Trends and differences in tuberculosis incidences and clustering among natives in Denmark, Sweden and Finland: comparison of native incidences and molecular epidemiology among three low-incidence countries

OBJECTIVES

To compare the epidemiology of tuberculosis (TB) in Denmark, Sweden and Finland, by focusing on the native population in order to identify epidemiologic differences and thus indirectly possible differences in TB control.

METHODS

TB incidence trends from 1990 through 2015 were compared among the countries. In addition, for the periods 2012-2013 and 2014-2015, genotyping data were compared. Genotyping was performed using the 24-locus mycobacterial interspersed repetitive unit-variable number of tandem repeat (MIRU-VNTR) method in Denmark and Sweden. For Finland, spoligotyping in conjunction with the 15-locus MIRU-VNTR method was used for 2012-2013 and translated into the 24-locus MIRU-VNTR when feasible, and for 2014-2015 only MIRU-VNTR was used. Both incidence trends and molecular epidemiology were assessed for native cases.

RESULTS

The average annual rate of change in TB incidence for native Danes was -2.4% vs. -6.1% and -6.9% for native Swedes and Finns respectively. In 2012-2013 Denmark had 52 native cases in the largest transmission chain vs. three cases in Sweden and ten in Finland, and during the same period the clustering rate for native Danes was 48.8% vs. 6.5% and 18.2% for native Swedes and Finns respectively. For 2014-2015, a similar pattern was seen.

CONCLUSIONS

The decline of TB among natives in Denmark is slower than for Sweden and Finland, and it seems Denmark has more active transmission among natives. The focused assessment on basic native TB epidemiology reveals striking differences in TB transmission among otherwise similar low-TB-incidence countries.

Whole genome analysis of Mycobacterium tuberculosis isolates from recurrent episodes of tuberculosis, Finland, 1995-2013

Recurrent tuberculosis (TB) is caused by an endogenous re-activation of the same strain of Mycobacterium tuberculosis (relapse) or exogenous infection with a new strain (re-infection). Recurrence of TB in Finland was analysed in a population-based, 19-year study, and genotyping was used to define relapse and re-infection. The M. tuberculosis isolates from patients with suspected relapse were further analysed by whole genome sequencing (WGS) to determine the number and type of mutations occurring in the bacterial genome between the first and second disease episodes. In addition, publicly available tools (PhyResSE and SpolPred) were used to predict drug resistance and spoligotype profile from the WGS data. Of the 8299 notified TB cases, 48 (0.6%) patients had episodes classified as recurrent. Forty-two patients had more than one culture-confirmed TB episode, and isolates from two episodes in 21 patients were available for genotyping. In 18 patients, the M. tuberculosis isolates obtained from the first and second TB episodes had identical spoligotypes. The WGS analysis of the 36 M. tuberculosis isolates from the 18 suspected relapse patients (average time between isolates 2.8 years) revealed 0 to 38 single nucleotide polymorphisms (median 1, mean 3.78) between the first and second isolate. There seemed to be no direct relation between the number of years between the two isolates, or treatment outcome, and the number of single nucleotide polymorphisms. The results suggest that the mutation rate may depend on multiple host-, strain- and treatment-related factors.

Genotypic characterization and historical perspective of Mycobacterium tuberculosis among older and younger Finns, 2008-2011

The Mycobacterium tuberculosis genotypes obtained from elderly Finns were assessed and compared with those obtained from younger Finns to comprehend the epidemiology of tuberculosis (TB) in Finland. From 2008 to 2011, a total of 1021 M. tuberculosis isolates were characterized by spoligotyping and 15-locus mycobacterial interspersed repetitive units-variable number tandem repeat typing. In total, 733 Finnish-born cases were included in the study, of which 466 (64%) were born before 1945 (older Finns). Of these, 63 (14%) shared an M. tuberculosis genotype with foreign-born or younger Finnish cases (born after 1945), and 59 (13%) shared a genotype with older Finnish cases. Eighty-five per cent had a unique genotypic profile while 70% belonged to T or Haarlem families, suggesting that ongoing transmission is infrequent among young and elderly Finns. Simultaneous reactivation of TB among older Finns was the most likely cause for clustering. As most isolates belonged to Haarlem or T, Finland was most likely affected by a similar TB epidemic at the beginning of the twentieth century as that seen in Sweden and Norway. Younger Finns were significantly more likely to be clustered (56% versus 27%, p<0.001), have pulmonary TB (87% versus 71%, p<0.001) and to be sputum smear positive (57% versus 48%, p<0.05) indicating that the risk of TB transmission from younger Finns is likely to be larger than from older Finns. The M. tuberculosis isolates from elderly Finns were associated with dominant lineages of the early twentieth century and differed from the heterogeneous lineages found among younger TB patients. Additionally, younger TB patients were more likely to transmit TB than elderly Finns.