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Verniest F, Galewski T, Boutron O, Dami L, Defos du Rau P, Guelmami A, Julliard R, Popoff N, Suet M, Willm L, Abdou W, Azafzaf H, Bendjedda N, Bino T, Borg JJ, Božič L, Dakki M, Hamoumi RE, Encarnação V, Erciyas-Yavuz K, Etayeb K, Georgiev V, Hamada A, Hatzofe O, Ieronymidou C, Langendoen T, Mikuska T, Molina B, Moniz F, Moussy C, Ouassou A, Petkov N, Portolou D, Qaneer T, Sayoud S, Šćiban M, Topić G, Uzunova D, Vine G, Vizi A, Xeka E, Zenatello M, Gaget E, Viol IL. Exposure of wetlands important for nonbreeding waterbirds to sea-level rise in the Mediterranean. Conserv Biol 2024:e14288. [PMID: 38757477 DOI: 10.1111/cobi.14288] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/16/2023] [Revised: 02/27/2024] [Accepted: 02/28/2024] [Indexed: 05/18/2024]
Abstract
Sea-level rise (SLR) is expected to cause major changes to coastal wetlands, which are among the world's most vulnerable ecosystems and are critical for nonbreeding waterbirds. Because strategies for adaptation to SLR, such as nature-based solutions and designation of protected areas, can locally reduce the negative effects of coastal flooding under SLR on coastal wetlands, it is crucial to prioritize adaptation efforts, especially for wetlands of international importance for biodiversity. We assessed the exposure of coastal wetlands important for nonbreeding waterbirds to projected SLR along the Mediterranean coasts of 8 countries by modeling future coastal flooding under 7 scenarios of SLR by 2100 (from 44- to 161-cm rise) with a static inundation approach. Exposure to coastal flooding under future SLR was assessed for 938 Mediterranean coastal sites (≤30 km from the coastline) where 145 species of nonbreeding birds were monitored as part of the International Waterbird Census and for which the monitoring area was delineated by a polygon (64.3% of the coastal sites monitored in the Mediterranean region). Thirty-four percent of sites were threatened by future SLR, even under the most optimistic scenarios. Protected study sites and study sites of international importance for waterbirds were, respectively, 1.5 and 2 times more exposed to SLR than the other sites under the most optimistic scenario. Accordingly, we advocate for the development of a prioritization scheme to be applied to these wetlands for the implementation of strategies for adaptation to SLR to anticipate the effects of coastal flooding. Our study provides major guidance for conservation planning under global change in several countries of the Mediterranean region.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fabien Verniest
- Tour du Valat, Institut de recherche pour la conservation des zones humides méditerranéennes, Arles, France
- Centre d'Ecologie et des Sciences de la Conservation (CESCO), Muséum national d'Histoire naturelle, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, Sorbonne Université, Station Marine de Concarneau, Concarneau Cedex, France
| | - Thomas Galewski
- Tour du Valat, Institut de recherche pour la conservation des zones humides méditerranéennes, Arles, France
| | - Olivier Boutron
- Tour du Valat, Institut de recherche pour la conservation des zones humides méditerranéennes, Arles, France
| | - Laura Dami
- Tour du Valat, Institut de recherche pour la conservation des zones humides méditerranéennes, Arles, France
| | | | - Anis Guelmami
- Tour du Valat, Institut de recherche pour la conservation des zones humides méditerranéennes, Arles, France
| | - Romain Julliard
- Centre d'Ecologie et des Sciences de la Conservation (CESCO), Muséum national d'Histoire naturelle, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, Sorbonne Université, Station Marine de Concarneau, Concarneau Cedex, France
| | - Nadège Popoff
- Aquabio, 108 Av. du Lac Léman, La Motte-Servolex, France
| | - Marie Suet
- Tour du Valat, Institut de recherche pour la conservation des zones humides méditerranéennes, Arles, France
| | - Loïc Willm
- Tour du Valat, Institut de recherche pour la conservation des zones humides méditerranéennes, Arles, France
| | - Wed Abdou
- Egyptian Environmental Affairs Agency, El Maadi Helwan, Egypt
| | - Hichem Azafzaf
- Association "Les Amis des Oiseaux" (AAO/BirdLife en Tunisie), Ariana, Tunisia
| | | | - Taulant Bino
- Albanian Ornithological Society, "Ymer Kurti", Olympia Center, Tirana, Albania
| | - John J Borg
- National Museum of Natural History, Vilhena Palace, Mdina, Malta
| | - Luka Božič
- DOPPS - Birdlife Slovenia, Ljubljana, Slovenia
| | - Mohamed Dakki
- Groupe de Recherche pour la Protection des Oiseaux au Maroc (GREPOM), Résidence Oum Hani IV, Salé, Morocco
| | - Rhimou El Hamoumi
- Ecology and Environment Laboratory, Faculty of Sciences Ben M'sik, University Hassan II of Casablanca, Casablanca, Morocco
| | - Vitor Encarnação
- Instituto da Conservação da Natureza e das Florestas, IP (ICNF), Centro de Estudos de Migrações e Proteção de Aves (CEMPA), Lisboa, Portugal
| | | | - Khaled Etayeb
- Zoology Department, Faculty of Science, the University of Tripoli. Alfornaj, Tripoli, Libya
| | - Valeri Georgiev
- Ministry of Environment and Water, National Nature Protection Service Directorate, Sofia, Bulgaria
| | - Ayman Hamada
- Egyptian Environmental Affairs Agency, El Maadi Helwan, Egypt
| | - Ohad Hatzofe
- Israel Nature and Parks Authority Headquarters Am V'Olamo 3, Jerusalem, Israel
| | | | | | - Tibor Mikuska
- Croatian Society for Bird and Nature Protection, Osijek, Croatia
| | - Blas Molina
- Sociedad Española de Ornitología (SEO/BirdLife), Madrid, Spain
| | - Filipe Moniz
- Instituto da Conservação da Natureza e das Florestas, Lisbon, Portugal
| | - Caroline Moussy
- LPO-BirdLife France, Fonderies Royales, Rochefort Cedex, France
| | - Asmaâ Ouassou
- Groupe de Recherche pour la Protection des Oiseaux au Maroc (GREPOM), Résidence Oum Hani IV, Salé, Morocco
| | - Nicky Petkov
- Bulgarian Society for the Protection of Birds, Sofia, Bulgaria
| | | | - Tareq Qaneer
- The Royal Society for the Conservation of Nature (RSCN), Jubaiha, Jordan
| | - Samir Sayoud
- Direction générale des Forêts, Ben Aknoun, Algeria
| | - Marko Šćiban
- Bird Protection and Study Society of Serbia, Novi Sad, Serbia
| | - Goran Topić
- Nase Ptice Ornithological Society, Sarajevo, Bosnia and Herzegovina
| | | | - Gal Vine
- The Royal Society for the Conservation of Nature (RSCN), Jubaiha, Jordan
| | - Andrej Vizi
- History Museum of Montenegro, Trg Vojvode Bećir-bega Osmanagića 16, Podgorica, Montenegro
| | - Erald Xeka
- Albanian Ornithological Society, "Ymer Kurti", Olympia Center, Tirana, Albania
| | - Marco Zenatello
- Istituto Superiore per la Protezione e la Ricerca Ambientale (ISPRA), Ozzano dell'Emilia, Italy
| | - Elie Gaget
- Department of Biology, University of Turku, Turku, Finland
| | - Isabelle Le Viol
- Centre d'Ecologie et des Sciences de la Conservation (CESCO), Muséum national d'Histoire naturelle, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, Sorbonne Université, Station Marine de Concarneau, Concarneau Cedex, France
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Gaget E, Pavón‐Jordán D, Johnston A, Lehikoinen A, Hochachka WM, Sandercock BK, Soultan A, Azafzaf H, Bendjedda N, Bino T, Božič L, Clausen P, Dakki M, Devos K, Domsa C, Encarnação V, Erciyas‐Yavuz K, Faragó S, Frost T, Gaudard C, Gosztonyi L, Haas F, Hornman M, Langendoen T, Ieronymidou C, Kostyushin VA, Lewis LJ, Lorentsen S, Luigujõe L, Meissner W, Mikuska T, Molina B, Musilová Z, Natykanets V, Paquet J, Petkov N, Portolou D, Ridzoň J, Sayoud S, Šćiban M, Sniauksta L, Stīpniece A, Strebel N, Teufelbauer N, Topić G, Uzunova D, Vizi A, Wahl J, Zenatello M, Brommer JE. Benefits of protected areas for nonbreeding waterbirds adjusting their distributions under climate warming. Conserv Biol 2021; 35:834-845. [PMID: 33009673 PMCID: PMC8247957 DOI: 10.1111/cobi.13648] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/23/2020] [Revised: 09/01/2020] [Accepted: 09/25/2020] [Indexed: 05/31/2023]
Abstract
Climate warming is driving changes in species distributions and community composition. Many species have a so-called climatic debt, that is, shifts in range lag behind shifts in temperature isoclines. Inside protected areas (PAs), community changes in response to climate warming can be facilitated by greater colonization rates by warm-dwelling species, but also mitigated by lowering extirpation rates of cold-dwelling species. An evaluation of the relative importance of colonization-extirpation processes is important to inform conservation strategies that aim for both climate debt reduction and species conservation. We assessed the colonization-extirpation dynamics involved in community changes in response to climate inside and outside PAs. To do so, we used 25 years of occurrence data of nonbreeding waterbirds in the western Palearctic (97 species, 7071 sites, 39 countries, 1993-2017). We used a community temperature index (CTI) framework based on species thermal affinities to investigate species turnover induced by temperature increase. We determined whether thermal community adjustment was associated with colonization by warm-dwelling species or extirpation of cold-dwelling species by modeling change in standard deviation of the CTI (CTISD ). Using linear mixed-effects models, we investigated whether communities in PAs had lower climatic debt and different patterns of community change than communities outside PAs. For CTI and CTISD combined, communities inside PAs had more species, higher colonization, lower extirpation, and lower climatic debt (16%) than communities outside PAs. Thus, our results suggest that PAs facilitate 2 independent processes that shape community dynamics and maintain biodiversity. The community adjustment was, however, not sufficiently fast to keep pace with the large temperature increases in the central and northeastern western Palearctic. Our results underline the potential of combining CTI and CTISD metrics to improve understanding of the colonization-extirpation patterns driven by climate warming.
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Affiliation(s)
- Elie Gaget
- Department of BiologyUniversity of TurkuTurku20500Finland
| | - Diego Pavón‐Jordán
- Department of Terrestrial EcologyNorwegian Institute for Nature Research (NINA)P.O. Box 5685 SluppenTrondheimN‐7485Norway
| | - Alison Johnston
- Cornell Lab of OrnithologyCornell UniversityIthacaNY14850U.S.A.
- Conservation Science Group, Department of ZoologyUniversity of CambridgeCambridgeCB2 3QZU.K.
| | - Aleksi Lehikoinen
- The Finnish Museum of Natural HistoryUniversity of HelsinkiP.O. Box 17Helsinki00100Finland
| | | | - Brett K. Sandercock
- Department of Terrestrial EcologyNorwegian Institute for Nature Research (NINA)P.O. Box 5685 SluppenTrondheimN‐7485Norway
| | - Alaaeldin Soultan
- Department of EcologySwedish University of Agricultural SciencesUppsala750 07Sweden
| | - Hichem Azafzaf
- Association "Les Amis des Oiseaux" (AAO/BirdLife en Tunisie)14, Rue Ibn El Heni, 2ème étage ‐ Bureau N° 4Ariana2080Tunisia
| | | | - Taulant Bino
- Albaninan Ornithological SocietyBulevardi "Gjergj Fishta"Kulla nr.2, kati 4, hyrja 18Tirana1001Albania
| | - Luka Božič
- Društvo za opazovanje in proučevanje ptic Slovenije (DOPPS)Tržaška cesta 2LjubljanaSI‐1000Slovenia
| | - Preben Clausen
- Department of BioscienceAarhus UniversityRønde8200Denmark
| | - Mohamed Dakki
- Scientific InstituteMohammed V University of RabatAv. Ibn BattotaRabat‐Agdal10106Morocco
| | - Koen Devos
- Research Institute for Nature and ForestBrussel1070Belgium
| | - Cristi Domsa
- Romanian Ornithological SocietyBd. Hristo Botev, nr.3, ap. 6, Sector 3Bucureşti030231Romania
| | - Vitor Encarnação
- Instituto da Conservação da Natureza e das Florestas, IP (ICNF)Centro de Estudos de Migrações e Proteção de Aves (CEMPA)Lisboa1050‐191Portugal
| | | | - Sándor Faragó
- Institute of Wildlife Management and Vertebrate ZoologyUniversity of SopronBajcsy‐Zsilinszky u. 4SopronH‐9400Hungary
| | - Teresa Frost
- British Trust for OrnithologyThetfordIP24 2PUU.K.
| | | | - Lívia Gosztonyi
- Institute of Wildlife Management and Vertebrate ZoologyUniversity of SopronBajcsy‐Zsilinszky u. 4SopronH‐9400Hungary
| | - Fredrik Haas
- Department of BiologyLund UniversityLund223 62Sweden
| | - Menno Hornman
- Sovon Dutch Centre for Field OrnithologyNijmegen6525 EDThe Netherlands
| | | | | | - Vasiliy A. Kostyushin
- Monitoring and Animal Conservation Department, Schmalgausen Institute of ZoologyNAS of Ukrainevul. B. Khmelnytskogo, 15Kyiv01030Ukraine
| | | | - Svein‐Håkon Lorentsen
- Department of Terrestrial EcologyNorwegian Institute for Nature Research (NINA)P.O. Box 5685 SluppenTrondheimN‐7485Norway
| | - Leho Luigujõe
- Department of ZoologyEstonian University of Life SciencesTartu51006Estonia
| | - Włodzimierz Meissner
- Department of Vertebrate Ecology and Zoology, Faculty of BiologyUniversity of GdańskWita Stwosza 59Gdańsk80–308Poland
| | - Tibor Mikuska
- Croatian Society for Bird and Nature ProtectionZagreb1000Croatia
| | - Blas Molina
- Sociedad Española de Ornitología (SEO/BirdLife)Madrid28053Spain
| | - Zuzana Musilová
- Faculty of Environmental SciencesCzech University of Life SciencesPraha Suchdol 129KamýckáCZ‐165 21Czechia
| | - Viktor Natykanets
- National Academy of Science of BelarusIndependence Avenue 66Minsk220072Republic of Belarus
| | | | - Nicky Petkov
- Bulgarian Society for the Protection of BirdsPO Box 50SofiaBG‐1111Bulgaria
| | - Danae Portolou
- Hellenic Ornithological SocietyThemistokleous str. 80Athens10681Greece
| | | | - Samir Sayoud
- Direction générale des ForêtsBen AknounAlger16000Algérie
| | - Marko Šćiban
- Bird Protection and Study Society of SerbiaVladike Ćirića 24/19, 21000 Novi Sad, Srbija Makedonska 4Beograd11000Srbija
| | - Laimonas Sniauksta
- Lithuanian Ornithological SocietyNaugarduko 47‐3VilniusLT‐03208Lithuania
| | - Antra Stīpniece
- Institute of BiologyUniversity of LatviaSalaspilsLV‐2169Latvia
| | | | | | - Goran Topić
- Nase Ptice Ornithological SocietySarajevoBA–71000Bosnia and Herzegovina
| | - Danka Uzunova
- Macedonian Ecological SocietyBoris Trajkovski st. 7 No. 9ASkopje1000Macedonia
| | - Andrej Vizi
- Natural History Museum of MontenegroTrg Vojvode Bećir‐bega Osmanagića 16Podgorica81000Montenegro
| | - Johannes Wahl
- Dachverband Deutscher Avifaunisten e.V. (DDA)Federation of German AvifaunistsMünster48157Germany
| | - Marco Zenatello
- Istituto Superiore per la Protezione e la Ricerca Ambientale (ISPRA)Ozzano dell'Emilia40064Italy
| | - Jon E. Brommer
- Department of BiologyUniversity of TurkuTurku20500Finland
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