Extensive red blood cell matching considering patient alloimmunization risk

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Red blood cell (RBC) transfusions pose a risk of alloantibody development in patients. For patients with increased alloimmunization risk, extended preventive matching is advised, encompassing not only the ABO-D blood groups but also the most clinically relevant minor antigens: C, c, E, e, K, Fya, Fyb, Jka, Jkb, S and s. This study incorporates patient-specific data and the clinical consequences of mismatching into the allocation process.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We have redefined the MINimize Relative Alloimmunization Risks (MINRAR) model to include patient group preferences in selecting RBC units from a finite supply. A linear optimization approach was employed, considering both antigen immunogenicity and the clinical impact of mismatches for specific patient groups. We also explore the advantages of informing the blood bank about scheduled transfusions, allowing for a more strategic blood distribution. The model is evaluated using historical data from two Dutch hospitals, measuring shortages and minor antigen mismatches.

RESULTS

The updated model, emphasizing patient group-specific considerations, achieves a similar number of mismatches as the original, yet shifts mismatches among patient groups and antigens, reducing expected alloimmunization consequences. Simultaneous matching for multiple hospitals at the distribution centre level, considering scheduled demands, led to a 30% decrease in mismatches and a 92% reduction in shortages.

CONCLUSION

The reduction of expected alloimmunization consequences by incorporating patient group preferences demonstrates our strategy's effectiveness for patient health. Substantial reductions in mismatches and shortages with multi-hospital collaboration highlights the importance of sharing information in the blood supply chain.

Determining optimal locations for blood distribution centers

BACKGROUND

Blood banks have to be thoughtful about supply chain decisions to effectively satisfy the blood product demand of hospitals. These decisions include the number and locations of distribution centers (DC), as this has a strong impact on both transportation cost and the ability to deliver emergency orders in time.

STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS

We propose a mixed-integer linear programming approach to find optimal DC locations for supplying individual hospitals. The model maximizes the number of hospitals reachable from a DC within a given time-limit, and minimizes transportation cost. The minimal amount of data required is a set of hospital locations. The model can be further attuned to the user's needs by adding various model extensions. The model's use is demonstrated by two case studies, considering the blood banks of the Netherlands and Finland.

RESULTS

For both case studies re-locating the DCs would result in a reduction of transportation cost of about 10% without affecting the reliability of delivery. In addition, to save facility exploitation costs, the number of DCs may be reduced in both countries while maintaining the reliability of delivery. The model was also shown to be robust against changes in hospital ordering behavior.

DISCUSSION

We demonstrated the general usability and added value of the model by successfully optimizing the blood supply chains of the Netherlands and Finland, which differ substantially. Nonetheless, in both countries potential savings in both transportation and facility exploitation cost could be shown. The model code is open source and freely accessible online.

A robust autonomous method for blood demand forecasting

Background

Blood supply chain management requires estimates about the demand of blood products. The more accurate these estimates are, the less wastage and fewer shortages occur. While the current literature demonstrates tangible benefits from statistical forecasting approaches, it highlights issues that discourage their use in blood supply chain optimization: there is no single approach that works everywhere, and there are no guarantees that any favorable method performance continues into the future.

Study Design and Methods

We design a novel autonomous forecasting system to solve the aforementioned issues. We show how possible changes in blood demand could affect prediction performance using partly synthetic demand data. We use these data then to investigate the performances of different method selection heuristics. Finally, the performances of the heuristics and single method approaches were compared using historical demand data from Finland and the Netherlands. The development code is publicly accessible.

Results

We find that a shift in the demand signal behavior from stochastic to seasonal would affect the relative performances of the methods. Our autonomous system outperforms all examined individual methods when forecasting the synthetic demand series, exhibiting meaningful robustness. When forecasting with real data, the most accurate methods in Finland and in the Netherlands are the autonomous system and the method average, respectively.

Discussion

Optimal use of method selection heuristics, as with our autonomous system, may overcome the need to constantly supervise forecasts in anticipation of changes in demand while being sufficiently accurate in the absence of such changes.

Preventing alloimmunization using a new model for matching extensively typed red blood cells

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Alloimmunization is a well-known adverse event associated with red blood cell (RBC) transfusions, caused by phenotype incompatibilities between donor and patient RBCs that may lead to haemolytic transfusion reactions on subsequent transfusions. Alloimmunization can be prevented by transfusing fully matched RBC units. Advances in RBC genotyping render the extensive typing of both donors and patients affordable in the foreseeable future. However, the exponential increase in the variety of extensively typed RBCs asks for a software-driven selection to determine the 'best product for a given patient'.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We propose the MINimize Relative Alloimmunization Risks (MINRAR) model for matching extensively typed RBC units to extensively typed patients to minimize the risk of alloimmunization. The key idea behind this model is to use antigen immunogenicity to represent the clinical implication of a mismatch. Using simulations of non-elective transfusions in Caucasian donor and patient populations, the effect on the alloimmunization rate of the MINRAR model is compared with that of a baseline model that matches antigens A, B and RhD only.

RESULTS

Our simulations show that with the MINRAR model, even for small inventories, the expected number of alloimmunizations can be reduced by 78.3% compared with a policy of only matching on antigens A, B and RhD. Furthermore, a reduction of 93.7% can be achieved when blood is issued from larger inventories.

CONCLUSION

Despite an exponential increase in phenotype variety, matching of extensively typed RBCs can be effectively implemented using our MINRAR model, effectuating a substantial reduction in alloimmunization risk without introducing additional outdating or shortages.