Validation of the Onco-MPI in predicting short-term mortality in older Indian patients with cancer

INTRODUCTION

The number of older patients with cancer is increasing exponentially worldwide, and a similar trend has also been noted in India. The Multidimensional Prognostic Index (MPI) strongly correlates the presence of individual comorbidities with mortality, and the Onco-MPI prognosticates patients accurately for overall mortality. However, limited studies have evaluated this index in patient populations beyond Italy. We evaluated the performance of the Onco-MPI index in predicting mortality in older Indian patients with cancer.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This observational study was conducted between October 2019 and November 2021 in the Geriatric Oncology Clinic at Tata Memorial Hospital in Mumbai, India. The data of patients aged ≥60 years with solid tumors who underwent a comprehensive geriatric assessment was analysed. The study's primary aim was to calculate the Onco-MPI for patients in the study and correlate it with one-year mortality.

RESULTS

A total of 576 patients aged ≥60 years were included in the study. The median age (range) of the population was 68 (60-90) years, and 429 (74.5%) were male. After a median follow-up of 19.2 months, 366 (63.7%) patients had died. The proportion of patients classified as low risk (0-0.46), moderate risk (0.47-0.63) and high risk (0.64-1.0) were 38% (219 patients), 37% (211 patients) and 25% (145 patients), respectively. There was a significant difference in one-year mortality rates between the low-risk patients compared to medium and high-risk patients (40.6% vs 53.1% vs 71.7%; p < 0.001).

DISCUSSION

The current study validates the Onco-MPI as a predictive tool for estimating short-term mortality in older Indian patients with cancer. Further prospective studies need to build on this index to obtain a score with greater discrimination in the Indian population.