Association of public health interventions and COVID-19 incidence in Vietnam, January to December 2020

BACKGROUND

Vietnam implemented various public health interventions such as contact tracing and testing, mandatory quarantine, and lockdowns in response to coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). However, the effects of these measures on the epidemic remain unclear.

METHODS

This article describes the public health interventions in relation to COVID-19 incidence. Maximum likelihood estimations were used to assess containment delays (time between symptom onset and start of isolation) and multivariable regression was employed to identify associated factors between interventions and COVID-19 incidence. The effective reproductive numbers (Rt) were calculated based on transmission pairs.

RESULTS

Interventions were introduced periodically in response to the epidemic. Overall, 817 (55.4%) among 1474 COVID-19 cases were imported. Based on a serial interval of 8.72 ± 5.65 days, it was estimated that Rt decreased to below 1 (lowest at 0.02, 95% CI 0-0.12) during periods of strict border control and contact tracing, and increased ahead of new clusters. The main method to detect cases shifted over time from passive notification to active case-finding at immigration or in lockdown areas, with containment delays showing significant differences between modes of case detection.

CONCLUSIONS

A combination of early, strict, and consistently implemented interventions is crucial to control COVID-19. Low-middle income countries with limited capacity can contain COVID-19 successfully using non-pharmaceutical interventions.

Neutralization Potency of Sera from Vietnamese Patients with Japanese Encephalitis (JE) against Genotypes I and V JE Viruses

Japanese encephalitis virus (JEV) is classified into 5 genotypes (GI, GII, GIII, GIV, and GV), and the GI and GIII strains are the most widely distributed in JE endemic areas. In recent years, GV JEV has been detected in China and Korea, suggesting that GV JEV may invade other JE endemic areas, including Vietnam, and that more attention should be paid to the JEV strains circulating in these areas. In this study, we investigated the neutralization ability of the sera collected from 22 Vietnamese patients with JE who lived in northern Vietnam against the GI and GV JEV strains. In most cases, the ratios of the titer against GV to that against GI (GV:GI) were equal to or less than 1:4. However, the titer against GV JEV was equivalent (1:1) to that against GI JEV in only a few cases, and no serum had a ratio higher than 1:1. Thus, our results did not show convincing evidence that GV JEV was emerging in northern Vietnam in 2014.

Multiple polymerase gene mutations for human adaptation occurring in Asian H5N1 influenza virus clinical isolates

The role of the influenza virus polymerase complex in host range restriction has been well-studied and several host range determinants, such as the polymerase PB2-E627K and PB2-D701N mutations, have been identified. However, there may be additional, currently unknown, human adaptation polymerase mutations. Here, we used a database search of influenza virus H5N1 clade 1.1, clade 2.3.2.1 and clade 2.3.4 strains isolated from 2008-2012 in Southern China, Vietnam and Cambodia to identify polymerase adaptation mutations that had been selected in infected patients. Several of these mutations acted either alone or together to increase viral polymerase activity in human airway cells to levels similar to the PB2-D701N and PB2-E627K single mutations and to increase progeny virus yields in infected mouse lungs to levels similar to the PB2-D701N single mutation. In particular, specific mutations acted synergistically with the PB2-D701N mutation and showed synergistic effects on viral replication both in human airway cells and mice compared with the corresponding single mutations. Thus, H5N1 viruses in infected patients were able to acquire multiple polymerase mutations that acted cooperatively for human adaptation. Our findings give new insight into the human adaptation of AI viruses and help in avian influenza virus risk assessment.

A single amino acid substitution in the NS4B protein of Dengue virus confers enhanced virus growth and fitness in human cells in vitro through IFN-dependent host response

Dengue virus (DENV) replication between mosquito and human hosts is hypothesized to be associated with viral determinants that interact in a differential manner between hosts. However, the understanding of inter-host viral determinants that drive DENV replication and growth between hosts is limited. Through the use of clinical isolates, we identified an amino acid variation of Ala, Met and Val at position 116 of DENV-1 NS4B. While the proportion of virus with the NS4B-116V variant remained constantly high in serial passages in a mosquito cell line, populations of the NS4B-116M and NS4B-116A variants became dominant after serial passages in mammalian cell lines. Using recombinant DENV-1 viruses, the Val to Ala or Met alteration at position NS4B-116 (rDENV-1-NS4B-116A and rDENV-1-NS4B-116M) resulted in enhanced virus growth in human cells in comparison to the clone with Val at NS4B-116 (rDENV-1-NS4B-116V). However, the reverse phenomenon was observed in a mosquito cell line. Additionally, in a human cell line, differential levels of IFN-α/β and IFN-stimulated gene expressions (IFIT3, IFI44L, OAS1) suggested that the enhanced viral growth was dependent on the ability of the NS4B protein to hamper host IFN response during the early phase of infection. Overall, we identified a novel and critical viral determinant at the pTMD3 of NS4B region that displayed differential effects on DENV replication and fitness in human and mosquito cell lines. Taken together, the results suggest the importance of the NS4B protein in virus replication and adaptation between hosts.

Distribution of influenza virus types by age using case-based global surveillance data from twenty-nine countries, 1999-2014

Background

Influenza disease burden varies by age and this has important public health implications. We compared the proportional distribution of different influenza virus types within age strata using surveillance data from twenty-nine countries during 1999-2014 (N=358,796 influenza cases).

Methods

For each virus, we calculated a Relative Illness Ratio (defined as the ratio of the percentage of cases in an age group to the percentage of the country population in the same age group) for young children (0-4 years), older children (5-17 years), young adults (18-39 years), older adults (40-64 years), and the elderly (65+ years). We used random-effects meta-analysis models to obtain summary relative illness ratios (sRIRs), and conducted meta-regression and sub-group analyses to explore causes of between-estimates heterogeneity.

Results

The influenza virus with highest sRIR was A(H1N1) for young children, B for older children, A(H1N1)pdm2009 for adults, and (A(H3N2) for the elderly. As expected, considering the diverse nature of the national surveillance datasets included in our analysis, between-estimates heterogeneity was high (I²>90%) for most sRIRs. The variations of countries’ geographic, demographic and economic characteristics and the proportion of outpatients among reported influenza cases explained only part of the heterogeneity, suggesting that multiple factors were at play.

Conclusions

These results highlight the importance of presenting burden of disease estimates by age group and virus (sub)type.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s12879-018-3181-y) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Cytokine production by primary human macrophages infected with highly pathogenic H5N1 or pandemic H1N1 2009 influenza viruses

Highly pathogenic H5N1 avian influenza viruses have caused infection in humans, with a high mortality rate, since 1997. While the pathogenesis of this infection is not completely understood, hypercytokinaemia and alveolar macrophages are thought to play a role. To gain further insight into the cytokine-mediated pathogenesis of this infection in humans, we measured various cytokines produced by primary human macrophages infected with H5N1, pandemic H1N1 or seasonal influenza viruses. We found that many cytokines were produced at higher levels on infection with the H5N1 strains tested compared with seasonal influenza viruses. Interestingly, the extent of cytokine induction varied among the H5N1 strains and did not correlate with replicative ability in macrophages. Further, a pandemic H1N1 virus induced higher levels of several cytokines compared with seasonal viruses and some H5N1 strains. Our results demonstrate that high cytokine induction is not a universal feature of all H5N1 viruses.

An Updated Loop-Mediated Isothermal Amplification Method for Rapid Diagnosis of H5N1 Avian Influenza Viruses

We designed a new set of primers for reverse transcriptase loop-mediated isothermal amplification (RTLAMP) to specifically amplify the HA gene of avian influenza viruses subtype H5N1. By testing nine H5N1 virus strains and 41 clinical samples collected in Northern Vietnam, we found that the new primers showed higher sensitivity and specificity than the previously published RT-LAMP primers and were comparable to the RT-PCR method currently recommended by WHO. These results suggest that our RT-LAMP assay may be a better choice as a diagnostic tool for current H5N1 influenza virus infection.

Negative Association between Infra-renal Aortic Diameter and Glycaemia: The Health In Men Study

OBJECTIVE

There is evidence of a negative association between diabetes and abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA). The aim of this study was to assess whether there is a similar relationship between both diabetes and glucose level, and infra-renal aortic diameter throughout its range.

DESIGN AND METHODS

Infra-renal aortic diameter was measured using ultrasound in 12,203 men aged 65-83 years as part of a trial of screening for AAA. A range of cardiovascular risk factors were also assessed. In a follow-up study, fasting serum glucose was measured in 2,859 non-diabetic men. Aortic diameter was logarithmically transformed and treated as both a continuous and categorical variable in stepwise multivariate linear and logistic models.

RESULTS

The median aortic diameter was slightly smaller in the diabetic men (21.3+/-3.9 vs 21.6+/-3.8, P<0.0001). There was an independent negative association between diabetes and AAA (OR 0.79, 95% CI: 0.63,0.98), and an inverse correlation (Coefficient: -0.0064, p=0.0024) between fasting glucose and aortic diameter in non-diabetic men.

CONCLUSIONS

Diabetes is inversely associated with both AAA and aortic diameter in men over 65 years. This association is independent of other risk factors for AAA. Aortic diameter also has an inverse relationship with fasting glucose concentrations in men without diabetes.