Treatment and Survival Among Patients With Colorectal Cancer in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Multicentric Population-Based Follow-Up Study

BACKGROUND

The burden of colorectal cancer (CRC) is increasing in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). However, little is known about CRC treatment and survival in the region.

METHODS

A random sample of 653 patients with CRC diagnosed from 2011 to 2015 was obtained from 11 population-based cancer registries in SSA. Information on clinical characteristics, treatment, and/or vital status was obtained from medical records in treating hospitals for 356 (54%) of the patients ("traced cohort"). Concordance of CRC treatment with NCCN Harmonized Guidelines for SSA was assessed. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to examine the association between survival and human development index (HDI).

RESULTS

Of the 356 traced patients with CRC, 51.7% were male, 52.8% were from countries with a low HDI, 55.1% had colon cancer, and 73.6% were diagnosed with nonmetastatic (M0) disease. Among the patients with M0 disease, however, only 3.1% received guideline-concordant treatment, 20.6% received treatment with minor deviations, 31.7% received treatment with major deviations, and 35.1% received no treatment. The risk of death in patients who received no cancer-directed therapy was 3.49 (95% CI, 1.83-6.66) times higher than in patients who received standard treatment or treatment with minor deviations. Similarly, the risk of death in patients from countries with a low HDI was 1.67 (95% CI, 1.07-2.62) times higher than in those from countries with a medium HDI. Overall survival at 1 and 3 years was 70.9% (95% CI, 65.5%-76.3%) and 45.3% (95% CI, 38.9%-51.7%), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Fewer than 1 in 20 patients diagnosed with potentially curable CRC received standard of care in SSA, reinforcing the need to improve healthcare infrastructure, including the oncology and surgical workforce.

Presentation, patterns of care, and outcomes of patients with prostate cancer in sub-Saharan Africa: A population-based registry study

BACKGROUND

Although prostate cancer (PCa) is the most commonly diagnosed cancer in men of sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), little is known about its management and survival. The objective of the current study was to describe the presentation, patterns of diagnosis, treatment, and survival of patients with PCa in 10 countries of SSA.

METHODS

In this observational registry study with data collection from 2010 to 2018, the authors drew a random sample of 738 patients with PCa who were registered in 11 population-based cancer registries. They described proportions of patients receiving recommended care and presented survival estimates. Multivariable Cox regression was used to calculate hazard ratios comparing the survival of patients with and without cancer-directed therapies (CDTs).

RESULTS

The study included 693 patients, and tumor characteristics and treatment information were available for 365 patients, 37.3% of whom had metastatic disease. Only 11.2% had a complete diagnostic workup for risk stratification. Among the nonmetastatic patients, 17.5% received curative-intent therapy, and 27.5% received no CDT. Among the metastatic patients, 59.6% received androgen deprivation therapy. The 3- and 5-year age-standardized relative survival for 491 patients with survival time information was 58.8% (95% confidence interval [CI], 48.5%-67.7%) and 56.9% (95% CI, 39.8%-70.9%), respectively. In a multivariable analysis, survival was considerably poorer among patients without CDT versus those with therapy.

CONCLUSIONS

This study shows that a large proportion of patients with PCa in SSA are not staged or are insufficiently staged and undertreated, and this results in unfavorable survival. These findings reemphasize the need for improving diagnostic workup and access to care in SSA in order to mitigate the heavy burden of the disease in the region.

Disability-Adjusted Life-Years Due to Stroke in Kenya

BACKGROUND

There is little information on stroke morbidity in Kenya to inform health care planning. The disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) are a time-based measure of health status that incorporates both disability and mortality.

METHODS

This was a multicenter prospective study in Kenya's public tertiary hospitals conducted in 2015-2017. Data on sex, age, and global disability outcome were collected and used to calculate the sum of years of life lost prematurely due to stroke (YLL), the years of healthy life lost due to disability (YLD), and the DALYs.

RESULTS

Up to 719 adult stroke patients participated in the study. The peak age group for stroke was 60-64 years, with ischemic stroke accounting for 56.1% of the stroke cases. After 1-year follow-up, the YLD were 2,402.50, YLL were 5,335.99, and the DALYs were 7,738.49. YLD contributed 31% of the total DALYs. The DALYs varied by sex (male: 2,835.79; female: 4,902.70 years) and by stroke type (ischemic stroke: 4,652.98; hemorrhagic stroke: 3,085.51). The young age group (< 45 years) bore a greater burden accounting for 35.6% of the total DALYs.

CONCLUSION

The YLD, YLL, and DALYs observed reinforce the need for targeted prevention of risk factors and comprehensive stroke care initiatives in Kenya.

Stroke distribution patterns and characteristics in Kenya's leading public health tertiary institutions: Kenyatta National Hospital and Moi Teaching and Referral Hospital

Background

Cardiovascular diseases are the second leading cause of morbidity and mortality in Kenya. However, there is limited clinico-epidemiological data on stroke to inform decision making. This study sought to establish stroke distribution patterns and characteristics in patients seeking care at Kenyatta National Hospital (KNH) and Moi Teaching and Referral Hospital (MTRH), with the ultimate aim of establishing the first national stroke registry in Kenya.

Methods

This was a prospective multicentre cohort study among stroke patients. The study used a modified World Health Organisation STEP-wise approach to stroke surveillance tool in collecting data on incidence, major risk factors and mortality rate. The Cochran’s Mantel–Haenszel chisquared test of conditional independence was used with p-value set at 0.05.

Results

A total of 691 patients with confirmed stroke were recruited [KNH 406 (males: 40.9%; females: 59.1%); MTRH 285 (males: 44.6%; females: 55.4%)] and followed over a 12-month period. Overall, ischaemic stroke accounted for 55.6% of the stroke cases, with women being the most affected (57.5%). Mortality rate at day 10 was 18.0% at KNH and 15.5% at MTRH, and higher in the haemorrhagic cases (20.3%). The most common vascular risk factors were hypertension at 77.3% (males: 75.7%; females: 78.5%), smoking at 16.1% (males: 26.6%; females: 8.3%) and diabetes at 14.9% (males: 15.7%; females: 14.4%). Ischaemic stroke was conditionally independent of gender after adjusting for age.

Conclusions

To our knowledge this is the first pilot demonstration establishing a stroke registry in sub-Saharan Africa and clearly establishes feasibility for this approach. It also has utility to both inform and potentially guide public policy and public health measures on stroke in Kenya. Important and unexpected observations included the preponderance of women affected by cerebrovascular disease and that cigarette smoking was the second most common risk factor. The latter, over time, will further impact on the clinico-epidemiological profile of cerebrovascular disease in Kenya.

Development of a National Cancer Registry in a Low Resourced Country: The Case of Kenya National Cancer Registry Programme

Background: Population-based cancer registration represents the gold standard for the provision of information on cancer incidence in a defined population (Bray F, et. al, IARC Technical Report No. 43). In Kenya, the incidence and prevalence of cancer has not been well documented. The existing population-based cancer registries (PBCRs) cover less than 10% of Kenya's population. Kenya is made up of 47 administrative counties and has a population of over 45 million people. Aim: To establish a National Cancer Registry Program that will compile national data on incidence, mortality and trends of cancer in Kenya over time. Methods: Three functional PBCRs have been in existence covering 3 counties: Nairobi, Eldoret and Kisumu. Needs assessment was conducted in the 3 registries. Additional support and resources were provided. New registries were set up in different geographical regions of Kenya. A centralized office to host the national registry was established and equipped at the Centre for Clinical Research, Kenya Medical Research Institute. Sensitization and awareness activities targeting the leaders in the selected counties were undertaken. Similarly trainings and technical support of the regional registries were conducted. Data were collected on to case registration forms, coded using the International Classification of Diseases for Oncology (ICD-O); data entry, validation and analysis done using IARC software CanReg5. Results: Variations in cancer occurrence in the different counties were noted. However the leading cancers were somewhat similar in the 8 counties with prostate and esophageal cancers being the leading in men while breast and cervical cancer being top among women. These variations could provide understanding on causation of certain types of cancers. Data highlights the need to develop and expand intervention programs like HPV vaccination, screenings, early detection and early treatment. Governments' allocation of resources to cancer registries and surveillance programs is important as well as building partnerships. Conclusion: In countries with limited resources it is expensive to develop a national cancer registry covering the entire country. Our program demonstrates that a national cancer registry program can be established by setting up regional population-based cancer registries that covers a reasonable population of the entire country and aggregating the data in a centralized system. Population-based cancer registries are critical in generating data on burden of cancer in specified populations. These data should be used to inform effective cancer control programs and research.

Stroke Mortality in Kenya's Public Tertiary Hospitals: A Prospective Facility-Based Study

Background

Despite the increasing global burden of stroke, there are limited data on stroke from Kenya to guide in decision-making. Stroke occurrence in sub-Saharan Africa has been associated with poor health outcomes. This study sought to establish the stroke incidence density and mortality in Kenya's leading public tertiary hospitals for purposes of informing clinical practice and policy.

Methods

This is a prospective study conducted at Kenya's leading referral hospitals, namely, Kenyatta National Hospital (KNH) and Moi Teaching and Referral Hospital (MTRH). Adult patients with confirmed cases of stroke were recruited from February 2015 to January 2016 and followed up for a minimum period of 1 year. The WHO 2006 Stroke STEPS instrument was used to collect data on incidence and mortality at days 10 and 28 and every 3 months for 24 months. The person-time of follow-up was computed from admission to death, loss to follow-up, or the end of the study. A survival regression analysis was done using the Cox proportional hazards model.

Results

A total of 719 patients were recruited (KNH: n = 406 [56.5%]; MTRH: n = 313 [43.5%]). The mean age was 58.6 ± 18.7 years, and the male-to-female ratio was 1: 1.4. Ischemic stroke accounted for 56.1% of the stroke cases. The peak age for stroke was between 50 and 69 years, when 36.3% of the cases occurred. Mortality at day 10 and day 28 was 18.4 and 26.7%, respectively. The inpatient mortality rate was 21.6%. The stroke incidence density was 507 deaths per 1,000 person-years of follow-up. The mean survival time was significantly different between inpatients (13.9 months; 95% CI: 13.0–14.7) and outpatients (18.6 months; 95% CI: 17.2–19.9) (p < 0.001). A 1-year increase in age increased the hazard by 1.8%. Inpatients had a 3.9-fold increase in hazard compared to outpatients.

Conclusions

Mortality due to stroke is high, with poor survival observed in the first year after stroke. The risk of death increases with increasing age and duration of hospital stay. There is need for attention to quality of care and long-term needs of stroke patients to mitigate the high mortality rates observed. Public health initiatives aimed at early screening and diagnosis should be enhanced. Further research is recommended to establish the true burden of stroke at the community level to inform appropriate mitigation measures.

Cancer risks in Nairobi (2000-2014) by ethnic group

We investigated the ethnic differences in the risk of several cancers in the population of Nairobi, Kenya, using data from the Nairobi Cancer Registry. The registry records the variable "Tribe" for each case, a categorisation that includes, as well as 22 tribal groups, categories for Kenyans of European and of Asian origin, and non-Kenyan Africans. Tribes included in the final analysis were Kikuyu, Kamba, Kisii, Kalenjin, Luo, Luhya, Somalis, Asians, non-Kenyans, Caucasians, Other tribes and unknown. The largest group was taken as the reference category for the calculation of odds ratios; this was African Kenyans (for comparisons by race), and Kikuyus (the tribe with the largest numbers of cancer registrations (38% of the total)) for comparisons between the Kenyan tribes. P-values are obtained from the Wald test. Cancers that were more common among the white population than in black Kenyans were skin cancers and cancers of the bladder, while cancers that are more common in Kenyan Asians include colorectal, lung, breast, ovary, corpus uteri and non-Hodgkin lymphoma. Cancers that were less common among Asians and Caucasians were oesophagus, stomach and cervix cancer. Within the African population, there were marked differences in cancer risk by tribe. Among the tribes of Bantu ethnicity, the Kamba had higher risks of melanoma, Kaposi sarcoma, liver and cervix cancer, and lower risks of oesophagus, stomach, corpus uteri and nervous system cancers. Luo and Luhya had much higher odds of Kaposi sarcoma and Burkitt lymphoma.

Incidence of cancer in Nairobi, Kenya (2004-2008)

Cancer incidence rates are presented for the Nairobi Cancer Registry, a population-based cancer registry (PBCR) covering the population of the capital city of Kenya (3.2 million inhabitants in 2009). Case finding was by active methods, with standard and checks for accuracy and validity. During the period 2004-2008 a total of 8,982 cases were registered comprising 3,889 men (an age standardized incidence rate (ASR) of 161 per 100,000) and 5,093 women (ASR 231 per 1,00,000). Prostate cancer was the most common cancer in men (ASR 40.6 per 100,000) while breast cancer was the most common among women (ASR 51.7 per 100,000). Cervical cancer ranked the second most common cancer among women in Nairobi with an ASR of 46.1 per 100,000, somewhat lower than those of other registries in East Africa region. Breast and cervical cancers accounted for 44% of all cancers in women. Cancer of the oesophagus was common in both sexes, with a slight excess of cases in men (sex ratio 1.3). Unlike other regions in East Africa, the rate of Kaposi sarcoma was relatively low during the period (men 3.6/100,000; women 2.0/100,000). Although incidence rates cannot be calculated for the early years of the registry, the increase in relative frequency of prostate cancer and declines in frequency of Kaposi sarcoma may indicate underlying trends in the risk of these cancers.