HIV MDR is still a relevant issue despite its dramatic drop over the years

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the prevalence and therapeutic relevance of drug resistance among isolates from ART-experienced HIV-1-infected patients over the past two decades in Italy.

METHODS

Dynamics of resistance to one, two and three or more antiretroviral classes were evaluated from 1999-2018. Virological success (VS) after the latest therapy switch was evaluated according to cumulative class resistance and cumulative genotypic susceptibility score (Stanford HIV_DB algorithm).

RESULTS

Among 13 663 isolates (from 6739 patients), resistance to at least one drug class decreased sharply from 1999 to 2010 (≤2001, 84.6%; 2010, 43.6%; P < 0.001), then remained relatively constant at ∼40% during 2010-18, with the proportion of resistance to three or more classes also stable (∼5%). After 2008, integrase inhibitor resistance slightly increased from 5.6% to 9.7% in 2018 and contributed to resistance, particularly in isolates with resistance to three or more classes (one class, 8.4%; two classes, 15.3%; three or more classes, 34.7%, P < 0.001). Among 1827 failing patients with an available follow-up, by 1 year after genotype-guided therapy start the probability of VS was 87.6%. Patients with cumulative resistance to three or more classes and receiving a poorly active regimen showed the lowest probability (62.6%) of VS (P < 0.001) compared with all other patients (≥81.8%). By Cox regression analysis, cumulative MDR and receiving poorly active antiretroviral regimens were associated with a lower hazard of VS compared with those without resistance.

CONCLUSIONS

A dramatic drop of HIV-1 drug resistance at failure has been achieved over the last two decades in Italy; resistance to three or more classes is low but present among currently failing patients. Its management still requires a rational and careful diagnostic and therapeutic approach.

Increased risk of IRIS-associated tuberculosis in HIV-infected patients receiving Integrase Inhibitors

BACKGROUND

Tuberculosis is associated with a risk of immune reconstitution inflammatory syndrome (IRIS) after ART initiation.

METHODS

Data from all patients with newly diagnosed tuberculosis disease and uncontrolled HIV infection from 1997 to 2017 in a French center were retrospectively collected. We evaluated the incidence of tuberculosis-IRIS in patients initiating ART with or without integrase inhibitors (INSTI) RESULTS: Fifty-five patients were included: 21 receiving an INSTI regimen and 34 a non-INSTI regimen. Except with regard to ART regimen, the two groups were comparable (median CD4 of 85/mm³). The overall percentage of IRIS was 34% (19/55), with 52% IRIS in INSTI regimen and 23% in non-INSTI regimen respectively (P=0.04). In a multivariate logistic model, we observed an increased risk of IRIS in the INSTI regimen compared to the non-INSTI, with an OR at 3.33 [95% CI, 1.01-11.1] (P=0.05) CONCLUSIONS: ART containing integrase inhibitors could be associated with increased incidence of TB-associated IRIS.

Emerging resistance mutations in PI-naive patients failing an atazanavir-based regimen (ANRS multicentre observational study)

Background

Atazanavir is a PI widely used as a third agent in combination ART. We aimed to determine the prevalence and the patterns of resistance in PI-naive patients failing on an atazanavir-based regimen.

Methods

We analysed patients failing on an atazanavir-containing regimen used as a first line of PI therapy. We compared the sequences of reverse transcriptase and protease before the introduction of atazanavir and at failure [two consecutive viral loads (VLs) >50 copies/mL]. Resistance was defined according to the 2014 Agence Nationale de Recherche sur le SIDA et les Hépatites Virales (ANRS) algorithm.

Results

Among the 113 patients, atazanavir was used in the first regimen in 71 (62.8%) patients and in the first line of a PI-based regimen in 42 (37.2%). Atazanavir was boosted with ritonavir in 95 (84.1%) patients and combined with tenofovir/emtricitabine or lamivudine (n = 81) and abacavir/lamivudine or emtricitabine (n = 22). At failure, median VL was 3.05 log10 copies/mL and the median CD4+ T cell count was 436 cells/mm3. The median time on atazanavir was 21.2 months. At failure, viruses were considered resistant to atazanavir in four patients (3.5%) with the selection of the following major atazanavir-associated mutations: I50L (n = 1), I84V (n = 2) and N88S (n = 1). Other emergent PI mutations were L10V, G16E, K20I/R, L33F, M36I/L, M46I/L, G48V, F53L, I54L, D60E, I62V, A71T/V, V82I/T, L90M and I93L/M. Emergent NRTI substitutions were detected in 21 patients: M41L (n = 2), D67N (n = 3), K70R (n = 1), L74I/V (n = 3), M184V/I (n = 16), L210W (n = 1), T215Y/F (n = 3) and K219Q/E (n = 2).

Conclusions

Resistance to atazanavir is rare in patients failing the first line of an atazanavir-based regimen according to the ANRS. Emergent NRTI resistance-associated mutations were reported in 18% of patients.

Prevalence and clinical impact of minority resistant variants in patients failing an integrase inhibitor-based regimen by ultra-deep sequencing

Background

Integrase strand transfer inhibitors (INSTIs) are recommended by international guidelines as first-line therapy in antiretroviral-naive and -experienced HIV-1-infected patients.

Objectives

This study aimed at evaluating the prevalence at failure of INSTI-resistant variants and the impact of baseline minority resistant variants (MiRVs) on the virological response to an INSTI-based regimen.

Methods

Samples at failure of 134 patients failing a raltegravir-containing (n = 65), an elvitegravir-containing (n = 20) or a dolutegravir-containing (n = 49) regimen were sequenced by Sanger sequencing and ultra-deep sequencing (UDS). Baseline samples of patients with virological failure (VF) (n = 34) and of those with virological success (VS) (n = 31) under INSTI treatment were sequenced by UDS. Data were analysed using the SmartGene platform, and resistance was interpreted according to the ANRS algorithm version 27.

Results

At failure, the prevalence of at least one INSTI-resistant variant was 39.6% by Sanger sequencing and 57.5% by UDS, changing the interpretation of resistance in 17/134 (13%) patients. Among 53 patients harbouring at least one resistance mutation detected by both techniques, the most dominant INSTI resistance mutations were N155H (45%), Q148H/K/R (23%), T97A (19%) and Y143C (11%). There was no difference in prevalence of baseline MiRVs between patients with VF and those with VS. MiRVs found at baseline in patients with VF were not detected at failure either in majority or minority mutations.

Conclusions

UDS is more sensitive than Sanger sequencing at detecting INSTI MiRVs at treatment failure. The presence of MiRVs at failure could be important to the decision to switch to other INSTIs. However, there was no association between the presence of baseline MiRVs and the response to INSTI-based therapies in our study.

Comparison of 48-week efficacies of elvitegravir/cobicistat/emtricitabine/tenofovir alafenamide and nucleoside/nucleotide reverse transcriptase inhibitor-sparing regimens: a systematic review and network meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

To compare nucleoside/nucleotide reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NRTI)-sparing regimens with tenofovir alafenamide (TAF)-based combinations in HIV-1-infected adults, we performed a network meta-analysis (NMA) to provide estimates of relative efficacy for these two regimens.

METHODS

A systematic literature review (SLR) was performed to identify phase 3/4 randomized controlled clinical trials evaluating the efficacy of commonly used combination antiretroviral therapy (cART) including an NRTI backbone or that of commonly used NRTI-sparing regimens. A Bayesian random-effect model was used to compare virological suppression rates at 48 weeks for NRTI-sparing regimens and elvitegravir/cobicistat/emtricitabine/TAF (E/C/F/TAF).

RESULTS

Twenty-three studies in treatment-naïve patients identified by the SLR were included in the NMA, including four studies assessing NRTI-sparing regimens. In treatment-naïve patients, the probability of achieving virological suppression at 48 weeks was between 40% and 60% higher with E/C/F/TAF than with NRTI-sparing strategies. The credible interval vs. darunavir/ritonavir (DVR/r) + raltegravir (RAL) and LPV/r monotherapy did not include 1. In the subgroup of naïve patients with viral load < 100 000 HIV-1 RNA copies/mL, a credible difference was found between NRTI-sparing treatments and E/C/F/TAF. Studies in treatment-experienced patients were too heterogeneous to allow for an NMA.

CONCLUSIONS

The NMA results suggest that E/C/F/TAF represents a more effective option than NRTI-sparing regimens in terms of 48-week efficacy in treatment-naïve patients. Furthermore, TAF pharmacological properties, as well as tolerability results in clinical studies, suggest a safety profile similar to that of NRTI-sparing regimens. Thus, the E/C/F/TAF combination might represent a more appropriate option than NRTI-sparing regimens for initiation of antiretroviral therapy in treatment-naïve HIV-infected patients.

Usefulness of an HIV DNA resistance genotypic test in patients who are candidates for a switch to the rilpivirine/emtricitabine/tenofovir disoproxil fumarate combination

OBJECTIVES

In the context of a rilpivirine/emtricitabine/tenofovir disoproxil fumarate switch in HIV-1-infected patients with at least 1 year of virological success, we determined whether proviral DNA is an alternative to plasma HIV RNA for resistance genotyping.

METHODS

Resistance-associated mutations (RAMs) in DNA after at least 1 year of virological success [viral load (VL) <50 copies/mL] were compared with those identified in the last plasma RNA genotype available. Rilpivirine/emtricitabine/tenofovir disoproxil fumarate RAMs studied were K65R, L100I, K101E/P, E138A/G/K/R/Q, V179L, Y181C/I/V, M184V/I, Y188L, H221Y, F227C and M230I/L in the RT. We studied patients without virological failure (VF) and with at least 1 VF (two consecutive VLs >50 copies/mL). Kappa's coefficient was used to measure agreement between the DNA and RNA genotypes.

RESULTS

In patients without VF (n = 130) and with VF (n = 114), RNA and DNA showed resistance to at least one drug of the rilpivirine/emtricitabine/tenofovir disoproxil fumarate combination in 8% and 9% and in 60% and 45%, respectively. For rilpivirine RAMs, correlation between RNA and DNA was higher in patients without VF than in patients with VF (kappa = 0.60 versus 0.19, P = 0.026). Overall, the prevalence of RAMs was lower in DNA than in RNA.

CONCLUSIONS

Incomplete information provided by the DNA genotypic test is more notable in patients with VF, suggesting that all resistance mutations associated with prior VF have not been archived in the proviral DNA or decreased to a level below the threshold of detection. In the case where no historical plasma genotypic test is available, DNA testing might be useful to rule out switching to rilpivirine/emtricitabine/tenofovir disoproxil fumarate.

Transmission of HIV Drug Resistance and the Predicted Effect on Current First-line Regimens in Europe

Transmitted human immunodeficiency virus drug resistance in Europe is stable at around 8%. The impact of baseline mutation patterns on susceptibility to antiretroviral drugs should be addressed using clinical guidelines. The impact on baseline susceptibility is largest for nonnucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors.

Background. Numerous studies have shown that baseline drug resistance patterns may influence the outcome of antiretroviral therapy. Therefore, guidelines recommend drug resistance testing to guide the choice of initial regimen. In addition to optimizing individual patient management, these baseline resistance data enable transmitted drug resistance (TDR) to be surveyed for public health purposes. The SPREAD program systematically collects data to gain insight into TDR occurring in Europe since 2001.

Methods. Demographic, clinical, and virological data from 4140 antiretroviral-naive human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)–infected individuals from 26 countries who were newly diagnosed between 2008 and 2010 were analyzed. Evidence of TDR was defined using the WHO list for surveillance of drug resistance mutations. Prevalence of TDR was assessed over time by comparing the results to SPREAD data from 2002 to 2007. Baseline susceptibility to antiretroviral drugs was predicted using the Stanford HIVdb program version 7.0.

Results. The overall prevalence of TDR did not change significantly over time and was 8.3% (95% confidence interval, 7.2%–9.5%) in 2008–2010. The most frequent indicators of TDR were nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NRTI) mutations (4.5%), followed by nonnucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NNRTI) mutations (2.9%) and protease inhibitor mutations (2.0%). Baseline mutations were most predictive of reduced susceptibility to initial NNRTI-based regimens: 4.5% and 6.5% of patient isolates were predicted to have resistance to regimens containing efavirenz or rilpivirine, respectively, independent of current NRTI backbones.

Conclusions. Although TDR was highest for NRTIs, the impact of baseline drug resistance patterns on susceptibility was largest for NNRTIs. The prevalence of TDR assessed by epidemiological surveys does not clearly indicate to what degree susceptibility to different drug classes is affected.

Comparative risk of failure of ABC/3TC or TDF/FTC based first-line regimens in patients with a high viral load

OBJECTIVES

To compare the efficacy, in current clinical practice, of first regimens containing abacavir with lamivudine (ABC/3TC) or tenofovir with emtricitabine (TDF/FTC) in patients with baseline viral load ≥100,000 HIV-1 RNA copies/mL.

METHODS

Using a prospective cohort, we selected all patients starting a first HIV regimen based either on ABC/3TC or on TDF/FTC. The propensity score (PS) method was used to limit the indication bias due to the observational nature of the data. Adjusting and weighting methods via PS were used to compare the effectiveness of a first regimen containing ABC/3TC or TDF/FTC. The primary outcome was treatment failure by month 12 (M12).

RESULTS

Overall, 2781 patients started an antiretroviral (ARV) regimen with ABC/3TC or TDF/FTC each in combination with efavirenz, boosted atazanavir or boosted darunavir. Among the 2472 uncensored patients before M12, 962 (39%) had a baseline viral load ≥100,000 copies/mL of whom 294 were in treatment failure at or before M12. Our analyses showed no difference between ABC/3TC and TDF/FTC in the risk of treatment failure at M12 in patients starting an ARV regimen with a high viral load (≥100,000 copies/mL).

CONCLUSIONS

Using a large prospectively collected cohort of patients seeking care in France, we found no evidence that ABC/3TC based regimens led to more failures than TDF/FTC based ones in patients with high baseline viral loads.

Efficacy of etravirine combined with darunavir or other ritonavir-boosted protease inhibitors in HIV-1-infected patients: an observational study using pooled European cohort data

OBJECTIVES

This observational study in antiretroviral treatment-experienced, HIV-1-infected adults explored the efficacy of etravirine plus darunavir/ritonavir (DRV group; n = 999) vs. etravirine plus an alternative boosted protease inhibitor (other PI group; n = 116) using pooled European cohort data.

METHODS

Two international (EuroSIDA; EUResist Network) and five national (France, Italy, Spain, Switzerland and UK) cohorts provided data (collected in 2007-2012). Stratum-adjusted (for confounding factors) Mantel-Haenszel differences in virological responses (viral load < 50 HIV-1 RNA copies/mL) and odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were derived.

RESULTS

Baseline characteristics were balanced between groups except for previous use of antiretrovirals (≥ 10: 63% in the DRV group vs. 49% in the other PI group), including previous use of at least three PIs (64% vs. 53%, respectively) and mean number of PI resistance mutations (2.3 vs. 1.9, respectively). Week 24 responses were 73% vs. 75% (observed) and 49% vs. 43% (missing = failure), respectively. Week 48 responses were 75% vs. 73% and 32% vs. 30%, respectively. All 95% CIs around unadjusted and adjusted differences encompassed 0 (difference in responses) or 1 (ORs). While ORs by cohort indicated heterogeneity in response, for pooled data the difference between unadjusted and adjusted for cohort ORs was small.

CONCLUSIONS

These data do not indicate a difference in response between the DRV and other PI groups, although caution should be applied given the small size of the other PI group and the lack of randomization. This suggests that the efficacy and virology results from DUET can be extrapolated to a regimen of etravirine with a boosted PI other than darunavir/ritonavir.

Body fat distribution in HIV-infected patients treated for 96 weeks with darunavir/ritonavir monotherapy versus darunavir/ritonavir plus nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors: the MONOI-ANRS136 substudy

OBJECTIVES

The aim of the study was to evaluate fat tissue distribution in HIV-infected patients with suppressed viraemia treated with darunavir/ritonavir (darunavir/r) monotherapy versus darunavir/r triple therapy.

METHODS

This study was a substudy of the randomized, multicentre, open-label MONOI-ANRS 136 trial. Body fat distribution and metabolic parameters were measured at baseline, week 48 and week 96.

RESULTS

In total, 156 patients of the 225 initially enrolled in the MONOI trial participated in this study, 75 in the darunavir/r monotherapy arm and 81 in the darunavir/r triple-therapy arm. The median limb fat increase from baseline was +0.34 kg [interquartile range (IQR) -0.040 to +1.140 kg; P < 0.001] at week 48 and +0.33 kg (IQR -0.14 to +1.26 kg; P = 0.001) at week 96 in the monotherapy arm, while there was no change (-0.02 kg; IQR -0.53 to +0.52 kg) at week 48 and then an increase of +0.23 kg (IQR -0.45 to +0.87 kg; P = 0.046) at week 96 in the triple-therapy arm. The two arms differed significantly at week 48 (P = 0.001) but not at week 96. The median increase in trunk fat was +0.73 kg (IQR -0.24 to +1.60 kg; P < 0.001) and 0.60 kg (IQR -0.41 to +1.49 kg; P = 0.03) at week 48 and +1.16 kg (IQR -0.17 to +2.75 kg; P < 0.001) and +0.90 kg (IQR -0.51 to +2.34 kg; P = 0.001) at week 96 in the monotherapy and triple-therapy arms, respectively, with no difference between arms. At week 96, the only biological change was a glucose level elevation in the monotherapy arm (median +4.0 mg/dL; IQR -4.0 to +7.0 mg/dL) compared with the triple-therapy arm (P = 0.012).

CONCLUSIONS

Overall, body fat tissue increased in patients on darunavir/r monotherapy and triple therapy, with no difference between the arms over 96 weeks. The only difference found was a delayed increase in limb fat tissue in the triple-therapy arm compared with the monotherapy arm in the first year.

Long-term efficacy of darunavir/ritonavir monotherapy in patients with HIV-1 viral suppression: week 96 results from the MONOI ANRS 136 study

OBJECTIVES

Long-term results at week 96 are needed to evaluate the capacity of the darunavir/ritonavir monotherapy strategy to maintain a sustained control of the HIV-1 viral load.

METHODS

MONOI is a prospective, open-label, non-inferiority, randomized, 96 week trial comparing darunavir/ritonavir monotherapy versus a darunavir/ritonavir triple-therapy strategy to maintain HIV-1 viral load suppression in HIV-1-infected patients.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

NCT00412551.

RESULTS

From 225 randomized patients, 219 patients reached the 48 week follow-up and 211 reached the 96 week follow-up (106 patients in the darunavir monotherapy arm and 105 in the darunavir triple-therapy arm). Baseline characteristics were well balanced between the two treatment groups. At week 96, in intent-to-treat analysis, 91/103 patients (88%, 95% CI 81-94) allocated to the darunavir/ritonavir monotherapy arm and 87/104 patients (84%, 95% CI 75-90) allocated to the darunavir triple-therapy arm achieved an HIV-1 viral load <50 copies/mL, with no statistical difference between the two groups. Throughout the 96 week follow-up, 66/112 patients (59%, 95% CI 49-68) and 79/113 patients (70%, 95% CI 61-78) consistently had HIV-1 RNA <50 copies/mL with darunavir/ritonavir monotherapy and darunavir/ritonavir triple therapy, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The MONOI study establishes darunavir/ritonavir monotherapy as durable and efficacious for maintaining virological suppression in HIV-1 patients. Darunavir/ritonavir monotherapy should be considered as a (tailored) treatment option for standard triple-therapy patients who have had a substantial period of viral suppression.

Prospective one-year bone loss in treatment-naïve HIV+ men and women on single or multiple drug HIV therapies

Antiretroviral therapy has decreased the rate of HIV-related mortality and extended the life span of HIV patients. Current guidelines recommend the use of a 3-drug regimen, such as two nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors and a protease inhibitor, boosted by ritonavir. Osteoporosis can be associated with the HIV disease itself or with antiretroviral therapy. Many trials have been conducted employing a single drug regimen to simplify antiretroviral therapy but few studies assessed the effect of the single drug regimen on bone mineral density (BMD). The objectives of the study were to assess and compare the relative (%) changes in lumbar spine and hip BMD over 48 weeks in HIV patients treated with mono or triple antiretroviral regimens The study was conducted using data from a randomized trial (MONARK) conducted in 136 antiretroviral-naïve HIV patients (89 men and 47 women) comparing the antiviral efficacy of a single-drug protease inhibitor regimen of lopinavir/ritonavir (LPV/r) versus LPV/r in combination with zidovudine (ZDV) and lamivudine (3TC). Lumbar spine and total hip BMD were assessed in 100 patients by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry at baseline and 48 weeks. 48 week-BMD data were available for 43 patients (mean age 37years) with a mean baseline lumbar spine Z-score of -0.1 in the LPV/r monotherapy group and for 25 patients (mean age 35.8years) with a mean baseline lumbar spine Z-score of -0.2 in the LPV/r+ZDV+3TC group. After 48weeks, lumbar spine BMD significantly decreased by 4.4% (-5.1% to -2.1%, P≤0.001) in the LPV/r group and by 4.0% (-5.0% to -1.7%, P≤0.0001) in the LPV/r+ZDV+3TC group. There was no significant difference in BMD changes between the two groups. These results suggest that bone loss is observed 48 weeks after the initiation of antiretroviral therapy, whether the patients receive a single- or triple-drug antiretroviral regimen.

Atazanavir in patients with persistent viral replication despite HAART: results from the French prospective NADIS cohort

OBJECTIVE

To assess virological efficacy of a ritonavir-boosted atazanavir (ATV/r)-containing regimen in patients with persistent viral replication despite HAART.

PATIENTS AND METHOD

Prospective cohort of French HIV-infected patients. Patients were included if pretreated and viral load (VL) >400 copies/mL at the time of ATV/r first prescription (baseline). Demographic and epidemiologic data, therapeutic history, and clinical and biological values at baseline and during follow-up were analyzed. Primary endpoint was failure of the regimen defined as either VL>400 copies/mL at Week 24 or treatment interruption before Week 24. Multivariate analysis was performed of baseline characteristics related with treatment failure.

RESULTS

There were 424 patients with available data. Primary endpoint was met by 36%: 24% VL>400 copies/mL and 12% treatment interruption. Treatment interruption due to drug-related toxicity was significantly more frequent in women (20.5% vs. 8.8%, p= .001). Female gender (adjusted odds ratio [OR]=1.91), previous use of lopinavir (LPV; OR=2.76), number of new drugs and of active drugs in the regimen (OR=0.48 and 0.3, respectively), and baseline VL (OR=1.75) were independently related with treatment failure.

CONCLUSION

ATV/r-containing regimens, because of low pill burden and good tolerance, can be a useful strategy as long as the patients did not suffer previous LPV failures. The issue of gender deserves further studies in larger populations.

[Pattern and evolution of the prescription of olanzapine during one year: Results of the cohort study ECOL]

INTRODUCTION

The necessary evidence of new therapies of clinical interest extends beyond clinical trials in a less controlled population and closer to clinical practice justified since several years the need of conducting observational, noninterventional studies. Observational studies must include epidemiological (quantitative observational) data to define prevalence and natural history of the target conditions. Moreover, pharmacological interventions in "naturalistic" patients populations, selected by clinicians as per clinical judgment within the scope of the target disease will allow to generate data to complement clinical trials. Clinical trials designed to show robust data on efficacy and tolerability particularly during registration trials must be complemented by robust observational research to confirm and better describe clinical effectiveness in the target population. A noninterventional, observational trial is a study where the medicinal product(s) is (are) prescribed in the usual manner in accordance with the terms of the marketing authorization. The assignment of the patient to a particular therapeutic strategy is not decided in advance by a trial protocol but falls within current practice and the prescription of the medicine is clearly separated from the decision to include the patient in the study. No additional diagnosis or monitoring procedures shall be applied to the patients and epidemiological methods shall be used for the analysis of collected data. Olanzapine is a new antipsychotic therapy registered in Europe for the treatment of schizophrenia since 1996.

AIMS OF THE STUDY

The primary objective of this observational research was to study the evolution of the olanzapine dosage under naturalistic settings. Secondary objectives included patients characteristics, severity of disease, therapeutic evolution and coprescriptions, in a patient's cohort, suffering from schizophrenia, adult patients, diagnosis based on ICD-10; patients were followed during a total of 12 months.

DESIGN OF THE STUDY

The cohort study was conducted in France. Between the period of June 2000 and February 2001, 407 psychiatrics randomized to participate in the study had consolidated the patient's cohort.

RESULTS

A total of 1810 patients were included, 1093 (60, 4%) male, 717 (39, 6%) females. Age was recorded for a total of 1802 (99, 6%) patients, mean age was 37.8 years as per inclusion criteria and patients consent according to current regulations. Patients entered in the cohort as per clinicians decision underwent a treatment with olanzapine during an outpatient's consultation or at hospitalization. More than two thirds of the patients were followed up during 12 months after onset of this treatment. Clinical outcome was assessed at three, six, nine and 12 months following cohort inclusion using the following tools: CGI, PANSS, Calgary and GAF; as per CGI 78% of the patients cohort were severely ill, the mean PANSS score was 94.1. At second month of treatment clinicians were requested to very well document any changes in olanzapine dosage as well as reasons for the dosage modifications and potential coprescriptions.

DISCUSSION

The daily mean dosage of olanzapine was 9.5mg at initiation of treatment, 10.5mg after one month and 11.2mg after 12 months of follow-up. The increase of the dosage after one month was associated with factors such as younger age, schizophrenia diagnosis and severity of the symptoms as measured by CGI and PANSS scores evolution, low initial dosage and hospitalization at treatment initiation. Within the 1810 participants included in the cohort, 1383 (76.5%) received a coprescrition of a psychotropic, for example, 811 (44.8%) a benzodiazepine, 506 (28.0%) an antidepressant. Among the patients cohort that were followed during 12 months, all the clinical and patient-functioning indicators progressed in the direction of a significant improvement.

Early virologic failure and rescue therapy of tenofovir, abacavir, and lamivudine for initial treatment of HIV-1 infection: TONUS study

BACKGROUND

To assess the efficacy and safety of the triple NRTI combination of abacavir (ABC), lamivudine (3TC), and tenofovir (TDF) in a once-daily regimen.

METHOD

38 HIV-naive patients (pts) were treated in a prospective open-arm study over 48 weeks (W48). Virological failure was defined as never achieving plasma HIV-1 RNA < 400 copies/mL or rebound of > or = 0.7 log10.

RESULTS

12/36 (33%) pts had virologic failure at W24 and 10 additional pts had HIV RNA > 50 copies/mL at W12 or W24. There was a significant association between baseline viral load (VL) and virologic failure in 0%, 29%, and 64% pts with baseline VL levels < 4, 4-5, and > 5 log10 copies/mL, respectively (p = .014). 76% of pts developed K65R and M184V/I mutations by W24, and 19% developed M184V/I alone. At W4, 86% of pts had adequate plasma Cmin for the 3 drugs. 14 pts with K65R and M184V/I were given a rescue therapy with a successful outcome (< 50 copies/mL; median follow-up 48 weeks).

CONCLUSION

Convergent genetic pathway to resistance, in conjunction with lower antiretroviral potency, may explain the high rate of selection K65R and M184V mutations. These mutations did not appear to have a negative effect on rescue therapy with a variety of regimens.

Salivary cytomegalovirus (CMV) shedding, glycoprotein B genotype distribution, and CMV disease in human immunodeficiency virus-seropositive patients

To assess the frequency of shedding of cytomegalovirus (CMV) in saliva, the distribution of CMV glycoprotein B (gB) genotypes, and the occurrence of CMV diseases, we screened 98 human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-seropositive patients without CMV disease. CMV was detected by culture more frequently in saliva (45 [46%] of 98 patients) than in blood (7 [7.5%] of 93) and was associated with CD4 cell counts <100 cells/mm3 (P=.013). CMV in the saliva of 37 patients was successfully genotyped. Three patients (8%) were infected by a gB1 strain, 26 (70%) by a gB2 strain, 2 (5.5%) by a gB3 strain, 1 (3%) by a gB4 strain, and 5 (13.5%) by mixed gB strains. Thirteen patients developed CMV disease after a mean period of 143+/-112 days; at inclusion, 9 (69%) had salivary CMV shedding and 2 had CMV viremia. CMV salivary shedding (P=.043), low CD4+ cell count (P=.041), and CMV viremia (P=.011) were associated with occurrence of CMV disease.

Mechanisms of virologic failure in previously untreated HIV-infected patients from a trial of induction-maintenance therapy. Trilège (Agence Nationale de Recherches sur le SIDA 072) Study Team)

CONTEXT

In the Trilège trial, following induction with a zidovudine, lamivudine, and indinavir regimen, human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) replication was less suppressed by 2-drug maintenance therapy than by triple-drug therapy.

OBJECTIVE

To identify mechanisms of virologic failure in the 3 arms of the Trilège trial.

DESIGN

Case-control study conducted from February to October 1998.

SETTING

Three urban hospitals in Paris, France.

PATIENTS

Fifty-eight case patients with virologic failure (HIV RNA rebound to >500 copies/mL in 2 consecutive samples) randomized to 3 therapy groups: triple drug (zidovudine, lamivudine, and indinavir), 8; zidovudine-lamivudine, 29; and zidovudine-indinavir, 21; the case patients were randomly matched with 58 control patients with sustained viral suppression.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

At virologic failure (S1 sample) and 6 weeks later (S2 sample), assessment of protease and reverse transcriptase gene mutations, plasma indinavir level, and degree of viral load rebound; pill count during induction and maintenance periods.

RESULTS

Only 1 primary resistance mutation, M184V, was detected in S1 plasma samples from 4 of 6 patients in the triple-drug and in all 22 in the zidovudine-lamivudine therapy groups and in S2 plasma samples from 3 of 6 in the triple-drug and 20 of 21 in the zidovudine-lamivudine groups. Of controls, M184V was detected in 11 of 13 S1 plasma samples and in 10 of 11 S2 plasma samples. Indinavir levels were undetectable in all S1 samples but 2 in 7 triple-drug cases tested and in the expected range in 11 of 18 S1 and 5 of 12 S2 zidovudine-indinavir case plasma samples tested. Maintenance adherence rates were lower for cases vs controls for zidovudine (P = .05) and indinavir (P = .05). Low indinavir levels, lower adherence rates for zidovudine (P = .04) and lamivudine (P = .03), and rebound to near-baseline values suggested adherence as cause of early failure for 4 of 8 triple-drug cases. In the zidovudine-lamivudine arm, for which case and control adherence rates did not differ significantly (P = .96), most failures occurred late with low rebound, suggesting suboptimal drug potency. In the zidovudine-indinavir arm, virologic failures may be related to both mechanisms.

CONCLUSIONS

During the maintenance phase early and late virologic failures appeared to be related more to problems of adherence and antiretroviral treatment potency, respectively, than to selection of resistant mutant viruses.

Statistical issues for HIV surrogate endpoints: point/counterpoint. An NIAID workshop

This paper summarizes the proceedings of an NIAID-sponsored workshop on statistical issues for HIV surrogate endpoints. The workshop brought together statisticians and clinicians in an attempt to shed light on some unresolved issues in the use of HIV laboratory markers (such as HIV RNA and CD4+ cell counts) in the design and analysis of clinical studies and in patient management. Utilizing a debate format, the workshop explored a series of specific questions dealing with the relationship between markers and clinical endpoints, and the choice of endpoints and methods of analysis in clinical studies. This paper provides the position statements from the two debaters on each issue. Consensus conclusions, based on the presentations and discussion, are outlined. While not providing final answers, we hope that these discussions have helped clarify a number of issues, and will stimulate further consideration of some of the highlighted problems. These issues will be critical in the proper assessment and use of future therapies for HIV disease.

A randomized trial of three maintenance regimens given after three months of induction therapy with zidovudine, lamivudine, and indinavir in previously untreated HIV-1-infected patients. Trilège (Agence Nationale de Recherches sur le SIDA 072) Study Team

BACKGROUND

The long-term effectiveness of potent three-drug antiretroviral regimens for the treatment of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) infection is limited by problems related to compliance and tolerability. We investigated whether two-drug maintenance therapy would suppress viral replication after a three-month period of aggressive triple-drug induction therapy.

METHODS

A total of 378 HIV-1-infected adults who had not received previous antiretroviral treatment received three months of induction therapy consisting of 300 mg of zidovudine every 12 hours, 150 mg of lamivudine every 12 hours, and 800 mg of indinavir every 8 hours. The 279 patients in whom the plasma HIV-1 RNA titer fell below 500 copies per milliliter after two months of triple-drug therapy, and who completed the induction phase, were randomly assigned at month 3 to one of the following three open-label maintenance regimens: zidovudine, lamivudine, and indinavir; zidovudine and lamivudine; or zidovudine and indinavir. The primary end point was an increase in HIV-1 RNA levels to 500 copies or more per milliliter during the maintenance phase.

RESULTS

The proportion of patients who reached the primary end point was significantly higher among patients receiving zidovudine plus lamivudine (29 of 93 patients, P<0.001) or zidovudine plus indinavir (21 of 94, P=0.01) than among patients receiving continued triple-drug therapy (8 of 92). This higher failure rate in the groups treated with the two-drug maintenance regimens was also observed in the subgroup of patients with maximally suppressed HIV-1 RNA (below 50 copies per milliliter) at the time of randomization to maintenance therapy.

CONCLUSIONS

In HIV-1-infected adults not previously treated with antiretroviral drugs whose plasma HIV-1 RNA levels fell below 500 copies per milliliter after three months of induction therapy with zidovudine, lamivudine, and indinavir, two-drug maintenance therapy was less effective in sustaining a reduced viral load than continued three-drug therapy.

Evidence for a major gene controlling susceptibility to tegumentary leishmaniasis in a recently exposed Bolivian population

Tegumentary leishmaniasis due to Leishmania braziliensis is a parasitic disease that occurs in two stages after the infected sandfly bite: (1) a primary cutaneous lesion followed by (2) a secondary mucosal involvement generally resulting in severe facial deformities. In order to investigate the genetic and environmental factors involved in the development of the cutaneous lesion, a familial study was performed in a region of Bolivia in which the disease is endemic. Complete selection of 118 nuclear families (703 subjects, with 241 patients), each with at least one cutaneous affected subject, was achieved; 41 families were of native origin, and 77 (herein designated "migrant") recently had settled in the area. For the analysis, the trait under study was the time to onset of the primary cutaneous lesion. The start of the follow-up was birth, for native population, or date of arrival in the endemic area, for migrant population. Segregation analysis was performed by use of a model based on survival analysis methods that allows joint estimation of genetic and environmental effects and accounts for gene x covariate interactions. A significant effect of gender, home-forest distance, and forest-related activity was found. In the 77 migrant families there was evidence for a recessive major gene controlling the onset of the primary cutaneous lesion, with residual familial dependences and age x genotype interaction. Penetrance estimations show that young subjects are genetically more susceptible than older subjects, suggesting that this genetic component could concern mechanisms involved in the development of individual protection during childhood. There was also a significant genetic heterogeneity of the sample according to the native/migrant origin of the families, and no major-gene effect was found in the native subsample.

Risk factors for onset of cutaneous and mucocutaneous leishmaniasis in Bolivia

A survival analysis was performed on data from an endemic area of Bolivia where two populations, natives and highland migrants, were living, to investigate risk factors for onset of cutaneous leishmaniasis (CL) and its mucosal form (MCL). In a first data set (703 subjects with 242 CL patients), significant risk factors for CL were gender, native/migrant status, activity, and home-forest distance. The instantaneous risk of CL increased until adolescence in both populations, and rapidly decreased thereafter. This risk was 3-10 times higher in migrants than in natives until 20 years of age, and became similar thereafter. Environmental and behavioral factors did not seem sufficient to explain this contrast between the two populations, and this evolution with age may suggest differences in the mechanisms involved in the development of individual protection during childhood. In a second data set (446 CL patients with 34 mucosal forms) the native/migrant status was the main factor associated with the onset of mucosal form.

Cytomegalovirus (CMV) viremia and the CD4+ lymphocyte count as predictors of CMV disease in patients infected with human immunodeficiency virus

We screened 192 patients infected with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) to examine the relation between CD4+ lymphocyte counts and cytomegalovirus (CMV) viremia and the occurrence of CMV disease and subsequent duration of survival. When we stratified the viremic patients by CD4+ lymphocyte counts, the proportions were as follows: <50/mm3, 20 (25%) of 80 patients; 50-100/mm3, 2 (5.5%) of 36; 101-150/mm3, none of 14; and >150/mm3, 1 (1.5%) of 62. After a mean follow-up period of 8.5 months, 21 (11%) of 192 patients developed CMV disease. The probability of developing CMV disease at 6 months was 13% when the CD4+ lymphocyte count was <50/mm3, 3% when the CD4+ lymphocyte count was 50-100/mm3, and 0 when the CD4+ lymphocyte count was >100/mm3; this probability was 46% for viremic patients and 1% for nonviremic patients. In a multivariate analysis, CMV viremia was independently prognostic of CMV disease (relative risk, 22.03; 95% confidence interval, 6.49-78.97; P < .001), whereas a CD4+ lymphocyte count of <50/mm3 was not (P = .26). These results support the value of CMV viremia for predicting which HIV-infected patients are at risk of developing CMV disease and should therefore receive primary prophylaxis.

On the use of auxiliary data to estimate the survival function and its variance: an application to acquired immunodeficiency syndrome

Prospective studies have as their goal the estimation of the survival function when the time to the specified event may be censored due to loss to follow-up or to the termination of the study before the event of interest occurs. In such a study, information about an auxiliary event, correlated to the event of interest, is often available. An example of such an auxiliary event in cancer studies is remission or relapse. A stochastic model was proposed by Lagakos, which utilizes this type of information in the analysis of survival studies [1]. The primary objective of using an auxiliary information is to improve the estimation of survival. This article proposes a method to estimate the variance of the estimator of the survival function S(t) for the model including such auxiliary information. Thus, we compute for different situations the relative efficiency of the estimator of S(t) using the stochastic model to the estimator of S(t) using only survival data. The method is applied to data from a prospective study of 379 HIV-seropositive homosexual men, of whom 31 developed AIDS. In our example, the auxiliary event is defined by the level of CD4 lymphocyte counts using distinct threshold values, for instance 200 cells/mm3, while the event of interest is the time to development of AIDS.

The use of auxiliary events to improve the analysis of survival for HIV-infected patients: application to the French Prospective Multicenter Cohort (SEROCO)

SUMMARY

A multicenter prospective cohort study, including 512 patients for whom date of HIV infection was known, showed that the use of an appropriate auxiliary event can improve the analysis of survival data and lead to an earlier detection of risk factors for HIV patients. Age at seroconversion and primary symptomatic infection were used as risk factors. Two age groups were defined as age at seroconversion >30 years (n = 203) and < or = 30 years (n = 309). Patients with primary symptomatic infection PSI (n = 215) were compared with patients without any clinical manifestation during primary infection (n = 297). Death was considered as the endpoint of primary interest and occurred in 76 patients in the study. Classical non-parametric methods (Kaplan-Meier estimate and long-rank test) and parametric regression model (Weibull model) were used for a standard analysis of survival data. A parametric approach using auxiliary information was used to estimate the survival function and to test the effect of age at seroconversion and PSI. We also applied a recently proposed distribution-free method to produce a non-parametric estimate of the survival function and to test age at seroconversion and PSI with respect to survival estimates. Both methods are compared for two distinct auxiliary events (Karnofsky score below 75 and a first drop of CD4 lymphocyte counts below 200 cells/MM3). The use of CD4 lymphocyte counts below 200 cells/MM3 as an auxiliary event improved the analysis of survival data available in December 1994. For both methods incorporating CD4 counts below 200 cells/mm3 in addition to survival data, the effect of age at seroconversion on survival was significant in April 1992 whereas it was not significant with standard methods. For PSI exposure group, results shown in this work do not indicate any improvement in using auxiliary information. Conditions for using an appropriate auxiliary event as well as advantages and shortcomings of both methods are discussed. Methods used in this work, with appropriate auxiliary information, are promising either through a reduction in the time to follow-up to detect risk factors for cohort studies or the time needed for drug development in clinical trials.

A two-stage procedure for survival studies with surrogate endpoints

A two-stage procedure for survival studies with surrogate endpoints is proposed. The objective of the procedure is to reduce the duration of a survival study relative to classical procedure. A surrogate endpoint is an event which is related to survival time and may occur earlier during follow up. In the first stage, all patients are followed to the primary endpoint in order to evaluate the strength of the relationship between the surrogate endpoint and survival. In the second stage, follow up is terminated on patients who reach the surrogate endpoint. Indirect inferences on the survival endpoint is now possible by virtue of the first stage analysis. We present methods for data collected in the two-stage procedure, for estimating the survivorship function, S(t), and for comparing two treatment groups using a non-parametric permutation test. The methods are applied to the results of a study of resected lung cancer.

[Nutritional balance of the diet of the adult residents of Geneva]

Diet of the Swiss population has probably changed over the last 10 years, but these changes have not been recorded yet by nutritional studies. In the present study, 3 registered dieticians interviewed over the telephone 626 adults, resident of Canton Geneva, using a 24 hour recall. Interviews were performed during the 7 days of the week. Participants were randomly selected according to their age, sex and nationality. Participation was 80%. The following caloric (C) and nutritional intakes in proteins (P), lipids (L), carbohydrates (CH) and alcohol (A) were recorded: In non Swiss men: C = 2464 kcal/j., P = 16.2%, L = 32.4%, CH = 44.4%, A = 7.0%; in Swiss men: C = 2752 kcal/j., P = 15.3%, L = 34.0%, CH = 43.5%, A = 7.1%; in non Swiss women: C = 1897 kcal/j., P = 16.4%, L = 35.1%, CH = 46.5%, A = 2.4%; in Swiss women: C = 1865 kcal/j., P = 15.0%, L = 35.3%, CH = 46.0%, A = 3.2%. Total caloric intake and iron intake decreased with age. Older women ate less calcium than younger. In summary, the most important determinants of diet are age and sex. Proportion of lipids is relatively low in both men and women. Small differences related to nationality were observed in men.

Association of elevated lipoprotein(a) levels and coronary heart disease in NIDDM patients. Relationship with apolipoprotein(a) phenotypes

Non-insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus (NIDDM) is a strong and independent risk factor for coronary heart disease. We assessed the potential relationship between plasma Lp(a) levels, apo(a) phenotypes and coronary heart disease in a population of NIDDM patients. Seventy-one patients with coronary heart disease, who previously have had transmural myocardial infarction, or significant stenosis on coronary angiography, or positive myocardial thallium scintigraphy, or in combination, were compared with 67 patients without coronary heart disease, who tested negatively upon either coronary angiography, myocardial thallium scintigraphy or a maximal exercise test. The prevalence of plasma Lp(a) levels elevated above the threshold for increased cardiovascular risk (> 0.30 g/l) was significantly higher (p = 0.005) in patients with coronary heart disease (33.8%) compared to the control group (13.4%). The relative risk (odds ratio) of coronary heart disease among patients with high Lp(a) concentrations was 3.1 (95% confidence interval, 1.31-7.34; p = 0.01). The overall frequency distribution of apo(a) phenotypes differed significantly between the two groups (p = 0.043). However, the frequency of apo(a) isoforms of low apparent molecular mass (< or = 700 kDa) was of borderline significance (p = 0.067) between patients with or without coronary heart disease (29.6% and 16.4%, respectively). In this Caucasian population of NIDDM patients, elevated Lp(a) levels were associated with coronary heart disease, an association which was partially accounted for by the higher frequency of apo(a) isoforms of small size. In multivariate analyses, elevated levels of Lp(a) were independently associated with coronary heart disease (odds ratio 3.48, p = 0.0233).

Predictive capability of proportional hazards regression

A measure of the predictive capability of a proportional hazards regression is derived. The measure is based on the residuals appropriate to proportional hazards regression. A population version is presented and can be seen not to depend on the censoring mechanism under the provision that any such censoring be independent or conditionally independent of the failure mechanism given the covariate. For the special case of a Weibull regression model, for which the covariate distribution follows binary, uniform, normal, or exponential laws, we derive analytic results. These alone give credence to the measure which can be seen to reflect strength of regression effect, as quantified by the parameter estimate, although on a scale between 0 and 1, independently of the intercept or shape parameter of the particular Weibull law and only weakly dependent on the covariate distribution. Extensions to partial and multiple measures of predictive ability are straightforward. An example is provided.

Misclassification bias related to definition of menopausal status in case-control studies of breast cancer

It is often assumed, but has not been consistently observed, that some characteristics of reproductive history are specifically related to breast cancer of pre- or postmenopausal onset. To determine whether inconsistent reports may be due to differences in definition of menopause, we computed the relative odds (RO) of breast cancer for nulliparity, age at first live birth, family history of breast cancer and prior history of benign breast disease, separately in pre- and postmenopausal women, using seven different definitions of menopause. Results show that (i) relative odds of breast cancer and their confidence intervals may vary according to definitions of menopause; (ii) age-based definitions of menopause are associated with moderate differential misclassification bias between cases and controls; (iii) nulliparity, late age at first birth and family history of breast cancer seem to be specific risk factors for pre- but not postmenopausal breast cancer when cutoff for menopausal status is 10 years or more after last menses; and (iv) when information on menstrual history is not available, 50 years of age may be the best proxy for all menses-based definitions of menopause. We conclude that inconsistent findings on the effect of menopausal status in the association of breast cancer with some reproductive factors are partly due to statistical imprecision and differential misclassification bias associated with different age-based or menses-based definitions of menopause. Researchers should either test whether their conclusions hold using several definitions of menopause or give a biological rationale for the choice of a given definition of menopause.