explained 20.0 %. Controlling for covariates, residual unmeasured between-individual variance accounted for 18.5 % of the explained variation in the odds of buprenorphine/naloxone selection, while unmeasured between-provider variance accounted for 28.4 %.

CONCLUSION

Provider characteristics were more influential in selection of buprenorphine/naloxone over methadone informing subsequent analyses of comparative effectiveness of these regimens.

Blood-pressure targets in patients with recent lacunar stroke: the SPS3 randomised trial

BACKGROUND

Lowering of blood pressure prevents stroke but optimum target levels to prevent recurrent stroke are unknown. We investigated the effects of different blood-pressure targets on the rate of recurrent stroke in patients with recent lacunar stroke.

METHODS

In this randomised open-label trial, eligible patients lived in North America, Latin America, and Spain and had recent, MRI-defined symptomatic lacunar infarctions. Patients were recruited between March, 2003, and April, 2011, and randomly assigned, according to a two-by-two multifactorial design, to a systolic-blood-pressure target of 130-149 mm Hg or less than 130 mm Hg. The primary endpoint was reduction in all stroke (including ischaemic strokes and intracranial haemorrhages). Analysis was done by intention to treat. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT 00059306.

FINDINGS

3020 enrolled patients, 1519 in the higher-target group and 1501 in the lower-target group, were followed up for a mean of 3·7 (SD 2·0) years. Mean age was 63 (SD 11) years. After 1 year, mean systolic blood pressure was 138 mm Hg (95% CI 137-139) in the higher-target group and 127 mm Hg (95% CI 126-128) in the lower-target group. Non-significant rate reductions were seen for all stroke (hazard ratio 0·81, 95% CI 0·64-1·03, p=0·08), disabling or fatal stroke (0·81, 0·53-1·23, p=0·32), and the composite outcome of myocardial infarction or vascular death (0·84, 0·68-1·04, p=0·32) with the lower target. The rate of intracerebral haemorrhage was reduced significantly (0·37, 0·15-0·95, p=0·03). Treatment-related serious adverse events were infrequent.

INTERPRETATION

Although the reduction in stroke was not significant, our results support that in patients with recent lacunar stroke, the use of a systolic-blood-pressure target of less than 130 mm Hg is likely to be beneficial.

FUNDING

National Institutes of Health-National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke (NIH-NINDS).

Oral anticoagulants versus antiplatelet therapy for preventing stroke in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation and no history of stroke or transient ischemic attacks

BACKGROUND

Non-valvular atrial fibrillation (AF) carries an increased risk of stroke mediated by embolism of stasis-precipitated thrombi originating in the left atrial appendage. Both oral anticoagulants and antiplatelet agents have proven effective for stroke prevention in most patients at high risk for vascular events, but primary stroke prevention in patients with non-valvular AF potentially merits separate consideration because of the suspected cardio-embolic mechanism of most strokes in AF patients.

OBJECTIVES

To characterize the relative effect of long-term oral anticoagulant treatment compared with antiplatelet therapy on major vascular events in patients with non-valvular AF and no history of stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA).

SEARCH STRATEGY

We searched the Cochrane Stroke Group Trials Register (June 2006). We also searched the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL) (The Cochrane Library Issue 2, 2006), MEDLINE (1966 to June 2006) and EMBASE (1980 to June 2006). We contacted the Atrial Fibrillation Collaboration and experts working in the field to identify unpublished and ongoing trials.

SELECTION CRITERIA

All unconfounded, randomized trials in which long-term (more than four weeks) adjusted-dose oral anticoagulant treatment was compared with antiplatelet therapy in patients with chronic non-valvular AF.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

Two review authors independently selected trials for inclusion, assessed quality and extracted data. The Peto method was used for combining odds ratios after assessing for heterogeneity.

MAIN RESULTS

Eight randomized trials, including 9598 patients, tested adjusted-dose warfarin versus aspirin (in dosages ranging from 75 to 325 mg/day) in AF patients without prior stroke or TIA. The mean overall follow up was 1.9 years/participant. Oral anticoagulants were associated with lower risk of all stroke (odds ratio (OR) 0.68, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.54 to 0.85), ischemic stroke (OR 0.53, 95% CI 0.41 to 0.68) and systemic emboli (OR 0.48, 95% CI 0.25 to 0.90). All disabling or fatal strokes (OR 0.71, 95% CI 0.59 to 1.04) and myocardial infarction (OR 0.69, 95% CI 0.47 to 1.01) were substantially but not significantly reduced by oral anticoagulants. Vascular death (OR 0.93, 95% CI 0.75 to 1.15) and all cause mortality (OR 0.99, 95% CI 0.83 to 1.18), were similar with these treatments. Intracranial hemorrhages (OR 1.98, 95% CI 1.20 to 3.28) were increased by oral anticoagulant therapy.

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

Adjusted-dose warfarin and related oral anticoagulants reduce stroke, disabling stroke and other major vascular events for those with non-valvular AF by about one third when compared with antiplatelet therapy.

Effects of congestive heart failure on plasma von Willebrand factor and soluble P-selectin concentrations in patients with non-valvar atrial fibrillation

OBJECTIVE

To examine further the relations of plasma von Willebrand factor (vWf, an index of endothelial damage and dysfunction) and soluble P-selectin (sP-sel, an index of platelet activation) concentrations to the presence and onset of clinical congestive heart failure (CHF) and the degree of left ventricular (LV) dysfunction in patients taking part in the SPAF (stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation) study.

METHODS

Plasma concentrations of vWf and sP-sel were measured by enzyme linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) in 1321 participants in the SPAF III study and related to the presence and onset of clinical CHF, as well as echocardiographic findings. Of the 1321 patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), 331 (25%) had a documented history of clinical heart failure, of which 168 cases were related to a new or recurrent episode of acute decompensated heart failure occurring within the preceding three months.

RESULTS

Mean plasma vWf was higher among patients with AF and CHF (154 (29) v 144 (31) IU/dl, p < 0.001), particularly those with acute or recent decompensated symptoms. Patients with severe LV dysfunction on two dimensional echocardiography and low fractional shortening also had significantly higher vWf concentrations than those with no LV dysfunction. CHF patients with clinical features--with (156 (28) IU/dl) and without (152 (31) IU/dl) LV dysfunction--also had higher mean vWf concentrations than patients with asymptomatic LV dysfunction (146 (31) IU/dl, p < 0.001). The presence of mitral regurgitation in CHF was associated with lower vWf concentrations. Plasma sP-sel concentrations were not affected by presence, onset, or severity of heart failure.

CONCLUSIONS

CHF may contribute to hypercoagulability and thrombotic risk in AF through increased endothelial damage and dysfunction. Patients with acute or recent decompensated features have the highest degree of endothelial damage and dysfunction. The presence of CHF clinical features was an important determinant of plasma vWf concentrations.

Occurrence of hemispheric and retinal ischemia in atrial fibrillation compared with carotid stenosis

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The goal of this study was to examine the hypotheses that retinal ischemia is caused more often by carotid atherosclerosis than by atrial fibrillation and that the odds of retinal events compared with hemispheric events increase with worsening carotid stenosis.

METHODS

We used data from the Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation (SPAF) I through III trials and North American Symptomatic Carotid Endarterectomy Trial (NASCET), calculating hemispheric:retinal (H:R) odds for the territory of ischemic events during follow-up in patients with atrial fibrillation and medically treated 50% to 99% carotid stenosis or occlusion in the respective trials.

RESULTS

The H:R odds were 25:1 in the SPAF aspirin-assigned patients and 2:1 for NASCET vessels. In NASCET patients, the H:R odds of recurrent ischemic events were 1:4 for vessels randomized initially for retinal symptoms compared with 6:1 for those randomized for hemispheric events (significant difference; P<0.001). Moreover, the H:R odds of first events in the territory of the contralateral asymptomatic artery were 1:1 if the randomized vessel had retinal symptoms compared with 4:1 if the randomized vessel had hemispheric symptoms (significant difference; P<0.01). Increasing carotid stenosis in the 50% to 99% range had no effect on H:R odds (P=0.8).

CONCLUSIONS

These findings confirm that retinal symptoms are more typical of carotid stenosis. Hemodynamic effects do not appear to be more important in the pathogenesis of retinal events than hemispheric ones in carotid stenosis. The retinal versus hemispheric location of initial symptoms is strongly predictive of the location of subsequent events in patients with carotid stenosis, even when new symptoms are contralateral to the original ones.

Recurrent brain hemorrhage is more frequent than ischemic stroke after intracranial hemorrhage

OBJECTIVE

To characterize the rates of recurrent intracranial hemorrhage (ICH), ischemic stroke, and death in survivors of primary ICH.

METHODS

Systematic review of studies reporting recurrent stroke in survivors of primary ICH, identified at index ICH and followed forward. Studies were identified by computerized search of the literature and review of reference lists.

RESULTS

Ten studies published between 1982 and 2000 reporting 1,880 survivors of ICH, followed for a total of 6,326 patient-years (mean follow-up, 3.4 patient-years), were included. The aggregate rate of all stroke from five studies was 4.3% per patient-year (95% CI, 3.5% to 5.4%). The rate in the three population-based studies was higher than in the two hospital-based studies, 6.2% versus 4.0% per patient-year (p = 0.04). About three fourths of recurrent strokes were ICH. Considering all 10 studies, a total of 147 patients had a recurrent ICH, an aggregate rate of 2.3% per patient-year (95% CI, 1.9% to 2.7%). Based on data from four studies, patients with a primary lobar ICH had a higher rate of recurrent ICH than those with a deep, hemispheric ICH (4.4% versus 2.1% per patient-year; p = 0.002). The aggregate rates of subsequent ischemic stroke and mortality were 1.1% per patient-year (95% CI, 0.8% to 1.7%) and 8.8% per patient-year (95% CI, 5.2% to 11.0%).

CONCLUSIONS

Recurrent stroke among survivors of primary ICH occurs at a rate of about 4% per patient-year, and most are recurrent ICH. Survivors of ICH have a higher risk of recurrent ICH than of ischemic stroke, and this has implications for the use of antithrombotic agents in these patients.

ScFv multimers of the anti-neuraminidase antibody NC10: shortening of the linker in single-chain Fv fragment assembled in V(L) to V(H) orientation drives the formation of dimers, trimers, tetramers and higher molecular mass multimers

Synthetic genes encoding single-chain variable fragments (scFvs) of NC10 anti-neuraminidase antibody were constructed by joining the V(L) and V(H) domains with linkers of fifteen, five, four, three, two, one and zero residues. These V(L)-V(H) constructs were expressed in Escherichia coli and the resulting proteins were characterized and compared with the previously characterized NC10 scFv proteins assembled in V(H)-V(L) orientation. Size-exclusion chromatography and electron microscope images of complexes formed between various NC10 scFvs and anti-idiotype Fab' were used to analyse the oligomeric status of these scFvs. The result showed that as the linker length between V(L) and V(H) was reduced, different patterns of oligomerization were observed compared with those with V(H)-V(L) isomers. As was the case for V(H)-V(L) orientation, the scFv-15 V(L)-V(H) protein existed mainly as a monomer whereas dimer (diabody) was a predominant conformation for the scFv-5, scFv-4 and scFv-3 V(L)-V(H) proteins. In contrast to the V(H)-V(L) isomer, direct ligation of V(L) to V(H) led to the formation of predominantly a tetramer (tetrabody) rather than to an expected trimer (triabody). Furthermore, the transition between dimers and higher order oligomers was not as distinct as for V(H)-V(L). Thus reducing the linker length in V(L)-V(H) from three to two residues did not precisely dictate a transition between dimers and tetramers. Instead, two-residue as well as one-residue linked scFvs formed a mixture of dimers, trimers and tetramers.

Assessment of three schemes for stratifying stroke risk in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation

PURPOSE

The risk of ischemic stroke varies widely among patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation, influencing the choice of prophylactic antithrombotic therapy. We assessed three schemes for stroke risk stratification in these patients who were treated with aspirin and who did not have prior cerebral ischemia.

SUBJECTS AND METHODS

Criteria from three schemes of risk stratification were applied to a longitudinally observed cohort of patients with atrial fibrillation who did not have prior cerebral ischemia and who were treated with aspirin alone or aspirin combined with low, ineffective doses of warfarin in a multicenter clinical trial. The ability of the schemes to identify patients at high (>/=6%), low (</=2%), and intermediate annual risks of ischemic stroke was assessed.

RESULTS

During a mean follow-up of 1.8 years, 48 ischemic strokes occurred among 1,073 patients with atrial fibrillation who were taking aspirin (rate = 2.5 per 100 person-years). Each of the three schemes predicted stroke and disabling stroke, and successfully identified patients at low risk (observed stroke rates of 0.3 to 1.1 per 100 person-years), although the fractions of the cohort that were categorized as low risk varied from 14% to 45%. The observed rates of ischemic stroke among patients categorized as high risk ranged from 3.5 to 7.2 per 100 person-years among the stratification schemes. Two schemes considered all patients >75 years old as high risk (observed stroke rate 4.2 per 100 person-years), while the remaining scheme classified one third of patients in this age group as low risk (observed stroke rate 0.6 per 100 person-years).

CONCLUSIONS

When tested in a large cohort of patients with atrial fibrillation who were treated with aspirin, available risk-stratification schemes successfully identified patients with low rates of ischemic stroke, but less consistently identified high-risk patients.

Stroke with intermittent atrial fibrillation: incidence and predictors during aspirin therapy. Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation Investigators

OBJECTIVE

This study was performed to characterize the risk of stroke in elderly patients with recurrent intermittent atrial fibrillation (AF).

BACKGROUND

Although intermittent AF is common, relatively little is known about the attendant risk of stroke.

METHODS

A longitudinal cohort study was performed comparing 460 participants with intermittent AF with 1,552 with sustained AF treated with aspirin in the Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation studies and followed for a mean of two years. Independent risk factors for ischemic stroke were identified by multivariate analysis.

RESULTS

Patients with intermittent AF were, on average, younger (66 vs. 70 years, p < 0.001), were more often women (37% vs. 26% p < 0.001) and less often had heart failure (11% vs. 21%, p < 0.001) than those with sustained AF. The annualized rate of ischemic stroke was similar for those with intermittent (3.2%) and sustained AF (3.3%). In patients with intermittent AF, independent predictors of ischemic stroke were advancing age (relative risk [RR] = 2.1 per decade, p < 0.001), hypertension (RR = 3.4, p = 0.003) and prior stroke (RR = 4.1, p = 0.01). Of those with intermittent AF predicted to be high risk (24%), the observed stroke rate was 7.8% per year (95% confidence interval 4.5 to 14).

CONCLUSIONS

In this large cohort of AF patients given aspirin, those with intermittent AF had stroke rates similar to patients with sustained AF and similar stroke risk factors. Many elderly patients with recurrent intermittent AF have substantial rates of stroke and likely benefit from anticoagulation. High-risk patients with intermittent AF can be identified using the same clinical criteria that apply to patients with sustained AF.

Cardioembolic vs. noncardioembolic strokes in atrial fibrillation: frequency and effect of antithrombotic agents in the stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation studies

BACKGROUND

While atrial fibrillation (AF) increases the risk of cardioembolic stroke, some ischemic strokes in AF patients are noncardioembolic.

OBJECTIVES

To assess ischemic stroke mechanisms in AF and to compare their responses to antithrombotic therapies.

METHODS

On-therapy analyses of ischemic strokes occurring in 3,950 participants in the Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation I-III clinical trials. Strokes were classified by presumed mechanism according to specified neurologic features by neurologists unaware of antithrombotic therapy.

RESULTS

Of 217 ischemic strokes, 52% were classified as probably cardioembolic, 24% as noncardioembolic, and 24% as of uncertain cause (i.e., 68% of classifiable infarcts were deemed cardioembolic). Compared to those receiving placebo or no antithrombotic therapy, the proportion of cardioembolic stroke was lower in patients taking adjusted-dose warfarin (p = 0.02), while the proportion of noncardioembolic stroke was lower in those taking aspirin (p = 0.06). Most (56%) ischemic strokes occurring in AF patients taking adjusted-dose warfarin were noncardioembolic vs. 16% of strokes in those taking aspirin. Adjusted-dose warfarin reduced cardioembolic strokes by 83% (p < 0.001) relative to aspirin. Cardioembolic strokes were particularly disabling (p = 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Most ischemic strokes in AF patients are probably cardioembolic, and these are sharply reduced by adjusted-dose warfarin. Aspirin in AF patients appears to primarily reduce noncardioembolic strokes. AF patients at highest risk for stroke have the highest rates of cardioembolic stroke and have the greatest reduction in stroke by warfarin.

Pathophysiologic correlates of thromboembolism in nonvalvular atrial fibrillation: II. Dense spontaneous echocardiographic contrast (The Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation [SPAF-III] study)

We analyzed transesophageal echocardiograms from 772 participants in the Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation (SPAF-III) study, characterizing spontaneous echocardiographic contrast (SEC) in the left atrium or appendage as faint or dense. The association of dense SEC with stroke risk factors and anatomic, hemodynamic, and hemostatic parameters related to specific thromboembolic mechanisms was evaluated by multivariate analysis. Spontaneous echocardiographic contrast was present in 55% of patients and was dense in 13%. Age (odds ratio [OR] 2.4/decade, P <.001), constant atrial fibrillation (OR 6.9, P <.001), history of hypertension (OR 3. 2, P <.001), and current tobacco smoking (OR 2.6, P =.04) were independent clinical predictors of dense SEC. Multivariate analysis of clinical, echocardiographic, and hemostatic parameters yielded age as the sole independent clinical predictor of dense SEC (OR 2. 4/decade, P <.001). Other independent predictors were measures of left atrial/appendage flow dynamics, left atrial size (OR 2.4/cm diameter, M-mode, P <.001), atherosclerotic aortic plaque (OR 2.8, P =.002), and plasma fibrinogen >350 mg/dL (P <.001). Results were similar when SEC of any density was analyzed. In conclusion, SEC occurred in more than half of these patients with prospectively defined nonvalvular atrial fibrillation but was usually faint. Dense SEC was strongly associated with previously reported clinical predictors of stroke, linking them to thromboembolism through atrial stasis. Diverse pathophysiologic factors including atrial stasis, fibrinogen level, and aortic plaque influence SEC.

Markers of thrombin and platelet activity in patients with atrial fibrillation: correlation with stroke among 1531 participants in the stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation III study

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Markers of thrombin generation and platelet activation are often elevated in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation, but it is unclear whether such markers usefully predict stroke. Therefore, we undertook the present study to assess the relationship between prothrombin fragment F1.2 (F1.2), beta-thromboglobulin (BTG), fibrinogen, and the factor V Leiden mutation with stroke in atrial fibrillation.

METHODS

Specimens were obtained from 1531 participants in the Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation III study. The results were correlated with patient features, antithrombotic therapy, and subsequent thromboembolism (ischemic stroke and systemic embolism) by multivariate analysis.

RESULTS

Increased F1.2 levels were associated with age (P<0.001), female sex (P<0.001), systolic blood pressure (P=0.006), and heart failure (P=0.001). F1.2 were not affected by aspirin use and were not associated with thromboembolism after adjustment for age (P=0. 18). BTG levels were higher with advanced age (P=0.006), coronary artery disease (P=0.05), carotid disease (P=0.005), and heart failure (P<0.001), lower in regular alcohol users (P=0.05), and not significantly associated with thromboembolism. Fibrinogen levels were not significantly related to thromboembolism but were associated with elevated BTG levels (P<0.001). The factor V Leiden mutation was not associated with thromboembolism (relative risk 0.5, 95% CI 0.1 to 3.8).

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated F1.2 levels were associated with clinical risk factors for stroke in atrial fibrillation, whereas increased BTG levels were linked to manifestations of atherosclerosis. In this large cohort of patients with atrial fibrillation who were receiving aspirin, F1.2, BTG, fibrinogen, and factor V Leiden were not independent, clinically useful predictors of stroke.

Pathophysiologic correlates of thromboembolism in nonvalvular atrial fibrillation: I. Reduced flow velocity in the left atrial appendage (The Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation [SPAF-III] study)

Stroke associated with atrial fibrillation (AF) is mainly due to embolism of thrombus formed during stasis of blood in the left atrial appendage (LAA). Pathophysiologic correlates of appendage flow velocity as assessed by transesophageal echocardiography (TEE) in patients with AF have not been defined. To evaluate the hypothesis that reduced velocity is associated with spontaneous echocardiographic contrast and thrombus in the LAA and with clinical embolic events, we measured LAA flow velocity by TEE in 721 patients with nonvalvular AF entering the Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation (SPAF-III) study. Patient features, TEE findings, and subsequent cardioembolic events were correlated with velocity by multivariate analysis. Patients in AF during TEE displayed lower peak antegrade (emptying) flow velocity (Anu(p)) than those with intermittent AF in sinus rhythm during TEE (33 cm/s vs 61 cm/s, respectively, P <.0001). Anu(p) < 20 cm/s was associated with dense spontaneous echocardiographic contrast (P <.001), appendage thrombus (P <.01), and subsequent cardioembolic events (P <.01). Independent predictors of Anu(p) < 20 cm/s included age (P =.009), systolic blood pressure (P <.001), sustained AF (P =.01), ischemic heart disease (P =.01), and left atrial area (P =.04). Multivariate analysis found both Anu(p) <20 cm/s (relative risk 2.6, P =.02) and clinical risk factors (relative risk 3.3, P =.002) independently associated with LAA thrombus. LAA Anu(p) is reduced in AF and associated with spontaneous echocardiographic contrast, appendage thrombus, and cardioembolic stroke. Systolic hypertension and aortic atherosclerosis, independent clinical predictors of stroke in patients with AF, also correlated with LAA Anu(p). Our results support the role of reduced LAA Anu(p) in the generation of stasis, thrombus formation, and embolism in patients with AF, although other mechanisms also contribute to stroke.

Antithrombotic therapy to prevent stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation: a meta-analysis

PURPOSE

To characterize the efficacy and safety of anticoagulants and antiplatelet agents for prevention of stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation.

DATA SOURCES

Randomized trials identified by using the search strategy developed by the Cochrane Collaboration Stroke Review Group.

STUDY SELECTION

All published randomized trials testing antithrombotic agents to prevent stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation.

DATA EXTRACTION

Data on interventions, number of participants, duration of exposure and occurrence of all stroke (ischemic and hemorrhagic), major extracranial bleeding, and death were extracted independently by two investigators.

DATA SYNTHESIS

Sixteen trials included a total of 9874 participants (mean follow-up, 1.7 years). Adjusted-dose warfarin (six trials, 2900 participants) reduced stroke by 62% (95% CI, 48% to 72%); absolute risk reductions were 2.7% per year for primary prevention and 8.4% per year for secondary prevention. Major extracranial bleeding was increased by warfarin therapy (absolute risk increase, 0.3% per year). Aspirin (six trials, 3119 participants) reduced stroke by 22% (CI, 2% to 38%); absolute risk reductions were 1.5% per year for primary prevention and 2.5% per year for secondary prevention. Adjusted-dose warfarin (five trials, 2837 participants) was more efficacious than aspirin (relative risk reduction, 36% [CI, 14% to 52%]). Other randomized comparisons yielded inconclusive results.

CONCLUSIONS

Adjusted-dose warfarin and aspirin reduce stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation, and warfarin is substantially more efficacious than aspirin. The benefit of antithrombotic therapy was not offset by the occurrence of major hemorrhage among participants in randomized trials. Judicious use of antithrombotic therapy, tailored according to the inherent risk for stroke, importantly reduces stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation.

Increased risk of intracranial hemorrhage when aspirin is combined with warfarin: A meta-analysis and hypothesis

BACKGROUND

Oral anticoagulation with vitamin K antagonists increases the risk of intracranial hemorrhage; whether addition of aspirin to oral anticoagulation augments this risk is unclear.

METHODS

Meta-analysis of randomized clinical trials in which aspirin was added to oral anticoagulants.

RESULTS

Six randomized clinical trials were identified, including a total of 3,874 participants. Use of aspirin with oral anticoagulants was associated with more than double the frequency of intracranial hemorrhage (relative risk = 2.4, 95% CI = 1.2-4.8, p = 0.02).

CONCLUSION

We hypothesize that aspirin when added to oral vitamin K antagonists may increase the risk of intracranial hemorrhage, but this observation requires confirmation. The magnitude of this effect is uncertain, and the clinical importance is likely different for different patient populations.

Clinically significant differences in the International Normalized Ratio measured with reagents of different sensitivities. SPAF Investigators. Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation

The International Normalized Ratio (INR) system was introduced a decade ago as a way of standardizing the results of prothrombin time testing for patients taking oral anticoagulants. A strong emphasis has been placed upon using thromboplastin reagents that are very sensitive to the effects of oral anticoagulants upon the prothrombin time [i.e. reagents with low International Sensitivity Index (ISI)]. In order to assess how well the INR system functions as currently used in clinical laboratories, we compared the INRs determined using thromboplastins of differing ISIs in samples collected during a large clinical trial of oral anticoagulation for atrial fibrillation (Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation III trial). Frozen plasma was subjected to prothrombin time testing using thromboplastins with ISIs ranging from 0.97 to 2.49. INRs were calculated using machine-specific ISIs and Westgard's rules were followed to maintain quality control. An unanticipated coagulometer failure allowed a determination of the effect of machine recalibration upon the INR of control plasmas. The correlation between each pair of INRs obtained from 1181 plasmas was high (> 0.9), but the differences between reagents were statistically different from zero (P<0.001 for pairwise comparisons). Plasmas had INRs within the therapeutic range (2.0-3.0) with one reagent but not with another in an average of 20% of instances. Among the 20% discordant pairings, 43% (8.5% of the total tested) showed a difference in INR of more than 0.2 INR units above or below the target range. Low ISI thromboplastins did not perform better in this pairwise comparison than other reagents or the locally determined INR. Recalibration of a coagulometer resulted in a significant change in the INRs obtained from control plasmas (P<0.0001), which confirms and extends the observations of other authors concerning the sensitivity of the INR to coagulometer-related variables. There was a clinically significant difference in the INRs obtained with different thromboplastins, and low ISI reagents did not perform better than others. Since the risk of thrombosis rises sharply below the lower limit of the currently recommended target ranges, consideration should be given to narrowing the recommended range, or advising clinicians to aim for its mid-point. These findings illustrate the difficulties in imposing standardization upon coagulation testing after a test is in widespread use.

Plasmin-alpha2-antiplasmin complex in patients with atrial fibrillation. Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation Investigators

Plasmin-alpha2-antiplasmin complex (PAP) is an index of recent fibrinolytic activity. We examined PAP levels in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) to determine whether these levels are correlated with clinical characteristics associated with stroke risk. We obtained blood for measurement of PAP in a non-random sample of 586 patients with AF on entering the Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation III Study. PAP levels were measured with an ELISA assay. PAP values were transformed with a natural logarithm (PAPln) prior to all analyses. Older age, female gender, recent congestive heart failure, decreasing fractional shortening, recent onset of AF, and coronary artery disease were each univariately associated with higher levels of PAP (all p<0.05, two-sample t-test, simple linear regression). Older age, recent congestive heart failure, decreasing fractional shortening, and recent onset of AF were independently associated with higher PAP levels by multivariate analysis (linear regression). Among patients receiving warfarin, PAP levels were not correlated with INR levels (linear regression, p=0.60). Patients classified as high-risk for thromboembolism by our risk stratification criteria (systolic blood pressure > 160 mm Hg, prior thromboembolism, recent congestive heart failure, poor left ventricular function, and women over age 75) had higher PAP levels than low-risk patients (antilog mean PAPln 5.6 vs 4.9. p<0.001, two-sample t-test). PAP levels in patients with AF are associated with clinical characteristics predictive of thromboembolism. Elevated PAP levels are particularly associated with poor left ventricular function and are not affected by anticoagulation. PAP levels may be a marker of stroke risk in patients with AF.

Factors associated with ischemic stroke during aspirin therapy in atrial fibrillation: analysis of 2012 participants in the SPAF I-III clinical trials. The Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation (SPAF) Investigators

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (AF) is a strong, independent risk factor for stroke, but the absolute rate of stroke varies widely among AF patients, importantly influencing the potential benefit of antithrombotic prophylaxis. We explore factors associated with ischemic stroke in AF patients taking aspirin.

METHODS

We performed multivariate logistic regression analysis of 2012 participants given aspirin alone or in combination with low, inefficacious doses of warfarin in the Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation I-III trials followed for a mean of 2.0 years, during which 130 ischemic strokes were observed.

RESULTS

Age (relative risk [RR]=1.8 per decade, P<0.001), female sex (RR=1.6, P=0.01), history of hypertension (RR=2.0, P<0.001), systolic blood pressure >160 mm Hg (RR=2.3, P<0.001), and prior stroke or transient ischemic attack (RR=2.9, P<0.001) were independently associated with increased stroke risk. Regular consumption of >/=14 alcohol-containing drinks per week was associated with reduced stroke risk (adjusted RR=0.4, P=0.04). Among SPAF III participants, estrogen hormone replacement therapy was associated with a higher risk of ischemic stroke (adjusted RR=3.2, P=0.007). With the use of these variables, a risk stratification scheme for primary prevention separated participants into those with high (7.1%/y, 22% of the cohort), moderate (2.6%/y, 37% of the cohort), and low (0.9%/y, 41% of the cohort) rates of stroke. Ischemic strokes in low-risk participants were less often disabling (P<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with AF who have high and low rates of stroke during treatment with aspirin can be identified. However, validation of our risk stratification scheme is necessary before it can be applied with confidence to clinical management. Postmenopausal estrogen replacement therapy and moderate alcohol consumption may additionally modify the risk of stroke in AF, but these findings require confirmation.

Aortic plaque in atrial fibrillation: prevalence, predictors, and thromboembolic implications

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Thoracic aortic plaque identified by transesophageal echocardiography heightens the risk of stroke associated with atrial fibrillation (AF). We sought to identify the prevalence, predictors, and implications of aortic plaque in patients with nonvalvular AF.

METHODS

Thoracic aortic plaque was prospectively sought in 770 persons with AF with the use of transesophageal echocardiography and classified as simple or complex on the basis of thickness >/=4 mm, ulceration, or mobility. Clinical and echocardiographic features of thromboembolism were correlated by multivariate analysis.

RESULTS

Aortic plaque was detected in 57% of the cohort, and complex plaque was detected in 25%. Both were found more frequently in the descending than in the proximal aorta. Potentially etiologic patient characteristics independently associated with complex plaque included advanced age, history of hypertension, diabetes, and past or present tobacco use. Comorbidities associated with aortic plaque were prior thromboembolism, increased pulse pressure, ischemic heart disease, stenosis or sclerosis of the aortic valve, mitral annular calcification (>10%), elevated serum creatinine concentration, spontaneous echo contrast in the left atrium or appendage, and left atrial appendage thrombus. The prevalence of complex plaque in patients aged <70 years with <10% mitral annular calcification, without ischemic heart disease, or without pulse pressure >/=65 mm Hg was 4% (95% CI, 1% to 6%).

CONCLUSIONS

Aortic plaque is prevalent in patients with AF and is associated with atherosclerosis risk factors and with left atrial stasis or thrombosis, which are themselves independent stroke risk factors. Since the predominant location of complex plaque was in the descending aorta, the role of aortic plaque as a source of embolism in AF is uncertain.

Left atrial diameter in nonvalvular atrial fibrillation: An echocardiographic study. Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation Investigators

BACKGROUND

The left atrium (LA) is usually enlarged in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (AF), but factors associated with LA diameter are incompletely defined.

METHODS AND RESULTS

This transthoracic echocardiographic cohort study includes 3465 participants with nonvalvular AF in 3 multicenter clinical trials. LA diameter determined by M-mode echocardiography was correlated with clinical and echocardiographic features by cross-sectional multivariate regression analyses. The mean LA diameter was 47 +/- 8 mm, on average 6 mm larger in those with AF at the time of echocardiography than in those with sinus rhythm (48 vs 42 mm, P <. 001). Patient age and body weight were independently predictive of LA diameter (P <.0001), but sex, body surface area, and body mass index were not. The estimated independent contribution of atrial rhythm to LA diameter was approximately 2.5 mm. Prolonged duration of AF, left ventricular dilatation and increased muscle mass, mitral regurgitation, annular calcification, and hypertension were additional independent predictors of LA diameter.

CONCLUSIONS

Multiple factors appear to contribute to LA enlargement in patients with nonvalvular AF, including the presence and persistence of the dysrhythmia.

Warfarin safety and efficacy in patients with thoracic aortic plaque and atrial fibrillation. SPAF TEE Investigators. Stroke Prevention and Atrial Fibrillation. Transesophageal echocardiography

Patients with atrial fibrillation and with documented aortic plaque who were assigned to adjusted-dose warfarin therapy (international normalized ratio 2.0 to 3.0) had an annual rate of cholesterol embolization of 0.7% (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.1% to 5.3%/patient-year). Warfarin-assigned patients with plaque had a lower rate of embolic events (5.9%/year; 95% CI 3.0 to 12) than those on combination low-dose warfarin (international normalized ratio <1.5) plus aspirin (17.3%/year; 95% CI 11 to 27; p = 0.01).

Transesophageal echocardiographic correlates of clinical risk of thromboembolism in nonvalvular atrial fibrillation. Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation III Investigators

OBJECTIVES

This study explored the mechanisms linking clinical and precordial echocardiographic predictors to thromboembolism in atrial fibrillation (AF) by assessing transesophageal echocardiographic (TEE) correlations.

BACKGROUND

Clinical predictors of thromboembolism in patients with nonvalvular AF have been identified, but their mechanistic links remain unclear. TEE provides imaging of the left atrium, its appendage and the proximal thoracic aorta, potentially clarifying stroke mechanisms in patients with AF.

METHODS

Cross-sectional analysis of TEE features correlated with low, moderate and high thromboembolic risk during aspirin therapy among 786 participants undergoing TEE on entry into the Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation III trial.

RESULTS

TEE features independently associated with increased thromboembolic risk were appendage thrombi (relative risk [RR] 2.5, p = 0.04), dense spontaneous echo contrast (RR 3.7, p < 0.001), left atrial appendage peak flow velocities < or = 20 cm/s (RR 1.7, p = 0.008) and complex aortic plaque (RR 2.1, p < 0.001). Patients with AF with a history of hypertension (conferring moderate risk) more frequently had atrial appendage thrombi (RR 2.6, p < 0.001) and reduced flow velocity (RR 1.8, p = 0.003) than low risk patients. Among low risk patients, those with intermittent AF had similar TEE features to those with constant AF.

CONCLUSIONS

TEE findings indicative of atrial stasis or thrombosis and of aortic atheroma were independently associated with high thromboembolic risk in patients with AF. The increased stroke risk associated with a history of hypertension in AF appears to be mediated primarily through left atrial stasis and thrombi. The presence of complex aortic plaque distinguished patients with AF at high risk from those at moderate risk of thromboembolism.

Expression in Escherichia coli of the putative N-acetylneuraminate lyase gene (nanA) from Haemophilus influenzae: overproduction, purification, and crystallization

The cloning and expression of the Haemophilus influenzae gene, nanA, for the putative N-acetylneuraminate lyase enzyme, also known as N-acetylneuraminic acid aldolase or sialic acid aldolase, are reported. The gene was isolated from ATCC type strain 49247 and cloned into the Escherichia coli expression vector pKKtac, which contained the strong tac promoter. Gene expression was compared with the homologous E. coli npl gene coding for the lyase. Purification protocols for the products of the nanA and npl genes are presented. Activity analysis showed that the nanA gene product is a sialic acid aldolase with more than threefold greater specific activity (6.9 IU/mg) than the enzyme from E. coli (</=2 IU/mg). A method for the provision of lyase orthorhombic crystals is reported. These crystals diffract to better than 2.0 A, which paves the way to the solution of the enzyme's three-dimensional structure.

Linear gene fusions of antibody fragments with streptavidin can be linked to biotin labelled secondary molecules to form bispecific reagents

Monomeric single chain antibody (scFv) fragments lack both the avidity of the bivalent IgG, or (Fab')2 fragment, and the effector functions conferred by the Fc domain. For certain diagnostic or therapeutic applications it may be desirable to link these molecules to other proteins, antibodies, enzymes or peptide ligands, and chemical or recombinant methods have been developed to produce many of these crosslinked reagents. One approach has been to link an antibody fragment to streptavidin which can bind a second biotinylated molecule to create a higher affinity, bifunctional or bispecific molecule. To demonstrate the applicability of this technology, an anti-neuraminidase NC10 scFv-streptavidin fusion was expressed in E. coli and the product was refolded and purified to homogeneity from 6 M guanidine hydrochloride. Analysis in a BIAcore biosensor showed that the NC10 scFv moiety reacted with immobilised neuraminidase and that the core streptavidin moiety was able to bind biotinylated anti-ferritin Fab' to produce a new model bispecific reagent which bound ferritin. Conceptually, this design principle can be applied to the creation of useful diagnostic and possibly therapeutic molecules.

Relationship between prothrombin activation fragment F1.2 and international normalized ratio in patients with atrial fibrillation. Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation Investigators

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The prothrombin time (expressed as the international normalized ratio [INR]) is the standard method of monitoring warfarin therapy in patients with atrial fibrillation. Prothrombin activation fragment F1.2 provides an index of in vivo thrombin generation and might provide a better index of the effective intensity of anticoagulation. We examined the relationship between F1.2 and INR in patients with atrial fibrillation.

METHODS

We measured INR and F1.2 levels in 846 patients with atrial fibrillation participating in the Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation III study. Two hundred nineteen (26%) were taking aspirin alone, 326 (39%) were taking adjusted-dose warfarin, and 301 (36%) were taking a low fixed dose of warfarin (1 to 3 mg) plus aspirin (combination therapy). F1.2 levels were measured with an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay.

RESULTS

Patients receiving adjusted-dose warfarin or combination therapy had significantly higher INR and significantly lower F1.2 values than those on aspirin alone (P < or = .0001 for each of the four comparisons). F1.2 values (nanomolar) were inversely correlated with INR (F1.2 = -0.1 + 2.3[1/INR]; R2 = .37; P < .0001; simple linear regression). However, significant variability remained. Among patients receiving warfarin, older patients had higher F1.2 values than younger patients after adjustment for INR intensity (P < .001) in the model. There was no difference in the relationship between F1.2 and INR between men and women.

CONCLUSIONS

Increasing intensity of anticoagulation, as measured by the INR, is associated with decreasing thrombin generation as measured by the F1.2 level, but significant variability exists in this relationship. Older anticoagulated patients have higher F1.2 values than younger patients at equivalent INR values. The clinical significance of these differences is not clear. F1.2 measurement might provide information regarding anticoagulation intensity in addition to that reflected by the INR.

Single-chain Fv fragments of anti-neuraminidase antibody NC10 containing five- and ten-residue linkers form dimers and with zero-residue linker a trimer

Single-chain variable fragments (scFvs) of anti-neuraminidase antibody NC10 were constructed by joining the VH and VL domains with 10-residue (Gly4Ser)2 and five-residue (Gly4Ser) linkers; a zero-residue linker scFv was constructed by joining the C-terminal residue of the VH domain to the N-terminus of the VL domain. The scFv with the 10- and five-residue linkers exclusively formed dimeric antibody fragments (M(r) 52000). These were shown to be bivalent and were able to cross-link two neuraminidase tetramers to form a 'sandwich' type complex; each antigen combining site could also bind an anti-idiotype Fab'. The zero-residue linker scFv (M(r) 70000) was shown to form a trimer with three active antigen combining sites, each binding an anti-idiotype Fab' to yield a complex of M(r) 212000. The orientation of the combining sites in the zero-residue linker scFv, however, was such that it could not cross-link tetramers of neuraminidase. BIAcore biosensor experiments showed that the affinity of each individual antigen combining site in both the 10- and five-residue linker scFv dimers and zero-residue linker scFv trimer was essentially the same when the scFvs were immobilized onto the sensor surface. However, when the scFvs were used as the analyte, the dimeric and trimeric scFvs showed an apparent increase in binding affinity due to the avidity of binding the multivalent scFvs.

Design and expression of a stable bispecific scFv dimer with affinity for both glycophorin and N9 neuraminidase

We have designed and produced a stable bispecific scFv dimer (bisFv) by non-covalent association of two hybrid VH-VL pairs derived from an anti-neuraminidase antibody (NC10) and an anti-glycophorin antibody (1C3). The bisFv dimer was demonstrated to have binding activity to the two respective target antigens and was evaluated as a reagent for rapid whole blood agglutination assays. The bisFv was expressed in the periplasm of Escherichia coli, from a secretion vector which comprised two cistrons in tandem under the control of a single lac promoter, inducible with IPTG. Each cistron encoded one of the hybrid VH-VL pairs, with V domains separated by a linker region encoding the five amino acids, Gly4Ser. The short linker region was designed to prevent association of VH and VL regions of the same molecule and favour the formation of dimers. The protein synthesized from each hybrid scFv cistron was directed to the E. coli periplasm by the inclusion of distinctive signal secretion sequences preceding each hybrid gene; from pel B of Erwinia cartovora and from gene III of fd phage. The bisFv was affinity-purified from culture supernatants via the C-terminal tag epitope FLAG and was shown, by FPLC on a Superose 6 column, to be consistent in size with that of a scFv dimer. The bisFv was stable for more than 4 months at 4 degrees C and was shown by BIAcore analysis to bind to either target antigen, human glycophorin, or tern N9 neuraminidase. Simultaneous binding to both target antigens was demonstrated when a pre-formed bisFv-neuraminidase complex was shown to bind to immobilized glycophorin. In whole blood agglutination assays, the bisFv dimer was able to agglutinate red blood cells when crosslinked with an anti-idiotype antibody (3-2G12) binding to the NC10 combining site, but no agglutination occurred on binding the antigen neuraminidase. These results are a function of the topology of the epitopes on neuraminidase and have implications for the use of relatively rigid bifunctional molecules (as bisFv dimers) to cross link two large membrane-anchored moieties, in this case, red blood cell glycophorin and neuraminidase, an M(r) 190,000 tetramer.

F-amplitude, left atrial appendage velocity, and thromboembolic risk in nonrheumatic atrial fibrillation. Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation Investigators

BACKGROUND

Reduced left atrial appendage velocity (LAAV) has been identified as a marker for thromboembolism in patients with atrial fibrillation.

HYPOTHESIS

It was postulated that electrocardiographic (ECG) F-wave amplitude would correlate with LAAV, and inversely with the risk of thromboembolism in patients with atrial fibrillation.

METHODS

In all, 53 patients with nonrheumatic (NRAF) and 7 patients with rheumatic (RAF) atrial fibrillation underwent assessment of maximum LAAV, which was correlated to the maximum ECG F-wave voltage from lead V1 (F(max)). In 450 NRAF patients on neither aspirin nor warfarin, the relationship between F(max) and thromboembolic risk was assessed over an average follow-up of 1.3 years.

RESULTS

F(max) did not correlate with LAAV (r = 0.2, p = 0.07). Patients with intermittent atrial fibrillation (n = 123) had smaller F(max) amplitude than patients with constant atrial fibrillation (n = 327) (mean 0.73 vs. 0.88 mV-1, p = 0.001). F(max) amplitude was not related to a history of hypertension, systolic blood pressure, duration of NRAF, abnormal transthoracic echocardiographic left ventricular (LV) systolic function or left atrial (LA) diameter. There was a strong trend for increased LV mass being related to smaller F(max) amplitude after adjusting for body surface area (p = 0.06). F(max) amplitude was not correlated with risk of embolic events, including only those events presumed by a panel of case-blinded neurologists to be cardioembolic.

CONCLUSIONS

F(max) amplitude in NRAF is smaller in patients with intermittent versus constant AF. It does not correlate with LAAV, LA size, increased LV mass, or systolic dysfunction, hypertension, or risk of embolism. Therefore, F(max) amplitude may not be used as a surrogate for LAAV, or as a measure of thromboembolic risk in NRAF.

Differential effect of aspirin versus warfarin on clinical stroke types in patients with atrial fibrillation. Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation Investigators

The Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation II study compared the efficacy and safety of aspirin and warfarin in patients with atrial fibrillation. Three neurologists, blinded to patient therapy, categorized the pathophysiology of ischemic strokes that occurred in the trial based on predetermined clinical criteria. Upon analyzing the patients being treated with these two drugs, warfarin proved significantly more effective than aspirin in preventing cardioembolic strokes (p = 0.005) and strokes of uncertain pathophysiology (p = 0.01). There was no significant difference in the efficacy for prevention of noncardioembolic strokes.

Carotid stenosis in patients with atrial fibrillation. Prevalence, risk factors, and relationship to stroke in the Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation Study

BACKGROUND

Several mechanisms contribute to the increased stroke rate of patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). We assessed the frequency of carotid artery stenosis in patients with AF and its relationship to stroke during aspirin or warfarin therapy.

METHODS

Carotid ultrasonography was done in 676 patients with AF enrolled in the Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation Study to detect cervical carotid stenosis of 50% or more of the luminal diameter. The presence of carotid stenosis was correlated with patient features and subsequent stroke during a mean of 2.6 years of follow-up.

RESULTS

In patients with AF who were older than 70 years, the frequency of carotid stenosis was 12% in men and 11% in women. Carotid stenosis was independently associated with systolic hypertension (relative risk, 2.4; P = .002), diabetes (relative risk, 1.8; P = .04), and tobacco use (relative risk, 1.8; P = .02). Carotid stenosis did not add significantly to prediction of stroke when analyzed with other clinical risk factors for stroke in patients with AF (relative risk, 1.3; 95% confidence interval, 0.5 to 3.6; P = .55).

CONCLUSIONS

Carotid artery stenosis of 50% or more occurs in about 12% of elderly patients with AF, reflecting the substantial prevalence of hypertension and diabetes in these patients. Carotid stenosis was not usefully predictive of stroke in patients with AF who were given aspirin or warfarin. Routine ultrasonography to detect carotid stenosis does not appear warranted in patients with AF without previous symptoms of brain ischemia.

Growth factor profiles in breast cyst fluid identify women with increased breast cancer risk

Gross cystic disease and breast cancer are hormonally induced diseases that may share a common biochemical environment conducive to abnormal proliferative responses. Breast cyst fluid samples were analyzed for specific growth factors and levels were compared with breast cancer risk. Growth factor profiles identified both women at increased breast cancer risk and subgroups of women with distinct clinical manifestations of gross cystic disease. Women at increased risk for breast cancer demonstrated in their breast cyst fluid lower levels of platelet-derived growth factor and transforming growth factor (TGF)-beta, compared to women at lower risk. The presence of multiple cysts was associated with increased mitogenic activity, increased epidermal growth factor (EGF) and TGF-beta breast cyst fluid levels, and recurrent cysts were associated with higher levels of EGF. Unique growth factor profiles were associated with each risk group or clinical state, suggesting that distinct proliferative environments, associated with different clinical outcomes, are present in the breast tissue of women with gross cystic disease.

Ischemic stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation: effect of aspirin according to stroke mechanism. Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation Investigators

Ischemic strokes occurring in patients with nonrheumatic atrial fibrillation are due to a variety of mechanisms, not exclusively to cardiogenic embolism. Without knowledge of antithrombotic therapy assignment, we categorized strokes in the Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation Study as presumed cardioembolic or noncardioembolic. We then compared patient clinical and echocardiographic variables, as well as the efficacy of aspirin prophylaxis, for each stroke type. Of 71 ischemic strokes, we categorized 46 (65%) as cardioembolic, 13 (18%) as noncardioembolic, and 12 (17%) as of uncertain cause. Patients developing noncardioembolic strokes, relative to cardioembolic strokes, were more commonly men (p = 0.005) and were more likely to have left ventricular wall motion abnormalities by two-dimensional echocardiography (p = 0.002). Aspirin reduced the occurrence of strokes categorized as noncardioembolic significantly more than it did those categorized as cardioembolic (p = 0.01). These results emphasize the value of considering stroke mechanisms in therapeutic trials of antithrombotic agents and suggest a differential effect of aspirin according to mechanism.

Epidemiologic features of asymptomatic cerebral infarction in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation

We performed unenhanced computed tomographic scans on 141 asymptomatic patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation. Thirty-six patients (26%) had hypodense areas consistent with cerebral infarction. The majority of these were small deep infarcts, seen in 29 patients (21%), but 13 patients (9%) had cortical or large deep infarctions. Twelve patients had more than one infarct on computed tomographic scan. Increasing age and increased left atrial diameter were the only clinical features associated with asymptomatic infarction. Patients older than 65 years with a left atrial diameter greater than 5.0 cm (n = 23) had a 52% prevalence of asymptomatic infarction. Patients younger than 65 years with a left atrial diameter less than 5.0 cm (n = 38) had an 11% prevalence of silent infarction. Patients with only one of these risk factors (n = 72) had a 24% prevalence of silent infarction. Infarction was more common in those with chronic (34%) as opposed to intermittent (22%) nonvalvular atrial fibrillation, but this difference was not significant. Hypertension, diabetes, duration of atrial fibrillation, congestive heart failure, history of myocardial infarction, and echocardiographic evidence of left ventricular dysfunction were not associated with asymptomatic infarction. A history of hypertension was present in only 35% of our patients with small-deep asymptomatic infarction, similar to the percentage in patients without stroke. Asymptomatic cerebral infarction is common in nonvalvular atrial fibrillation. The association with enlarged left atria and the lack of correlation with major cerebrovascular risk factors suggests a cardioembolic mechanism. Further study is needed to determine the functional and prognostic significance of these strokes.

Amantadine hydrochloride: alteration in peripheral circulation

Livedo reticularis and peripheral edema often have been observed in patients receiving amantadine hydrochloride, suggesting alterations in the responsiveness of peripheral vessels. To investigate this possibility, five patients with Parkinson's disease who had either livedo reticularis or peripheral edema while being treated with amantadine (100 mg twice daily) were evaluated before and after the drug was discontinued. Finger and toe temperatures were significantly lower when patients received the drug than when it was discontinued, and plethysmographic studies showed increased flow in the lower limbs in three patients when the drug was stopped. It is concluded that amantadine therapy may be associated with peripheral vasoconstriction in some patients.

Separation and Identification of Neutral and Acidic Metabolites in Cerebrospinal Fluid

We describe a method for obtaining profiles of neutral and acidic substances present in human cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) by gas—liquid chromatography. Metabolites extracted with ethyl acetate and ether are converted to methyl ester, trimethylsilyl ether derivatives. With this technique, acidic metabolites of brain amines, and neutral metabolites of dopamine and norepinephrine have been identified in human CSF. Some of these substances have not been reported previously in CSF. Extracted substances are identified on the basis of their methylene-unit values and mass spectral data. Potential use of this method in neurodiagnosis and in delineating drug-induced changes in CSF metabolites is discussed.

Histamine and spermidine content in brain during development

Histamine concentration in fetal rat brain is high at 17 days gestation but decreases sharply just before birth. Values subsequently increase to a maximum postnatal concentration 5 to 10 days after birth, and then steadily decline to low adult values by time of weaning. Spermidine follows a pattern similar to that of histamine but with a 24- to 48-hour lag. The developmental pattern for histamine in the central nervous system is different from that for other neural amines. It appears that the marked fetal and neonatal changes in brain histamine correlate best with periods of rapid cell proliferation and growth during brain maturation.